MA Newsletter Q3 2024 - v5
MA Newsletter Q3 2024 - v5
500
$20,000
400
$15,000
300
$10,000
Primary Contacts 200
Scott Kendrick, Director Source: SPP Capital Partners – “Capital Market Update September 2024”
215.370.6128
[email protected] Broker/Dealer services offered through Mufson Howe Hunter & Partners LLC, Member SIPC | FINRA
Mergers & Acquisitions Update
U.S. - All Reported Annual M&A Activity
20,000 $1,600,000
18,000
$1,400,000
16,000
$1,200,000
14,000
$1,000,000
12,000
10,000 $800,000
8,000
$600,000
6,000
$400,000
4,000
$200,000
2,000
- $-
2020 2021 2022 2023 YTD Sep-23 YTD Sep-24
Middle Market 2,263 2,788 1,918 1,424 1,129 876
$250 - $500mm 166 291 170 108 74 92
$500mm - $1B 107 178 115 87 55 68
Trans Value > $1B 136 251 155 158 115 144
Undisclosed 10,800 14,692 12,483 10,235 7,900 7,535
Total Transaction Value $912,695 $1,426,147 $1,025,409 $982,016 $611,008 $732,980
4,000 $400,000
3,500 $350,000
Number of Transactions
3,000 $300,000
2,000 $200,000
1,500 $150,000
1,000 $100,000
500 $50,000
- $-
Q4-2022 Q1-2023 Q2-2023 Q3-2023 Q4-2023 Q1-2024 Q2-2024 Q3-2024
Middle Market 480 473 368 288 295 280 296 300
$250 - $500mm 35 29 20 25 34 29 31 32
$500mm - $1B 27 14 21 20 32 17 24 27
Trans Value > $1B 34 38 40 37 43 51 38 55
Undisclosed 3,025 3,055 2,564 2,281 2,335 2,410 2,573 2,552
Total Transaction Value $212,408 $204,705 $184,998 $221,305 $371,008 $258,060 $208,002 $266,918
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
U.S. Lower Middle Market Annual M&A Activity – Transactions Below $250mm
3,000 $140,000
$120,000
2,500
$100,000
2,000
$80,000
1,500
$60,000
1,000
$40,000
500
$20,000
- $-
2020 2021 2022 2023 YTD Sep-23 YTD Sep-24
$0 - 25mm 1,429 1,570 1,103 815 662 506
$25 - 50mm 325 412 293 205 161 113
$50 - 100mm 223 396 254 197 154 108
$100 - 250mm 286 410 268 207 152 149
Total Transaction Value $84,497 $122,729 $81,570 $61,050 $45,925 $40,149
U.S. Lower Middle Market M&A Quarterly Activity – Transactions Below $250mm
600 $25,000
500
$20,000
400
$15,000
300
$10,000
200
$5,000
100
- $-
Q4-2022 Q1-2023 Q2-2023 Q3-2023 Q4-2023 Q1-2024 Q2-2024 Q3-2024
$0 - 25mm 289 268 225 169 153 165 176 165
$25 - 50mm 67 73 52 36 44 29 48 36
$50 - 100mm 58 68 48 38 43 44 30 34
$100 - 250mm 66 64 43 45 55 42 42 65
Total Transaction Value $19,284 $19,510 $14,166 $12,249 $15,125 $12,400 $12,329 $15,421
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
U.S. Middle Market M&A Transactions Valuation Multiples
60.0x
50.0x
9.2x
10.2x 9.6x
9.9x
10.4x
40.0x 9.6x
8.3x 9.4x
8.7x
8.3x
30.0x 9.1x
9.6x 8.3x 9.0x
8.4x
20.0x 9.1x
8.1x 8.6x 8.7x
7.5x
7.7x 8.6x
10.0x 6.3x 7.6x 7.6x
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
U.S. Middle Market Private Equity Sponsor Activity
9,967
9,073
7,676
6,446
6,131 6,379 6,375
5,277
4,748
4,382 4,604
3,674 3,404
3,147
2,787
$577.9
$1,218.7
$279.1
$311.2
$370.0
$384.6
$484.0
$531.4
$462.2
$575.6
$662.7
$583.3
$947.6
$643.7
$700.6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Deal value ($B) Deal count Total Deal count
1,904 1,422
1,444
1,300 1,335 1,278 1,341 1,335 1,281
1,223
1,066 1,027 1,034
873
806
$250.1
$218.1
$281.0
$271.6
$311.3
$380.7
$346.3
$320.7
$361.5
$294.4
$426.0
$836.2
$295.3
$385.2
$174.7
