Probability Course Terchi Edited

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Probability Course Terchi Edited

Uploaded by

Nihad Djebbar

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P(a08) Ic) |pally exchucivenes (Aigetotness). sacra a es a $A, jets a HF awbsellis exe sii } P 1 1 Gat A fs skt c ted ta 8 if PALE) S Pla} pig 2 ea) ak ware fetta sepuece of ipo clet evel 4 ———, Exerexes }: ae FAP B abindt A Wed Aah Blea! 2 eps A 254 cigar i. eben, Apoa of fist jk raha frat Ml bes ht taelos bit aE He keBip i Ye probit Abe Me chayp St dafectvet ole oo iy (Biat- His -chtpp is mad by ALG |2(p) -emms eelager melas sind ny bosch Rephece. Reanclorm Variables fe eo af A Alendite (tte possibly degatve) cong, Lefferect Yolath ef ere) Bain mpective. proba obser He xptsimbat | oP! oping oc é Pipi 2 ete Hat hing sdluvcow SHUA), at) Md, A Has Ha ample space As $WHH HUT, HTH, MTT, 2. Thy Hefine a varinble X detng te number f H enc b xa tord KSB Ryde ld el 2,14, 4, 2 : : with Pt re is Je E. = > Hes). 4 Pte] ie | “Ve | he | Ya | He 477. THT, ThHf P(x). 48 i Xs 2 ping a HTH, THuf Per). 3/e P (Kea): 47 load. Ba), =p 42 aes al at dala boo tps ek atte fais “Ha | *he. feom st de Rf y: 2) 1 Dhe Kayle dutcome _(elepentacy sat) - 4 Al nadleas exteomts (Cevter) rn coftesponpanacueta| an) Yalan Hf 4s. : 2 Defi 5 { i us| {codon efpecinet ait | semplt_space Cows} Arcomddn Necinb\e X{w) is stage vabaad, teal funatios that eal dam bec called al ralue| of X(0) te cach assigns of 1 sample | a ¢ De. ree fa. selec, aif, i eh if ee ‘are Falsy pas xtgehets 1) tk A Ma erent ak cacapordn to Met Ac fixet) si Sup Go): 23 2S MHT. HTH, TAM = eas 9(xet}: Pla) = 3/5 d j t ‘ See] py Ot B (x2) =a B-| ays Fa Xs) 23} ar, THT, TH, art Pla crs RES) gy a = Fil suaph ge Di Ba clemain of 12k these cotectou ell unabecs oa Kad te |cotecton of ot (ats f x(2)) | Frents clefined x texxders \varteble + EA Bate Yable (8) and. #6 4 fond = “mnker-\2e can Aifne (X=) as Xen o 4 2 Heo) | Ve] af Plea] ve} | ie KPa) of a7] a4 fis Xle)ex f => Plex}. P(FisrX(o}-al) humbetss 1% ok 2%, we cape He 7 tptkeodl (Soc Aw lent acl pete Aeent) } fer acre} aah Lett Pa Vpn ahPababiby, mess fonction: (pnp) ie x 2 adisctk cudioa veriable, are fled: aa! Z ace P(Xia) pao Laadive function « e(edp)| ubative oe fanstion (cf) 44 cain d m fined aay ld> le)so Fils) fle) fela);4att to gut a= ae eoatnacn tea eye FecbabiPby alae ty Function: (pap) Kok X he roucdoon variable (ith calf” F(x) Tf Rl) & contivisd aed Kad daisatves wihicie exist evecyorhi except at posibility 2 finite mune. of print and ipl [oise, eaatcnueuk, Mtg —X. i called 9 chtnuons —Chmddr varatble | aud Feapieste a of jlo)» ao Je eated_probabitiGy is Aneto ea te fy bh) 9,0 a SF yy )idecie 4 20 4 Filo) pltengie sobenapaa Plackes)+ Sf oe dB, (), ofa gentinudes doe ratsble tr, S4 (ide flode= FW). fele) 4 Fela)2Pltex) = laut ups Condon ee Pladxcr)s| | Moments i Expat (ape vole 2 mean) Els)| ney 1s difined Hy Za Al) iS ue be ae: 4 Kaudem variable Fe} = oe 2 Sch tlie = b “Cait kaa: —— fr XK disk ty = EU Xs cartinused X ix elipinecl oa Xe disearts Xs eoetinwens Me cand vatiable , We centval woweat ‘+ —dupinel es -£(x))" fon) A timc =o Hata ates =e pod Fx lt9. Janson Aafia caf a candatn vecinlde |X, dindlnd Sauer we = E{(x emt {2a Ae) ce wa Peeyde. 