Macro CH 2
Macro CH 2
Classical
Economics
s
1 D
s IP
I
x x
Demand/supply of Labour Employment
5. Keynes Theory of Income Determination
J. Introduction (u;rding to Keynes enjpjoyment and income
are cjonejy Production and ctnpJoyment determination
on If demand increat„esit will increue
output Mid and ejnjijoyjnent, On the other hand if aggregate demand redurgs
it affect%the enjployjnent, and output in t}je revert,edirection, According
Keynes, ongutiij)tion depend", up on type of psychological factors, 'Ibe consumption
at the "lower rate than ingojnc, in other word%it at rate, The
conqurjiJ)tion reanc "jong with the rise in "Jbc awrev,ate demand
for can be explained by 47)
ion and inve%tJjjejjtexpenditure, "JTji%
2. Assumption of the Model : [Jollowing
are the the Keynes
incorne deterrjiinatiotijji0dcj
j',cononjy i",at full crjjployrncnt level.
(2) "Ihe tijnc period of the analysis is %hortterm,
(3) No change in the quality of the lactor%of production.
(4) (110%cd economy or ab%cjjceof foreign trade,
in Free market %tructurcin the capitalistic economy.
(6) Economy at under cjnploymcnt jcvcj,
(7) Production technique, taste, preference and population are constant.
Inflation i', only after fuJjemployment is reached,
3. Keynes theory of Income Determination :
(A) Aggregate demand : According to Keynes aggregate demand consists of two
factors. (J) Consurnption expenditure and (2) invettrnent expenditure. The total is
defined as total expenditure,L C + J.
The income line has a positive %lopc,'Jlje expenditure line also shows the
positive slope but it shows high expenditures in the beginning but at the later phase
the additionalexpenditurerises at the Slowerrate to rise in income.
The slow rate of consumption expenditure is due to two reasons (J) The rise in
income reduces the additional consumption due to diminishing propensity to
consume. (2) It al%0depends on level of income and expenditure.The demand for
investment also reduces with the fall in the marginal efficiencyof capital.
(B) Aggregate supply aggregate supply represents the factors or resource
in the economy.The awregate demand represents the expenditures this represents the
income. Jn the Short period, the supply remains stable because factors affecting the
productivityor production are likelyto remain constant.
Keynesconsiders income in two formats (i) How much of income is consumed ?
Jlow much is saved ? If we put this in the equation format we get Y C + S or income
•cconsumption savings.
Classical Economics 63
2-
Totalsupply price or aggregateincome is presented by OR line this is also
knownas C + I line. It starts from the origin and goes in the upward direction. Supply
priceand aggregate income or output are positively related. In the total expenditure,
rent,wages,interest and profit are related. The expendituresby the entrepreneur
becomesincome of other sections of the society. Income and expenditures are two
sidesof the same coin and that is why it is known as Y E or identity of income and
expenditures.The factors of produqtion are unemployed. Factors, its quality and
productiontechnique etc. are assumed to be constant. The constant cost rule •uso
prevailsin the production structure.
Accordingto Keynes income determination depends on short term total
expendituresof the economy. In the short term, the supply remains constant and that
is whyit plays a vital role in determiningaggregatedemand of the economy. If
aggregatedemand increases, it increases the national income and reduces if demand
decreases.Thus aggregate level of income is determined at the place where aggregate
supplyequates with the aggregate demand. This determines the level of income. The
determinationis possible at unemployment level and also at the full employment level.
Accordingto Keynes,
Aggregate Demand Aggregate Supply
AggregateDemand
Consumption + Investment + expenditure
consumption + saving
1 s
Investment = savings.
4. Explanation with the graph : The graph presented here shows aggregate
demand, income or employment on OXaxis and
consumption, investment and government
expenditureon OYaxis. The slope of the line
Q represents the marginal propensity to consume.
The line represents the consumption
expenditure. C + I shows consumption and
c investment expenditures. The consumption
1
expenditure is increasing function of income. OX
C,
axispresentsincome.This indicates that rise in
450 income increases the consumption but at
x diminishingrate. The initial points are on
O OY
Aggregate income axis, which represents even at zero level of
demand / employment income, the consumption is positive. At point B
64 Kumar • Macro Economics
indicates that
income is equal to the consumption and after the C < Y.This
than
consumption is less than income. After point B, the consumption will be less
income.
The gap between 450line and C line represents the saving.
C + I + G line : The C + I line presents the consumption plus investment
expenditure.The difference between C and C + I line shows investment expenditure.
point P represents the equilibrium point and at that point, the level of income and
employmentis 0M. If 0M is not the full employment income then is necessaryto
increase the government expenditures to get full employment. The government must
interfere in the market and by direct or indirect expenditure, which increases the
aggregatedemand, income and employment.
