Demography
Demography
Structure
2.0 Introduction
2.1 Objectives
2.2 Demography: Concept, Nature and Scope
2.2.1 Concept of Demography
2.2.2 Nature and Scope of Demography
2.2.3 Relationship of Demography with other Disciplines
2.2.4 Institutionalisation of Demography: Terminological Changes
2.3 Population Studies: Concept and Scope
2.3.1 Concept of Population Studies
2.3.2 Relationship between Demography and Population Studies
2.3.3 Relationship between Population Studies and other Disciplines
2.4 Population Distribution
2.4.1 Distribution of Population by Size -At a Point of Time
2.4.2 Distribution of Population over the Period of Time and Space
2.5 Population Structure/Composition
2.5.1 Age Composition: Influencing Factors
2.5.2 Sex Composition
2.5.3 Age and Sex Structure: Population Pyramid and its Implications
2.6 Measures of Population Distribution and Population Change
2.6.1 Measures of Population Distribution/Composition
2.6.1.1 Population Density
2.6.1.2 Sex Ratio
2.6.1.3 Dependency Ratio
2.6.2 Measures of Population Change
2.6.2.1 Ratios
2.6.2.2 Rates
2.6.2.3 Proportions
2.6.2.4 Percents
2.7 Sources of Demographic Data: Systems and Methods
2.7.1 Systems
2.7.1.1 Registration of Vital Events: Vital Statistics
2.7.1 .& Civil Registration in India: Background and Problems
2.7.1.3 Sample Registration System in India
2.7.1.4 Dual Reporting System
2.7.2 Methods
2.7.2.1 Census Survey or Census Method
2.7.2.2 Sample Surveys
2.7.2.3 Population Registers
2.7.2.4 International Publications
2.8 Let Us Sum Up
2.9 Answers to 'Check Your Progress' Questions
2.10 References
45
Population and Development
Education: An Overview 2.0 INTROUUCTION
We have discusszd tbc concept and development of population education in
Unit-1. While studying Unit-1 you must have noticed that population education
encompasses demography as one of its components. Thus, in the context of
population and development education, study of demography assumes greater
significance all over the world. It is primarily because ever-growing population
in developing and under-developed couptries in particular and developed countries
-in general strains social, economic and political systems, amongst others, due to
concomitant dynamics within and across the nations. It is, therefore, essential
that you are introduced to'the demographrc concepts in Unit-2 so that your
understanding of further units of this Block would be easy, smooth, clear and
comprehensive.
2.1 OBJECTIVES
In this Unit, the focus of our discussion will be on the concept, nature and scope
of demography and population studies. We will also highlight the inter-relationship
between demography and population studies and also their relationship with
other disciplines. After going through this unit, it is expected that you should be
able to:
Define the concepts of demography and population studies;
Explain the meaning of different terms/concepts as are used in the study of
demography and in population studies;
Distinguish between demography and population studies; and
Discuss different aspects or components of demography.
John Graunt (1662) .believed that fertility, mortality and migration were
interrelatedprocesses and that these were based on definite postulates. According
to him male birth rate was always greater than that of females, if in a given
society the number of both the sexes was the same. Then his another finding was
that mortality rate was higher in urban as compared to rural areas and also it was
higher, at the beginning of life, than at any after-stage. He also had knowledge of
sample survey, because where the records were not available, he compiled them
on the basis of such surveys. Credit also goes to him for the preparation of life
tables. While discussing the contribution of John Graunt, Peter. R. Cox said
(quoted in Hans Raj, 1986, pp.2-3): "Graunt's work covers so wide an area of
igterest that it may be said that a large part of demography was born all at once.
The developments that occurred subsequently were in the nature of
consolidations".
The word 'demography' comes from the Greek words, 'demos ' which means
population, and graphy ' which means to describe or draw (Luczkovich, See
http://www.grin.com/en/e-book/60766/demography). Though the term
'demography' had been casually used by many persons, it was first used in a
rational or scientific way in 1855 by Guillard, and since then the term has been
gaining currency.
Stenford (Quoted in Hansraj, 1986)views it as follows: "In its most formal sense,
demography is a very technical and highly mathematical study of the vital statistics
of human population (especially birth, death and migration) as well as of the
characteristics of population structure (including age, sex and marital status) as
they contribute to an understanding of population change." In the words of Irene
Tanker: "With improved data, new techniques and measurement of the
demographic transition that is occurring, demography has become science rather
than literature" (Hansraj, 1986). Demography is the statistical study of human
population. It can be a very general science that can be applied to any kind of
dynamic human population, that is, orit: that changes over time or space
(population dynamics). It encompasses the study of the size, structure and
distribution of these populations, and spatial andlor temporal changes in them in
response to birth, migration, aging and death. (http:Nen.wikipedia. orglwikil
Demography). These definitions raise the status of demography from studies to
a science of population.
i) Broader view: According to this view, the scope of demography is wide and
it studies the causes of slow or rapid change in birth rate, death rate,
population growth, sex ratio, health conditions, etc. According to holders
of this view, in demography many economic problems such as those related
to employment and income conditions of the masses; labour conditions and
their living standard, information about production and consumption, saving
habits of the population belonging to all sections of the society, rate of growth
of population, working eficiency of the masses and the relationship of
economic development, population change and overall quality of life, could
be understood and analysed.
