Control Charts Review
Control Charts Review
“BASICS”
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What is a control chart and
why bother?
• Was created by Walter Shewhart (1891 – 1967), also known as I Chart of Cycle Time
the Shewhart chart 16
UCL=14.46
Individual Value
actions should take place 8
_
X=6.30
purpose LCL=-1.86
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15
• Will appear similar to a run chart however with the addition of Observation
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Control Charts at a glance
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
• The best tool for identifying special and common • Needs additional calculation of upper and lower control
limits if Minitab or MS Excel spreadsheet is not being used
cause variation, along with process stability for the – this can take some time
past 80+ years
• Reasonable amount of coaching is required to determine
• By separating special and common cause variation, appropriate control chart to use, and then how to interpret
they can reduce tampering to a system which often results appropriately
leads to greater variation, not less
• Sometimes a run chart will suffice
• Can be used to view performance over time as well • Appropriate subgrouping strategies need to be considered
as on a subgroup basis (comparing people, when creating the chart
products, regions etc.)
• Does not contain specification limits
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What will be covered in this
presentation?
HP Lean Six Sigma
o Where the calculations for control limits come from
o The decision tree for selecting the right control chart
o Attribute & Continuous data and why it’s important
o Practical application of I/X charts
o Practical application of P charts
o Creation of these charts using both Minitab and MS Excel SPC workbook
o Brief review of ‘special’ cause vs ‘common’ cause variation and why it’s important to know
the difference
o The rules for identifying special causes
o When to revise control limits
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Anyone for math?
Shewhart called the control limits "three-sigma" control limits and gave a general
formula to calculate the limits for any statistic. I Chart of Cycle Time
16
UCL=14.46
Individual Value
the centerline: CL = us
8
_
X=6.30
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15
Observation
Xbar and R chart σ - Rbar / d2 Average of within subgroup ranges divided by bias correction factor
Xbar and S Chart Weighted Average of within subgroup standard deviations divided by
σ - Sbar/ c4
bias correction factor Aren’t you glad we’ve
P chart ___________ From binomial distribution: square root of center line = average percent got tools to calculate
σ-
√ pbar*(100–pbar)
_____________
defective
these for us
√n
C chart ____ From Poisson distribution: square root of center line – average number
σ - √ cbar of defects
U chart ___ __ From Poisson distribution: square root of center line – average rate
σ - √ ubar ) ∕ √ n
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The Decision Tree of Control Charts
Choosing the right control chart >> revised
decision tree TYPE OF DATA
Incidences or Defectives or
subgroup size
nonconformities non conforming units
If rare data (centralised and
>> 1000
complaints centre
Average &
Number of Incidences Number of Percent Individual Average &
standard
incidences per unit defectives defective measurement range
deviation
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Two basic types of data
Noting the presence or absence of some characteristic or attribute in each
of the units in the group under consideration, and counting how many units
do (or do not) possess the quality attribute, or how many such events occur
Attribute in the unit, group, or area. Essentially, a category measure.
Data
Note: The type of data determines the type of control chart used to record and
analyze the data
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Two Types of Attribute Data
10
Types of Data
Classification-Count-Continuous
12
Labor Strikes
•Number of labor strikes in Paris Count Or Continuous?
•Percent of people striking Classification
•Number of days on strike Continuous
13
Rational Sub-grouping Strategy
• Organize data within subgroups in a way that is likely to give the greatest chance for the
data in each subgroup to be alike and greatest chance for data between subgroups to be
different
• The aim is to include only common causes of variation within a subgroup with special
causes of variation occurring between subgroups
• Usually best to see data over time
If you have a batch processing process that results in the same performance for each process in a batch,
do not treat this as a subgroup – failure to do this will result in misleading control limits as there is no
variation within the subgroup. Treat each batch as one measurement/data point
Learning Objective:
– “Obviously, the ultimate object is not only to detect trouble but also to find it, and such discovery naturally
involves classification. The engineer who is successful in dividing his data into rational subgroups based
on upon rational hypotheses is therefore inherently better off in the long run than the one who is not thus
successful” Dr. Shewhart, 1931
Types of Control Charts – The X Chart
X Chart
Control Chart for Individual
Measurements
• The control chart for individual data is useful when:
– There is no rational way to organize the data into
subgroups
– Measures of performance of the process can only be
obtained infrequently
– The variation at any one time (within a subgroup) is
insignificant relative to the between subgroup variation
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
• An extension of the familiar run chart • Since there is only one measurement in each
“subgroup,” there is no opportunity to focus on
• No calculations are required when plotting different sources of variation through
a data point subgrouping
• Plotting is done each time a measurement is • Large amounts of data (100 + data points) will
made, providing fast feedback produce a chart that’s hard to analyse
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Practical application of an
Individual Control Chart
Scenario
• GB/BB needs to identify special and common cause variation for:
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Example: X Chart
A process change took place in November 10 – special cause variation has taken place giving us a high degree of
belief that our change has resulted in an improvement!
