Capitall Budgeting Unit 2
Capitall Budgeting Unit 2
Unit – 2
Capital Budgeting Decisions
ADITYA SHARMA
Assistant Professor,(Senior Grade)
ABES BUSINESS SCHOOL
E-mail: [email protected]
Capital Budgeting
An Investment Decision Method
Presented by
Aditya Sharma
2 3/15/2016
Capital Budgeting: Project Categorization
4
Features of Investment Decisions
• The exchange of current funds for future benefits.
• The funds are invested in long-term assets.
• The future benefits will occur to the firm over a series
of years.
5
Types of Investment Decisions
• One classification is as follows:
– Expansion of existing business
– Expansion of new business
– Replacement and modernisation
• Yet another useful way to classify
investments is as follows:
– Mutually exclusive investments
– Independent investments
– Contingent investments
6
Investment Evaluation Criteria
• Three steps are involved in the evaluation
of an investment:
– Estimation of cash flows
– Estimation of the required rate of return (the
opportunity cost of capital)
– Application of a decision rule for making the choice
7
Investment Decision Rule
• It should maximise the shareholders’ wealth.
• It should consider all cash flows to determine the true profitability of the
project.
• It should provide for an objective and unambiguous way of separating good
projects from bad projects.
• It should help ranking of projects according to their true profitability.
• It should recognise the fact that bigger cash flows are preferable to smaller
ones and early cash flows are preferable to later ones.
• It should help to choose among mutually exclusive projects that project
which maximises the shareholders’ wealth.
• It should be a criterion which is applicable to any conceivable investment
project independent of others.
8
Importance of Capital Budgeting
⦿Growth
⦿Large Amount
⦿Irreversibility
⦿Complexity
⦿Risk
⦿Long term implications
Benefits of Capital Budgeting Decision:
Capital Budgeting decisions evaluate a proposed project to forecast return from the project
and determine whether return from the Project is adequate.
Capital Budgeting decisions evaluate expenditure decisions which involve current outflow
of funds but9are likely to produce benefits over a3/15/2016
period of time more than one year.
Broad Prospective
10 3/15/2016
Fourth Important Step of capital budgeting:
carry out Financial Analysis
Evaluation Criteria
Non-Discounting Discounting
Criteria criteria
11 3/15/2016
CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
Non-DCF DCF
13 3/15/2016
Formula for Calculating Payback period
Initial Investment C
Payback = = 0
Annual Cash Inflow C
• Assume that a project requires an outlay of Rs 50,000 and yields annual cash
inflow of Rs 12,500 for 7 years. The payback period for the project is: Rs. 50000
• PB = ----------------------- = 4 years
Rs. 12500
18
Example : Payback Period Method
• Calculate the payback period of an investment proposal,
requires an initial cash outlay of Rs. 350000/- and it generates
cash inflow of Rs. 50000 every years for next 10 years.
Initial Investment C
Payback = = 0
Annual Cash Inflow C
Rs. 350000
• Payback =---------------- = 7 years
Rs. 50000
19
ABES Business School
(MBA) Academic Year - 2022-23
Rs.30,000
--------------= 3 Years
10,000
Calculate the payback period from the following
information: Cash outlay Rs. 50,000 and cash inflow Rs.
12,500
Investment
PBP = -----------------
Cash Flow
50,000
------------= 4 years
12,500
ABES Business School
(MBA) Academic Year - 2022-23
25
ABES Business School
(MBA) Academic Year - 2022-23
1 5000 5000
2 8000 13,000
3 (E) 10000 23000 Balance 25,000-23000 = 2000
4 12000 Cash Flow 35000 In this year Investment covered
5 7000 42000
6 3000 45000
The above calculation shows that in 3 years Rs. 23,000 has been recovered Rs. 2,000, is
balance out of cash outflow. In the 4th year the cash inflow is Rs. 12,000. It means the
pay-back period is three to four years, calculated as follows
31
Merits and Demerits of Payback Period
Method
• Certain virtues:
– Simplicity
– Cost effective
– Short-term effects
– Risk shield
– Liquidity
• Serious limitations:
– Cash flows after payback
– Cash flows ignored
– Cash flow patterns
– Administrative difficulties
– Inconsistent with shareholder value
32
2. Accounting Rate of Return Method
• Accounting rate of return is a capital budgeting metric
that's useful if you want to calculate an investment's
profitability quickly.
• Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) is the average net
income an asset is expected to generate divided by its
average capital cost, expressed as an annual percentage.
