Revenue Modelling
Revenue Modelling
17-18 16-17
Metro and Tier-I 22 19
Tier II 44 40
Tier III 87 79
Tier IV 18 3
12%
20%
33%
Cost Model FY13-14 FY14-15 FY15-16
Cost of Inventory (Trade Purchase + Production) 404.0691576 507.9379978 571.2045
Inventory cost/Sales 70.19% 70.31% 70.48%
Employee benefit expenses 38.3373777 48.936384 62.2542
Employee benefit expenses/Sales 6.66% 6.77% 7.68%
Other expenses 78.7704551 99.5012185 113.962
Other Expenses/Sales 13.68% 13.77% 14.06%
Average Other Expenses/ Sales 13.63%
Effective Tax Rate 33.49% 32.47% 34.69%
FY16-17 FY17-18 FY18-19E FY19-20E FY20-21E
702.7687 830.2684 1014.9812922 1217.40607884 1460.31582281
69.87% 67.69%
78.2795 98.3905 132.3888642 158.79209724 190.475976888
7.78% 8.02%
135.9185 160.9273 194.9 233.8 280.4
13.51% 13.12%
34.30% 30.91%
Revenue Model FY13-14 FY14-15
Revenue from operations 574.959404 720.502224
Year on Year Revenue Growth 25.31%
Average of YOY revenue Growth 20.86%
CAGR of Revenue 20.75%
FY15-16 FY16-17 FY17-18 FY18-19E FY19-20E FY20-21E
809.2541 1001.7255 1222.3719 1466.85 1760.22 2112.26
12.32% 23.78% 22.03%
STATEMENT OF PROFIT AND LOSS (Rs in Crores) Rationale FY13-14
1760.22 2112.26
4.14 4.14
1,764.36 2,116.40
1217.41 1460.32
546.95 656.08
158.79 190.48
233.78 280.42
154.38 185.18
35.20 42.25
119.18 142.94
0.00 0.00
119.18 142.94
39.33 47.17
79.85 95.77
Capex Schedule Rationale FY13-14 FY14-15
Revenue from operations 574.959404 720.502224
Property, plant and equipment 69.9622725 98.0653042
Depreciation and amortisation expense 10.8943695 4.5653727
Purchase of property plant and equipment including intangible assetscapital work 0 -33.5460345
BASE
Beginning PPE 69.9622725
Add: Capex (PLUG Figure) 32.6684044
Less: Deprecation 4.5653727
Ending PPE 69.9622725 98.0653042
Liquidity ratios
Current Ratio 1.60259339 1.79431054832294
Cash Ratios 1.93% 2.89%
Solvency Ratios
Debt and other liabilites(LT)/T 1.11% 2.42%
Turnover/Efficiency ratios
Inventory Turnover Ratio 2.8950568732685
Number of days in Inventory 126.076970497619
Total Purchases 523.44
Accounts Payable Turnover ratio 7.48346671369738
Number of Days in AP 48.7741863449358
Fixed Assets Turover Ratio 8.59856836940266
Total Assets Turover ratio 2.31484943784856
FY15-16 FY16-17 FY17-18