28feb - DCF Worksheets - Pt3
28feb - DCF Worksheets - Pt3
50%
Historical Period Projection P
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Sales $ 2,600.00 $ 2,900.00 $ 3,200.00 $ 3,450.00 $ 3,708.75
% growth NA 11.54% 10.34% 7.81% 7.50%
Cost of Goods Sold $ 1,612.00 $ 1,769.00 $ 1,920.00 $ 2,070.00 $ 2,225.25
Gross Profit $ 988.00 $ 1,131.00 $ 1,280.00 $ 1,380.00 $ 1,483.50
% margin 38.00% 39.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00%
Selling, General & Administrative $ 496.60 $ 551.00 $ 608.00 $ 655.00 $ 704.66
EBITDA $ 491.40 $ 580.00 $ 672.00 $ 725.00 $ 778.84
% margin 18.90% 20.00% 21.00% 21.01% 21.00%
Assumptions:
Sales: 7.5% growth in 2020, 6.0% growth in 2021, then decreasing 1% per year thereafter
COGS: COGS 60.0% of sales, hold constant throughout projection period
SG&A: 19.0% of sales, hold constant throughout projection period
Assumptions:
D&A: 6.0% of sales, hold constant throughout projection period
Tax Rate: 25.0%, hold constant throughout projection period
6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Projection Period
2021 2022 2023 2024
$ 3,931.28 $ 4,127.84 $ 4,292.95 $ 4,421.74
6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00%
$ 2,358.77 $ 2,476.70 $ 2,575.77 $ 2,653.04
$ 1,572.51 $ 1,651.14 $ 1,717.18 $ 1,768.70
40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00%
$ 746.94 $ 784.29 $ 815.66 $ 840.13
$ 825.57 $ 866.85 $ 901.52 $ 928.57
21.00% 21.00% 21.00% 21.00%
Projection Period
2021 2022 2023 2024
$ 825.57 $ 866.85 $ 901.52 $ 928.57
$ 235.88 $ 247.67 $ 257.58 $ 265.30
$ 589.69 $ 619.18 $ 643.94 $ 663.26
15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
$ 147.42 $ 154.79 $ 160.99 $ 165.82
$ 442.27 $ 464.38 $ 482.96 $ 497.45
Historical Period Projection
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Sales $ 2,600.00 $ 2,900.00 $ 3,200.00 $ 3,450.00 $ 3,708.75
Cost of Goods Sold $ 1,612.00 $ 1,769.00 $ 1,920.00 $ 2,070.00 $ 2,225.25
Current Assets
Accounts Receivable $ 317.00 $ 365.50 $ 417.40 $ 450.00 $ 483.75
Inventories $ 441.60 $ 496.80 $ 556.50 $ 600.00 $ 645.00
Prepaid Expenses and Other $ 117.00 $ 142.10 $ 162.30 $ 175.00 $ 188.13
Total Current Expenses $ 875.60 $ 1,004.40 $ 1,136.20 $ 1,225.00 $ 1,316.88
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable $ 189.90 $ 189.00 $ 199.40 $ 215.00 $ 231.13
Accrued Liabilities $ 221.00 $ 237.80 $ 255.10 $ 275.00 $ 295.63
Other Current Liabilities $ 75.40 $ 84.10 $ 92.80 $ 100.00 $ 107.50
Total Current Liabilities $ 486.30 $ 510.90 $ 547.30 $ 590.00 $ 634.25
Assumptions
Current Assets
Days Sales Outstanding 44.5 46 47.61 47.61 47.61
Days Inventory Held 100 102.5 105.79 105.80 105.80
Prepaids and Other CA (% of sales) 4.50% 4.90% 5.07% 5.07% 5.07%
Current Liabilities
Days Payable Outstanding 43 39 37.91 37.91 37.91
Accrued Liabilities (% of sales) 8.50% 8.20% 7.97% 7.97% 7.97%
Other Current Liabilities (% of sales) 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%
Projection Period From Previous Worksheet
2021 2022 2023 2024 solved on 21st Feb 2024
in class!
$ 3,931.28 $ 4,127.84 $ 4,292.95 $ 4,421.74
$ 2,358.77 $ 2,476.70 $ 2,575.77 $ 2,653.04
Assumptions:
Debt-to-Total Capitalization 30.00%
Cost of Debt 6.50%
Tax Rate 25.00%
Risk-free Rate 2.50%
Market Risk Premium 7.00%
Size Premium 1.10%
Equity-to-total capitalization
Target Debt-to-equity ratio
After-tax cost of debt
Cost of Equity
Relevered Beta
Using the prior answers and information as well as the assumptions below, complete the questions regarding ValueCo’s term
Using an exit multiple of 7.5x, calculate the terminal value using the exit multiple method
Assuming a mid-year convention and using the EMM terminal value, calculate the implied perpetuity growth rate
Using a 3% perpetuity growth rate, calculate the terminal value using the perpetuity growth method
Using the PGM terminal value, calculate the implied exit multiple
Terminal Value
Terminal Year EBITDA (2024E)
Exit Multiple
Terminal Value
Discount Factor
Present Value of Terminal Value
Enterprise Value
Cumulative Present Value of FCF
Present Value of Terminal Value
Enterprise Value
Assumptions:
Total Debt $ 1,500.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 250.00
riod
2024