Mohammed Muktar Seminar To Print
Mohammed Muktar Seminar To Print
SENIOR SEMINAR ON
ID.NO: 2045/13
Febrary 2023
Haramaya , Ehiopia
Table of Contents
LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABRIVATION................................................................................ii
ACKNOWLEDGMENT..........................................................................................................iii
ABSTRACT..........................................................................................................................iv
1. INTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................1
Background.................................................................................................................................1
Statement of the Problem................................................................................................................................3
Objectives 3
General objective 3
1.3.2 Specific objectives.................................................................................................................................4
i
LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABRIVATION
ADLI Agricultural development leads industrialization
ii
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Firstly, always and forever i would like to thanks my lord Allah for giving me courage and
endurance to withstand all the problems and troubles.then words fail to convey my deepest
gratitude to my advisor Obsinet .E (MSc) for her constructive comments. Also my
appreciation goes to Haramaya university department of agricultural economics staff
members finally I would like to thank my family for their support and help.
iii
ABSTRACT
This seminar paper reviewed the determinants of youth unemployment in Ethiopia. The
problem is so severe among the young people in countries of the world, particularly in the
developing countries. High level of youth unemployment is one of the critical socio-economic
and demographic problems facing Ethiopia also. The intensity of the problem is high in urban
areas in general and youth face serious difficulty in getting employment. This paper also
reviewed different literature on the definition, concept and determinants of youth
unemployment and include different theories on youth unemployment and type of
unemployment. finally conclude with recommendation by suggesting that the concerned
bodies should have to try to improve youth unemployment in the country in general.
iv
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
Unemployment is the most challenging economic problem facing the government. It is a vital
challenge for both developed and developing world (Kabaklalri et al, 2011). Unemployment
is one of the challenging socio economic problems that affect all people in the working age
group in the world. Unemployment is one of the challenges facing today’s world, Coupled
with the population growth and increased poverty, it has a significant impact on growth and
development at large. It causes a waste of economic resources such as productive labor force
and affects the long run growth potential of an economy and it gives rise to privet and social
problems in the society (Rafiket al., 2010 and Eita et al., 2010). The ability of youth to engage
in productive activities has both social and economic consequences for an economy. In
developing countries, youth face not only the challenge of obtaining productive employment,
but also obtaining safe and acceptable work (in case of our country Ethiopia prostitute is not
accepted socially). According to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD. 2010) estimates, there are 85 million unemployed youth around the world.
unemployment is the condition which is characterized with the incapability of an individual to
find a job of any kind. According to ILO (2012) defines unemployment is the main challenges
of the modern era in both the developed and developing countries, especially youths, which
the united Nations defines as, those between the ages of 15-25, are more affected by
unemployment. Young people are more vulnerable to lack experience, social networks or
other qualifications that would make them difficult to find employment. In most regions youth
were nearly three times more likely to be unemployed than adults (Amanuel D. 2016). Youths
are among the most important resources countries need to have in order to bring about
prosperity. Energetic, courageous and qualified youth can make changes to the social
economic development if they are well utilized and managed (Msigwa and Kipesha, 2013).
However, unemployment among young people has becoming a major challenge for all nations
in the world. It is not only a statistical concept, but also a multidimensional social
phenomenon. It results substantial crises in psychological, social and economic perspectives,
1
some of them are: increasing crime rates and violence, dependence on family, low self-
esteem, poor social adaptation, depression and loss of confidence (Kabaklarli et al., 2011).
