Statistics and Probability11 q1 m1 Random Variables and Probability Distributions v3
Statistics and Probability11 q1 m1 Random Variables and Probability Distributions v3
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Table of Contents
ii
What I Need To Know
Module Content
The lessons that we will tackle are the following:
Lesson 1 – The Concept of Random Variables
Lesson 2 – Probability Distribution of Discrete Random Variables
Lesson 3 – Solving for the Mean, Variance, and Standard
Deviation of Discrete Probability Distributions
Module Objectives
Once you are done with this module, you should be able to:
1
(M11/12SP-IIIb-1) illustrate the mean and variance of a discrete random variable;
(M11/12SP-IIIb-2) calculate the mean and the variance of a discrete random
variable;
(M11/12SP-IIIb-3) interpret the mean and the variance of a discrete random
variable; and
(M11/12SP-IIIb-4) solve problems involving mean and variance of probability
distributions.
General Instructions
To complete the objectives of this module, you must
DO THE FOLLOWING:
Patiently read the text carefully and understand every sentence. Do
not proceed to the next part of the module without fully
understanding the previous text.
Read the directions of each activity carefully. You will be guided as
to the steps in answering the exercises and activities of this module.
Do not proceed to the next part without completing the previous
activities.
Be aware of the following terms:
Continuous having the property that the absolute value of the numerical
difference between the value at a given point and the value at any
point in a neighborhood of the given point can be made as close
to zero as desired by choosing the neighborhood small enough.
Die a small cube marked on each face with from one to six spots and
used usually in games by being shaken and thrown to come to
rest at random on a flat surface.
Discrete consisting of distinct or unconnected elements
Finite having limits or having a limited nature
Infinite extremely large or having no limits
Measurement the process of getting the amount or degree of something
Notation a system of marks, signs, figures, or characters that is used to
represent information
Random without definite aim, direction, rule, or method.
Source: Merriam - Webster's collegiate dictionary, 1999
2
What I Know (Pre-Test)
Multiple Choice. Encircle the letter of the best answer.
b. X 1 3 5 7 9
P(X) 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
c. X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
d. X 4 8 12 14 16
P(X) 0.36 0.21 0.10 0.09 0.24
3
7. Tossing a die has the following probability distribution. Find the standard
deviation of the number of spots that will appear when a die is tossed.
Number of spots (Y) 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability P(Y) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6
a. 0.167 b. 1.667 c. 1.7 d. 2.9
For numbers 8-10, refer to the probability distribution below.
Y 0 1 2 3 4 5
P(Y) 0.11 0.15 0.23 0.25 0.13 0.13
8. What is the mean of the probability distribution?
a. 2.23 b. 2.33 c. 2.43 d. 2.53
9. What is the variance of the probability distribution?
a. 1.25 b. 2.25 c. 3.25 d. 4.25
10. What is the standard deviation of the probability distribution?
a. 1.25 b. 1.50 c. 2.00 d. 2.25
4
LESSON The Concept of Random
1 Variables
LEARNING CONCEPT
Let’s begin with the idea of a random variable. A random
variable may be confusing to you at first especially if you associate it
with the common variables that we use in algebra. Let us differentiate:
Note: The values “0 and 1” are just models/examples. You may use other values like
10, 500, and even 2,020. Still, the values 0 and 1 are most commonly used in statistics.
5
Below are some more examples of random variables:
Number of defective cell phones produced in a manufacturing factory daily
Amount of paint needed to repaint a room
Amount of time needed to walk from home to school
Gender of students taking up BS Criminology
Height of applicants for the Miss Universe pageant
There are two varieties of random variables that are numerical in nature:
the sample space is finite (can be there are infinite elements in the sample
counted) because each sample has a space wherein each sample are so
space between them closely packed such that infinite number
of elements can fit throughout the
sample space
Note: A sample space is the set of all possible outcomes in a random experiment.
Here are some more examples of discrete and continuous random variables.
6
What’s New
Try and classify the following random variables as discrete or
continuous. Each random variable is assigned a letter. Once grouped,
crack and form the “hidden words” from the letters of each group.
(T) number of deaths due to AIDS (H) number of channels in Sea cable
(O) weight of ₱100 worth of pork (A) number of satellites orbiting the Earth
(K) number of notebooks in a student’s bag (N) number of gadgets in a household
(U) volume of diesel used in a trip (Y) time needed to solve a Rubik’s cube
From the entries written in the table above, try to fill out the table below.