Demographic studies can be placed broadly underjour categories, namely,
a) Descriptive Demography, under which are studied census and
registration statistics,
b) Analytical Demography, which deals with analysis of the data collected,
and rates and ratios of population change,
c) Comparative demography, which covers study of different aspects of
population and their determinants at two different places and at two
different points of time, and
d) Historical Demography, under which time series, and study of rates
and ratios of population change are studied.
Reflecting on social problems, Hans Raj (1986, p. 11) believed that
demography helps in the study of many problems such as marital status,
composition of the family and growing trends about caste, religion,
education, etc. Geography can also be studied with the help of demography,
e.g. trends in urbanisation and problems of migration from villages to the
cities, etc, These thinkers also believe that demography is collective or
comprehensive, or interdisciplinary study of human life. It deals with
individual ancestries, hereditary nature of the population and collects
physical, social and vital facts. It registers facts, from birth to death including
family, marriage, divorce and sickness, human growth structure and strength.
It also studies, at some length, the diseases and their relation with human
body. In this sense it can be considered as population studies. UNO (Hans
Raj, op.cit) has said that under demography we study the determinants and
consequences of population change.
ii) Narrower view: As against the broader view, there is also a narrower view
about the nature and scope of demography. This view, among others, is
represented by Phillip and Otis (1959, p.2). According to them the scope of
demography is not as wide as we have been made to believe by some thinkers.
48
It is argued by them that demography deals with all subjects; but does it Demographic Concepts
mean that in the study of demography all subjects can be studied?
Urbanization, for example, is one subject of study under demography. It includes
transportation, communication,rehabilitation, banking, administrative system,
electrification, entertainment, etc. All these subjects, however, cannot be
included under demography and obviously cannot be studied with the help
of this subject. Therefore, scope of demography will have to be defined and
restricted.Any unnecessary widening will do more harm than good to it. If
we are studying urbanization under demography we can and should cover
the effects of births, death, migration, etc.; and if we go on covering
everything under demography, then whole study will become just
unmanageable. They believe that "Demography has got to be limited to one
iii) Balanced view: There is a third school of thought which claims to have
presented balanced view of the nature and scope of demography. According
to Warren, S. and Thompson (1953), under demography, we can study death,
birth and actual rates of growth of population, information about female
population, their education, health conditions, marital status, distribution
of population and their classification according to their occupations, their
socio-economic conditions, etc.
In fact, today it is accepted that demography is the study of human society and
has very little to do with individualistic human problems. While dealing with
groups it takes the help of figures and arithmetic.
vi) Statistics and Demography: There is no social science subject which can
do without statistics. Demography is rather more dependent on statistics
than many other disciplines. Main aim of a statistics is to collect figures1
data and leave its interpretation to the social scientist. Hence, it is quite
often said that statistics is value-neutral. This equally applies to demography.
Main aim of demographertoo is to collect data about population. Demography
is, thus, closely linked or related to all other social science disciplines. In case
these subjects are not closely studied the results are bound to be misleading.
The 1961 Census of India provided first ever wealth of data to students of
demography, and a large number of reports and monographs based on these data
were published later. The Sample Registration Schemeinitiated by the Registrar-
General of India in 1964-65; was a step forward in solving the problem of
obtaining reliable estimates of birth and death rates and rates of natural growth.
The progress made by this system in obtaining reliable estimates has been quite
promising. Subsequent censuses continued to provide rich and reliable data about
Indian population thereby facilitating more and more research studies related to
51
P o ~ u l a t i o n ~Development
~d What was formerly known as the Demographic Training and Research Centre,
Education: An Ovemew
Bombay has became the premier institute, after its renaming as International
Institutefor Population Sciences popularly called by its acronym, IIPS known
for training and research in population studies in India. This Institute has four
functions, namely, teaching, research, consultative services and documentation.
Establishment of Centres for Population Studies and from the change of
nomenclature of DTRC into IIPS indicates that the terms 'Population Studies'
and 'Population Sciences' are more broader and include in them demography as
well.
Now let us look at the relationship between demography and population studies
and between population studies and other disciplines.
With independence of countries in many parts of the world, there have been
raising aspirations and hopes for the removal of poverty, for rdising the standard
of living of the people, and for ensuring them a better quality of life. As result, a
new era of planning for development dawned in many countries, including India,
after their independence, and the terms such as 'economic planning', 'planning
for development', 'five-year plans', etc., came to be widely used which
encompassed all the demographic and other terms and concepts in them. This
has led to use of more broader term 'population studies' that subsumed
'demography' as well.
The above discussion has provided the clarity about the distinction between
demography and population studies. Now, we will see the interrelationship
between population studies and other disciplines.
iv) Population Shrdies and Socidogy: Kingsley Davis (1959, p.3 14)has referred
to the following areas of study which require a combination of demographic
and sociological skills: 1) Fertility in connection with attitudes and social
institutions; 2) Population changes in relation to social and economic change;
3) The labour force with respect to population structure and social
organisation; and 4) The family with regard to demographic behaviour.