1 we (xi 2 lo) = £6)- Ele) ped hg te teak Egle) Abe) = ef (54)-doe 1 eztinsiotah dcsoukt ace | | | =PReoten: Ab 4. —E(a Se 3. af PI 1 Ff 9 K be) rot with finite mean E(x) ab) + 1a E(x) 4-6 ahje Ais a Elxleb advds)iad ten | a etxen EG, W00) = E (900) » A (A(x) (Candi tone! Disttilouton> rails) + (Ax\B) = P(4xMB Pray, wi X(s)=% = ie) SGrbiktral y = eal | aud K(x) (i fonile means, Ken» | Cond:tiosa\ (spestablent Clea). ince ff, (718) is 4. proloabitstiy mass Fanctseu ib met on eptctation Thu conditional tepectatcon of K given_an jet Bit dlancted E(B). and! defined a E (xis) - 3.x f, (als) « Z xP (-n)]8) Poop tet! Ket X he a cv witb exptttatiis. EO) tnd BEB ams extent Fe pa) Th ew = + E(11B). PB), €(x1B): PA) {byt} isa ccllection oP event suck etRrotatype| Senacos } Benac a teat te eet er tad fon fbstnel—Plboah 3 Hey haplpe Bo beBeatior if Booenents:|— Dish bateeuo impet | Expenmenttebatsb tora’ indaptaled Peto Piela att: Precaotlt va prsotstty of secest Pp tad padi op Plate CoP) Exped cits 2, UReDh—osteomed FP PedbahSG) of sutess_ Pl elect ok age. Great 12h bahia Mo | Re fitch ented sales wit pcb oP eae SF slice E Pas lta is coiled Goabire —ccodses wink Festal png + Kk my nt Fito Pbk) = |p) pha -eS — tae ieiPfadeeipapl hea | Testing 4 tepetively fants We felcin Weed, jn} a coin 3 bie = af tiels X=_abt-of reads obseaded - le prBak ts 1. prcknbilaty oP bp gts Bead | afer k riels? i By Ba) ad Ot dat ‘ pk aha ath BFR) PER HA) gtd Ut te ma went 2h pholesliby. af lsuckehas a, HAT HTH, HTD, Tet, THT TH are Pods tte i | Plue) eh) phe Pgs) Pe Pk): la-p) op wo) hea Oh com— Greomebl: Deshibben. Exgecnast sequtete of indipendevt Beto tocke aay f san f and_peamstity of foslare Wig) sins eovstant Macusfeent Ya expecinest shee of Natale leequicad te gek success, Cake (0p) p dene. = Bobmial Dideibedron Silla a bequtuce of independed identica’ Bene Ric X beta vbciof tials oc sequiced ke KE success where Kis a fxed Steger. a 9 Re fre kad sachets in the A ok trial ond Pre Success in eae tal (Cast tial} 4 P te F Nomad STB seimckimes iad sels. Af _ obsecve if 2k, Ket, aR, gE es cnae ae Me A (cr_epuideltly 2k guectsves)-— aafone 1 COfeg) « eA eee a Exangle:| A baege lot oP tices dontaias 57,.