7
What I Can Do:
Activity 1
8
LESSON Probability Distribution of
2 Discrete Random Variables
Learning Concept
Again, the purpose of using random variable is so that we could
measure observations and process data to make a conclusion about
the population. So what are the possible values of a random variable, you might ask?
Below are some random variables with their corresponding possible values.
Random
Description Set of Possible Values
Variable
V marital status of teachers single, married, widow, …
W number of dots after rolling a die 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
X tossing a coin Heads, Tails
Y tossing two coins HT, HH, TH, TT
Z household pet being raised dog, cat, mouse, snake, rabbit, …
As a statistician, you must be able to identify the set of possible values of your
random variable even before conducting your survey.
Example 1. Suppose you are to test three random eggplants from a harvest to see if
there are worms in it. You want to find out the number of eggplants attacked by worms.
Use W to represent if there is a worm attack in an eggplant and N if there is none.
Note: The letters W and N are not random variables but are used to
represent the possible outcome upon checking an eggplant. X is the
random variable representing the number of eggplants attacked by worms.
Again, you are sampling three eggplants. The table below has been
filled out to illustrate and demonstrate the possible outcomes of this
experiment. Try to understand the values therein.
9
Value of Random Variable X
Possible Outcomes (number of eggplants with The possible values of
the random variable X are
worm attacks)
0, 1, 2, and 3.
NNN 0
NNW 1
NWN 1
NWW 2
WNN 1
WNW 2
WWN 2
WWW 3
Example 2. Suppose that four coins are tossed. Let Y be the random variable
representing the number of heads that occur. Complete the table below to find the
possible values of Y.
Value of Random Variable Y
Possible Outcomes
(number of heads)
HHHH 4
HHHT 3
HHTH 3
HHTT 2
HTHH 3
HTHT
HTTH
HTTT
THHH
THHT
THTH
THTT
TTHH
TTHT
TTTH
TTTT
The possible values of the random variable Y are 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4.
Now that we already have the possible values of the random variable, we can
now construct the probability distribution. Looking back at example 1, the random
variable X represents the number of damaged eggplants in a harvest. We have defined
the sample space and their corresponding values in the table below.
10
Value of Random Variable X
Possible Outcomes
(number of eggplants with worm attacks)
NNN 0
NNW 1
NWN 1
NWW 2
WNN 1
WNW 2
WWN 2
WWW 3
Number of eggplants
Probability P(X)
with worm attacks X
There are 8 possible outcomes and
1 only 1 of them had no worm at all. So
0
8 the probability that we shall assign is 8.
1
11
The table shown on the previous page is what we call the probability distribution
or probability mass function of the random variable 𝑌𝑌. We can graph the distribution in
the form of a histogram as presented below.
3/8
What is a histogram?
What’s New
Based on the distribution above, the table below shows some
more probabilities. Can you explain how these values were obtained?
12
In example 2, the random variable Y represents the number of heads that occur
when tossing four coins. We have defined the sample space and their corresponding
values as shown in the table below.
Value of Random Variable Y
Possible Outcomes
(number of heads)
HHHH 4
HHHT 3
HHTH 3
HHTT 2
HTHH 3
HTHT 2
HTTH 2
HTTT 1
THHH 3
THHT 2
THTH 2
THTT 1
TTHH 2
TTHT 1
TTTH 1
TTTT 0
Number of heads Y Probability P(Y) Let’s stop and think for a moment.
1
0 Can you explain why the probability
16
values P(Y) are like that? Where did
4 1
1 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 the denominator 16 come from? How
16 4
about the numerator values 1, 4, 6, 4,
6 3 and 1? Where did they come from?
2 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜
16 8
4 1 Getting the sum of all probabilities in
3 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 the distribution we get
1 4 6
+ 16 + 16 +
16 4 16
4 1 16
1 + 16 = 16 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1. The histogram of the
4 16
16 distribution is shown below.
13
6/16
Remember this!
The sum of all probabilities in
Probability P(Y)
What’s New
Consider the histogram above. Try to answer the questions below.
What is the probability of getting more than 3 heads?
What is the probability of getting less than 2 heads?
What is the probability of getting at least 3 heads?
What is the probability of getting at most 1 head?
What is the probability of getting 2 or 3 heads?
What is the probability of getting pure heads?
What is the probability of getting no heads?
14
What I Can Do
Activity 2
A. Construct the probability distribution of a particular experiment by
following the instructions given to you.
