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Week 7 Stats 1

1. The document provides examples and solutions to probability questions involving arranging boys and girls in a line, possible outcomes in multiple choice questions, predicting stock prices, and students participating in sports teams. 2. It calculates probabilities using concepts like fundamental counting principle, addition rule, multiplication rule, and conditional probability. 3. The questions cover a range of probability topics including binomial, multinomial, and conditional probability distributions.

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Ilakiya T
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© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views

Week 7 Stats 1

1. The document provides examples and solutions to probability questions involving arranging boys and girls in a line, possible outcomes in multiple choice questions, predicting stock prices, and students participating in sports teams. 2. It calculates probabilities using concepts like fundamental counting principle, addition rule, multiplication rule, and conditional probability. 3. The questions cover a range of probability topics including binomial, multinomial, and conditional probability distributions.

Uploaded by

Ilakiya T
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Statistics for Data Science-1

Week 7 Graded assignment

1. m boys and 2 girls are to be placed next to each other in the school ground for morning
assembly. What is the probability that there are exactly 4 boys between the 2 girls?
2m − 5
a. m+2 P
2
2m − 6
b. m+2
P2
2m − 6
c. m+3
P2
2m − 4
d. m+2
P2
Answer: b
Solution:
There are a total of (m + 2) places to arrange the 2 girls.
Therefore, the number of ways in which 2 girls can be arranged = m+2P 2
Positioning of the 2 girls such that there are exactly 4 boys between them can be done
in the following ways:
Case 1: First girl at 1st place and second girl at 6th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.
Case 2: First girl at 2nd place and second girl at 7th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.
Similarly,
Case (m-3): First girl at (m − 3)th place and second girl at (m + 2)th place, and
vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.

Hence, Number of possible ways such that there are exactly 4 boys between the 2 girls
= 2 × (m − 3) = 2m − 6 ways.
2m − 6
Therefore, P[There are exactly 4 boys between the 2 girls] = m+2
P2
Hence, option (b) is correct.
Example: m = 8
There are a total of 10 places to arrange the 2 girls.
Therefore, the number of ways in which 2 girls can be arranged = 10P 2
Positioning of the 2 girls such that there are exactly 4 boys between them can be done
in the following ways:
Case 1: First girl at 1st place and second girl at 6th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.

1
Case 2: First girl at 2nd place and second girl at 7th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.
Case 3: First girl at 3rd place and second girl at 8th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.
Case 4: First girl at 4th place and second girl at 9th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.
Case 5: First girl at 5th place and second girl at 10th place and vice-versa, i.e. 2 ways.

Hence, Number of possible ways such that there are exactly 4 boys between the 2 girls
= 2 × 5 = 10 ways.
10 10 1
Therefore, P[There are exactly 4 boys between the 2 girls] = 10 = =
P2 90 9
Hence, option (b) is correct.

2. In a Multiple Select Question, there are m options, of which one or more can be correct.
Let us define an event E that the option ‘A’ is correct. What is the cardinality of E?
Solution:
Case 1: Only option A is correct.
Number of possible elements = 1 i.e. {(A)}
Case 2: Two options are correct and A is one of them.
Number of possible elements = m−1C 1 = m − 1
Case 3: Three options are correct and A is one of them.
Number of possible elements = m−1C 2
Similarly,
Case m: All options are correct.
Number of possible elements 1
Hence, Cardinality of E = 1 + m−1C 1 + m−1C 2 + ... + 1 = 2m−1
Example: m=4
Case 1: Only option A is correct.
Number of possible elements = 1 i.e. {(A)}
Case 2: Two options are correct and A is one of them.
Number of possible elements = 3C 1 = 3 i.e. {(A,B),(A,C),(A,D)}
Case 3: Three options are correct and A is one of them.
Number of possible elements = 3C 2 = 3 i.e. {(A,B,C),(A,B,D),(A,C,D)}
Case 4: All options are correct.
Number of possible elements 1 i.e. {(A,B,C,D)}
Hence, Cardinality of E = 1 + 3 + 3 + 1 = 23 = 8

3. A person predicts daily whether the price of stocks of wrist watch companies will go
up or down. If his prediction on stock price of Titan is correct a times out of b, for
Rolex it is correct p times out of q and for Fossil it is correct x times out of y, then
what is the probability that at least two of his predictions are correct on a given day?
          
a p x a p x a p x a p x
a. × × 1− + × 1− × + 1− × × + × ×
b q y b q y b q y b q y