Nazir et.al (2009) in the same manner showed that unemployment affects the socio-economic
status of the family, leads to poor mental health, dependency and increases the magnitude of
corruption, drug addiction, crimes and suicide in a society. In the world there was
unprecedented increase in youth unemployment between 2008 and 2009. However, from 2009
to 2011 the youth unemployment rate decreased from 12.7 per cent to 12.3 per cent. By year
2012, it increased again to 12.4 per cent and has continued to rise to 12.6 per cent (ILO,
2013). In the Sub‐Saharan Africa youth unemployment rate is significantly higher than the
adult unemployment rate. It is as twice as adult unemployment rate. Regarding the
determinants and impacts of youth unemployment several studies have been conducted in
different parts of the world by various scholars. According toAssad and Levison (2013),
employment inadequacy for youth shows up in high rates because of low-job creation and
increasing environmental threats. This situation, if not controlled likely result to more
frequent sources of violence and civil conflict. Youth unemployment and underemployment is
much more prevalent in urban areas, where women are disproportionately suffering in the
labor markets (Haile, 2012). The seriousness of youth unemployment in Ethiopia is also
profound because, being unemployed and youth can lead to increase the risk of poverty, waste
of productive resource, increase income inequality and social chaos, (Guarcello and Rosati,
2007). The labor force is growing with an increasing proportion of youth and employment
growth is inadequate to absorb this high proportion of labor force specially the youth part in
different sectors of the economy in Ethiopia (Alemnew, 2014: cited at Aynalem Sh. and
Mulugeta D. (2018). The country is the highest urban unemployment rates worldwide, at
about 50% of the youth labor force (Berhanu et al., 2005) Despite the recent economic growth
witnessed in Ethiopia, youth unemployment is high and rising (Martha, 2012). The problem is
more severe in urban than in rural area. Generally have described that youth unemployment
occurs when industries have as low performance. It also occurs at the end of the school year
when larger number of youth graduate and look for work. In addition to this, youth
unemployment results from a general lack of demand for labor. When the business cycle turns
down wards demand for goods and services drops, consequently workers are laid off. A major
policy issue is a relation of unemployment to inflation. Wages increases pushing production
2
costs and prices higher thus contributing to inflation. When demand and unemployment
increase, inflationary pressure on wages and production are relieved, (Hussmann, 2004).
Objectives
General objective
The general and main objective of this seminar paper is to accessand identify the determinants
of youth unemployment.
3
1.3.2 Specific objectives
The specific objectives of this seminar are;
• To examine the socio-demographic factors that affect the participation of the young
population to the labour force, as well as those which contribute to the high level of
unemployment.
• To describe the type and prevalence of youth unemployment across the regions and
urban/rural districts in Ethiopia.
• To estimate the likelihood of being unemployed among youths in Ethiopia given his/her
background and or individual characteristics.
• To draw conclusions from the ongoing experience in order to make recommendations for
programmes geared towards enhancing employment creation in the country.
4
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
Unemployment is one of the main problems in the world economy today. Many
countries at different levels of development are trying to cope with this problem.
International Labor Organization (1992) defines that unemployment is the situation of
being out of work or need a job and continuously searching for it in the last four week or
unemployed ( age 16 or above) but available to join work in the next two weeks. People
who voluntarily do not want to work, full time students, retired people and children are no
included in unemployed category. In short, unemployment means the state when people
who are willing and able to do a job but fail to get the desired job. Youth unemployment is
a problem that affects most countries. The ability of youth to engage in productive
activities has both social and economic consequences for an economy. Youth unemployment
is often higher than the unemployment rate for adults highlighting the concerns that many
countries face in facilitating the transition from school to work. In developing
countries, youth face not only the challenge of obtaining productive employment, but also
obtaining safe and acceptable works (Broussara and Tsegay, 2012). The ILO estimates
that the number of unemployed youth is on the rise again since 2011, after declining from
the peak it reached at the time of the global financial crisis. It is expected to reach 74.2
million young people by 2014 based on (ILO, 2010). The global youth unemployment rate
has also been rising since 2011. It is currently estimated at 12.6% and is projected to increase
to 12.8% by 2018. The study by Echebiri (2005), on the basis of youth in Umuahia city in
Nigeria, finds that unemployment is influenced by age, marital status, dependency ratio,
education, current income and employment preference (paid or self-employment).
