Why nutrition
matters?
Kedir Teji ( PhD, Food and Nutrition)
Haramaya University, College of Health & Medical
sciences
2020
Brain storming
• Why nutrition matters?
• Why invest in nutrition?
• What is the cost of malnutrition?
• What is double burden of malnutrition?
• What is the economic impacts of malnutrition? In
Ethiopia?
Why nutrition
matters?
Declaration of the
1974 World Food Summit
‘… all governments & the international community
as a whole …. eliminate within a decade hunger
& malnutrition’
(Resolution V)
Malnutrition today – what progress
have we achieved today,
after 4 decades?
Some global trends
in malnutrition…
Focus on levels of stunting (low ht/age)
Child stunting level good indicator of socio-economic
conditions
malnutrition can ‘cost’ a young child up to 11 cm of height by the age of
two years
Much better reflection of human development than
economic indicators
State of malnutrition
in sub-Sahara
Africa…
…the problem is
getting worse
WHY…..
• Rates of stunting in children < 5 years
remained high in Africa
• The number of stunted children is rising
dramatically in Africa
• Question how was in Ethiopia from 2000 to
2016?
Trend of malnutrition in percentage
Ht/Age
Wt/Age
Wt/Height
Why invest in nutrition?
Why investing…..
Human & Economic Costs
Nutrition is a human right…
Not able to be
Ethical Imperative taken away; or
given away
“every man, woman & child has the
inalienable right to be free from
hunger & malnutrition in order to
develop their physical & mental
faculties”
WFS 1974
Malnutrition: Hidden Problem
• No obvious signs
UNICEF/94-1173 Pirozzi
• Victims not aware
Four Functional Consequences
Mortality
Illness
Intelligence loss
Reduced productivity
Malnutrition & Child Survival
• Child malnutrition is viewed as one important
manifestation of a larger development problem that
reaches across multiple sectors:
Social,
Political,
Economic, and
Cultural institution
Malnutrition & Infection
Increased risk of:
Illness
Death
How much cost on Health?
Country
Egypt Ethiopia Swaziland Uganda Burkina Faso Ghana Malawi
Total (millions of USD) 213 154 7 259 63 199 46
% of costs covered by the
families
73% 89% 88% 87% 58% 70% 49%
Public costs as % of health
public expenditure
1.60% 2.30% 0.60% 11.00% 4.5% 4.1% 19.5%
Total health costs as % of GDP 0.10% 0.50% 0.20% 1.60% 0.60% 0.5% 0.8%
The economic cost of undernutrition ranged from values equivalent to 0.6% to 20% of
government budget allocated to Health and from 0.1% to 1.6% of GDP
Causes of Child (0-5yrs) Mortality in Ethiopia
Malnutrition
53%
Other
47%
• Greatest single cause of child
mortality
Child Mortality (2006-2015)
UNICEF/C-56-19/Murray-Lee
1.3 million child deaths
Underweight & Mortality
… the majority of these deaths, as
much as 80%, are associated with
mild & moderate malnutrition
… invisible to ‘see’ as nearly all
Ethiopian children are
malnourished
Causes of Child Mortality in Ethiopia
Mild &
moderate
severe
• Only 1 in 5 malnutrition-related deaths
is due to severe malnutrition
Infant Deaths due to Poor Breastfeeding
Practices
18%
50,000 infant deaths every year
Vitamin A Deficiency
Night blindness
Ulceration of the cornea
Permanent blindness
Increased mortality
Improving vit A status can reduce child mortality up to 25%
Children with Vitamin A Deficiency
(VAD)
Permanent blindness
Xerophthalmia
Night blindness
Sub-clinical
Vitamin A deficiency
VAD: Prevalence
61%
UNICEF/ Pirozzi
VAD: Associated Mortality
32%
UNICEF/ Pirozzi
800,000 child lives lost
Low Birth Weight
13.5%
UNICEF/C-56-19/Murray-Lee
• 2006-2015: 0ver 600,000 infant deaths
Child Mortality (2006-2015)
1.3 million child deaths
UNICEF/C-56-19/Murray-Lee
1 million died between 2000-2005
Malnutrition
&
•
Education
1/10/2020 32
How much on Education?
