How Generative Ai Could Revitalize Profitability For Telcos
How Generative Ai Could Revitalize Profitability For Telcos
This article is a collaborative effort by Stephen Creasy, Ignacio Ferrero, Tomás Lajous, Víctor Trigo, and Benjamim
Vieira, representing views from McKinsey’s Technology, Media & Telecommunications Practice.
© Getty Images
February 2024
49
Amid the intense competition and cost-cutting enhancing customer revenue through improved
confronting telcos, early evidence suggests that customer life cycle management and decisively
generative AI (gen AI) could be the catalyst to reducing costs across all domains.
reignite growth after a decade of stagnation. But
will it be a groundbreaking differentiator or simply However, while nearly all of the 130 telcos we
table stakes? surveyed are doing something with gen AI, our
survey findings suggest a palpable sense of
Already the technology is on track to become caution and skepticism in the industry. More
a new norm in the industry. Most telco leaders than 85 percent of the executives surveyed
we surveyed1 say they are developing gen AI are cautious to attribute more than 20 percent
solutions that range from pilots to full-scale revenue or cost savings impact by domain,
deployments, and leading telcos such as AT&T, with the greatest enthusiasm for a radical
SK Telecom, and Vodafone have made much- transformation in customer service (Exhibit 1).
publicized early gen AI commitments and
launched trials. Some telcos around the world This blend of optimism and restraint highlights
have started to experience significant double- the critical juncture the industry faces. Seizing
digit percentage impact from this technology. the gen AI opportunity to differentiate services
One European telco recently increased and achieve sustainable growth will require
conversion rates for marketing campaigns by the hidebound industry to embrace innovation,
40 percent while reducing costs by using gen AI exploration, and agility at an unprecedented level
to personalize content. A Latin American telco and move from decoupled AI efforts to a holistic,
increased call center agent productivity by 25 AI-native telco.2
percent and improved the quality of its customer
experience by enhancing agent skills and The chance for telcos to make this change has
knowledge with gen-AI-driven recommendations. never been more accessible. The industry has
struggled these last ten-plus years to achieve the
Most impressive is that these telcos deployed the potential of “traditional” AI, given the complexity
models in just weeks—the first went live in two and legacy processes involved. In addition to
weeks, and the second in five. For an industry the significant impact gen AI can bring to bear
with a mixed track record for capitalizing on with entirely new use cases and applications,
new technologies and legacy systems that slow its ability to learn from vast amounts of diverse
innovation, these early results and deployment data and interact in near-human-like ways may
times illustrate the potentially transformative be the tipping point for accelerating broader AI
power of gen AI. programs and the building blocks that enable
them, fueling company-wide transformations.
These aren’t one-offs. Pretrained models that
can be fine-tuned in days for use cases are Furthermore, the imperative for such change has
readily available, enabling organizations to never been greater. Because gen AI democratizes
bring proofs-of-concept to life with minimal access to powerful capabilities, any telco—a
up-front investment, achieve impact out of the small operator or large incumbent—can reshape
gate, and scale their efforts. Our experience customer expectations and its organizational
working with clients indicates the potential for efficiency. In doing so, they can potentially narrow
telcos to achieve significant EBITDA impact previously unassailable competitive advantages
with gen AI. In some cases, estimates indicate and overturn long-standing barriers to growth.
returns on incremental margins increasing 3 to Those at the forefront of this movement stand to
4 percentage points in two years, and as much position themselves to regain growth faster and
as 8 to 10 percentage points in five years, by capture a more significant share of the nearly
1
The online survey was in the field from November 9, 2023, to December 6, 2023, and garnered responses from 130 telco operators in
North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.
2
See “The AI-native telco: Radical transformation to thrive in turbulent times,” McKinsey, Feb. 27, 2023.
2 1 1 2
6 2 3 1 3 6
8
7 6
13 15
15
32
35 30
40
87
39
50
47
34
16
1
Gen AI CxO Survey 2023, n = 130, Q: What is the impact (% cost reduction) attributed to generative AI in the different domains? Percentages consider
answers only from respondents claiming to have achieved impact and to have at least some use cases in execution; figures may not sum to 100% because
of rounding.