Alhawarin and Kreishan (2010) also indicate that age, gender, marital status, region, work
experience and educational level are the major determinants of unemployment in Jordan.
Studies from Ethiopia indicate that the potential causes of unemployment in urban
Ethiopia include increasing number of youth labor force, the rising internal migration,
literacy rate, poor to modest macroeconomic performance, low level of job creation
and low level of aggregate demand in the economy (Getinet, 2003; WB, 2007). Youth
unemployment is the outcome of different socio-economic and demographic factors at
macro and micro level. The micro level factors are directly associated to individuals’
demographic and socioeconomic attributes while the macro level factors are related to
5
the national issues (Toit, 2003). According to Asalfew (2011), sex, migration, education,
social network, job preferences and access to business advisory services significantly
determine youth unemployment in Debre Birhan town, Ethiopia. However, household
income, father education, and marital status were insignificant.Tegegne (2011) examined
the association between socio-demographic variables and unemployment in Addis Ababa.
The econometric analysis has confirmed that sex and age are statistically significant
and have negative relationship. Regarding migration status, in spite of the type of job, a
migrant is more likely to be employed than a non-migrant. Dejene et al., (2016) conducted
binary logistic regression to assess the determinants of youth unemployment at Ambo,
Ethiopia. Their result indicated that among the demographic variables, age of the
respondents and migration status were significantly related to youth unemployment
whereas marital status of the respondents was not significant. From the human capital
variables included in the model, education and health status of the respondents were
significantly related to youth unemployment, whereas participation in employment
related trainings was not statistically significant. Among the economic determinants,
household income, access to credit and saving services and work experience were
significant. Access to job information and psycho-social factors were the two social
capital variables that were significantly related to youth unemployment.
6
psychological changes. For research purposes and policy suitability, the one with age
boundaries is favored (MYSC, 2004).
Unemployment: - described as those people without work but looking for work or Available
and ready to work during a reference period, (ILO, 2007). Unemployment has been defined in
different ways. As cited by Mafiri (2002), Human Science Research Council (1985) found
that most definitions of unemployment require that a person not only wants but also looks for
actively. This ignores the discouraged work-seekers who may want to work at the going
wage, but has given up looking because he perceives the chance of getting it to be very slim.
This type of unemployment is some time us known as hidden unemployment. Although no
market signals are generated by those in hidden unemployment, it is not conceptually
different from the open unemployment (Mafiri, 2002).
Youth unemployment:-is refers to the share of the labor force age 15-29 without work but
available for and seeking employment.
Employment: - includes those persons who were engaged in productive activity during the
reference period as paid or self-employed, (ILO, 2007).
7
development, may contribute to higher earnings, better chance of promotions and acquiring
better position (Judge et al 1995 in Berntson et al 2006:226). In his earlier work on investment
in human capital analysis Becker found out that among other things, individuals‟ earnings
positively related to the level of skills they possessed, and the probability of unemployment
for individual is tend to be negatively correlated to the level of skills acquired (Becker
1962:10). Longer time education, engagement and subsequent increment in labor market
participation could provide youth greater opportunities for upward social mobility and
autonomy (Naafs 2012:50). the perceived image of education as a strategy to move up the
social ladder and the imagined linkage of extended years of schooling to white-collar Jobs
have encouraged parents to invest their resources in a formal education. In today‟s global
south though education for those formerly excluded has been recognized as a means of self-
improvement, the opportunities for those groups to benefit economically from this inclusion is
getting slim (Jeffrey 2008: 739, Jeffrey 2009: 182). This is because, in many cases education
has failed to realize the young people‟s employment expectations and desire for upward
social mobility. However, in developing countries young people continue to place their hope
of prolonging their participation in schooling to find professional Jobs despite many of them
remain waiting for a longer period of time before they secure paid jobs (ibid 2009:182). The
return to training investment in developing countries is poor due to primarily the slow growth
of the skilled labor demand in poor economy. Other factors such as poor administration, the
level of training capacity, the „quantity and quality of training‟, and the economic policies
that do not favor incentives to firms and individuals to invest training have contributed to
reduce the returns to training investment (Middleton et al 1993:1). UNESCO (2012:1)
highlighted that the other major challenges currently affecting urban youth empowerment
opportunities in developing countries is the less attention given to informal education and
entrepreneurial skill development in urban settings.
