Total Return Swap
Total Return Swap
2. Another party (the "buyer") desires to receive the expected economic returns from
this portfolio of receivables.
• In other words, the buyer wants the expected interest, fees and appreciation
from this portfolio of receivables.
• The buyer could simply purchase the portfolio of receivables from the seller, but
this would require an upfront cash payment.
3. In lieu of the buyer purchasing the portfolio, the two parties enter into a total return
swap.
• The seller agrees to "pay" the buyer the expected returns on the portfolio (this is
actually a bit tricky, as explained below).
• In exchange, the buyer agrees to pay the seller interest on a notional amount,
usually at LIBOR minus a spread for risk.
• To the extent that the actual returns exceed the expected returns, the seller
must pay the buyer those additional returns.
• However, if actual returns are less than expected returns, the buyer must fund
this difference to the seller.
With respect to the "seller", total return swaps offer a way to maintain a portfolio of
assets, but mitigate economic exposure to those assets. In other words, through a total
return swap, sellers can protect themselves against their assets losing value, as the
buyer is responsible for paying the differential on assets that don't perform according to
expectations.
As noted in the example above, "buyers" enter into these arrangements because they
think they can generate good returns from a pool of assets, but cannot afford (or do
not otherwise wish) to buy these assets outright for cash.
Banks are among the most significant users ("sellers") of total return swaps. Total
return swaps can help banks mitigate exposure, which, ironically, allows the bank to
extend more credit. For instance, assume that a bank has loaned $1 million to a valued
customer. The bank would like to loan additional funds to this customer, but may not
do so because the customer has reached its credit limit. To avoid losing potential future
business with this customer, the bank will enter into a total return swap to mitigate the
credit risk on the customer's existing loans. This will permit the bank to potentially loan
more funds to the customer without running afoul of the customer credit limitations.
Another common user of total return swaps is a securitized pool of assets, such as
asset-backed commercial paper conduits. Simply, investors in these conduits want
security that the assets backing their investments are going to generate a sufficient
return to pay scheduled principal and interest payments. Accordingly, the administrators
of conduits will sometimes use credit derivatives such as total return swaps to mitigate
the risk of default on the assets backing a conduit.
Hedge funds are one of the largest "buyers" of total return swaps. These funds believe
that these derivatives provide the potential to generate strong returns, while permitting
existing cash on hand to be used for other investing activities.
Like any derivatives transactions, there is the potential for a tremendous amount of
exposure if the assets perform unfavorably.
On the surface, it would appear that the buyer is the party with the greatest risk. Recall
that buyers sometimes enter into total return swaps because they do not have the
resources necessary to buy the assets outright, and/or such resources are committed to
other investments. Accordingly, buyers may not have available liquid funds to cover
substantial or unexpected losses on the underlying portfolio of assets.
Moreover, under total return swaps, servicing of the underlying portfolio of assets - that
is, processing collections, issuing dunning notices to delinquent accounts, etc. - still
remains with the seller. Thus, there is the implication that if banks and other sellers
continue to transfer their credit risk to investors, they will not be motivated to monitor
the assets' performance or take actions if the performance is poor.
What's interesting, however, is that the seller may ultimately have the highest exposure
in a total return swap. Note that under a total return swap, the seller has not eliminated
credit risk, but has simply transferred it to a third party investor. Thus, there is a risk
that the buyer in a total return swap may experience a decline in creditworthiness. In
extreme cases, the buyer may be forced to declare bankruptcy, effectively shifting the
credit burden back to the seller.
As a result of these risks, some prominent individuals have begun to question the
increasing use of total return swaps. For instance, in the 2003 Berkshire Hathaway
annual report, Warren Buffett notes "the macro picture is dangerous and getting more
so. Large amounts of risk, particularly credit risk, have become concentrated in the
hands of relatively few derivatives dealers, who in addition trade extensively with one
another. The troubles of one could quickly infect the others." For more of Buffett's
comments, click on the following link:
http://www.fortune.com/fortune/investing/articles/0,15114,427751-2,00.html
For more information on total return swaps, click on the link below.
http://my.dreamwiz.com/stoneq/products/total.htm