It is not possibleto increase the consumption expenditure or investment
expenditure in he short time period. Thus the factors affecting the C + I remains
constant in the short period.
The investment depends on two factors (1)marginal efficiency of capital (2)rate
of interest. Marginal efficiency of capital depends on trade cycles like peak and
depression.In the depression,output do not increaseand as a result depressionis
observed.
To come out from this, the best way is to increase the government expenditure.
The increase in government expenditure increases the aggregate demand, income and
employment at the macro economic level.
5. Evaluation : The economies of Keynes is rejected on the following
grounds.
(l) Depression economics : It is argued the economics of Keynes is basically a
depression economics. It is not applicable in todays inflationary economics. Prof.
Harison says that it fails to explain the depression or peak situation of the economy.
Keynesconcept of inflationaryand deflationarygap is also not fullyvalid.
(2) Long-run factors are ignored : The theory fails to explain the long run
factors. It explains only the short-term factors in determining the aggregate macro
economic structure.
(3) Micro economic analysis is ignored : The macro structure fails to interpret
the microeconomic analysis of an economic behaviour. In fact both micro and macro
analysis are required in an economic analysis.
(4) Criticismsof Keynes : The concept of consumption is based on the
absolute levels of income. But Duesenberry has established concept that the
propensity to consume is also influenced by the demonstration effect. Friedman has
given the concept of permanent real income.
cløssic.aieconomics
65
(6) A'j(jllary effect : prijnary investment influence
effect,
Oitjltij)licc the ultimate income
ancillary effect is not taken
care of iri the present theory.
inducedeffect can't be ignored.
(0) Useful for developed economies
; 'I he theory is useful only' for the
dOelopedeconojjiicn where the unernpJoyynent is only
due to deficiency of demand.
Indevelopingeconojnics it i",01%0due to structural factors
such and scarcity of factors of
In all the
production, theory is not applicable,
6. Keynes Theory of Employment
1. Effective demand The effective
demand curve is determined on the
basisof demand function and supply price. Accordingto Keynes, income and
expendituje arc the two sides of the coin and expenditureof the society can be
by the effective dcjnand.
identified
2. The effective demand consists of following components :
(J) Consumption expenditure, (2) Jnve%tmentexpenditure.
Thesetwo cornponents can be sub divided into followingsub-groups.
Effective emand
Consumption Investment
expenditure expenditure
the C+l increases at slow rate because expenditure increases at the slower rate.
marginal efficiency also decreases and that is way the investment demand increase at
slower rate. Thus total demand curve shows downward slope.
Average supply price : (450line) The average supply price shows production side
of the producer. It represents the cost factor.This includes, rent wages, profit and
interest. Total supply cutwe represents the costs at different levels of employment. It is
necessary that the cost should be minimum and sales income should be maximum.
When employment increases, cost after the factors of production increases. This
increases supply cost. According to Keynes,in the short run the factors of production
are unemployed and at the stage law of fixed cost prevails so that the additional factors
of production are available at the same price, Thus the supply price and employment
due to these reasons the ASPhas 450 slope or positive straight line the real income do
not go up after reaching at full employment level. Only monetary expenditure
increases, and that is why it becomes parallel to OYaxis.
In the above stated figure, 0M represents equilibrium at underemployed
because the demand curve ADP and ASP (450line) touches at point P.At this level the
income equate expenditure. But at this stage the economy has not reached at the
full
employment level. In order to have full employment it is necessary to reach at ON level
of income.
If the economy is static, then it is necessary to generate additional
employment
opportunities through effective demand. It is not possible to increase
the consumption
expenditure because the propensity to consume do not
change in the short run. The
investment expenditure can be.raised through government
expenditure. It is necessary
to increase the marginal efficiency of capital in an
indirect way.When the consumption
and investment moves on the upward direction with the help of
expenditure is the equilibrium. government
The demand curve can be shifted on the upward
employment is achieved, it is not possible to direction but when the full
raise total output. ASCwill be parallel
OYaxis and rise in expenditure leads to to
inflation.
Multiple Choice Questions
Self Study
l. Explainthe J. B. Say's law of market.
2. "Supplycreates its own demand" —Explainits assumptions and implications.
3. Explainthe Pigou's wage cut theory.
4. "Wageflexibility leads to full employment". Explainthe Keynes's argument against
Pigou.
5. Discuss the Keynesian theory of employment.
6. Explainthe Keynes' theory of income determination through 450 line and
C+ 1 line.