Source: McKinsey analysis
$100 billion in incremental value (Exhibit 2). Gen AI today in the telco industry
That is in addition to the $140 billion to $180 Gen AI represents the latest advance in AI, and
billion in productivity gains that gen AI will it may arguably be one of the most important.
create in the industry above what could be The technology’s ability to analyze more and
unlocked by traditional AI. different types of data such as code, images,
and text, and to create new content, enables
How can telco leaders use the technology new levels of personalization, performance,
to drive AI transformations and unlock new and customer engagement. With today’s
value? What challenges do they face? And capabilities, many use cases are already
what will it take to succeed? This article offers possible across network operations, customer
insights into these critical questions, drawing service, marketing and sales, IT, and support
extensively from our research, industry survey, functions.
and firsthand experience implementing these
technologies.
60–100 310–500
250–400 ~35–70%
incremental
~15–40% economic
incremental impact
economic
impact
1
Updated use case estimates from “Notes from the AI frontier: Applications and value of deep learning,” McKinsey Global Institute, April 17, 2018.
Source: McKinsey Global Institute, The economic potential of generative AI, June 14, 2023
These use cases can both enhance existing AI — In marketing and sales, where gen AI enables
capabilities (through the inclusion of new hyperpersonalization, deeper customer insights,
unstructured data sources) and provide new sources and faster content generation. A European telco
of value (through gen AI and in combination with is using the technology to identify new sales
traditional AI solutions) to deliver significant impact leads from customer calls, with its pilot project
across all key domains. Customer service and achieving a more than 10 percent conversion rate.
marketing and sales currently make up the largest The company can now also create personalized
share of total impact (Exhibit 3). messages and visual media to target individual
customer microsegments. To do this, the telco
Examples of such use cases based on early pilots feeds a gen AI model standard marketing
include the following: messages, customer data (including household
details, type of phone they use, and where they
— In customer service, where the technology can live), and cognitive biases (for example, whether
vastly improve customer experience, increase the customer would be more receptive to
agent productivity, and enable fully digital messaging that evokes scarcity, such as a limited-
interactions. A Latin American telco is enhancing time offer, or emphasizes authority, such as
its customer service AI chatbots to improve agent endorsements, awards, and industry experience).
support, a move it anticipates will reduce costs by
15 to 20 percent. The telco also is using gen AI to — In network operations, where gen AI can optimize
summarize voice and written client interactions technology configurations, enhance labor
in nearly a dozen use cases, with the expectation productivity, extract customer insights from
that it can reduce associated costs by up to 80 social media, and improve inventory and network
percent. planning and management through the ability to
Distribution of impact by business domain¹ Share of total impact, % Share of surveyed business
leaders focused on domain, %
Customer Marketing Support
service and sales Network IT functions
1
The distribution of impact by business domain is based on our experience working with telco companies to deploy gen AI and includes impacts on both capital
expenditure and EBITDA.
mine unstructured data. One large telco is resource constraints. Organizations are
using the technology to accelerate network applying gen AI to streamline the entire
mapping by analyzing and structuring data software life cycle, from documenting how
about network components, including a new product, feature, or service will be
specifications and maintenance information, perceived by end users to generating and
from supplier contracts. This will enable the scanning code for vulnerabilities before
telco to more accurately assess component launch. One McKinsey study found that
compatibility, maintenance requirements, software developers can complete coding
and more—an effort anticipated to improve tasks up to twice as fast with gen AI. 3
operational planning and optimize capital
productivity. — In support functions, where gen AI will
reduce the costs associated with back-
— In IT, where the technology can accelerate office operations and improve employee
software migrations and development. Gen AI productivity. A European telco uses the
offers telcos a path to reduce their mounting technology in a number of ways, including:
technical debt and enable capabilities shortening procurement analysis and
previously deferred because of time and negotiation strategy insights from weeks
3
“Unleashing developer productivity with generative AI,” McKinsey, June 27, 2023.