However,Schultz (2011) noted that education plays a great and significant role in the
economy of a nation. It increases the productivity and efficiency of people by increasing the
level of cognitive stock of economically productive human capability which is a product of
innate abilities and investment in human beings. He further illustrated that education
increases the chances of employment in the labor market, allows People to reap pecuniary and
non-pecuniary returns and gives them opportunities for job mobility, and leads to greater
8
output for society and enhanced earnings for the individual worker. He furthermore, stated
that higher education provides the skills needed to perform complex jobs, making people
more productive, thus sustaining economic growth. People with the most human capital are
said to be the most productive, and thus secure the best jobs and the highest salaries. Thus,
education plays an important role in determining the employment status of an individual.
Types of unemployment
There are four primary categories of unemployment that are typically was discuss. They are
seasonal, structural, frictional, and cyclical unemployment (ILO, 2007).
9
1. Seasonal Unemployment: It is a condition People who are out of work and looking for job
during the off-season. Examples include ice-cream vendors during the winter, schoolteachers
during the summer (they are considered unemployed only if they are looking for a job during
this time), and ski-lift operators during the summer.
10
changes in market conditions often turn many skills obsolete; this typically increases the
unemployment rate. For example, laborers who worked on cotton fields found their jobs
obsolete with Eli Whitney's patenting of the cotton gin. Similarly, with the rise of computers,
many jobs in manual book keeping have been replaced by highly efficient.
11
about 45% of the population being below 15 years of age. The proportion of working age
population (15-64 years) will be estimated at about 52% (CSA, 2007). Female unemployment
is a key indicator of the extent to which females lack labor market opportunities to generate
income (UNDP, 2010). The urban female women unemployment rate was43.7 percent
compared to 29.4 percent for urban male unemployment (Berhanu et al., 2005). According to
Ethiopian labor force survey report, the unemployment rate of female and male at country
level were 12.5 percent and4.3 percent respectively (LFS, 2005).Similarly, the 2005 Ethiopian
LFS reveals that unemployment rate of female and male were 7.8 and 2.5 percent
respectively.
12
3. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Conclusions
Unemployment is one of the challenging socio-economic problems that affect all people in the
working age group. The problem is so severe among the young people in countries of the
world, particularly in the developing countries. The issue of youth unemployment is the
outcome of different socio-economic and demographic factors. This is designed to examine
determinants of youth unemployment in Ethiopia. Based on different study, females are
more unemployed as compared to males and also migrants are not employed in various socio-
economic sectors. On the other hand, socio-economic characteristics of the youth also
contribute to unemployment. The probability of unemployment increases as the individual has
less access to social network. Most of youth who have more access to social network are most
of the time get job than those who have less access.Those individuals who get married are
employed and not get married are unemployed. The availability of inadequate business
advisory services to the young people significantly influences the employment status of youth.
Based on the findings, it is possible to conclude that the relative risk of unemployment is
higher for youth who have no access to the service means that advisor service and
unemployment have negative relation. Besides, preferring jobs in the formal sector also
affects the employment status of youth. Thus, youth who prefer paid employment in the
formal sectors have higher likelihood of unemployment. In addition to this the economic
status of family also affects the employment status of youth. Based on the above results youth
whose family not have better income were unemployed.
Generally, demographic factors coupled with socio- economic attributes, reduces the chance
of employment opportunities of the young people. As a result, individuals, families, societies
in particular and the country in general, are expected to pay social and economic costs of
youth unemployment
13
Recommendation
Based on the literature of the seminar, the following points are recommended to reduce the
youth unemployment.