International and internal migration are two other areas of study mentioned
by Davis, where a knowledge of sociology and demography need to be
combined. Even the study of mortality, age and sex differentials, though
biologically determined, may have sociological bases, and, therefore, need
to be recognised as such (Asha and Tara, 2006, p.26).
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................
1'
i
................................................................................................................
55
Population and Development
Education: An Overview 2.4 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
In any demographic or population study the concern is not only about finding
out how many people live in a particular area at a given point of time but also
about whether the number is larger than what it was and what it is likely to be in
the future, what will be its effect, and so on. Such facts are needed for industrialists,
particularly those concerned with providing social utility services like education,
medical aid, as well as for legislators and social scientists. It is with the help of
these figures that the government and planners can develop their .future plans,
strategies and expansion activities. It is again after getting this actual and estimated
data that production for consumer goods can be increased and arrangement for
providing basic facilities to the society can accordingly be made. A demographer
also likes to find out the extent of changes, but he is also required to find out the
causes of such changes -the changes in the births, deaths, migration; poor medical
and other facilities; lack of awareness among the masses about their health, etc.
This is all a complex process involving systematic application of different tools
and techniques.
Table 2.1: List of States and Union Territories by Total Population (Size)
and Rank - 2011
Source: http://en.wikipedia.orglwiki~Demographics~of~India
The data in Table 2.1 is self-explanatory regarding the size and rank and does
not require any elaborate discussion - we can easily say which is the biggest
State/UT in terms of its population size. To read more, by taking the total
population of the States with ranks 1-7, we can notice that they together account
for more than 60% of the total population of the county in 20 11.
57
PopulationandDevelo~ment Similarly, we can say which particular city is bigger or smaller in terms of its
Education: An Overview
population compared to any other city. For example, see the Table 2.2.
13 Nagpur Maharashtra
14 Patna Bihar
15 Indore Madhya Pradesh
16 Bhopal Madhya Pradesh
17 Thane Maharashtra
18 Ludhiana
19 Agra Uttar Pradesh
20 Pimpri Maharashtra
Source: en.wikipedia.orglwiki/demographics~offIndia.
The study of demography does not confine to only such data based on just one
aspect, as it is not much useful.
58
Table 2.3: Population Growth in India - 1901-2011 Denmgraphic Concepts
1) In working out 'Decadal Growth and Percentage Decadal Growth' for India 1941-
5 1 and 1951-61 the population of Tuensang district for 1951 (7,025) census and
the population of Tuensang (83,501) and Mon (5,774) districts for 1961 Census of
Nagaland state have not been taken into account as the areas were not covered for
the first time in 1951 and the same are not comparable.
2) The 1981 Census could not be held owing to disturbed conditions pr&ailing in
Assam. Hence, the population figures for 1981 ofAssam have been worked out by
'interpolation7.
3) The 1991 Census could not be held owing to disturbed conditions prevailing in
Jarnmu and Kashrnir. Hence, the population figures for 1991 Census for Jarnmu
and Kashrnir have been worked out by 'interpolation7.
4) It may be furthernoted that the figures have been adjusted for the territorial changes
which occurred because of the partition of the Indian subcontinent into two
countries, India and Pakistan.
5) For 201 1, the figure under column (2) is obtained from http://en.wikipedia. org/
wiki~Demographics~of~India, and accordingly the rest of the figures are calculated.
Table 2.3 presents the growth of India's population as per the censuses from
1901 to 20 11. This gives us more information to study the population at different
59
Po~*ationmdDevelo~ment points of time. For instance, we get more information from it and can infer the
Education: An Overview
following points.
ii) The absolute number of people added to the population during each decade
has been on the increase from 1921 onwards. The decennial rate of growth
has also increased from 1921 up to 201 1, although there were fluctuations
in the positive growth rate. From 1951 onwards, India's population has been
growing at a phenomenal rate. While during 1941- 195 1, the average
decennial growth rate was 13.3 1 per cent, during 1951-196 1 it increased to
2 1.6 per cent, and during 1961-197 1, it was 24.8 per cent. From 1901 to
201 1, there has been an increase of 407.64 per cent in the population. India's
population has more than doubled in a period of 50 years, that is, from 1521
to 1971.
iii) The year 1521 is designated as "the great divide" in the sense that it is the
turning point which marks the beginning of not only regular/continuous
growth but also the beginning of a rapid and massive population growth in
India.
iv) The decennial population growth rate during 1961-71 was 24.80 per cent,
during 1971-81 it was 24.66 per cent, during 1981-91 it was 23.85 per cent,
during 1991-200 1 it was 21.34 per cent and during 2001-201 1 it was 17.8
. per cent. Thus, it can be observed that while the population size has been
growing, the rate of population growth has decreased from 1981 onwards.
Nevertheless, Table 2.3 does not give us other relevant information such as the
nature of changes that took place during these periods which resulted in the
change of the size of the population over time. If we know the reasons underlying
the changes in the population that will provide us more meaningful information
to understand these changes. It requires additional efforts to enlarge the scope of
coverage beyond simply the distribution of population over time and space. For
instance, for our better understanding of the above data, we can look at the
following additional information.
