Runoff Estimation by Rational Method and Linear Regression Method
Runoff Estimation by Rational Method and Linear Regression Method
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Example
Given below are the monthly rainfall P and the corresponding runoff R values
covering a period of 8 months for a catchment, Develop a correlation
equation between rainfall and runoff? Do they have strong correlation?
month P R
1 6 0.5
R=aP+b
2 40 10
3 42 14
4 33 8.2
N ( P R ) − (P )(R )
5 15 3.1 a =
6 12 3.8 (
N P 2 − ( P )) 2
7 5 0.2 R − a P
b =
8 28 9 N
N ( P R ) − ( P ) ( R )
r =
N
( p ) N ( R ) − ( R )
2 2
−
2
p
2
2
Rational Method
➢ This is common method to determine peak discharge for small
catchments (< 50 hectares)
➢ It is assumes that maximum flow occurs under a rainfall which lasts
for at least time which equals the Time of Concentration (ToC)
➢ The formula is given as:
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➢ Factors affecting ToC
𝐃𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
✓Slope 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐲 =
𝐓𝐜
= 𝐈𝐃𝐅 𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐯𝐞
Qp=CiA
✓Rainfall intensity
✓Size and shape of the drainage area
✓Surface condition of the catchment
✓Existence of channel, depressions, obstructions,…
➢ ToC can be estimated empirically
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Limitations of Rational Formula
▪ Applies for small catchments
▪ RF duration should be more than the time of concentration
▪ It gives the peak of the hydrograph but does not provide the
complete hydrograph
▪ Coefficient C is assumed to be same for all storms which means the
losses are constant for all storms.
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Example : An engineer is required to design a drainage system for an airport with an
area of 2.5 km2.The rainfall intensity in that region is given by:
35
I =
(t + 10)0.38
Where I is intensity in cm/h and t is duration(time of concentration) in minutes.
If the concentration time for the area is estimated as 50 minutes,
what is discharge that must be used to design the system?
Solution: Concentration time tc = 50 min
➢ Intensity of rainfall for this duration =
35 35 35
I= = = = 7.384 cm / h
(t + 10)0.38 60 0.38
4.74
Since the airport is fully paved, it may be considered impervious and the runoff coefficient
C may be taken as unity.
➢ Therefore