Scribd
Upload
24 views5 pages

Poverty

Regression analysis was conducted with poverty rate as the dependent variable and volume of trade as the independent variable using 30 observations from 1991 to 2020. The multiple R was 0.834, R-squared was 0.696, and adjusted R-squared was 0.685, indicating a strong positive correlation between the variables. Volume of trade was found to be a statistically significant predictor of poverty rate with a p-value less than 0.001.

Uploaded by

tp077535
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
24 views5 pages

Poverty

Regression analysis was conducted with poverty rate as the dependent variable and volume of trade as the independent variable using 30 observations from 1991 to 2020. The multiple R was 0.834, R-squared was 0.696, and adjusted R-squared was 0.685, indicating a strong positive correlation between the variables. Volume of trade was found to be a statistically significant predictor of poverty rate with a p-value less than 0.001.

Uploaded by

tp077535
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 5

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.834406
R Square 0.696233
Adjusted R 0.685384
Standard E 0.136052
Observatio 30

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.187905 1.187905 64.17596 1.006E-08
Residual 28 0.518284 0.01851
Total 29 1.706189

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.648931 0.04769 13.60715 7.268E-14 0.551242 0.746621 0.551242 0.746621
X Variable -1.68E-12 2.097E-13 -8.01099 1.006E-08 -2.11E-12 -1.25E-12 -2.11E-12 -1.25E-12
Poverty (% of Volume of trade
Year
population) (in USD) Poverty headcount ratio at $2.15 a day (% of population) fi
1991 88.00% 55,011,182,592
1992 82.39% 61,246,576,640 Poverty (% of
1993 62.10% 65,150,490,624
1994 64.60% 72,036,886,528 100.00%

1995 57.70% 86,046,666,752 90.00%

1996 51.30% 92,743,159,808 80.00%


1997 53.20% 95,123,324,928 70.00%
1998 69.10% 76,184,348,672 60.00%
1999 46.00% 72,668,669,019 50.00%
2000 43.60% 95,638,811,769 40.00%
2001 39.90% 87,279,007,783 30.00%
2002 26.80% 88,447,593,154 20.00%
2003 26.40% 93,608,868,870 10.00%
2004 27.00% 118,106,999,480 0.00%
2005 24.60% 143,360,828,419 1985 1990 1995 2000

2006 30.60% 161,864,080,900


2007 25.20% 188,574,301,534
2008 24.70% 266,264,474,693
2009 21.00% 213,339,154,357
2010 18.30% 293,442,383,684
2011 15.70% 380,932,169,492 Output obtained from Eviews:
2012 13.70% 381,722,747,313
Dependent Variable: POVERTY____OF_POPULAT
2013 11.20% 369,180,385,003 Method: Least Squares
2014 9.30% 354,215,534,530 Date: 11/22/22 Time: 12:25
2015 8.30% 293,061,083,493 Sample: 1991 2020
2016 7.50% 280,142,596,210 Included observations: 30
2017 6.60% 325,813,055,164 Variable Coefficient
2018 5.40% 368,926,205,712
2019 4.40% 338,958,703,817 C 0.648931
VOLUME_OF_TRADE__IN_USD_ -1.68E-12
2020 3.80% 304,760,598,545
R-squared 0.696233 M
Adjusted R-squared 0.685384 S
SUMMARY OUTPUT S.E. of regression 0.136052 A
Sum squared resid 0.518284 S
Log likelihood 18.30830 H
Regression Statistics F-statistic 64.17596 D
Multiple R 0.834405867570693 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
R Square 0.696233151836401
Adjusted R Square 0.685384335830559
Standard Error 0.136051923410093
Observations 30

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.18790504548626 1.187905 64.17596 1.005903E-08
Residual 28 0.5182835241804 0.01851
Total 29 1.70618856966667

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


Intercept 0.64893120244461 0.0476904695255 13.60715 7.268E-14 0.5512417041
X Variable 1 -1.6799942613578E-12 2.0971119774E-13 -8.01099 1.006E-08 -2.109568E-12
at $2.15 a day (% of population) figure

Poverty (% of Population)

990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

ed from Eviews:

iable: POVERTY____OF_POPULATION_
Squares
Time: 12:25
2020
vations: 30

ariable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 0.648931 0.047690 13.60715 0.0000


TRADE__IN_USD_ -1.68E-12 2.10E-13 -8.010990 0.0000

0.696233 Mean dependent var 0.322797


ared 0.685384 S.D. dependent var 0.242557
ion 0.136052 Akaike info criterion -1.087220
esid 0.518284 Schwarz criterion -0.993807
18.30830 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.057336
64.17596 Durbin-Watson stat 0.466574
) 0.000000
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
0.7466207008 0.5512417041 0.7466207008
-1.25042E-12 -2.109568E-12 -1.25042E-12

You might also like