2
        
a p x a p x a p x
b. × × 1− + × 1− × + 1− × ×
b q y b q y b q y
       
a p x a p x a p x a p x
c. × × + × × + × × + × ×
b q y b q y b q y b q y
     
a p x a p x a p x
d. × × + × × + × ×
b q y b q y b q y
Answer: a
Solution:
Let us define the following events:
A : Prediction for Titan is correct.
B : Prediction for Rolex is correct.
C : Prediction for Fossil is correct.
We are given that :
a p x
P (A) = , P (B) = and P (C) =
b q y
Case 1: Prediction for only Titanand Rolex is correct
a p x
P (A ∩ B ∩ C c ) = × × 1 −
b q y
Case 2: Prediction foronly Titan and Fossil is correct
a p x
P (A ∩ B c ∩ C) = × 1 − ×
b q y
Case 3: Prediction  for aonly
 Rolex and Fossil is correct
c p x
P (A ∩ B ∩ C) = 1 − × ×
b q y
Case 4: All predictions are correct.
a p x
P (A ∩ B ∩ C) = × ×
b q y
Hence, P (At least two predictions are correct)
          
a p x a p x a p x a p x
= × × 1− + × 1− × + 1− × × + × ×
b q y b q y b q y b q y
Hence, option (a) is correct.

Example: a = 4, b = 5, p =, q = 6, x = 3, y = 4
Let us define the following events:
A : Prediction for Titan is correct.
B : Prediction for Rolex is correct.
C : Prediction for Fossil is correct.
We are given that :
4 5 3
P (A) = , P (B) = and P (C) =
5 6 4
Case 1: Prediction for only Titan and Rolex is correct

3
4 5 1 20
P (A ∩ B ∩ C c ) = × × =
5 6 4 120
Case 2: Prediction for only Titan and Fossil is correct
4 1 3 12
P (A ∩ B c ∩ C) = × × =
5 6 4 120
Case 3: Prediction for only Rolex and Fossil is correct
1 5 3 15
P (Ac ∩ B ∩ C) = × × =
5 6 4 120
Case 4: All predictions are correct.
4 5 3 60
P (A ∩ B ∩ C) = × × =
5 6 4 120
20 15 12 60 107
Hence, P (At least two predictions are correct)= + + + =
120 120 120 120 120
Hence, option (a) is correct.

4. There are a total of n students who are part of badminton, table tennis and tennis team
of the college. Of which x% of students play table tennis, p% play tennis and a% play
badminton. It is also noticed that all students who play tennis also play table tennis,
but not badminton. Now a student is selected at random, what is the probability that
he/she is the part of table tennis team only? (Enter the answer correct to 1 decimal
place.)
Solution:

4
 
a+p
Therefore, probability that he/she is the part of table tennis team only = 1 −
100

Example: n = 150, x = 50, p = 20, a = 70

15 1
Therefore, probability that he/she is the part of table tennis team only = =
150 10
Hence, option a is correct.
5. The chance that a student will clear the quiz 1 paper is a and the chance that he will
clear both quiz 1 and quiz 2 papers is b. The chance that he will clear at least one
quiz paper is c. What is the chance that he will clear quiz 2 paper? (Enter the answer
correct to 2 decimal accuracy)
Solution:
Let us define the following events:
A: Student will clear the quiz 1 paper ; B: Student will clear the quiz 2 paper.
We are given that:
P (A) = a, P (A ∩ B) = b, P (A ∪ B) = c and we want, P (B)
Now, P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) − P (A ∩ B) =⇒ c = a + P (B) − b
P (B) = d = c − a + b

5
For example: a = 0.4, b = 0.3, c = 0.5
Let us define the following events:
A: Student will clear the quiz 1 paper ; B: Student will clear the quiz 2 paper.
We are given that:
P (A) = 0.4, P (A ∩ B) = 0.3, P (A ∪ B) = 0.5 and we want, P (B)
Now, P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) − P (A ∩ B) =⇒ 0.5 = 0.4 + P (B) − 0.3
P (B) = 0.5 − 0.4 + 0.3 = 0.4
Therefore, the chance that the student will clear the quiz 2 paper is 0.4

6. If P (A) = x and P (B) = y and probability of the complement of (A ∪ B) is z, then


calculate P (A ∪ B)? (Enter the answer correct to 2 decimal point accuracy)
Solution:
P (A ∪ B) = 1 − P (A ∪ B)c = 1 − z
For example: x = 0.2 , y = 0.5, and z = 0.4
P (A ∪ B) = 1 − P (A ∪ B)c = 1 − 0.4 = 0.6

7. a cards are drawn at random from a pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that b are
black and c are red. (Enter the answer correct to two decimal places)
Solution:
Since there are 26 black cards (of spades and clubs) and 26 red cards (of diamonds and
26
Cb ×26 Cc
hearts) in a pack of cards, the required probability= 52 C
a
Example: a = 4, b = 2 and c = 2
Since there are 26 black cards (of spades and clubs) and 26 red cards (of diamonds and
26
C2 ×26 C2
hearts) in a pack of cards, the required probability= 52 C
= 0.39
4

Pramod goes to a shop to buy some clothes. Shopkeeper shows him x shirts, y pants
and z t-shirts. If he selects three clothes at random, then based on the information,
answer the questions 8, 9 and 10.

