Chandra 2013
Chandra 2013
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Abstract
Crossing is an inevitable part of walking in which the desired path of pedestrians conflicts with vehicular traffic. These conflicts
can result in either delay or risk to the pedestrians. Due to insufficient designated crossing points on a highway or improper design,
most pedestrians are forced to cross at random unpredictable locations. As such, they create confusion and risks to themselves, as
well as to the drivers. Road accident statistics reveal that pedestrian injury and deaths are very high in India and improper gap
acceptance during crossing is a major contributing factor. Gap acceptance data collected at 17 locations in five cities of India are
analysed in this study to understand the variation in the gap acceptance behavior through descriptive and parametric analysis.
Descriptive analysis provided central tendency, dispersion and distribution of gap acceptance data, whereas, parametric analysis
resulted in identification of relationships between factors affecting accepted gap. Accepted gap was found decreasing with conflicting
traffic and crossing speed of the pedestrians. It also found varying with change in number of lanes on the road to be crossed. Critical
gap was estimated from accepted gap and crossing time distribution functions for varied traffic and spatial conditions.
Keywords: pedestrian, gap, mixed traffic, traffic lanes, India
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*Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee 247-667, India (Corresponding Author, E-mail: [email protected])
**Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee 247-667, India (E-mail: [email protected])
***Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, MVJ College of Engineering, Bangalore 560-067, India (E-mail: [email protected])
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Descriptive and Parametric Analysis of Pedestrian Gap Acceptance in Mixed Traffic Conditions
acceptance behaviour of the pedestrians, the effect of gender and simplified to three; single stage, two stages and rolling. In the
age on the accepted gaps, the effect of road width (or number of first case, the pedestrians cross the road, irrespective of its width,
lanes) to be crossed, the crossing pattern, and the traffic on the in one crossing maneuver. In the second case, they cross up to
road. These studies are discussed in the following paragraphs. median in one go and subsequently cross the far side. The
Moore (1953) found that the pedestrians who accepted shorter pedestrians keep searching for gaps between continuous flow of
gaps increased their crossing speeds. Those who accepted gaps vehicles by adjusting speed and direction of movement in the
of less than 3 s walked at a speed of 1.57 m/s while those third crossing pattern. The same approach is used in the present
accepting longer gaps of 7 s walked at 1.2 m/s. Cohen et al. study also to categorize the crossing patterns in India based on
(1955) found that 92% of pedestrians crossed a 7.0 m wide road observations taken under different traffic flow and road geometric
when the available gap was 7 s while no one crossed the road conditions.
when gaps were shorter than 1.5 s and everyone crossed the road Effect of road width is also studied by various researchers.
when gaps were 10.5 s or greater. DiPietro and King (1970) Wilson and Grayson (1980) analyzed the proportion of pedestrians
found that accepted gap becomes longer as the waiting time on accepting gaps of less than 2 s at a crossing with two-way traffic
the curb increases. Zhao and Wu (2003) analyzed microscopic flow. They found 3.4% of males and 2.1% of females accepting
behavior of pedestrians at signalised intersections, including these very short gaps when crossing against nearside traffic.
accepted gaps and lags in a mixed traffic situations. The average Palamarthy et al. (1994) found that pedestrians were more likely
acceptable gap and lag for the pedestrians were found to be 5.79 to look for an overall gap than separate gaps in individual traffic
s and 3.62 s, respectively. Das et al. (2005) found that critical streams. Oxley et al. (1997) reported that the average gap acceptance
gaps get influenced by the size of the intersection. Pedestrians for younger pedestrian was found to be 51.3 m and for older
were found to accept smaller gaps when crossing from the pedestrian this value was 69.1 m for two-way road. For one-way
median than from the sidewalk curb. Most of the pedestrians road, the average gap accepted by younger and older pedestrians
accepted a gap of 8 s. The summary of the gap accepted by the was 119.2 m and 134.1 m, respectively. Brewer et al. (2006)
pedestrians’ in different countries as reported by different researchers observed that pedestrians did not always wait to cross the street
is given in Table 1. The data indicate that the accepted gap varied when all lanes were completely clear; instead, they anticipated
between 1.5 s and 10 s. that the lanes would clear as they crossed and used a “rolling
Another aspect of interest is the influence of pedestrians’ gap” to cross the road. They found 85th percentile accepted gaps
characteristics on size of the gap accepted. Oxley et al. (1997) between 5.3 and 9.4s, with a trend of increasing gap length as
reported that some of the older pedestrians reject larger gaps than crossing distance increased.