A dog gave birth to a litter of six puppies. Three of them are male while the rest
are female. If you are to be given three of these puppies at random, list all the elements
of the sample space using the letters M and F for male puppies and female puppies,
respectively. Then assign a value x of the random variable X representing the number
of male puppies you receive.
There are four values for the random variable. Assign probability values P(X)
to each then construct the histogram by drawing on the graph below.
6/16
Probability P(X)
4/16
2/16
0
0 1 2 3
Number of male puppies X
15
Consider the histogram you just made, try to answer the questions below.
What is the probability of getting more than 2 males? __________
1. X 1 3 5 7 9
1 1 1 1 1
P(X)
4 4 4 4 4
2. X 0 1 2 3 4
1 1 1 1 1
P(X)
5 5 10 5 5
3. X 1 2 3 4
1 1 1 1
P(X)
3 6 3 6
4. X 3 6 9 12
1 2 1 1
P(X)
5 5 5 5
5. X 1 3 5 7
P(X) 0.25 0.20 0.45 0.15
16
Solving for the Mean,
LESSON Variance, and Standard
3 Deviation of Discrete
Probability Distributions
LEARNING CONCEPT
Any discrete probability distribution has a mean, a variance, and
a standard deviation.
LOW
HIGH
17
As a point of reference, if the values of all the
outcomes in an experiment are all the same, the
variance and standard deviation are both 0. But of
course, this rarely happens in real life application.
18
To solve this problem, all you we have to do is arrange the given
entries which are the random variable values and their corresponding
probabilities in the first two columns of a three column table. So in this
particular example, our random variable which we are going to call X is
the number of mistakes a student gets in a 5-item quiz. You may use
your calculator in solving for the unknown values.
The symbol for mean is the Greek letter 𝜇𝜇 (read as “myu”). To solve for the
mean, all we have to do is add up all the entries of the 3rd column.
Equation 1. 𝜇𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
So the value of the mean in the example above is just the sum of all entries in
the third column,
5 14 9 4 5 37
𝜇𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = 0 + + 20 + 20 + 20 + 20 = 20 = 1.85
20
19
Therefore, the mean or expected value on the number of mistakes
a student may have in a 5-item quiz is 1.85. Again, we emphasize that none
of the students actually got 1.85 mistakes. However, if we are to take the
average of the total mistakes done by each one of the students, we should
get an average value of 1.85.
Now that we have found the mean of the discrete probability
distribution, we can now try and solve for the variance. You cannot solve for
the variance without finding first the mean. To solve for the variance, you
need to add more columns in the table made a while ago.
The table below shall discuss how you can solve the variance of a
discrete probability distribution. A sample value was used for demonstration
purposes. A brief explanation is shown below each entry for your guidance.
After performing all calculations, the completed table would look something like
this. Try and solve for yourself to see how these values were obtained.
𝑿𝑿 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿) 𝑿𝑿 ∙ 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿) 𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁 (𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁)𝟐𝟐 (𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁)𝟐𝟐 ∙ 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿)
3
0 0 −1.85 3.4225 0.513375
20
5 5
1 −0.85 0.7225 0.180625
20 20
7 14
2 0.15 0.0225 0.007875
20 20
3 9
3 1.15 1.3225 0.198375
20 20
1 4
4 2.15 4.6225 0.231125
20 20
1 5
5 3.15 9.9225 0.496125
20 20
20
The symbol for variance is 𝜎𝜎 2 . To solve for the variance, all we have to do is
add up all entries on the last column.
Equation 3. 𝜎𝜎 = √𝜎𝜎 2
So the value of the standard deviation is solved by getting the square root of
the variance. Again, you cannot solve for the value of the standard deviation without
finding first the variance and mean.
Now that we have completed solving example 3, let us now summarize the
steps in solving for the mean, variance, and standard deviation.
21
Example 4. In a seafood restaurant, the manager wants to know if their customers like
their new raw large oysters. According to their sales representative, in the past 4
months, the number of oysters consumed by a customer, along with its corresponding
probabilities, is shown in the succeeding table. Compute the mean, variance and
standard deviation.