24. Tamil Nadu 62,405,679 34,921,681 27,483,998 44.04 11.72 -5.20 42.80
25. Tnpura 3,199,203 2,653,453 545,750 17.06 16.03 13.40 28.80
26. Uttar Pradesh 166,197,921 131,658,339 34,539,582 20.78 25.85 24.10 32.90
27. Uttarakhand 8,489,349 6,310,275 2,179,074 25.67 20.41 NA NA
28. WestBengal 80,176,197 57,748,946 22,427,251 27.97 17.77 16.90 20.20
29. A.&N. Islands 356,152 . 239,954 116,198 32.63 26.90 16.60 26.90
30. Chandigarh 900,635 92,120 808,515 89.77 40.28 39.20 40.5b
3 1. D&N Haveli 220,490 170,027 50,463 22.89 59.22 34.10 330.30
32. Daman & Diu 158,204 100,856 57,348 36.25 55.73 86.40 20.60
33. Delhi 13,850,507 944,727 12,905,780 93.18 47.02 1.50 51.30
34. Lakshadweep 60,650 33,683 26,967 44.46 17.30 48.90 -7.40
35. Puducheny 974,345 325,726 648,619 66.57 20.62 12.00 25.40
the age structure are the average age (mean, median, mode), and a few other
indices based on the distributionof persons in various age-groups.
The simplest measure is the percentage distribution of the population based on
the absolute numbers in various five-year age-groups. This measure is helpful in
forming an idea about the age structure of any population, and is used for
describing it. It is also used to compare the age structures of two ormore -
populations at a point of time or to compare the age structure of the same
population at different points of time. The age-sex histograms, knownas the
age-sex pyramids, which we will discuss i n sub-section 2.5.3, may be used
precisely for the same purposes.
Table 2.6 is, just an illustration of, the age-group-wise percentage distribution of
the population of India as in 1991, which is presented in five-year age-groups
both in terms of absolute numbers and percentages.
66
Demographic Concepts
Table 2.7: Distribution of the Population of India according to Broad
Age-groups - 1901-1991
4) Registrar General and Census Commissioner of India. Census of India 1991. India (Excluding
Jammu and Kashmir).
Table 2.8 presenting the age distribution of the population of India (1991) and of
the United States (1995) in broad age-groups illustrates how the age distribution
of two countries may be compared with the help of percentage distribution.
Source: 1) Registrar General and Census Commissionerof India. Census ofIndia, 1991, India,
(Excluding Jammu and Kashmir). New Delhi.
2) United Nations. 1997. Demographic Year Book 1995. New York, pp. 192-193.
67
POpu'ationandDeve'Opment It is evident from Table 2.8 that the age distribution of the Indian population
Education: An Overview
differs a great deal from that of the American population. The percentage of
Indians in the age group 0-4 is a little less than twice that of the Americans. On
the other hand, the percentage of Americans above age 65 is more than three
times that of Indians. From this information, it is clear that there is high promotion
of children in the Indian population compared to the US population, and high
proportion of elderly people in the American population compared to that of
India.
Sources: 1) United Natlons. 1997. Demographzc Year Book 1995 New York, pp. 180-212.
2) Population Reference Bureau. 1997. World Population Data Sheet 1997
Washington D.C.: United Nat~ons.
68
Demographic Concepts
2.5.3 Age and Sex Structure: Population Pyramid and its
Study of population structure by age and sex, taken together, gives us better
understanding of population structure than its study by taking age or sex only.
i) Sex and Age Structure: Sex and age are the basic characteristics or the
biological attributes of any population which affect not only its demographic
structure but also its social, economic and political structure. They influence
marriages, birth and death rates, internal and international migration,
population composition, manpower, gross national product, planning
regarding housing, educational and medical services, and so on.
For better understanding of population structure by age and sex we can look at
Table 2.10.
ii) Population pyramid and its implications: Let us understand the impact of
population structure in the form of population pyramid. Population pyramid
is a widely used graphical device to show the age-sex composition of a
population. It consists of a number of horizontal bars representing successive
age-groups in ascending order, from the lowestage at bottom to the highest
age at top. The length of a bar for any age-group represents the number or
percentage of males or females in that age-group, according to a scale along
the horizontal axis.
The pyramid can be made either way, in age-groups of width of 5 or 10
years or of single year. In any case the highest bar refers to an open age
interval (say 80 years and above). The number of males and females can
directly be traced on the graph or represented in percentage form, without
producing any change in the geometrical shape of the pyramid. It is notable
that the percentage in sex-age-group is calculated as in the total population
and not in the population of that sex. Depending on the trends of fertility,
mortality and migration, pyramid can take various shapes. The relative length
of the bar at the bottom indicates whether the recent fertility has been high
or low. Protuberances and indentations in the shape of pyramid reveal that
corresponding periods of either high fertility, immigration or low mortality,
or low fertility, emigration or high mortality. If the historical trend does not
confirm the shape, it can, then, be explained by errors in reporting of age-
data. Pyramid made for the single-year-age distribution of population can
also show the phenomenon of digital preference or digit avoidance in
reporting of age,
Figure 2.2 below contains the age-sex pyramids of two developing countries,
India and the Philippines, and two developed countries, Sweden and the
United Kingdom.
