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Choosing the Right Statistic
June Rey S. Sulatra, Ph.D.
• One of the most difficult (and potentially fear-inducing) parts of the research process for most research students is choosing the correct statistical technique to analyse their data. • Although most statistics courses teach you how to calculate a correlation coefficient or perform a t-test, they typically do not spend much time helping students learn how to choose which approach is appropriate to address particular research questions. • In most research projects it is likely that you will use quite a variety of different types of statistics, depending on the question you are addressing and the nature of the data that you have. • It is therefore important that you have at least a basic understanding of the different statistical tools, the type of questions they address and their underlying assumptions and requirements. Exploring Relationships Often in survey research you will not be interested in differences between groups, but instead in the strength of the relationship between variables. There are a number of different techniques that you can use. Exploring Relationships Pearson Correlation or Spearman Correlation Pearson correlation or Spearman correlation is used when you want to explore the strength of the relationship between two continuous variables. This gives you an indication of both the direction (positive or negative) and the strength of the relationship. A positive correlation indicates that as one variable increases, so does the other. A negative correlation indicates that as one variable increases, the other decreases. Exploring Relationships Partial Correlation Partial correlation is an extension of Pearson correlation—it allows you to control for the possible effects of another confounding variable. Partial correlation ‘removes’ the effect of the confounding variable (e.g. socially desirable responding), allowing you to get a more accurate picture of the relationship between your two variables of interest. Exploring Relationships Multiple Regression Multiple regression is a more sophisticated extension of correlation and is used when you want to explore the predictive ability of a set of independent variables on one continuous dependent measure. Different types of multiple regression allow you to compare the predictive ability of particular independent variables and to find the best set of variables to predict a dependent variable. Exploring Relationships Factor analysis Factor analysis allows you to condense a large set of variables or scale items down to a smaller, more manageable number of dimensions or factors. It does this by summarizing the underlying patterns of correlation and looking for ‘clumps’ or groups of closely related items. This technique is often used when developing scales and measures, to identify the underlying structure. Exploring Differences between Groups There is another family of statistics that can be used when you want to find out whether there is a statistically significant difference among a number of groups. The parametric versions of these tests, which are suitable when you have interval-scaled data with normal distribution of scores, along with the nonparametric alternative. Exploring Differences between Groups T-tests • T-tests are used when you have two groups (e.g. males and females) or two sets of data (before and after), and you wish to compare the mean score on some continuous variable. • Paired sample t-tests (also called repeated measures) are used when you are interested in changes in scores for participants tested at Time 1, and then again at Time 2 (often after some intervention or event). The samples are ‘related’ because they are the same people tested each time. Exploring Differences between Groups T-tests • Independent sample t-tests are used when you have two different (independent) groups of people (males and females), and you are interested in comparing their scores. In this case, you collect information on only one occasion but from two different sets of people. • The non-parametric alternatives, Mann-Whitney U Test and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test Exploring Differences between Groups One-way Analysis of Variance One-way analysis of variance is similar to a t-test, but is used when you have more than two groups and you wish to compare their mean scores on a continuous variable. It is called one-way because you are looking at the impact of only one independent variable on your dependent variable. A one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) will let you know whether your groups differ, but it won’t tell you where the significant difference is (gp1/gp3, gp2/gp3 etc.). Exploring Differences between Groups One-way Analysis of Variance • You can conduct post-hoc comparisons to find out which groups are significantly different from one another. You could also choose to test differences between specific groups, rather than comparing all the groups, by using planned comparisons. • Similar to t-tests, there are two types of one-way ANOVAs: repeated measures ANOVA (same people on more than two occasions), and between-groups (or independent samples) ANOVA, where you are comparing the mean scores of two or more different groups of people. • The non-parametric alternatives are Kruskal-Wallis Test and Friedman Test. Exploring Differences between Groups Two-way Analysis of Variance Two-way analysis of variance allows you to test the impact of two independent variables on one dependent variable. The advantage of using a two-way ANOVA is that it allows you to test for an interaction effect—that is, when the effect of one independent variable is influenced by another; for example, when you suspect that optimism increases with age, but only for males. Exploring Differences between Groups Two-way Analysis of Variance It also tests for ‘main effects’—that is, the overall effect of each independent variable (e.g. sex, age). There are two different two-way ANOVAs: between-groups ANOVA (when the groups are different) and repeated measures ANOVA (when the same people are tested on more than one occasion). Some research designs combine both between-groups and repeated measures in the one study. These are referred to as ‘Mixed Between-Within Designs’, or ‘Split Plot’. Exploring Differences between Groups Multivariate Analysis of Variance Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) is used when you want to compare your groups on a number of different, but related, dependent variables; for example, comparing the effects of different treatments on a variety of outcome measures (e.g. anxiety, depression). Multivariate ANOVA can be used with one- way, two-way and higher factorial designs involving one, two or more independent variables. Exploring Differences between Groups Analysis of Covariance Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) is used when you want to statistically control for the possible effects of an additional confounding variable (covariate). This is useful when you suspect that your groups differ on some variable that may influence the effect that your independent variables have on your dependent variable. To be sure that it is the independent variable that is doing the influencing, ANCOVA statistically removes the effect of the covariate. Analysis of covariance can be used as part of a one-way, two-way or multivariate design.