It is revealed that youth which have no work experience were more unemployed.
Thus, intervention is required to include more jobs to newly graduated youths by hiring
institutions such as private organizations, government offices and NGOs.
Furthermore, the study recommends that the concerned bodies should try to improve
the living condition and employment opportunities to rural youths in order to reduce rural-
urban migration since migrants are more likely to be unemployed in the urban area
and in general can be a source for urban unemployment to rise. Finally, efforts
should be made to increase the availability of initial working capital, the identification of
profitable business areas and provision of practical training for urban youths to be
engaged at their own business.
Improving the accessibility and quality of business advisory services; the achievement of
getting productive work is also the functions of quality business advisory services. Thus,
improving the quality and accessibility of the service is essential to employment. One of
the ways of improving the accessibility of the services is encouraging NGO’s and other
private institutions to participate in making the service available at lower administrative
level; capacitating the existing service provider institutions through trained manpower,
finance and materials.
Improving the awareness of youth towards jobs; Preferring jobs only in the formal sectors
particularly jobs in government offices increases the likelihood of being unemployed then
the government should try to improve the attitude of youth towards job by creating
awareness and by giving credit access to start business by them. And should generate
employment opportunities for the employees as well
Addressing the problem of migrants; this is the main mechanisms to reduce youth
unemployment. As shown in the literature migrants are the victims of unemployment in
town. Though identifying the pushing factors of migrants such as flood, famine, lack of
credit, and social and economic costs.
14
Social networks are important to find jobs in urban areas. Having higher access of social
network increases the chance of getting new information about job opportunities available
in the residential areas as well as outside the area. In order to increase the social networks;
educating youth to bring change in their social communication habits using public and
private media, encourage them to use and access internet, mobile telephone; participate in
youth related activities, visit and ask private employment agencies, friends, and relatives.
15
4. REFERENCES
Agresti A., (2002). Categorical Data Analysis. Wiley Inter science, New York.
Berhanu, D., Abraham T. & Hannah D., (2005). Characteristics and Determinants of
Youth unemployment, Underemployment and Inadequate Employment in Ethiopia
Central Statistically Agency (2013). Statistical Report on National Labour Force Survey.
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Evidence from urban Ethiopia, University of East Anglia.
Contact:p.sernil
16
Getinet Haile, (2003). The Incidence of Youth Unemployment in Urban Ethiopia. Paper
presented at the 2nd EAF International Symposium on Contemporary Development
Issues in Ethiopia, 11-13 July, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
17
ILO (2010). Global Employment Trends for Youth. Special Issue on the Impact of the
Global Economic Crisis on youth,Geneva .
Assaad, R. and Levison, D.2013. Employment for Youth – A Growing Challenge: for
the Global Econom Country Study. The World Bank, New York
CSA, 2010. The 2007 Population and Housing Census of Ethiopia Results for Amhara
Region: Part I. Statistical Report on Population Size and Characteristics.
Guarcello, L. and Rosati, F. 2007. Child Labor and Youth Employment: Ethiopia.
ILO 2013, Global Employment Trends for Youth 2013: A Generation at Risk
18
Kabaklarli, E., Er, H.P, and Bulus, A.2011. Economic Determinants of Turkish Youth
Unemployment Problem: Co-Integration Analysis. International Conference on
Applied Economics – ICOAE 2011
Adams, A.V. (2007) the Role of Youth Skill Development in the Transition to Work: A
Global Review, Children and Youth, Washington, D.C: the World Bank
Middleton, J., A. Ziderman and A. Adams (1993) Skills for Productivity: Vocational
Education and Training in Developing Countries: Oxford: Oxford University Press
19
Seife ,Dendir. 2004. Unemployment Duration in Poor Developing
Economies:Evidence from Urban Ethiopia, Radford University, USA.
20