% Repetitions associated Economic Cost Proportion covered by the
Country with Stunting Families
Local Currency USD (in millions)
Egypt 10% EGP 271 49 39%
Ethiopia 16% ETB 93 million 8 64%
Swaziland 12% SZL 6 million 1 70%
Uganda 7% UGX 16.5 billion 8 45%
Burkina Faso 5,8% 853 millions FCFA 1.7 75%
Ghana 10,5% 14,9 millions GHC 8.3 66%
Malawi 18% 3,4 billions MWK 13.9 35%
Rwanda 13,5% 2,4 billion RWF 3.9 67%
Total 93.8 46%
Malnutrition & Intellectual Development
Reduced:
Learning ability
UNICEF/C-56-19/Murray-Lee
School performance
Retention rates
Intellectual Consequences
• Iron deficiency anemia lowers IQ by about 9 points
• Mild iodine deficiencies lowers IQ by about 10 points
• Severe stunting associated with IQ loss of 5-10 points
• Low birth weight babies have IQs 5 points lower
Nutritional Problems Associated with Brain
Development
%
Iodine Deficiency during Pregnancy
severe mental & physical damage
moderate mental retardation
mild intellectual disability
UNICEF/HQ93-2200/Pirozzi
Iodine Deficiency in Ethiopia
Total Goiter Rate = 38%
Of babies born from IDD mothers:
Cretinism; congenital Iodine
deficiency Syndrome xtized by
impaired physical and mental
development due to hypothyrodism
• 3% cretins
sec. to low I- intake during pregnancy
• 10% moderate mental retardation
• 87% mild intellectual deficit
Iodine Deficiency & Intellectual Development
87
Intelligence Quotient
UNICEF/C-56-19/Murray-Lee
Total Goiter Rate = 38%
2006-2015:
15 million babies born
intellectually impaired
2000-2005:
UNICEF/Ethiopia
4.5 million babies already born
intellectually impaired
Malnutrition
&
•
Economic Development
Malnutrition in Ethiopia
Quantifying the human & economic losses
Current scientific data
Profiles
Computer model
Functional Consequences
Economic Consequences of Malnutrition
Malnutrition results in:
Mental Impairment
Physical Stunting
Iodine Deficiency & Productivity
Mental retardation(Cretinism) in fetuses & children
Physical shortness (Iodine dewarfism) in children
Weakness, poor reproduction & morbidity in adults
Mortality
Unemployement & discounting future earnings
Productivity Losses
due to Iodine Deficiency (2006-2015)
• Present Value = 64 billion Birr
UNICEF/93-COU-0931/Ethiopia/Thomas
• Past value = 11.3 billion Birr (2000-2005)
How much on Productivity?
