AWEEHA UMAR 02-112221-060 ASSIGNMENT NO 2

Question 1:

Data:
N 15
P(X1=consolidating or reducing errands) 27%
P(X2=culting recreational driving) 30%

X P(X1) P(X2)
0 0.01 0.00
1 0.05 0.03
2 0.13 0.09
3 0.21 0.17
4 0.23 0.22
5 0.19 0.21
6 0.11 0.15
7 0.05 0.08
8 0.02 0.03
9 0.01 0.01
10 0.00 0.00
11 0.00 0.00
12 0.00 0.00
13 0.00 0.00
14 0.00 0.00
15 0.00 0.00
Total: 1.00 1.00

Solution:
Part A) P(X=6) 11.42%

Part B) P(X=0) 0.47%

Part C) P(X>9) 0.4%

Question 2:

Data:
P(X1=Slightly higher pay or yes) 40%
P(X2=Shortage of qualified job candidates) 88%
N(Workers) 16
N(Companies) 13

Workers Companies
X P(X1) X P(X2)
0 0.00 0 0.00
1 0.00 1 0.00
2 0.02 2 0.00
3 0.05 3 0.00
4 0.10 4 0.00
5 0.16 5 0.00
6 0.20 6 0.00
7 0.19 7 0.00
8 0.14 8 0.01
9 0.08 9 0.05
10 0.04 10 0.14
11 0.01 11 0.28
12 0.00 12 0.34
13 0.00 13 0.19
14 0.00 Total: 1.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
Total: 1.00

Solution:
Part A) P(X1>=9)= 14.23%

Part B) P(3=<X1>=6)= 50.88%

Part C) P(X2=10) 13.76%

Part D) P(X2<=13) 1

Part E) E(x)=Mean=N(Companies)*P(x2=Shortage of job candidates) 11.44

 Question 3:

Data:
N 20
P(x=Called 800 or 900 telephone numbers) 60%

X P(x)
0 0.00
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.01
8 0.04
9 0.07
10 0.12
11 0.16
12 0.18
13 0.17
14 0.12
15 0.07
16 0.03
17 0.01
18 0.00
19 0.00
20 0.00
Total: 1.00

Solution:
Part A) P(x>=13) 41.59%

Part B) P(x>17) 0.36%

Part C) P(x<5) 0.03%

 Question 4:

Data:
N 15
P(companies) 20%

X P(x)
0 0.04
1 0.13
2 0.23
3 0.25
4 0.19
5 0.10
6 0.04
7 0.01
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
Total: 1.00

Solution:
Part A) P(x=5)= 10.32%
probabilty histogram
Part B) P(x>10)= 0.00%

Part C) P(x=0) 3.52%

Part D) P(4=<x>=8) 35.11%

Part E) Graph

16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2
istogram
0.30

0.25

0.20

0.15

0.10

0.05

0.00
6 4 2 0
Question 5:

Data:
Mean customers in 4-minute interval 3.2
P(x)=Probability of no. of customers arriving randomly every 4 minutes

Solution:
P(X>7) 1.68%
 Question 6:

Data:
P(x=making a mistake in processing a deposit) 0.0003
N 10,000
Mean= (P*N) 3

X P(x)
1 0.15
2 0.22
3 0.22
4 0.17
5 0.10
6 0.05
7 0.02
8 0.01
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
17 0.00
18 0.00
19 0.00
20 0.00
21 0.00
22 0.00
23 0.00
24 0.00
25 0.00
26 0.00
27 0.00
28 0.00
29 0.00
30 0.00
31 0.00
32 0.00
33 0.00
34 0.00
35 0.00
36 0.00
37 0.00
38 0.00
39 0.00
 40 0.00
41 0.00
42 0.00
43 0.00
44 0.00
45 0.00
46 0.00
47 0.00
48 0.00
49 0.00
50 0.00
...... ......
10000 0
Total: 1

Solution:
P(x>6)=1-P(x<=6) = 3.35%
Question no 7
DATA
mean(per year) 0.7
mean ( 5 years) 3.5
mean(6 years) 4.2

SOLUTION

part a) p(x=0) 49.66%

part b) p(x=1) 34.76%

part c) p(x>=2) 15.58%

part d) p(x<=3) 53.66%

part e) P(x=4) 19.44%

Question no 1

DATA
average (defective pen) 1.1
x(pens produce) 200

Solution

a) p(x=0) 33.29%

b) p(x>=7) 0.01%

c) p(x>3) 2.57%
Question 9

DATA
mean 200
standard deviation 47
x ?

SOLUTION

a) 70% of the value greater than x -0.5244005127

175.3531759
b) x' is less than 20% of the values 0.8416212336
239.55619798
c) 25% of the values are less then 'x' -0.6744897502
168.29898174
d) x' is greater than 65% of the values 0.3853204664
218.11006192
 Question 10:

Data:
Mean 560
Standard Deviation 100

Solution:
Part A) P(x>750)= 1-P(x<=750) 2.87%

Part B) P(x<=590) 61.79%

Part C) P(350<=x<=630)=P(x<=630)-P(x<=349) 74.06%

 Question 11:

Data:
Mean refund of the amount of tax at the end of a year 1332
Standard Deviation 725

Solution:
Part A) P(x>1900)=1-P(x<=1900) 21.67%

Part B) P(x=0) 3.31%

Part C) P(200<=x<=800)=P(x<=800)-P(x<=199) 17.25%

 Question 12:

Data:
P(x>21)=1-P(x<=21) 0.625
x 21
Standard Deviation 6.2
Mean=x - (z-score*Standard Deviation) ?

Solution:
Z-score -0.318639
Mean 22.97556
 Question 13:

Data:
Mean gallons of gasoline used per year 750
P(x<500) 0.2912
x 499
Standard Deviation=(x - Mean)/z-score

Solution:
Z-score -0.549882
Mean 456.4612