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Binomial Distribution

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Zulfiqar Arfeen
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106 views

Binomial Distribution

Uploaded by

Zulfiqar Arfeen
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
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ASF ae sR aye —— Binomial Distribution ee se gt One prominent physician claims that 70% of those with lung cancer are chain a smokers, If his assertion is correct: a, Find the probability that of 10 such patients recently admitted to hospital, fewer than half are cliain smokers. b, Find the probability that of 20 such patients recently admitted to hospital, fewer than half are chain smokers. Solution: Let X is the number of patients, @ P=0.70 and n= 10 so, p(x Me In testing.a certain type of truck tire over a rugged terrain, it is found that 25% of the trucks fail to complete the test run without a blowout. Of the next 15 trucks tested, find the probability that a. from 3 to 6 do not have blowouts; ». fewer than 4 do not have blowouts; ¢, more than 5 do not have blowouts. Solution: Let X is the number of trucks. @ : p= 025 andn=15 so, 3G <=x- ) p= 0.25 andn=15 so, Pix<4) =BG, 15, 0.25) =O. oe © p=0.25 and a= 15 so, Pees) A nationwide survey of seniors by the University of Michigan reveals that almost 70% disapprove of daily smbkiing according to a report in Parade, September 14; 1980. If 12 seniors are selected at random and asked their opinion, find the probability that the number who disapprove of smoking pot daily is a: anywhere from 7 to 9; b. at most 5; ¢., not less than 8 Solution: : Let X is the number who disapprove of smoking pot daily and p= 0.70 and n= 12 so, @ p(7 <=x <=9) BQ, 12, 0.70)~ B(6, 12, 0.70) 7472-0.1178 on «Ow PR=5) =B(5, 12, 0.70) = 0.0389 © a pOr=8) I: p(x) 1-B(7, 12, 0.70) 0.7238 — 0.2762 : t &! % Binomial Distribution, 4 2 The probability that a patient recovers from a delicate heart operation is 0.9. ‘What is the probability that exactly 5 of the next 7 patients having this operation survive? Solution: Let’X is the number of patients and p=0.9,n=7 So, ‘p(x=5) = BG, 7,09) - B(4,7, 0.9) = 0.1497 -0,0257 be = 0,240 A traffic control engines reports that 75% of the vehicles passing through a checkpoint are from within the state. What is the probability that fewer than 4 of the next 9 vehicles are from out of the state? Solution: Let Xis the number of vehicles and p=025,0=9 So, PE<4) = BG,9,0.25)_ = 0.8343 by A study conducted at George Washington University and National Institute of ‘Health xamined national altitudes about tranquilizers. The study revealed that approximately 70% believe “tranquilizers don’t really cure anything; they just cover up the real trouble.” According to this study what is the probability that at least 3 of the mext 5 people selécted at random will be of this opinion. Solution: Let X is the number of people that are of the stated opinion and :p=0.70,2=5 So, p= 3) 1- prs) BQ, 5, 0.70) as 0.8369 Saal i ‘Wit is known that 40% of mice inoculated with a serum are protected from 2 certain disease, If 5 mice are inoculated, find the probability that a. Rone contracts the disease; 5. fewer than 2 contract the disease; more than 3 contract the disease. Solution: Let X is the number of mice protected from disease and 2 @ (5, 5, 0.40) — B&4, 5, 0.40)= 1.0000 - 0.9898 .0102_- Binomial Distribution, 5) ; . AThe probability that a patient recovers from a delicate heart operation is 0.9. ‘What is the probability that exactly 5 of the next 7 patients having this operation survive? Solution: - Let'X is the number of patients and p=09,0=7 So,. ‘p(x=5) =B(, 7,99) - B(4,7, 0.9) = 0.1497 —0.0257 ay _J280 A traffic control engineer reports that 75% of the vehicles passing through a checkpoint are from within the state. What is the probability that fewer than 4 of the next 9 vehicles are from out of the state? Solution: Let X is the number of vehicles and (3, 9, 0.25) 1.8343, A study condueted at George Washington University and National Institute of Heaith examined national altitudes about tranquilizers. The study revealed that approximately 70% believe “tranquilizers don’t really cure anything; they just cover up the real trouble.” According to this study what is the probability that at Jeast3 of the next 5 people selected at random will be of this opinion, Solution: Let X is the numBer of people that are of the stated opinion and p=0.70,n=5 So, : p&>=3) "=1-pea) =1-BQ, 5, 0.70) 0.1631 fie = 0.8369 eee pa | Tit is known that 40% of mice inoculated with a serum are protected from a | certain disease, If 5 mice are inoculated, find the probability that aN a. none contracts the disease; +b. fewer than 2 contract the disease; . more than 3 contract the disease. Solution: » ‘Let X is the number of mice protected from disease and n=5s0, @ p= 0.40 ‘P(x =.5) =BG, 5, 0.40) — BG, 5, 0.40)= 1.0000 — 0.9898 = 6.01 P=0.60 PRQ) =B(, 5, 0.60) 0.0870. © P= 0.60 pes) = 1+ p(xx=3) spate 3,0.60) = 1~0.6630 = 98370 oe Suppose that for a very large shipment of integrated-circuit chips, the chips fail in a random sample of 20. Solution: Let X is the number of chips fail and p=0.10'and n=20 So, PK <=3). =BG, 20, 0.10) = 0.8670 me 0.9, find the probability that among 20 such lights 2. exactly 18 will have a useful life of at least 800 hours; b. at least 15 will have a useful life of at least 800 hours; ©. at least 2 will not have a useful life of at least 800 hours. Solution: : Let X is the number of lights having usefil life, n=2050, ~ @ a a p= 0.90 a p= 18) = B(18, 20; 0.90) - B(17, 20, 0.90) = 0.6083 ~ 0.3231 ® z he P=0.90 2 POO=15) 1-p(xsi5) 1-B(14, 20, 0.90) =1~0.0113 © —— 1.10 PZ probability of failure for any one chip is 0,10. Assuming that the assumptions underlying the binomial distributions are met, find the probability that at most 3 Hf the probability that a fliorescent light has a useful life of at least 800 hours is

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