Lecture 3
Lecture 3
Let (S, Σ, P ) be a probability space. Since P is a set function, it is not very easy to
handle. Also in many situations, one may not be interested in the sample space rather one
may be interested in some numerical characteristics of the sample space. For example,
when a coin is tossed n-times, which replication resulted in heads is not of much interest.
Rather, one is interested in the number of heads, and consequently, the number of tails,
that appear out of n tosses.
Notations.
def def
• For B ∈ BR , {X ∈ B} = {w ∈ S : X(w) ∈ B} = X −1 (B);
def def
• {a < X ≤ b} = {w ∈ S : a < X(w) ≤ b} = X −1 ((a, b]);
def def
• {a ≤ X ≤ b} = {w ∈ S : a ≤ X(w) ≤ b} = X −1 ([a, b]);
def def
• {a < X < b} = {w ∈ S : a < X(w) < b} = X −1 ((a, b));
def def
• {a ≤ X < b} = {w ∈ S : a ≤ X(w) < b} = X −1 ([a, b));
def def
• {X = a} = {w ∈ S : X(w) = a} = X −1 ({a});
def def
• {X ≤ a} = {w ∈ S : X(w) ≤ a} = X −1 ((−∞, a]);
def def
• {X < a} = {w ∈ S : X(w) < a} = X −1 ((−∞, a));
def def
• {X ≥ a} = {w ∈ S : X(w) ≥ a} = X −1 ([a, ∞));
def def
• {X > a} = {w ∈ S : X(w) > a} = X −1 ((a, ∞)).
Remark 2. (1) X is a random variable if and only if for each x ∈ R, {X ≤ x} ∈ Σ.
(1) FX is non-decreasing;
(2) FX is right continuous;
def def
(3) FX (−∞) = lim FX (x) = 0 and FX (∞) = lim FX (x) = 1.
x→−∞ x→∞
Proof. (1) Let x1 < x2 . Then (−∞, x1 ] ⊂ (−∞, x2 ]. Then by the properties of the
probability function, we have
FX (x1 ) = P ({X ≤ x1 }) ≤ P ({X ≤ x2 }) = FX (x2 ).
1 1
FX (a+) = lim FX (a + ) = lim P ({X ≤ a + }).
n→∞ n n→∞ n
Let En = {w ∈ S : X(w) ∈ (−∞, a + n1 ]}. Then En is an decreasing sequence of
events and Limn→∞ En = ∩∞ n=1 En = {w ∈ S : X(w) ∈ (−∞, a]}. Now by using
continuity of probability, we have
1
FX (a+) = lim P ({X ≤ a + })
n→∞ n
= lim P (En )
n→∞
= P (Limn→∞ En )
= P ({X ∈ (−∞, a]})
= P ({X ≤ a})
= FX (a)
Remark 6. (1) Let En = {w ∈ S : X(w) ∈ (−∞, a − n1 ]} = {X ≤ a − n1 }. Then En
is an increasing sequence of events and Limn→∞ En = ∪∞n=1 En = {w ∈ S : X(w) ∈
(−∞, a)} = {X < a}. Now by using continuity of probability, we have
P ({X < a}) = P (Limn→∞ En )
= lim P (En )
n→∞
1
= lim P ({X ≤ a − })
n→∞ n
1
= lim FX (a − )
n→∞ n
= FX (a−).
Therefore, P ({X < a}) = FX (a−), ∀x ∈ R.
(a) P ({a < X ≤ b}) = P ({X ∈ ((−∞, b] − (−∞, a])}) = P ({X ≤ b}) − P ({X ≤
a}) = FX (b) − FX (a).
(b) P ({a < X < b}) = P ({X ∈ ((−∞, b) − (−∞, a])}) = P ({X < b}) − P ({X ≤
a}) = FX (b−) − FX (a).
(c) P ({a ≤ X < b}) = P ({X ∈ ((−∞, b) − (−∞, a))}) = P ({X < b}) − P ({X <
a}) = FX (b−) − FX (a−).
(d) P ({a ≤ X ≤ b}) = P ({X ∈ ((−∞, b] − (−∞, a))}) = P ({X ≤ b}) − P ({X <
a}) = FX (b) − FX (a−).
(b) P ({X > a}) = P ({X ∈ (R − (−∞, a]))}) = P ({X ∈ R}) − P ({X ≤ a}) =
1 − FX (a).
(
0, w≤0
X(w) = √
w, w > 0.
We have (
∅, x<0
{X ≤ x} = X −1 ((−∞, x]) = 2
(−∞, x ], x ≥ 0.
Thus X is a random variable. Now, the cumulative distribution function of X is
(
P (∅), x<0
FX (x) = P ({X ≤ x}) = 2
P ((−∞, x ]), x ≥ 0.
Thus
0, x<0
(
0, x<0
FX (x) = Rx2 −t = 2
e dt,
x≥0 1 − e−x , x ≥ 0.
0