33
Accounting Rate of Return Method
• The accounting rate of return is the ratio of the average after-tax profit
divided by the average investment. The average investment would be
equal to half of the original investment if it were depreciated
constantly.
Average income
ARR =
Average Investment
Where:
• Average Income = Total profit over Investment Period / Number of
Years
• Average Investment = (Book Value at Year 1 + Book Value at End of
34 Useful Life) / 2
ARR – Numerical Problem 1
• XYZ Company is looking to invest in some new machinery to replace its current
malfunctioning one. The new machine, which costs Rs. 420,000, would increase
annual revenue by Rs. 200,000 and annual expenses by Rs. 50,000. The machine is
estimated to have a useful life of 12 years and zero salvage value.
Step 1: Calculate Average Annual Profit
Inflows, = Cash inflows – expenses
= 2,00,000 – 50,000 = 1,50,000
Accounting profit = Cash flow – depreciation
1,50,000- 35000= 1,15,000
Depreciation = (4,20,000/12) = Rs. 35000 per year
Step 2: Calculate Average Investment
Average Investment = (Rs. 420,000 + Rs. 0)/2 = Rs. 210,000
Average income
Step 3: Use ARR Formula ARR = = Rs.115,000/Rs.210,000 =.5476
Average investment
20 = 54.76%
ARR – Numerical Problem 1
• XYZ Company is looking to invest in some new machinery to replace its current
malfunctioning one. The new machine, which costs Rs. 420,000, would increase
annual revenue by Rs. 200,000 and annual expenses by Rs. 50,000. The machine is
estimated to have a useful life of 12 years and zero salvage value.
.0
ARR – Numerical Problem 2
• Company is willing to purchase a new machine for Rs. 1,50,000. The usable life of the
machine is 10 years, at the end of its usable life the machine can be sold for Rs. 50000/-.
The machine will provide an additional profit of Rs. 80000 every year. Annual expenses
on operating the machine is Rs. 30,000. calculate ARR of the investment in machine.
Step 1: Calculate Average Annual Profit
Inflows, Years = (80,000 – 30,000 =50000 Income – expenses
Accounting profit = 50,000- 10000 Cash flow – depreciation
1,50,000
Less: Depreciation
(100,000-25,000) = -75,000
Total Profit = 75,000
Average Annual Profit = (75,000/5) = 1 5 ,000
Step 2: Calculate Average Investment
Average Investment = (100,000 + 25,000) / 2 = 62,500
Step 3: Use ARR Formula Average income
ARR =
Average investment
ARR = 15,000/62,500 =
40
Acceptance Rule
• This method will accept all those projects whose ARR is higher than
the minimum rate established by the management and reject those
projects which have ARR less than the minimum rate.
• This method would rank a project as number one if it has highest
ARR and lowest rank would be assigned to the project with lowest
ARR.
41
Merits and Demerits of ARR Method
• The ARR method may claim some merits
– Simplicity
– Accounting data
– Accounting profitability
• Serious shortcoming
– Cash flows ignored
– Time value ignored
– Arbitrary cut-off
42
The machine cost Rs. 50,000 and has scrap
value of Rs. 10,000 after 5 years. The net
profits before depreciation and taxes for the
five years period are to be projected that Rs.
20,000, Rs. 24,000, Rs. 30,000, Rs. 26,000 and
Rs. 22,000. Taxes are 50%. Calculate pay-back
period and accounting rate of return.
Concepts
Depreciation is a non cash expenses :- it will decide that given profit is cash flow or Earnings
Focus area
(1) Method :-
1 1,00,000 1,00,000
2 1,00,000 1,25,000
3 1,00,000 1,30,000
4 1,00,000 1,50,000
5 1,00,000 90,000
49
Qno-1 :- ABC Ltd is planning to change its old machine . They have two option Machine A
and Machine B . Both the machine has same cost of Rs. 5,00,000 with useful life of 5 Years .