From Figure 2.2, it is obvious that the pyramids are of two sets of countries
which have two different shapes. i) The pyramids of the two developing
countries, India and the Philippines, have broad base and steeply sloping
sides, indicating a large proportion of children and young persons and a
small proportion of old people in the population. ii) The pyramids of the
two developed countries, Sweden and the United Kingdom, are almost
rectangular in shape, with a slight sloping at the older ages. These pyramids
indicate a lower proportion of children and a higher proportion of the adults
and the elderly in the population. Those populations which have a higher
proportion of children and young persons are termed as "Young" populations,
while those with lower proportions of children and youth and a higher
proportion of adult and old population are known as " o l d populations. It
is, therefore, ironical to observe that old countries, in the sense of having
long histories, such as India, Egypt and China, have very "young"
populations, while comparativelyyoung countries like the United Kingdom,
France, Sweden and the United States have "old" populations. Thus, it must
70
'
be clearly understood that there is a distinction between the chronological Demographic Concepts
age of a nation, which is measured from the~timeof a country's inception,
and the "age" of the population, that is, the age distribution of the population.
Similarly, the distinction between the age of an individual in the population
and the age of the population must also be kept in mind. The former, that is,
the age of an individual, moves only in one direction, that of an inexorable
Due to constraints of space, time and scope we will not discuss all such
characteristicsof population here. However, we will discuss below the measures
of population distribution and population change.
.
Rank in States and Density (per sq. km.) Rank in
2001 Union territories* 2001 1991 1991
1 2 3 4 5
1 Delhi* 9,294 6,352 1
2 Chandigarh* 7,903 5,632 2
3 Pondicherry* . 2,029 1,683 3
4 Lakshadweep* 1,894 1,616 4
5 Daman & Diu* 1,411 907 5
6 West Bengal 904 767 6
I
NK
Density =-
SK "
Where:
N = Total population,
K = the quantity of requirement per capita,
S = area in square kilometers, and
K" = the quantity of resources produced per square kilometer.
b) Sex ratio: This is the most widely used and principal measure of sex
composition that has enjoyed the maximum use in analytical demography.
It is usually defined as the number of females per 1000 males in a population,
that is,
74
Demographic Concepts
But, some demographers use it as, Sex ratio = L x 1000 as well, i.e. number of
Pr
males per 1000 females.
It is obviously directly related to masculinity proportion. The points of balance
of sexes of the two measures, i.e. masculinity proportion and sex ratio are 50 and
1000. ~tmeans, a masculinity proportion of less than 50 kdicates excess of females
than males and if it is more than 50 it indicates excess of males. Similarly, a sex
ratio more than 1000 depicts the excess of females over males and a sex ratio
below 1000 indicates an excess of males.
Sex ratio can be calculated for various brackets of the population. It can be used
for evaluation of data providing a check for internal consistency. It is essentially
a function of: (a) sex ratio at birth; (b) sex ratio of migrants; and (c) differential
mortality patterns of the two sexes.
Example: Sex ratio for India, 1971.
Population of males Pm= 284,049,276
Population of females P, = 264,110,376
0 51.82
pm -~ 1 0 =
Masculinity proportion = --
P, +Pf
Sex ratio is invariably lower in the urban areas than in the rural areas. One finds
a much higher proportion of males in the working ages in urban India. This is
certainly because of migration of single males from rural to urban areas for
educational, economic or such other related purposes. Thus, there exists variations
in the sex ratios between the States of a given country or those of different
countries as well.
In Table 2.12 we can observe the differences in the sex ratio of selected countries.
Country Year Sex Ratio
(Males per 1000 females)
Indian 200 1(c) 1072
Pakistan 1995 1060
Bangladesh 1990 1067
Indonesia 1995 995
Japan 1994 963
Iran 1991(c) 1063
Nepal 1991(c) 995
Sri Lanka 1994 1040
Philippines 1995 1010
Singapore 1995 1010
United States of America 1995 954
China 1990(c) 1060
Argentina 1993 956"'
Brazil 1994 976
United Kingdom 1994 959
France 1993 949
Sweden 1994 977
Germany 1994 946
Thailand 1995 1005
Demographic Concepts
Gujarat 954 946 944 945 941 952 940 934
Tamil Nadu 1,044 1,042 1,029 1,027 1,012 1,007 992 978
Tripura 874 885 885 885 886 904 932 943
West Bengal 945 920 905 890 852 865 878 891
Andarnan and 318 352 303 495 574 625 617 644
Nicobar Island
Dadra and Nagar 960 967 940 911 925 946 963 1,007
Haveli
Delhi 862 793 733 722 715 768 785 801
Goa, Darnan and 1,085 1,103 1,122 1,088 1,028 1,083 1,071 989
Diu
Sources: * http://censusmp.gov.inlcensusmp/All-PDFi06GenderO/o2OComposition.pdf.
