A 02000MAT202052101 Pages: 3

Reg No.:_______________ Name:__________________________

APJ ABDUL KALAM TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY
Fourth Semester B.Tech Degree Supplementary Examination June 2023 (2019 Scheme)

Course Code: MAT 202

Course Name: PROBABILITY, STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL METHODS
Max. Marks: 100 Duration: 3 Hours
(Normal distribution table and t- distribution table are allowed)
PART A
(Answer all questions; each question carries 3 marks) Marks

1 Find the probability distribution function, if the Random variable 𝑋 takes the (3)
values 1, 2, 3, 4 such that 2𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 3𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 3) = 5 𝑃(𝑋 = 4).
2 A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If 𝑋 denotes the random variable of number of (3)
doublets shown, find V𝑎𝑟(3𝑋 + 1).
3 If 𝑋 has a Uniform Distribution in (−3, 3), find 𝑃 (| 𝑋 – 2| < 2). (3)
4 The time in hours, required to repair a machine is exponentially distributed with (3)
mean 4. What is the probability that the repair time exceeds 4 hours?
5 A random sample of size 100 is taken from a population with mean 75 and variance (3)
400. Find the mean and standard deviation of the sample mean.
6 Out of a random sample of 400 cars passing under a bridge on a busy road, 172 (3)
were found to be white. Find 95% confidence interval for the proportion of white
cars passing under the bridge.
7 Using Newton Raphson method find the positive root of the equation 𝑥 3 − 24 = (3)
0 that lies between 2 and 3 correct to three decimal places.
8 1 2 (3)
Evaluate ∫0 𝑒 −𝑥 𝑑𝑥 using Trapezoidal rule. (Take ℎ = 0.25)

9 𝑑𝑦 (3)
Use Rungi-Kutta Method of order 2 to find 𝑦(0.2) for = 𝑥 + 𝑦 2 , 𝑦(0) = 1
𝑑𝑥

with ℎ = 0.2
10 Using Euler’s method find 𝑦 at 𝑥 = 0.25 given 𝑦 ′ = 2𝑥𝑦, 𝑦(0) = 1, ℎ = 0.25 (3)

PART B
(Answer one full question from each module, each question carries 14 marks)
Module -1
11 a) A Random variable 𝑋 has the following probability distribution function. (7)

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𝑋 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
𝑓(𝑥) 𝑎 3𝑎 5𝑎 7𝑎 9𝑎 11𝑎 13𝑎 15𝑎 17𝑎

Determine (i) the value of 𝑎 (ii) 𝑃(𝑋 < 3) (𝑖𝑖𝑖) 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 3) (𝑖𝑣)𝑃(0 < 𝑋 < 5)
b) A random variable 𝑋 follows Poisson distribution such that (7)
2
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 3 𝑃(𝑋 = 1). Find (i) 𝑃(𝑋 = 3) (ii) 𝑃(𝑋 > 3) (iii) 𝐸(𝑋)

12 a) Derive the mean and variance of Poisson distribution. (7)

b) The joint distribution of a two-dimensional random variable (𝑋, 𝑌) is given by (7)
𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = 𝑘(2𝑥 + 3𝑦), 𝑥 = 0,1,2 ; 𝑦 = 1,2,3 . Find (i) the value of 𝑘 (ii) the
marginal distributions (iii) Are 𝑋 and 𝑌 independent?
Module -2
13 a) If 𝑓(𝑥) = 𝑘𝑥 2 𝑒 −𝑥 , 𝑥 > 0, find 𝑘, mean and variance of the random variable. (7)

b) On a large group of men, 5% are under 60 inches in height and 40 % are between (7)
60 and 65 inches. Assuming normal distribution, find the mean and standard
deviation of the height.
14 a) The joint probability density function of a two-dimensional random variable (7)
𝑥2
(𝑋, 𝑌) is given by 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = 𝑥𝑦 2 + , 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 2, 0 ≤ 𝑦 ≤ 1.
8
1
Compute (i) 𝑃(𝑋 > 1) (ii) 𝑃 (𝑌 < 2) (iii) 𝑃(𝑋 < 𝑌)

b) Let 𝑋1 , 𝑋2 , … . . 𝑋𝑛 be independent and identically distributed random variables (7)

with mean 3 and variance 0.5. Use Central limit theorem to estimate
𝑃(340 ≤ 𝑆𝑛 ≤ 370) where 𝑆𝑛 = 𝑋1 + 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑋𝑛 and 𝑛 = 120
Module -3
15 a) The mean weight obtained from a sample size of 100 is 64 gm. The S.D of weight (7)
distribution of the population is 3 gm. Test the statement that the mean weight of
the population is 67 gm at 5% level of significance.
b) The average marks scored by 50 students of class A is 42.75 with variance (7)
1.98. The average marks scored by 60 students of class B is 42.15 with variance
1.82. Based on this data can we conclude that students of class A perform better
than students of class B at at 5% level of significance level?

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16 a) A random sample of size 6 has mean 25 and variance 3.83. Can the sample be (7)
regarded as taken from a population with mean lesser than 29 at 1% level of
significance?
b) A coin is tossed 10000 times. Tail turns up 5195 times. Is the coin unbiased at (7)
5% level of significance?
Module -4
17 a) Find a real root of the following equation using Regula falsi method (7)

𝑥𝑙𝑜𝑔10 𝑥 − 1.2 = 0 correct to 3 decimals.

b) Use Newton’s backward interpolation method to estimate 𝑦(2005). (7)

𝑥 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011
𝑁𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑒𝑜𝑝𝑙𝑒 16 19 23 28 34 41

18 a) Using Lagrange interpolation, find the value of 𝑦(8), given 𝑦(0) = 18, 𝑦(1) = (7)
42, 𝑦(7) = 57, 𝑦(9) = 90.
b) Using Simpson’s 1/3 rd rule evaluate 0.6 𝑑𝑥 with 𝑛 = 6 (7)
∫0 √1+𝑥

Module -5
19 a) Using Gauss seidal method solve the following system of equations correct to 3 (7)
decimal places. 27𝑥 + 6𝑦 − 𝑧 = 85
6𝑥 + 15𝑦 + 2𝑧 = 72
𝑥 + 𝑦 + 54𝑧 = 110
b) Fit a Second degree parabola of the form 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥 + 𝑐𝑥 2 to the following data (7)

𝑋 0 1 2 3 4
𝑌 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.8 5.9

20 a) Using Runge kutta method of order 4, find y(0.1) given, 𝑦 ′ = 𝑥 + 𝑦, 𝑦(0) = 1 (7)
by taking ℎ = 0.1
b) Find the value of 𝑦(1.4) by Adams –Moulton predictor corrector method for the (7)
𝑑𝑦
differential equation 𝑑𝑥 = 𝑥 2 (1 + 𝑦), given 𝑦(1) = 1, 𝑦(1.1) = 1.233, 𝑦(1.2) =

1.548, 𝑦(1.3) = 1.979

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