Population of Working Age Lost Productivity in Lost Productivity in
Country (15-64) Non-Manual Activities Manual Activities
Estimated stunting
Number of People National Currency USD % of GDP National Currency USD % GDP
Prevalence
Egypt 20 Million 40% 2.7 billion EGP 483 million 0.30% 10.7 billion EGP 2 billion 1.00%
Ethiopia 26 Million 67% 616 million ETB 52 Million 0.20% 12.9 billion ETB 1.1 billion 3.80%
Swaziland 270 Thousand 40% 251 million SZL 30 million 1.00% 126 million SZL 15 million 0.50%
Uganda 8 Million 54% 218 billion UGX 108 million 0.70% 366 billion UGX 180 million 1.10%
Burkina Faso 4,7 million 52% 20,8 billion CFA 40,8 million 0.39% 37,2 billion CFA 73 million 0.70%
Ghana 5,5 million 37% 628 million GHC 350 million 0.86% 319 million GHC 178 million 0.44%
Malawi 4,5 million 60% 25 billion MWK 102 million 1.76% 16,5 billion MWK 67 million 1.15%
Rwanda 3,0 million 49% 40,4 billion RWF 66 million 0.98% 86,5 billion RWF 141 million 1.98%
Anemia & Productivity
100
Anemia Prevalence
75
%
50
57
25
24
0 (EDHS - 2016)
Children <5yrs Women
Anemia
• Iron deficiency anaemia leads to:
Decreased physical growth in children & results in short
stature
Impaired learning (Decreased attention span) in children
Poor metabolic efficiency & physical productivity
Productivity Losses
due to Anemia (2006-2015)
• Present Value = 36 billion Birr
UNICEF/93-COU-0931/Ethiopia/Thomas
Stunting at Age 2:
Inadequate nutrition in early childhood
(EDHS - 2000) EDHS 2011( 44%)
• Height deficit as much as
11cm by 24 months of
age
• …stunted children become
stunted adults
Consequence of Stunting
• Reduced productivity
1.4% decrease in productivity
for every
1% decrease in height
(Haddad & Bouis, 1990)
Total Economic Losses with & without Nutrition
Improvement (2005-2015)
144 billion
150
44
Birr (billions)
100 Stunting
36 Anemia
Iodine Deficiency
50
64
0
No Change Improved
Total Economic Losses with & without Nutrition
Improvement (2005-2015)
144 billion
150
44 Gain = 46 billion
98 billion
Birr (billions)
100 Stunting
36 37 Anemia
Iodine Deficiency
50 30
64
31
0
No Change Improved
Total cost of child stunting to Ethiopia, 2014
.
Losses in Local Annual Losses
Country
Currency in USD
BURKINA FASO
Egypt EGP 20.3 billion $3.7 billion 7.6% of GDP
$ 802 million
Ethiopia ETB 55.5 billion $4.5 billion
Rwanda
Swaziland SZL 783 million $76 million 11.5_% of GDP
$ 820 million
Uganda UGX 1.8 trillion $899 million
Burkina Faso FCFA 409 billion $ 802 million
MALAWI
10.3% GDP
Ghana GHC 4.6 trillion $2.6 billion $ 597
million
Rwanda RWF 503 billion $ 820 million
MWK 147
Malawi $597 million
billion
The aggregate cost estimation for Health, Education and Productivity are
equivalent to between 1.9% to 16.5% of GDP
1/10/2020 54
Summary of Savings Scenarios, 2014
Average Annual Savings
Country Scenario #1: Halving the Scenario #2: The ‘Goal’ Scenario:
Prevalence of Child Under-nutrition “10% Stunting and 5% Underweight
by 2025 (in million USD) by 2025” (in million USD)
Egypt 133 165
Ethiopia 376 784
Swaziland 3 4
Uganda 88 131
Burkina Faso 851 1,453
Ghana 2,285 2,954
Malawi 814 1,137
Rwanda 149 184
Total 4,700 6,811
1/10/2020 55
Discussion
Comparison
This Year National Budget
Vs.
Economic Loss due to Malnutrition
(Stunting, Anemia & Iodine Deficiency)
In summary, the functional consequences of
malnutrition are immense:
Deficiency Reduces
Vitamin A survival
PEM productivity
Iron
Iodine
intelligence
Impact is significant
Human costs
Economic costs
The Intergenerational
Cycle of Malnutrition
Child growth failure
Low birth Early Low weight &
weight babies pregnancy height in teens
Small adult women
ACC/SCN,
“In developing countries, effective nutrition interventions are
likely to have MORE of an effect on human health than
comparable investments in medical care”
National Research Council, 1977
In Ethiopia
What is the way forward?
Improved nutrition is an essential input
into human & national development
Key word is
“input”
Can’t afford to wait for improved nutrition to be an
output of overall ‘trickle-down’ development
Planners from each sector
need to address:
impact of nutrition on their
sector
impact of their sector on
nutrition
The MDGs & Relevance of
Nutrition…
Sustainable développent
goals
…nutrition is central to MDGs/SDG
Thank You