** Computed from the above data in second row.
Table 2.15: State-wise Sex Ratio in India in2011 compared with 2001 Census
Demographic Concepts
25 Daman & Diu # 710 618 -12.96%
26 Dadra & Nagar Haveli # 812 775 -4.56%
27 Maharashtra 922 925 0.33%
28 Andhra Pradesh 978 992 1.43%
29 Karnataka 965 968 0.31%
30 Goa 961 968 0.73%
31 Lakshadweep # 948 946 -0.21%
32 Kerala 1058 1084 2.46%
33 Tamil Nadu 987 995 0.81%
34 Puducherry # 1001 1038 3.70%
35 Andaman & Nicobar Islands # 846 878 3.78%
-comparedwith-2001-
Source: http://updateox.com/india~state-wise-sex-raio-in-india-in-2011
census/
Po-,,, P,, and PI,,, denote the populations in the age groups 0-14,60+ and
15-59 respectively, and
K is 100.
e.g. If a country has 263065, 43 172 and 358772 population in the age-groups
0-14,60+ and 15-59 respectively, the dependency ratios are calculated as follows.
263065
Young Dependency Ratio = x 100 = 73.33
358772
43172
Old Dependency Ratio = ~ 1 0 =12.()3
0
358772
The dependency ratio is not a completely accurate measure for assessing the
dependency burden, because not all persons in the working age are employed,
nor all those in the dependent age are economically-dependent. This measure,
however, gives us a broad idea of economic dependency in any population and
is, therefore, widely used.
79
Population and Development
Education: An Overview Check Your Progress
Notes: a) Space given below the question is for writing your answer.
b) Check your answer with the one given at the end of this unit under
"Answers to 'Check Your Progress' Questions".
2) What is dependency ratio? Explain, in brief, its importance in population
analysis. Compute it with any hypotheticaVactua1data of your choice.
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
3) Explain the importance of population pyramid analysis.
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................
2.6.2 Measures of Population Change
It is needless to mention that population always refers to a fixed boundary or
area, such as a Country, State, Province, District, Village, etc. The size of the
population in any area increases through births and immigration and decreases
mainly through death and out-migration.
on the basis of their place of usual residence. Most of the countries follow the
de-jure system of obtaining the total population of all areas. The concept of
"usual residence" is, however, vague and provides enough scope of rnisjudgement.
This does not include foreigners and temporary visitors, though they may be
substantial in number to affect the social and economic activitiesof the population.
Most of the modem censuses, therefore, combine the two systems to derive the
maximum information about the population.
Simple use of the exponential rate of growth of the population gives the idea of
birth and death rates in the remote past. This idea may further be expanded to
ascertain the change in birth rate over time.
Ratios and rates: The terms 'ratio' and 'rate' are not well defined in demography.
There are conceptual distinctions between the two, but these distinctions are not
consistently observed. For instance, survival rate, frequently used in demography
and actuarial science, is the ratio of the number of persons in a cohort at one date
to the number at an earlier date. It simply implies survival fiom a given age to a
subsequent age. It is usually calculated from two age distributions of different
censuses, or fiom a life table population. Survival rate fits the definition of a
ratio, in situations where one number is related to another number, to provide
comparison or relation between these two numbers. However, there are many
types of ratios. For more clarity about the ratios and rates, let us discuss them
2.6.2.1 Ratios
A "ratio" is a single term which expresses the size of one number in relation to
the size of another. Take for example, the sex ratio in the United States. It is
possible to express in a single figure -a ratio,- the fact that there are 978 males
per 1000 females. A ratio of 1000 would mean that the number of males is equal
to the number of females, whereas a ratio over 1000 would mean that there are
more men than women, and a ratio less than 1000 would mean there are fewer
men than women.
Rates are computed in the same manner as ratios. Conceptually, a rate may be
considered as a special case of a ratio. The difference between the two is the kind
of source materialldata used for the two numbers, numerator and denominator.
In demography, the term 'rate' implies a relationship between the numerator and
the denominator. The numerator refers to the events and the denominator is the
population at risk. The precision of a rate depends upon how closely we relate
events in the numerator to the population at risk in the denominator. For instance,
the incidence of divorce is often measured by the Crude Divorce Rate, which is
defined as the number of divorces in a given year per 1000 (or 100,000)midyear
population. This is not a refined measure because it is based on the mid-year
population (denominator)which includes, besides the divorced, the never married,
widowed and other persons who are not at the risk of being divorced.
2.6.2.2 Rates
As mentioned above, rate may be considered as a special case of a ratio. A "rate"
is computed like the ratios, but it has the additional feature of expressing what
81
Popu1Dti0nand has happened in terms of a certain unit of time. Usually, in demographic work,
Education: An Overview
the unit of time is a year if no other time unit is specified. The two most commonly
used rates are crude birth rates and crude death rates.
2.6.2.3 Proportions
A "proportion" is a particular kind of ratio. It does not express the size of one
part of a whole in relation to the size of another part of the same whole, which
you have already noticed under masculinity proportion in sub-section 2.6.1.2
above. A proportion shows the ratio of one part to the whole, or base number. Its
value is always between 0 and 1. For example, dividing the number of males in
1960 (89,008,000) by the total population in 1960 (180 million) of the United
States gives us 0.494, i.e. the proportion of males in the total population. When
there are only two components, as in this case, the proportion of females in the
total population can be calculated by subtracting the proportion of males from 1.
The sum of all the component proportions of a population must add up to 1.
2.6.2.4 Percents
A "percent" is a proportion multiplied by 100.A percent is a ratio calculated on
the assumption that the base number equals 100. For example, if the
above proportion of males (0.494) in the United States in 1960 is multiplied by
100, it gives us 49.4, which means the percent of male population, that is, the
number of males per 100 population. For popular consumption, demographers
turn their proportions into percents, because the percent is more commonly used
and more generally understood.