Number of oysters consumed Probability
X P(X)
2
0
10
2
1
10
3
2
10
2
3
10
1
4
10
Solution:
𝑿𝑿 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿) 𝑿𝑿 ∙ 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿) 𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁 (𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁)𝟐𝟐 (𝑿𝑿 − 𝝁𝝁)𝟐𝟐 ∙ 𝑷𝑷(𝑿𝑿)
2 18
0 0 − 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 1.8 3.24 0.648
10 10
2 2 8
1 − 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 0.8 0.64 0.128
10 10 10
3 6 2
2 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 0.2 0.04 0.012
10 10 10
2 6 12
3 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1.2 1.44 0.288
10 10 10
1 4 22
4 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 2.2 4.84 0.484
10 10 10
22
Based on the computation, the mean of the distribution is
1.8. That implies that the average number of oysters ordered by a
customer is 1.8 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜. Again none of the customers actually
8
ordered 1 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 10
of an oyster. The number 1.8 is just the best
23
What is the variance?
𝜎𝜎 2 = ∑(𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
= 0.62658 + 0.007128 + 0.10086 + 0.33124 + 0.39762 + 0.291848
+ 0.232324
= 1.9876
Based on the given data, the expected number of accidents that will happen in
the Northern Mindanao High Way is 5.18 with a standard deviation of approximately
1.41.
24
What I Can Do
Activity 3
A. Find the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the following
probability distribution by completing the tables below.
25
5. 𝑋𝑋 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) 𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇 (𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 (𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
5 0.05
10 0.34
15 0.26
20 0.25
25 0.10
2. A police lieutenant records the number of police blotter filed each day in their
city. Based on his records, the probability distribution of the number of police
blotters filed each day is in the table below. The city mayor claims that the crime
rate is in its all-time low with only 2 blotters being filed each day. Determine the
mean of the probability distribution shown and decide if the mayor’s claim is valid.
26
What I Have Learned
This is a summary of all that we’ve learned so far.
Equation 3. 𝜎𝜎 = √𝜎𝜎 2
Steps in Finding the Mean:
1. Multiply the random variable by its probability.
2. Use equation 1 to find the mean by adding all products obtained in step 1.
Steps in Finding the Variance:
3. Subtract the computed mean from each value of the random variable: 𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇.
4. Square the value obtained in step 3: (𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 .
5. Multiply the value obtained in step 4 by the corresponding probability:
(𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
6. Use equation 2 to find the variance by adding all products obtained in step 5.
Steps in Finding the Standard Deviation:
7. Use equation 3 to find the standard deviation by getting the square root of the
value obtained in step 6.
27
Assessment
Post-test
b. X 1 3 5 7 9
P(X) 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5
c. X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
d. X 4 8 12 14 16
P(X) 0.36 0.21 0.10 0.09 0.24
a. 0.11 b. 0.15 c. 1 d. 2
6. The mean for a probability distribution is the same as the expected value of a
discrete random variable of a probability distribution
a. True b. False c. Both d. Neither
28
For numbers 7-11, refer to the probability distribution below. A birthing home
recorded the number of live births that materialize in their birthing home in the past 2
years.
7. What is the probability that exactly 2 babies will be born in the home in any
month?
a. 0.11 b. 0.15 c. 0.23 d. 0.25
8. What is the probability that less than 2 babies will be born in the home in any
month?
a. 0.26 b. 0.38 c. 0.48 d. 0.36
9. What is the probability that more than 2 babies will be born in the home in any
month?
a. 0.26 b. 0.51 c. 0.74 d. 0.89
10. What is the probability that at least 2 babies will be born in the home in any
month?
a. 0.26 b. 0.51 c. 0.74 d. 0.89
11. What is the probability that at most 2 babies will be born in the home in any
month?
a. 0.26 b. 0.49 c. 0.74 d. 0.87
12. Tossing a die has the following probability distribution. Find the standard
deviation of the number of spots that will appear when a die is tossed.
Number of spots (Y) 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability P(Y) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6
a. 0.167 b. 1.667 c. 1.7 d. 2.9
For numbers 13-15, refer to the probability distribution below.
Y 0 1 2 3 4 5
P(Y) 0.11 0.15 0.23 0.25 0.13 0.13
13. What is the mean of the probability distribution?
a. 2.23 b. 2.33 c. 2.43 d. 2.53
14. What is the variance of the probability distribution?
a. 2.25 b. 2.50 c. 2.75 d. 3.00
15. What is the standard deviation of the probability distribution?
a. 1.25 b. 1.50 c. 1.75 d. 2.00
29
B. Identify weather the given variable is discrete or continuous. Write your answer on
the space provided before each item.