4
See “Rewired to outcompete,” McKinsey Quarterly, June 20, 2023.
93
85
79 79
75
60 58
57 57
53 53 54 51
54
37
29
11 13
7 7
However, while the same holistic approach is foundation model from scratch (what we refer to
required, gen AI’s unique capabilities—its ability as the “taker,” “shaper,” and “maker” approach,
to surface new insights from seemingly unrelated respectively).
data, its reliance on large language models from
third-party vendors, and its transformative impact Each is suitable for different use cases and has
on roles and work—present new challenges that its own costs, requiring leaders to develop not
will require greater agility and additional oversight. only a clear vision and strategy for which use
Next, we outline key differences and provide cases to pursue, but also how. One mistake we
recommendations on how telcos can best see some telcos making is building common gen
tackle them. AI solutions from scratch—a content generator or
call summarization solution for example—when
Strategy: Determine when to build, buy, or fine- there are nearly a dozen out-of-the-box options
tune solutions on the market today from gen AI start-ups or
As with any AI initiative, leaders will need to align SaaS vendors injecting gen AI capabilities into
on vision, value, and road map, assessing both existing solutions. Only one-third of surveyed
risks and opportunities, and communicating telco leaders say they buy products off the shelf,
guidelines for use across the organization. In suggesting that many telcos continue to embrace
building a road map, telco leaders will face a a do-it-yourself model. This move is likely to
choice: use a commercial, off-the-shelf solution slow innovation and distract talent from more
if one exists, fine-tune existing large language differentiating use cases, as it has in the past with
models with internal data, or build and train a new other technologies.
Talent: Upskill and expand internal expertise to Operating model: Orchestrate efforts
innovate with gen AI enterprise-wide
The speed of innovation that is now possible with A significant portion of implemented gen AI
gen AI puts new pressure on telcos accustomed solutions can be adapted and reused in multiple
to outsourcing tech talent to build in-house use cases. A gen AI chatbot developed to
AI expertise. Consider the experiences of two improve agent productivity, for example, can be
telcos—one that continued offshoring and repurposed with additional fine-tuning or data
outsourcing tech talent and one that created to answer frequently asked questions by new
a dedicated AI team of ten data scientists and employees or provide IT support. An off-the-shelf
engineers. In the time the first telco took to draft content generation system for drafting sales
requirements for outsourcing gen AI use-case proposals may also streamline the development
development, the second built and deployed four of marketing and business plans.
gen AI solutions.
As a result, we’re beginning to see telcos adopt
While this new technology democratizes AI by more centralized decision making around gen
requiring fewer highly specialized data scientists AI development. This shift includes a greater
to build the models, it requires new skills, such as emphasis on adopting reusable services and self-
gen AI prompt engineering, which may sometimes service components, an evolution of key functions,
be a separate skill embedded within traditional such as risk, FinOps, and transformation offices,
roles. It also requires significantly more data to be more focused on gen AI, and the creation
engineers and subject matter experts who of “control towers” that can oversee all gen AI
understand what data to collect and how, and investments and development efforts. In practice,
who can oversee daily quality reviews as new that can mean, for example, prioritizing the
forms of data are generated and consumed by use-case pipeline, identifying opportunities for
these systems, including user queries, responses, reusability, setting key performance indicators to
and feedback. measure and track impact at the level of both use
Stephen Creasy is a partner in McKinsey’s Copenhagen office, Ignacio Ferrero is a partner in the Miami office,
Tomás Lajous is a senior partner in the New York City office, Víctor Trigo is an associate partner in the Madrid
office, and Benjamim Vieira is a senior partner in the Lisbon office.
The authors wish to thank Joshan Cherian Abraham, Eric Buesing, Michael Chui, Guilherme Cruz, Sebastian Cubela,
Andrea Fariña, Roger Roberts, and Kayvaun Rowshankish for their contributions to this article.