Estimated scrap value 50,000 ( Residual value ) . Cost of Capital is 10% . Cash flow of the
Machine A and Machine B are as follows
Year Cash Flow Cash Flow
Machine A Machine B
1 1,00,000 1,00,000
2 1,00,000 1,25,000
3 1,00,000 1,30,000
4 1,00,000 1,50,000
5 1,00,000 90,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
Machine Purchased 1st year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year
Rs .5,00,000 1,00,000 1,25,000 1,30,000 1,50,000 90,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
52
Concept on NPV Method
Machine Purchased 1st year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year
Rs .5,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
1,00,000 100000 1,00,000 100000 1,00,000
PV = ---------------- ------------------ ----------------- ----------------- -----------------
( 1+ .10) 1 ( 1+ .10) 2 ( 1+ .10) 3 ( 1+ .10) 4 ( 1+ .10) 5
= 3.79,177.41
53
Concept on NPV Method
Machine Purchased 1st year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year
Rs .5,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
1,00,000 100000 1,00,000 100000 1,00,000
PV = ---------------- ------------------ ----------------- ----------------- -----------------
( 1+ .10) 1 ( 1+ .10) 2 ( 1+ .10) 3 ( 1+ .10) 4 ( 1+ .10) 5
OR
=1,00,000 x PV(10%,1) + 1,00,000 x PV(10%,2) + 1,00,000 x PV(10%,3) + 1,00,000 x PV(10%,4) + 1,00,000 x PV(10%,5)
= 1,00,000 X .9.90 + 1,00,000 X .826 + 1,00,000 X .751 + 1,00,000 X .683 + 1,00,000 X .621
54
= 3.79,177.41
Concept on NPV Method
Machine Purchased 1st year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year
Rs .5,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000 1,00,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
NPV = Present Value of Cash Inflow+ PV of Scrap Value – Present Value of Outflow
Annuity Value X PVAF (10,5) + PV pf Scrap (10,5) - 5,00,000
1,00,000 X 3.791 + 25,000 x .621 - 5,00,000
3,79.000 + 15525
3,94,525 - 5,00,000
105475
56
Concept on NPV Method
Machine Purchased 1st year 2nd Year 3rd Year 4th Year 5th Year
Rs .5,00,000 1,00,000 1,25,000 1,30,000 1,50,000 90,000
Scrap Value
(Rs. 25,000
60
NPV
Calculation of Present Value of Machine
62
NPV
Ex. 5: NPV for Project X
Year Cash Inflow PV Factor Present Value
1 30000 .909 27270
2 20000 .826 16520
3 10000 .751 7510
NPV =
51300 – 20000 = 31300
NPV for Project Y
Year Cash Inflow PV Factor Present Value
1 10000 .909 9090
2 20000 .826 16520
3 30000 .751 22530
NPV = 48140 – 20000 = 28140
Project “X” is having higher NPV; hence it should be preferred.
63
64
Acceptance Rule
• Accept the project when NPV is positive NPV > 0
• Reject the project when NPV is negative NPV < 0
• May accept the project when NPV is zero NPV = 0
• The NPV method can be used to select between mutually
exclusive projects; the one with the higher NPV should be
selected.
65
Merits and Demerits of NPV Method
• NPV is most acceptable investment rule for
the following reasons:
– Time value
– Measure of true profitability
– Value-additivity
– Shareholder value
• Limitations:
– Involved cash flow estimation
– Discount rate difficult to determine
– Mutually exclusive projects
– Ranking of projects
66
Profitability Index
• Profitability index is the ratio of the present
value of cash inflows, at the required rate
of return, to the initial cash outflow of the
investment.
67
Profitability Index
• The initial cash outlay of a project is Rs 100,000 and it can
generate cash inflow of Rs 40,000, Rs 30,000, Rs 50,000 and
Rs 20,000 in year 1 through 4. Assume a 10 per cent rate of
discount. The PV of cash inflows at 10 per cent discount rate
is:
PV = Rs 40,000(PVF 1, 0.10) + Rs 30,000(PVF 2, 0.10) + Rs 50,000(PVF 3, 0.10) + Rs 20,000(PVF 4, 0.10)
= Rs 40,000 0.909 + Rs 30,000 0.826 + Rs 50,000 0.751 + Rs 20,000 0.68
NPV = Rs 112,350 − Rs 100,000 = Rs12,350
Rs 1,12,350
PI = =1.1235 .
Rs 1,00,000
46
Acceptance Rule
• The following are the PI acceptance rules:
– Accept the project when PI is greater than one. PI > 1
– Reject the project when PI is less than one. PI < 1
– May accept the project when PI is equal to one. PI = 1
• The project with positive NPV will have PI greater than one.
• PI less than means that the project’s NPV is negative.
69
Merits and Demerits of PI Method
• It recognises the time value of money.
• It is consistent with the shareholder value maximisation principle.
A project with PI greater than one will have positive NPV and if
accepted, it will increase shareholders’ wealth.
• In the PI method, since the present value of cash inflows is
divided by the initial cash outflow, it is a relative measure of a
project’s profitability.
• Like NPV method, PI criterion also requires calculation of cash
flows and estimate of the discount rate. In practice, estimation of
cash flows and discount rate pose problems.
70