__________________ 1. number of cars in a parking lot
__________________ 2. time it takes to finish a bowl of noodles
__________________ 3. number of visitors in a resort each day
__________________ 4. temperature needed to melt a metal
__________________ 5. weight of one whole watermelon
30
Key to Answers
PRE-TEST ACTIVITY 1
1. A 1. Continuous
2. D 2. Discrete
3. B 3. Discrete
4. C 4. Continuous
5. B 5. Discrete
6. A 6. Continuous
7. C 7. Discrete
8. D 8. Discrete
9. B 9. Continuous
10. B 10. Continuous
11. Continuous
12. Continuous
13. Discrete
14. Discrete
15. Discrete
ACTIVITY 2
A.
Value of Random
Possible Outcomes
Variable X
FFF 0
FFM 1
FMF 1
FMM 2
MFF 1
MFM 2
MMF 2
MMM 3
31
Value of Random Variable X Probability P(X)
1
0
8
3
1
8
3
2
8
1
3
8
6/16
Probability P(X)
4/16
3/8 3/8
2/16
1/8 1/8
0
0 1 2 3
Number of male puppies X
1
What is the probability of getting more than 2 males? 8
1
What is the probability of getting less than 2 males? 2
1
What is the probability of getting at least 2 males? 2
7
What is the probability of getting at most 2 males?
8
3
What is the probability of getting 1 or 2 males?
4
1
What is the probability of getting no males? 8
1
What is the probability of getting all males? 8
B.
1. Not Valid. Sum exceeds 1.
1 1 1 1 1 5
∑ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = + + + + = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1.25
4 4 4 4 4 4
2. Not Valid. Sum is less than 1.
1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 9
∑ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = + + + + = + + + + = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 0.9
5 5 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
32
3. Valid.
1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 6
∑ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = + + + = + + + = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1
3 6 3 6 6 6 6 6 6
4. Valid.
1 2 1 1 5
∑ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = + + + = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1
5 5 5 5 5
5. Not Valid. Sum exceeds 1.
∑ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = 0.25 + 0.20 + 0.45 + 0.15 = 1.05
ACTIVITY 3
A.
33
What is the mean?
𝜇𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = 0.2 + 0.8 + 1.8 + 2.4 + 1 = 6.2
What is the variance?
𝜎𝜎 2 = ∑(𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
= 1.764 + 0.968 + 0.012 + 0.972 + 1.444
= 5.16
What is the standard deviation?
𝜎𝜎 = √𝜎𝜎 2 = √5.16 ≈ 2.27
34
What is the variance?
𝜎𝜎 2 = ∑(𝑋𝑋 − 𝜇𝜇)2 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
= 3.4294 + 0.3512 + 0.0110 + 8.6036 ≈ 12.40
What is the standard deviation?
𝜎𝜎 = √𝜎𝜎 2 = √12.40 ≈ 3.52
A.
1. 𝑋𝑋 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
0 0.40 0
1 0.22 0.22
2 0.15 0.3
3 0.10 0.3
4 0.08 0.32
5 0.05 0.25
What is the mean?
𝜇𝜇 = ∑ 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) = 0 + 0.22 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.32 + 0.25 = 1.39
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2. 𝑋𝑋 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋) 𝑋𝑋 ∙ 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋)
0 0.33 0
1 0.13 0.13
2 0.23 0.46
3 0.15 0.45
4 0.16 0.64
POST-TEST
A. B.
1. A 1. Discrete
2. D 2. Continuous
3. B 3. Discrete
4. C 4. Continuous
5. D 5. Continuous
6. A
7. C
8. A
9. B
10. C
11. B
12. C
13. D
14. A
15. B
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REFERENCES
Belecina, Rene S., Elisa S. Baccay, and Efren B. Mateo, Statistics and Probability,
Manila: Rex Book Store, Inc., 2016, 1-48.
Calaca, Ninia I., Chin Uy, Nestor M. Noble, and Ronaldo A. Manalo, Statistics and
Probability, Quezon City: Vibal Group, Inc., 2016, 40-92.
Walpol, Ronald E., Raymond H. Myers, and Sharon L. Myers, Probability and
Statistics: for Engineers and Scientists, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey
07458: Pearson Education Asia Pte Ltd., 2001, 51-83.
“Random Variables,” Khan Academy, Inc., last modified August 1, 2019,
https://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics-probability/random-variables-
stats-library/random-variables-discrete/v/random-variables.
“Probability Distributions,” Batia Infotech, last modified Jan 28, 2013,
https://www.proprofs.com/quiz-school/story.php?title=probability-
distributions.
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