2.7.1 Systems
The systems existing for population data in general are as follows.
82
A person's entry into the world (by birth) and a person's departure from it (by Demographic Concepts
death) are considered to be vital events;because these events mark the beginning
and the end of a person's life. A still birth or a foetal death is also considered as
a vital event from the demographic point of view, for it is related to both the
events of birth and death. During the span of life from birth to death, a change
may take place in an individual's civil condition, that is, he or she may get married
or divorced, or may be adopted or move away from place of hislher birth. Such
events involving changes in the civil status of a person are also considered vital
Vital records may be defined as those concerned with vital events or those which
have recorded vital events such as births, deaths, still-births, marriages, divorces,
etc. The occurrence of a vital event is reported by the persons concerned to the
appropriate authorities. For instance, parents report the occurrence of a birth,
relatives report a death in the family or an individual reports his or her own
Along with the vital events, some ancillary information is also recorded. In case
of a birth, such information includes the date of birth, the sex of the baby, the age
of the mother and the number of her previous children, the order of the birth, the
residence of the mother, etc. In the case of a death, information of the date of
occurrence, age and sex of the deceased, place of occurrence, usual residence of
the deceased, cause of death, etc., is recorded.
Though any failure to register births and deaths is punishable by law, the
importance of the registration of vital events is neither realized by the masses
nor by the local registering authorities. For most Indian people, few occasions
arise when birth and death certificates are required. It is, therefore, not surprising
that they do not appreciate the necessity of registering vital events.
83
Population and Development 2.7.1.4 Dual Reporting System
Education: An Overview
In many developing countries, in general, the data on births and deaths obtained
from the Civil Registration System are inadequate and inaccurate and, therefore,
are not useful for computing birth and death rates, the rate of population growth
or for any type of demographic analysis. Although efforts to improve the coverage
and quality of data on births and deaths have already been initiated, it is not
possible to improve the entire registration system in a short period of time.
Meanwhile, the need persists for yearly data on births, deaths and population
increase. To overcome this problem, a new method of data collection was
developed by demographers. This system is referred to as the "dual reporting
system". This method, in some form or the other, was tried out in India, Pakistan,
Turkey, Liberia, Colombia, Thailand, Morocco, the Philippines and Kenya, and
the experience gained was quite satisfactory. It is now widely recognized that
this dual report system is a powerful and useful instrument for demographic
purposes.
This new system, i.e. dual reporting system, may be broadly described as follows:
In a dual reporting system, each event of birth and death is enumerated by two
independent procedures; one is the registration of births and deaths, and the
other is the sample survey. The design of this system is based on an appropriate
number of small geographic samples. In each of these sample areas, a continuous
record is kept of the events of births and deaths as they occur. Ancillary
information about the events is also recorded at the same time. In the same sample
area, information about births and deaths along with the relevant information is
collected through periodic retrospective sample surveys. The information on each
event of birth and death, obtained through the continuous current registration
and the retrospective sample survey, is matched and the number of events missed
by both procedures is mathematically estimated. It is thus possible to arrive at an
accurate estimate of total births and deaths in the sample.
2.7.2 Methods
While the systems are in place the methods that the systems follow may be
different. However, the popular methods followed all over the world for
population data are given below.
A census survey of population may be defined "as the total process of collecting,
compiling and publishing demographic, economic and social data pertaining, at
a specified time or times, to all persons in a country or delimited territory". In
other words, it can be said that census is the collection of information about
births, deaths occupational, social and economic conditions of the people of the
country at a given time. Census has become a very popular method of collecting
84
Demographic Concepts
information about the people. It helps not only in collecting figures but is much
more informative beyond that. It provides information about the economy of the
nation, rates of birth and death, rural-urban migration, living standard of the
people, family size, educational achievements, etc.
The first attempt to obtain information about the size of population in India, by
actually counting heads, was made during 1867-1872. This count was neither
synchronous, nor did it cover the whole country. As the noted demographer
Kingsley Davis (quoted in Asha and Tara, 2006, p.32) observed, it was just "an
auspicious beginning" of census taking in India. The next census, which was
synchronous, covered a wider area and was more modem in nature, was
undertaken in 1881. Since then, once in every ten years, a new census has been
taken in India. The 1971 census was the eleventh and marked the completion of
one hundred years of census taking in India. In 1972,the centenary of the Indian
Census was celebrated. The recent 2011 census represents the fifteenth census
of India, in this continuous series.
The Census of 1951, the ninth in the series, was in fact the first census conducted
in independent India. This census report discussed the growth and structure of
the population, and its economic development. The threat posed by the alarming
increase in population was properly evaluated, and the need for curbing the rate
of growth was emphasized. The practice of preparing district census handbooks
was also initiated. Data for smaller administrative units such as a village or an
urban block were thus made available, and micro-level planning became possible.
The Census of 1961 was marked by further improvements; carefully planned
and a great deal of publicity was given to it through the mass media such as
newspapers, pamphlets, radio, cinema, etc. The same practice was continued for
the 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 201 1 censuses, with even further improvements
wherever possible. The data we have used in some tables in the preceding sections
are based on these census reports only.