\ dafeetives aber a tbe clzen fa 2c bJbad- is the proloabitily Mak tee defect tires | ee found before 4 goed craes | Plya)= fee ) eel et pede a= ete: Fae atl a spec binowiial lastlbautfon| 4° plyes)-tecno3t J ccte PP Hea negate t comeric Antibabion consis bs tapetemelt seit L Son ing seth pa sige ae skataa in -fpephatbes Hy Sa =a a sige (ane deans) = a err sufeesied Seostribetion Apscral [Ric thpigenns ane cseeeg ere of cbsading K s4ccesta a.snmple_ Af iat nt ( sleipy wilted eeplatembst) From finite pophlatigg - a et ee teat contains success —steitas . Va) ace este smc aoe t al tm asnaipte at hentai fs pcokpleitily ve be comely datected with prebele ty (avi) Famplest_—__ j F free sainplt ce beng classified Dia tarde Prom aidink ontrack ceglacemmb, = ey iat == what is Ma aobaeitity 2 geting 2 Gears ae efataine = Pipelatibn Ne St elassifie) 0 abeiQaty [¢-1) feat ede 4 Ne = noc f non ebencls * 2-182 39 3 PLE) pee prabnbitity Wat Be cesable ss rons — Pinay (2) 0) ek). Ple/a) Pla) « P(E/A) PA) ae ess he Gonctet Oy PlEIA) p+ Pl ELA) (e-P) v: t Plata) a + ene last adcede laterite —PCe14) 4 Prebsta)is Pleat/4) Plajdagstt Hee tio. ket {cabal 1 (aa) pe (eh fms Yok Beck edatatn clecmal cts, whim Mo ve (Pt a> Mahe ple Dm +)ect PU /0) = Pld) = Pla/4) Pia) + P(ajh) PAA) = P(h1A) p+ PAA) (4-7) Feow ic) | P(D\A). P(pas/a). Pl A/D): is given by Fla). Plex) = 4 Pisco Villu) of the clisoaks Alx):| Plrge) » f Ploja)z P(oasya)+ Pld + En) 4 (nat) and Shri) 4 I ala dis cldeawiise xa ad7eid bh nab cae } at so we bever iE l=, Ab zA peso” process is ea He ube of taste ni te very lege + smell, rach 6b Ha prtaduc AaB 4a time inglspescdenth. eae af time J A Example. 2 phenomena at 2 iactude = Sadioal bed Seana pees loft. a! rs decid as 1a tot baba (process Deciscernce Break ccust i4_6 Fiver, antec (74 2 Given iateey (arateon)), cae A. Fhal_ probe by fee cA ore events signi freante Subintecdal iso. S 4abhytt 3. Ts fprobabitity of = Pode rei : Le ~ <—_ Passi alisiailta aloe i fatecoal ff He ecu reences y= PRe| nb a excurencsd do.net ofecep t SA ey olan. 5 Ti probaly Iakerva\ pp Re fo He Uprationskd= War), =F e PEE Ela) = i OA rat (ad ia slosed formal bash te =a Niocma\ Sistibutast a 2 ce Lnpertdacss eWide | variety of phenemena caw ¥ = Height / waryot fc 709: — Hacks ty _aclass usta v _Heashce mek escacs ~ NeilSummasiging Pentaceds mmetiic < o {The ace bndec — Re stondaed anions lexprecae Wu dssperion | 2p motose\ AAS ilwiions bs steiteut Sipps tee tine repunced to aaa acempeion A Retenl 2 wiinictad ond shard olaeintccn PC mide for tx assembly tne te beHeanor Deft The fond process are pic Plxy es [x>e) = fx. Pramie| Hak thott, ibe ace_mgmory bess Function pafined Joy > a 3} Foy 2g) = Pita, yey) PLB) = fla) AAR — =, (4.9) « P(xen, yeg) Plana) ace tnelspeadent, then Plans) Pla)P(a) = Fala)Fy Gy). a Fy ly) indapanlent if. 32 BV ty)._ act Y) can tha eas Jee Paz es ane 5 Fila.) Al 4-4) ~f) Pay (aciaed Hagging) 0 dl iy (m4) Discrete cvs: ) re pon pap te KE(K,Y) be 2 discate bi 1 Gt ( Cenngp) fs ettein aloe tof see on 5. bs bee tent peg = Pry lreeje) Plex, 4) Fey (x3): J) Foyle) aS He functor Paylnsye) 2 called ts joint rf fp (4 Pepsi pf i Pf Pyle st) foy| ng) BF Py ltiegi) at - = zt = ff Pi (acy) tie ay a > P[ tryed) < 22 Pry (x (si g5) BaPI tay)eal J Fay lag) dey ) Pape Pladxth,