Chart Patterns For Forex Beginners
Chart Patterns For Forex Beginners
Beginners
Reversal and Continuation Patterns
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I: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................. 4
XI: RECTANGLES................................................................................................................................. 21
XII: CONCLUSIONS.............................................................................................................................. 22
The patterns exhibit the psychology and momentum of the market. No matter
which type of traders you are, it is always helpful to be aware of the patterns.
Using the patterns is not a stand-alone method of trading the market, in fact, it is
better to be used in conjunction with other tools like trend lines and technical
indicators. Beginners might first find it difficult to identify the patterns. They can
familiarize themselves with the patterns through studying historical charts and
examples.
A Trend Must Exist - A trend must exist before a reversal of the trend. There
can be no reversal if a trend does not exist in the first place. A reversal pattern
that follows a large trend will have much more movement to retrace, and so the
strength of the move after the reversal pattern will likely be stronger.
Trend Lines - The first precise signal that the trend is ending is often the
violation of a trend line. That might also come along with oscillators that show
overbought or oversold before a reversal pattern occurs. Note that the intraday
break of the trend line is not significant until a daily candle closes through the
line. The chart below shows a trend line that is broken on an intraday basis before
the price recovers. The first strong signal that a reversal may be coming appears
when the price closes below the green trend line support. The price subsequently
rallies to form a double top, but it does not hold these gains.
Time Frame - Like relative highs/lows and trend lines, reversal patterns gain
greater significance if they occur over a longer time frame. A head and shoulders
pattern that takes months to develop will of course signal a reversal of a much
larger trend than a head and shoulders that takes place intraday.
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The entry point should be set a few points beneath the low of the candle that first
closed below the neckline.
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The Saucer Bottom is a very slow developing pattern that does not have a clear
entry point in most cases. It becomes the foundation for a long term uptrend, but
it often gives no direct signal to buy. The saucer represents a gradual loss of
momentum in a downtrend, followed by consolidation in a sideways market, and
an eventual return of the trend higher. A saucer may only be visible on a weekly
chart, because the time it takes to develop is so long.
Because the saucer offers little in the way of a precise signal to enter a trade, and
because it operates over such a long period of time, it is necessary to rely on other
technical analysis to determine an entry point following a saucer formation. The
saucer simply provides a foundation for a further move upwards, letting the
trader know that the long-term bias will likely be to the upside.
One exception to this is the cup and handle pattern, which is demonstrated fairly
closely above in the large saucer followed by a smaller saucer at the same
horizontal level. In this case, once the smaller handle breaks above the high point
at the end of the first saucer, a buy signal is generated. This pattern does not use
any new principles, rather it is based on the relative high as a resistance level and
the price breaking through resistance signaling a buy.
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The price will move decisively in one direction before running into
support/resistance
The price will consolidate for a time and create the continuation pattern
The price will break through the support/resistance and signal a
continuation of the previous trend.
There are several continuation patterns and the articles would start from the
Triangles.
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Triangles can be divided into three main types: ascending, descending and
symmetrical.
Descending Triangles
The descending triangle is a triangular consolidation zone that has a hypotenuse
sloping downward at the top of the triangle. Beneath the hypotenuse is a straight
trend line. Generally, when the market breaks through this trend line, it is seen as
a signal that sellers have the momentum in the market, and that shorting may be
a good opportunity as a result. Accordingly, it can reasonably be stated that the
descending triangle usually appears in a downward trending market and signals a
continuation of the downward trend.
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In the chart below, USD/CHF formed an ascending triangle over 5 days before
the release of an important economic data. The price tested the resistant level
1.2545 for three times before breakthrough. On the hypotenuse side, the buying
momentum pushed the support level further up which formed the converging
ascending triangle. Once the economic data was released, the price broke the
resistance and shot further up.
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Symmetrical Triangles
The symmetrical triangle has two equal sides sloping towards each other at the
same angle. It favors neither a downside nor an upside breakout. As a result,
traders should look for it to signal a continuation of the move in the original
direction; or, in other words, the move of the overall trend.
In the chart below, USD/CHF formed a large symmetrical triangle over a six-
month period before breaking above resistance to the upside. It was difficult to
know which direction the price would breakout. Traders can pay attention to the
original trend and trade along the direction of the overall trend.
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The downtrend of EUR/USD started since Mar2005. There was a plunge at the
end of May, and then it started the consolidating period, which was represented
by the flag pattern. Notice the flag sloped against the dominant trend on the chart.
At the beginning of September, the trend resumed after the price fell below the
flag.
As with the previous patterns we have discussed, the breakout signal on a flag or
a pennant almost always occurs in the direction of the original move, and when
the market breaks out it usually moves decisively to continue the trend. Of course,
since the pennant formation is in the shape of a triangle, it does fall into the
category of triangles that has been previously discussed. What distinguishes the
pennant, though, is the speed with which the market moves both before and after
the pattern is created.
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The chart below showed the consolidation period of EUR/USD from May 2004 to
October 2004. EUR/USD had been going on an up-trend since the beginning of
2002. In February 2004, EUR/USD started a retracement and followed by the
consolidation period in the chart, forming a rectangle. EUR/USD traded between
1.1970 and 1.2460 for five months. The price eventually broke above 1.2460 in
mid-October and continued the up-trend, reaching EUR/USD historical high at
1.3660 at the end of year 2004. The rectangular consolidation period created a
foundation for the continuation of a further move in the up-trend.
The rectangle formation can be used in either an up trend or a down trend, and
although it normally signals continuation of a market move in the direction of the
original trend, the important signal is upon the breakout from the rectangle.
Reversals are possible in a rectangle pattern if the breakout occurs back towards
the origin of the trend that preceded the pattern.
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When you’re ready, let’s move on to other ebooks of the series for building your
skill as a successful trader.
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