Markowitz Theory of Portfolio
Markowitz Theory of Portfolio
The Markowitz model is a method of maximizing returns within a calculated risk. It is also called
the Markowitz portfolio theory or modern portfolio theory. This model facilitates practical
application; many new investors use this technique in capital markets.
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Key Takeaways
The Markowitz model of portfolio suggests that the risks can be minimized through
diversification. Simultaneously, the model assures maximization of overall portfolio returns.
Investors are presented with two types of stocks—low-risk, low-return, and high-risk, high-
return stocks. Risks are also divided into two—systematic risk and unsystematic risk. The Harry
Markowitz model uses mathematical calculations to reduce risks; it builds an ideal portfolio.
Nonetheless, real-world investments cannot eliminate a certain level of risk. Thus, investors
must possess some risk appetite. New investors especially benefit from this theory—the
Markowitz model of portfolio popularized diversification. Not to mention the importance of
understanding and avoiding systematic portfolio risks.
On the downside, the limitations of Markowitz model stem from its overreliance on
assumptions. These flaws can make the conclusions irrelevant to prevailing market conditions.
Assumptions
The model assumes that investors are rational and will always behave in a certain
manner.
The model assumes that there are only two different types of assets—low returns and
high returns.
Harry Markowitz argues that markets will always work in a certain direction and will
always be efficient. But this is not always the case.
Diversification is important. But the theory assumes diversification is the only way to
minimize investment risks.
The Markowitz model of portfolio assumes that every investor has unlimited access to
information about market changes. In reality, investors often lack the time and expertise
to gather relevant data.
Markowitz assumes that all investors are risk-averse, but that is not universally true.
The model mentions a bracket of bearable loss—but not all real-world investors can
afford that.
Diagram
(Source)
The Markowitz diagram depicts the standard deviation (risk) on the x-axis and expected returns
on the y-axis. The diagram elucidates three portfolios:
The efficient frontier is a parabola depicting all three portfolios toward efficiency. The agency
portfolio is also the optimal one—with the highest Sharpe ratio.
In contrast, the minimum variance portfolio is the green point in the diagram. It marks the
change from convex to concave. Finally, the maximum return portfolio is the orange point—it
has the highest volatility.
In the Markowitz diagram, portfolios on the efficient frontier are better than those under it.
This is because the point where the linear Capital Market Line (CML) touches the y-axis is a risk-
free asset.
Here,
Calculation Example
Let us assume that Charlie is an investor who possesses a small portfolio—only two stocks. He
has invested $900,000 in stock A and $180,000 in stock B—a portfolio of $1080000. Charlie
anticipates a 4% return on stock A and a 9% return on stock B.
To calculate the portfolio’s expected returns, we divide the current value of stock A by the total
portfolio value and multiply it by its expected return:
So, for stock A (most invested), Charlie gets an expected return of 3%; for stock B (least
invested), Charlie gets an expected return of 2%. The portfolio can expect a return of 5%.
To increase the expected portfolio return to 6.5%, Charlie needs to shift an appropriate amount
of capital towards stock B (less invested).
A 50-50 allocation of capital will result in the following returns:
50% x 4% = 2%
Let’s assume Charlie divides the $1080000 portfolio into four equal assets. The first asset has a
beta of 1, so its systematic risk exposure is identical to the market. The second asset has a beta
of 1.6, as Charlie is willing to take a bit more risk. The third has a beta of 0.75—less exposure
than the market; the fourth has an even lower beta of 0.5.
Multiplying the allocation of 25% with their respective beta values and adding the results give
Charlie an overall portfolio beta value of 0.96. Since it is below 1, the portfolio is considered a
systematic risk.
Let us consider another hypothetical; Charlie shifts 10% of the third and fourth assets with the
lowest risk betas and 5% from the first division and invests in the second asset (highest-beta
asset). Here the second asset, which started with a 25% allocation, will become 50% of the total
portfolio’s capital, the first amounts to 20%, and the third and fourth divisions account for 15%
each.
The new beta will be 1.19, close to the required desired beta value of 1.2
This approach is often called Markowitz Mean Variance Model. It is more inclined
towards variance and tends to overlook potential risks.
It does not guarantee good returns and is only based on historical data.
The model does not account for associated costs like broker commissions, taxes, and
other charges.
The whole model is based on irrelevant stock market assumptions. In reality, stock
markets are as unpredictable as they are volatile.