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Continuous Subgroup Control Charts
X-bar and R/S Charts
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
• Where volumes are high, an X chart is not • Large volumes within a subgroup can cause very
as beneficial as a X-bar R or X-bar S narrow limits and in these cases an X chart must
be employed instead
• The common approach at HP is to group
data in weeks, months, quarters etc.
anyway
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Examples:
X-bar and R/S Control Charts
Scenario
Grouping any of the continuous types of data based on:
• Hour
• Day
• Week
• Month
• Batch deployment
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Example: X bar S Chart
The X bar S puts us in a good position to do analysis on trends – in this case, it’s TAT from 1 week to
the next. We can see some special cause variation which may lead to a new or increased
understanding of the system/process
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Types of Control Charts – The P Chart
25-15
Attribute Control Charts (C, U, NP & P)
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
• Can relate to one of the more common • Calculations of control limits are more complex if
metrics used within HP: a % that Minitab or MS Excel SPC not being used
meets/does not meet a set target, therefore
• As subgroup size increases the variation
data is normally readily available
between values generally decreases which can
result in very narrow control limits. For
subgroup sizes of 1000+ an X chart should be
substituted for a P chart
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Types of Attribute Control Charts
Type of
Statistic Subgroup
Chart Name Attribute
Charted size
Data
Number of
NP Chart Classification nonconforming Constant
units
% of
P Chart Classification nonconforming May vary
units
Number of
C Chart Count Constant
incidences
Incidences per
U Chart Count May vary
unit
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Practical application of a
Attribute Control Chart
Scenario
• GB/BB needs to identify special and common cause variation for:
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Example:
Attribute Control Charts (C, U, NP & P)
A process change took place in August – the special cause variation has given us a high
degree of belief that our change has resulted in an improvement!
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Control Charts
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Control Charts
To create in Minitab…..
Simple: Determine which chart is required using Minitab Assistant
Control charts or other methods>Stat>Control Chart
http://enhanced1.sharepoint.hp.com/teams/edw_bi/GBIorgs/PlatformArchitect
ure/minitab/default.aspx
Minitab defaults to select only special cause rule #1 = any data point outside the control limits. To change
this go to Options>Tests. We recommend you use the rules listed in this slide deck
Please note that Minitab requires data to be sorted in order of subgroups if you’re
using a subgroup based control chart
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Common vs Special Causes
Common Special
• Those causes inherent in the process over • Those causes not part of the process all the time
time, affect everyone working in the process, or do not affect everyone, but arise because of
and affect all outcomes of the process specific circumstances
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How to get started
Under 12
data points?
Use a run chart
Develop appropriate
control chart
Is process
Stable? Common
Causes only?
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Using the concepts of variation to guide
improvement
Matching Action to Variation
Select a process measure or
quality characteristic Type of Action
Look for What Take action Study all the Make changes
was different based on the data to the process
between reported
individual difference
points
Common Cause
of the system
Type of Variation
Gain useful Reduce Lose time in Loss of
information variation responding to productivity,
the problem may increase
Special Cause
variation
Is process
stable
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Balancing the Mistakes Made in Attempts to
Improve
ACTUAL SITUATION
The above table explains the foundation for the value of the control chart – it states that
if we action and address each individual data point in isolation however it is part of common
cause variation we are very likely to increase our performance variation which can result in
unnecessary costs to the organization. The same result can occur if we treat special causes with
a common cause, system based solution.