Today, the need and necessity of scientific means and methods of data collection
is being increasingly realised. Almost every State has passed a legislation by
which it is obligatory on each and every individual to provide relevant information
to the census enumerator. Today census covers not only population but also figures
are collected about houses, animals, schools, religious and charitable institutions,
etc. In fact, with every census every possible effort is made to collect more and
more data, since census survey is done, but only once in every 10 years.
Realising the need and necessity of census UNO in a census handbook has given
certain guidelines to all nations of the world to conduct census on uniform basis.
The data is now collected and brought to the notice of the society as a finished
product after putting it through different stages (Hans Raj, 1986, p.40).
85
onandDevelopment Census Procedure: The procedure of census involves the following steps.
Education: An Overview
i) Determination of Contents
ii) Development of Census Schedule
iii) Division of Work
iv) Required Propaganda
v) Household-survey
vi) Pre-Testing of Questionnaire
vii) Proper Training
viii) Stress on Impartiality
ix) Tabulation of Information
x) Publication of data
iii) Division of work: Before census time comes, the whole country should be
divided into regions and sub-regions for effective survey. In India, such
divisions include States, divisions, districts, tehsils, towns, cities, villages,
etc.
iv) Requiredpropaganda: In every country, before census officials approach Demographic Concepts
the respondents to start their work, the people are mentally prepared. With
the help of newspapers, posters, T.V., cinema, slides, etc., they are informed
that the census time has approached and also that the field-staff will be
contacting every person. They are also made to realise the importance and
significance of census work and legal obligation which they have in this
regard. They are also assured that all the informationwhich will be supplied
by them will be kept strictly confidential.
vii) Proper Training: Since census operation is a very complex process, before
the work starts, every effort should be made to see that the staff which is
being put on duty is well trained.
viii)Stress on Impartiality: Those who are put on duty may have their own
preferences and prejudices. However, they should be made to realise well
in advance that while collecting information from the respondents they
should not allow personal preferences to creep in. Similarly, they should
ensure that they are impartial in their duty and, thus, data collected is
unbiased.
ix) Tabulation of Information: During census period thousands are put on duty
who collect information from crores of people spread in different parts of
the country. The collected information has to be properly tabulated for W h e r
The National Sample Survey: The main objective of the National Sample
Survey has been to collect data on some important socio-economic aspects
on a comprehensive basis for the whole country through its various rounds
i:p ' by using the technique of sample survey. The First Round of the National
Sample Survey (NSS) was conducted in 1950; since then, information on
different items has been collected through various rounds of the NSS. The
?%I , topics covered so far include the following: fertility, mortality, population
24 .,
growth, economically active population, family planning, employment and
unemployment, consumers' expenditure patterns, housing conditions,
manufacturing industries, physically handicapped persons, conditions of the
> The National Family Health Survey (NFHS): The NFHS is a collaborative
8:- project of the International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, all
$4
the Population Research Centers in the country, various data collecting
organisations such as the East-West CenterIMacro International, United
States of America, and the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, New
st Delhi.
The National Family Health Survey (NFHS) which is a household sample survey
was carried out in 24 states and National Capital Territory of Delhi during 1992-
+*'
93. During 1998-99 a second round of the NFHS (NFHS-2) was started. The
-.
NFHS-2 is another important step to strengthen the database further for the
implementation of reproductive and child health approach, adopted by India since
1996. The third survey, (NFHS-3) was taken up in 2005-2006. Thus, these NFHS
surveys include:
National Fertility Household Survey (NFHS) - Phase I, 1992-1993.
National Fertility Household Survey (NFHS) - Phase 11, 1998-1999.
National Fertility Household Survey (NFHS) - Phase 111,2005-2006.
88
De-ic Concepts
2.7.2.4 International Publications
The United Nations and other international organisations periodically publish
demographic data for the world and for different countries. Some of the important
publications are:
IM
Where:
PO-14, and P,,,, denote the populations in the age groups 0-14,
60+ and 15-59 respectively, and
Kis100.
43172
Old Dependency Ratio = XI00 =12.03
358772
2.10 REFERENCES
Asha, A. Bhende, and Tara Kanitkar, 2006. Principles of Population Studies.
Bombay: Himalaya Publishing House.
http://www.aph.gov.au/library/pubs/m/1999-2000/2000m09.htm -Retrieved on
25-09-20 11.
Ian Bowen. 1973.Economics and Demography. London: George Alien, and New
York: McGraw Hill Book Company.
John Graunt. 1662. Natural and Political Observations on the London Bills of
Mortality. London.
- Retrieved
Luczkovich, see http://www.grin.com/en/e-booW60766/demography
on 29-06-2010.
Philip M. Hauser and Otis Dudley Duncan. 1959. "Overview and Conclusions",
in Philip M. Hauser and Otis Dudley ~ u n c a n(Eds.). The Study of Population.
Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
United Nations. 1997.Demographic Year Book 1995. New York: United Nations.
Suggested Readings
Kingsley Davis. 1945. "The World Demographic Transition", The Annals of the
American Academy of Political and Social Science, Vol.ccxxxvii, January.
Kingsley Davis. 1968. The Population ofIndia and Pakistan. New York: Russell
and Russell.
9: