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Feb 2024 Outlook

The Pakistan Meteorological Department issued an outlook for February 2024. They expect near normal rainfall across most of Pakistan due to a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole and persistent El Niño conditions. Temperatures are likely to be above normal nationwide, with the highest departures in northern areas. The forecast indicates improved conditions for rain-fed agriculture after a dry spell and reduced fog and air pollution compared to previous months.

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36 views2 pages

Feb 2024 Outlook

The Pakistan Meteorological Department issued an outlook for February 2024. They expect near normal rainfall across most of Pakistan due to a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole and persistent El Niño conditions. Temperatures are likely to be above normal nationwide, with the highest departures in northern areas. The forecast indicates improved conditions for rain-fed agriculture after a dry spell and reduced fog and air pollution compared to previous months.

Uploaded by

ishtiaqahmad1818
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Government of Pakistan

Ministry of Aviation (Aviation Division)


Pakistan Meteorological Department
Sector: H-8/2, Islamabad.
Tel:051-9250364
Fax:051-9250368
Date: 26th January 2024

Outlook for February 2024


1. Synoptic Situation:

Considering the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is expected to persist,
while the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has transitioned to a neutral state, the climatic outlook for Pakistan in
the forecast month is as follows:

2. Monthly Rainfall Outlook:

Overall a tendency for near normal* rainfall is expected in most parts of the country during February 2024.

Figure 1: Normal (1991-2020) rainfall and monthly anomaly outlook for February 2024

3. Monthly Temperature Outlook:

The day time maximum and night time minimum temperatures are expected to remain above normal*
nationwide, with maximum departure over Gilgit Baltistan, northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and adjoining
areas of Kashmir as well as western Balochistan.

*Normal = 30-years (period) average climatology


Figure 2: Normal (1991-2020) maximum temperature and monthly anomaly outlook for February 2024

Figure 3: Normal (1991-2020) minimum temperature and monthly anomaly outlook for February 2024

4. Impacts:

• After a prolonged dry spell the situation will be improved for rain fed areas in the country.
• A moderate amount of water would be available for standing crops and vegetables having positive
impact on Rabi crops.
• Farmers in Barani areas may plan scheduled watering.
• The fog episodes are likely to subside gradually towards the end of the forecast month.
• Improvement in air quality index is expected to reduce seasonal illnesses caused by the prolonged dry
condition in the country.

Note: Considering the dynamic nature of the climate system the outlook is updated monthly during the last
week of each month

*Normal = 30-years (period) average climatology

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