Studies show that the vast majority of variation is due to common cause variation, leading us to
understand that systemic changes rather than specific, case based solutions are more likely to
help us achieve our targets.
Evaluating processes
Stable Unstable
Process Process
Ideal State
Incapable
No special causes exist, but Special causes exist and the
the process does not meet process does not meet
Unacceptable
customer expectations customer specifications
to the customer
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Rules for Determining a Special Cause
Minitab allows you to select the rules you want to test for which will be identified with a red mark. In ‘I
Chart Options’ go to the ‘Test’ tab and tick the appropriate rules.
Different industries can apply different special cause rules – the above rules are universally accepted at
HP.
Guidelines for Applying the Special Cause
Rules
A point exactly on a limit is not considered outside the limit (rule #1)
A point exactly on the centerline does not cancel or count towards a run (the run in rule # 2 is also commonly
called a shift)
Ties between two consecutive points do not cancel or add to a trend (rule #3)
When control charts have varying limits (due to varying numbers of measurements within subgroups) rule #3 is
not appropriate
When there is not a lower or upper limit on one side of the center line (for example, on a range chart with less
than seven measures in a subgroup or on a P-chart with 100% as a possible result for the process), rules #1 and
#4 do not apply to the side missing the limit
When do we revise control limits?
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QUESTIONS?
This doesn’t look right – we have ‘grouped’ data points and very narrow control limits which means little analysis can be
gained from the chart. The results suggest 2 things:
a. We have a batch process
b. There is either no or very little variation within the batches
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Example: What’s happened here?
Individual Control Chart Solution
Summarising the batch into 1 data point and using an individuals X chart enables much easier analysis of the process to
look for special and common cause variation.
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Example: What’s happened here?
Individual Control Chart
There’s too many observations here to make any analysis worthwhile. In cases where data can be grouped based on
time, use a subgrouping chart.
The control chart is still valuable as we can determine how many points sit outside the 3 sigma limits – this can be
valuable information when it comes to analysis
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Example: What’s happened here?
Individual Control Chart solution
Xbar Chart of E2E TAT
20
15
Sample Mean Hours
10 UCL=9.93
_
_
X=7.51
5 LCL=5.10
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Week #'s starting from September
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes
Changing the subgroups to each week makes turns the control chart into a valuable analysis tool.
Here we’re trying to see whether there’s any special cause variation from week to week, an assumption that we had
going in. We do see special cause variation at week 8 therefore time can be invested into determining why the average
TAT’s were much worse that week. Assigning the special cause then increases our understanding of the system.
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Example: What’s happened here?
Subgroup Control Chart
Xbar-S Chart of Workday Tat
1
12 1
Sample Mean
10
1
8 1 1
1 1
1 _
UCL=6.86
_
6 X=6.02
LCL=5.17
1 1 1
4 1 1
1 1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
10 1 1
1 1
8
Sample StDev
1
6 1 1 _
UCL=5.762
S=5.163
1 1 LCL=4.565
4 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1
1
2 1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
Very narrow control limits make the chart virtually useless for analysis. Seeing as we’re already working with subgroups,
the most likely reason for these narrow control limits is a very large sample size – in these cases the best option is to
change the chart to an individuals chart.
Remember to refer to your revised control chart decision tree – when the subgroup size reaches 1000 the best option is
an X chart.
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Example: What’s happened here?
Subgroup Control Chart solution
I Chart of Mean by Change
Before After
14
1
12 1
Individual Value
10
6 UCL=5.95
_
X=4.40
4
LCL=2.85
2
09 09 10 1 0 10 10 1 0 10 10 10 1 0 10 10 1 0 11 11 11 1 1 11 11 1 1 11 11
o v- e c- an- b- a r- pr- ay - n- ul- g- p- ct- o v- e c - an- b- ar- pr- ay- n- ul- g- p-
N D J Fe M A M Ju J Au Se O N D J Fe M A M Ju J Au Se
Month
By using an X Chart instead we were in a much better position to assess the special cause variation due to a process
change, and increase our degree of belief a change has taken place.
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