their younger counterparts, but not longer enough thus making Andrew (1991) found that physical factors relating directly to
risky crossing decisions. Das et al. (2005) analyzed the revealed road-crossing behavior such as traffic volume, and conditions
preference data based on video recording of a crossing in India, relating indirectly to this behavior such as darkness and weather
and found that children and younger people accept gaps that conditions, are also likely to affect crossing behavior. Hine and
were rejected by the older persons, but found no difference in Russell (1993) observed that crossing strategies and pedestrian
gaps accepted by two genders. trip-making activity get modified in response to the changes in
The crossing patterns followed by the pedestrians are defined traffic conditions, namely traffic volumes and parking activity.
in many studies, but the patterns given by Song et al. (1993) look Carthy et al. (1995) found that older pedestrians had problems
wider in approach. They examined the interaction of pedestrians when crossing wide streets or intersections with dense traffic
and vehicles (gaps) at crossings which were at least 10 m away because it was difficult for them to look at traffic approaching
from a designated crossing. Their observations divided the from various directions. Oxley et al. (1997) also found that it was
pedestrians’ crossing tactics into four categories namely, “two- difficult for older pedestrians to assess the traffic on the farthest
gap”, “risk-taking”, “two-stage”, and “walk and look”. Brewer et carriageway.
al. (2006) observed that pedestrians’ crossing maneuvers can be The literature presented above highlights the need to study the
4. Descriptive Analysis package and various descriptive parameters like mean, standard
deviation, skewness, etc. were estimated. The analysis was done
Descriptive analysis was carried out to estimate the central with respect to different pedestrian characteristics like age and
tendency, dispersion and distribution of the accepted gaps at gender, and type of crossing. Statistical significance at 95%
various locations. The analysis was carried out using SPSS confidence interval was tested between different parameters at
each location. The difference between the time gap accepted by two genders
reduced to less than 5 percent when carriageway changed from
4.1 Average Accepted Gap 2L1W to 2L2W. It however, increased to 13 percent on a 3L2W
Accepted gaps by pedestrians and their descriptive statistics carriageway. In the case of female pedestrians, these figures are
for all the locations and road conditions are given in Table 3. 4.5% and 29% respectively. It indicates that male pedestrians are
Average gap accepted in the case of 3-L 2-W road varies affected by both number of lanes and two-way traffic whereas,
marginally with an average of 11.63 s. Both of the locations in female pedestrians become safety conscious only when number
this case were recreational. An increase in the width of the road of lanes increases. These facts can be corroborated from the F-
and decrease in the traffic volume had resulted in acceptance of test statistics also given in Table 5.
relatively lower time gaps. In the case of 2-L 2-W road, the Further classification of pedestrians was done based on their
average gap is 24% lower as compared to the 3-L 2-W road. It age. The pedestrians were classified into 3 groups as young (less
was observed that relatively lower increase (13%) in traffic than 20 years), middle age (20 to 50 years), and old age (more
volume (above 2500 PCU/h) as compared to the width of the than 50 years) as perceived through video. The sample size was
carriageway (16%) had resulted in acceptance of substantially 352 young, 1095 middle age and 397 old age pedestrians for 2-L
lower gaps, the reduction being 30%. The analysis of two-lane 1-W carriageway system; 78 young, 301 middle age and 114 old
one-way (2-L 1-W) sections indicated an average gap of 8.87 s age pedestrians for 2-L 2-W carriageway system, and 519
with a wide range of 6.38 s to 12.78 s. The gap accepted was young, 1491 middle age and 531 old age pedestrians for 3-L 2-W
found to be higher in commercial land uses, a value of 10 s and carriageway system. The average time gaps accepted by the
above. Time gap values of less than 8 s were observed in areas pedestrians in these age groups are given in Table 6. In general,
with either educational or near recreational areas. Mixed land old age pedestrians were found accepting larger gaps as compared
uses had values in a range of 8 s and 10 s. to pedestrians in other age groups. This might be the effect of
All distributions were found skewed positively, thus indicating their age related crossing capabilities as well as their higher
that most pedestrians preferred a safety margin beyond the safety consciousness. However, F test indicated that the increases
average time gap. The maximum time gap accepted by the in time gaps for all the three age groups are not statistically
pedestrians was found to be more than 17 s. This happened al significant at 95% confidence level if only traffic became two
locations where traffic was low. Minimum time gap was found to directional on a 2-L carriageway. But with the change in number
be 1.91 s, indicating a very risky crossings maneuvers existing in of lanes, the variation in time gaps accepted by the three age
mixed traffic condition. groups is significant.