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Exit value ($B) Exit count Estimated total exit count
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
Multiples on BSL-Funded Deals
11.5x 11.9x
11.4x 11.4x 11.2x
10.6x 10.6x 10.8x
10.3x 10.0x
9.7x
5.7x 5.6x 5.4x 5.7x 5.8x 5.8x 5.7x 5.8x 5.9x 4.8x 5.1x
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
$1,200
2023
$1,038.1
2022
$1,000 $914.5
2021
$897.4
$834.9 2020
$772.3 2019
$800
2018
$656.6
$596.6 2017
$600 2016
$474.4
$427.3
$400 $356.1
Overhang by
vintage
Cumulative
overhang
$200
$0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
Leverage Market at a Glance
SPP Capital Partners
www.sppcapital.com
Total Debt/EBITDA
< $5.0MM EBITDA > $10MM EBITDA > $40MM EBITDA
September 2024 2.50x – 4.00x 3.50x – 5.50x 5.00x - 6.00x
August 2024 2.50x - 4.00x 3.50x - 5.50x 5.00x - 6.00x
September 2023 2.50x - 3.50x 3.50x - 4.50x 4.00x - 5.00x
Commentary: Liquidity Conditions In Private Market Remain Strong – Investors Under Deployed and Eager to Attract
Assets
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
SPP Capital Partners - Middle Market Investment Banking and Asset Management Home
Historical Senior Debt Cash Flow Limit (x EBITDA) Historical Total Debt Limit (x EBITDA)
7.00x
8.00x
6.00x
7.00x
5.00x 6.00x
4.00x 5.00x
3.00x 4.00x
3.00x
2.00x
2.00x
1.00x
1.00x
0.00x 0.00x
Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE” Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE”
Historical Senior Cash Flow Pricing (Bank) Historical Senior Cash Flow Pricing (Non-Bank)
7.0% 10.0%
6.0% 8.0%
5.0%
6.0%
4.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0% 2.0%
1.0% 0.0%
0.0%
Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE” Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE”
12.0%
9.0%
9.0%
6.0%
6.0%
3.0%
3.0%
0.0% 0.0%
< $5.0MM EBITDA > $10MM EBITDA > $40MM EBITDA < $5.0MM EBITDA >$10MM EBITDA > $40MM EBITDA
Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE” Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE”
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
SPP Capital Partners - Middle Market Investment Banking and Asset Management Home
12.0% 60.0%
10.0% 50.0%
8.0% 40.0%
6.0% 30.0%
4.0% 20.0%
2.0% 10.0%
0.0% 0.0%
< $7.5MM EBITDA > $10MM EBITDA > $40MM EBITDA Lower Bound Upper Bound Minimum New Cash Equity
Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE” Source: SPP’s “MIDDLE MARKET LEVERAGE CASH FLOW MARKET AT A GLANCE”
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Mergers & Acquisitions Update
Source: SPP Capital Partners – “Capital Market Update September 2024”
SPP Capital Partners - Middle Market Investment Banking and Asset Management Home
A wholly-owned subsidiary of
The undersigned served as exclusive financial The undersigned served as exclusive financial
advisor to the seller in this transaction advisor to the seller in this transaction
Raise Capital
• Equity (control and non-control)
• Mezzanine financing
• Senior and junior debt
• Typically raise debt & equity capital from commercial banks, finance companies, investment funds and private
equity sponsors
Broker/Dealer services offered through Mufson Howe Hunter & Partners LLC, Member SIPC | FINRA
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