8. Find the probability that the randomly chosen clothes are of different type. (Enter the
answer correct to three decimal places)
Solution:
The total number of cases are x+y+z C3 .
Since the number of favourable cases of getting one cloth of each type is
= x C 1 ×y C 1 ×z C 1
x
C 1 ×y C 1 ×z C 1
Therefore, the required probability= x+y+z C
3

For example: x = 5, y = 4, z = 10
The total number of cases are 19 C3 .
Since the number of favourable cases of getting one cloth of each type is

6
= 5 C1 ×4 C1 ×10 C1
5
C1 ×4 C1 ×10 C1 200
Therefore, the required probability= 19 C
= = 0.2064
3 969
9. Find the probability that the randomly chosen clothes does not contain pant. (Enter
the answer correct to two decimal places)
Solution:
The total number of cases are x+y+z C3 .
If randomly chosen clothes does not contain pant, then all the three clothes must be
from shirts and t-shirts, i.e., from x + z clothes. Hence, the number of favourable cases
for this event is x+z C3 .
x+z
C3
Therefore, the required probability= x+y+z
C3
For example: x = 5, y = 4, z = 10
The total number of cases are 19 C3 .
If randomly chosen clothes does not contain pant, then all the three clothes must be
from shirts and t-shirts, i.e., from 5+10 = 15 clothes. Hence, the number of favourable
cases for this event is 15 C3 .
15
C3 2730
Therefore, the required probability= 19 = = 0.4695
C3 5814
10. Find the probability that at least one of the clothes is a shirt. (Enter the answer correct
to two decimal places)
Solution:
The total number of cases are x+y+z C3 .
P(at least one of the clothes is shirt) = 1-P(none of the three clothes is shirt)
In order that none of the 3 clothes is shirt, all the 3 clothes must be from pants and
t-shirts,i.e, from y + z clothes and the number of favourable cases for this event is
y+z
C3 .
y+z
C3
P(none of the three clothes is shirt)= x+y+z
C3
y+z
C3
Hence, P(at least one of the clothes is shirt)=1 − x+y+z
C3
For example: x = 5, y = 4, z = 10
The total number of cases are 19 C3 .
P(at least one of the clothes is shirt) = 1-P(none of the three clothes is shirt)
In order that none of the 3 clothes is shirt, all the 3 clothes must be from pants and
t-shirts, i.e, from 4 + 10 = 14 clothes and the number of favourable cases for this event
is 14 C3 .
14
C3 2184
P(none of the three clothes is shirt)= 19 =
C3 5814
2184
Hence, P(at least one of the clothes is shirt)=1 − = 0.624
5814
11. An urn contains 3 balls numbered 1, 2 and 3. The co-efficients of the equation

7
px2 + qx + c = 0 is determined by drawing the numbered balls with replacement. What
is the probability that the equation will have imaginary roots?
Nature of roots:
Consider a quadratic equation: ax2 + bx + c = 0
Compute D = b2 − 4ac < 0
(
D < 0 imaginary roots
Roots =
D ≥ 0 real roots

4
a.
27
23
b.
27
16
c.
27
d. None of the above

Answer: b
Solution:
Since each coefficient in equation px2 +qx+c = 0 is determined by drawing a numbered
ball from the urn, each of the coefficients p, q and c can take values from 1 to 3.
Therefore, total number of possible outcomes = 3 × 3 × 3 = 27
P [Imaginary roots] = 1 − P [Real roots]
For a Quadratic equation to have real roots, the equation q 2 − 4pc ≥ 0 should be
satisfied.
The number of favourable cases for real roots are:

pc p c 4pc q (such that q 2 − 4pc ≥ 0) No. of cases


1 1 1 4 2, 3 2
2 1 2 8 3 1
2 1 8 3 1

Hence, Total number of favourable cases for real roots = 2 + 1 + 1 = 4


4
Therefore, P [Real roots]=
23
4 23
P [Imaginary roots]=1 − =
23 27
Hence, option (b) is correct.

12. If A and B are mutually exclusive or disjoint events, then which of the following is/are
always true:

a. P (A) = P (B)

8
b. P (A) < P (B)
c. P (A) ≤ P (B c )
d. P (A) ≥ P (B c )

Answer: c
Solution:
Since, A and B are mutually exclusive or disjoint events.
Therefore, A ∩ B = φ
A = (A ∩ B) ∪ (A ∩ B c ) = φ ∪ (A ∩ B c ) = A ∩ B c
Therefore, A ⊆ B c ⇒ P (A) ≤ P (B c )

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