4.2 Gaps Accepted in Gender and Age Groups 4.3 Impact of Crossing Pattern
The time gap data were classified based on gender. The sample It was observed that the pedestrians cross the carriageway in
size was 1353 males and 492 females for 2-L 1-W carriageway three different manners. These were single stage, two stages and
system, 252 male and 241 female for 2-L 2-W carriageway and rolling, as defined earlier. The observed crossing maneuvers for
143 male and 61 female for 3-L 2-W carriageway system. The the three types of operational carriageways are given in Table 7.
male pedestrians accepted shorter gaps than female pedestrians The single stage crossings dominated on a 2-L carriageway and
on all types of roads as shown in Table 4. Similar results are rolling dominated on 3-L carriageway. It was interesting to note
reported by Cohen et al. (1955) also, but it was not discussed that on a 2-L 1-W carriageway substantial percent of pedestrians
with respect to the operational classification of the carriageway. were adopting two-stage crossing maneuver, which is not as per
Table 7. Different Crossing Maneuvers on the Carriageways accepted during rolling and two stage maneuvers were higher
Carriageway Single stage Rolling Two Stage than those in single stage maneuver. It is quite obvious also as
operation (%) (%) (%) two stage and rolling crossings require more time to judge the
2 – lane one way 49 31 20 availability of the gap in the second lane. In the case of 2-L 1-W
2 – lane two way 65 33 02 carriageways, accepted gaps were only 6-7% higher for rolling
3 – lane two way 41 49 10 and two-stage crossing when compared with single stage crossings.
However, making the traffic two-way affected the rolling gaps
substantially, around 18 percent. This indicates that pedestrians
normal belief. Micro level examination of crossing maneuvers first evaluate the traffic in the near side lane and after that search
by location indicated that the two-stage crossing maneuver for a gap in rolling maneuver in the next traffic lane. The
highly dominated (52% to 73%) at locations where the carriageway statistical comparison of the gaps under different crossing
width varied between 7.0 and 8.6 m, and traffic volume ranged patterns is given in Table 8. As may be seen, making the traffic
between 1600 and 2250 PCU/h. But it could not be generalized two-way on a 2-L carriageway did not make any significant
as two locations falling in these ranges had negligible two-stage change in gaps accepted. The increase in number of lanes, on the
crossings. Under two-way traffic on a 2-L carriageway, the share other hand, has effect on accepted gaps.
of single stage crossings increased substantially. With further
increase in the number of lanes, the rolling became substantial. 5. Parametric Analysis
Further analysis of gaps data accepted by the pedestrians
during different types of crossings indicated that the gaps Parametric analysis was done to study the influence of various
Table 8. F-test Statistics for Gaps Accepted During Different Crossing Patterns
Single stage Rolling Two stage
Comparison
Statistics Remarks Statistics Remarks Statistics Remarks
2-L 1-W v/s 2-L 2-W F(1, 332) = 2.244, P>0.05 Not Significant F(1, 237) = 0.713, P>0.05 Not Significant F(1, 431) = 0.005, P>0.05 Not Significant
2-L 1-W v/s 3-L 2-W F(1, 286) = 67.723, P<0.05 Significant F(1, 998) = 121.423, P<0.05 Significant F(1, 330) = 40.557, P<0.05 Significant
2-L 2-W v/s 3-L 2-W F(1, 98) = 27.045, P<0.05 Significant F(1, 351) = 71.664, P<0.05 Significant F(1,113) = 28.893, P<0.05 Significant
Note: Statistics computed at 95% confidence level.
Parametric Analysis
Parametric analysis was done to study the influence of various factors on time gaps as accepted by the pedestrians under different operating conditions
on the carriageways.
factors on time gaps as accepted by the pedestrians under This defined the inverse function between the two. To eliminate
different operating conditions on the carriageways. the undefined form of the relationship if the conflicting flow rate
is zero or is too high (approaching infinite value) an additive
5.1 Effect of Conflicting Traffic constant was introduced in the relationship. This resulted in a
Microscopic analysis was carried out to study the interaction relationship as given by Eq. (2).
between pedestrians and vehicular traffic. Instead of estimating
B1
traffic flow rates on a carriageway based on 15 min or 1 hr data, AGap = B0 + -----------
- (2)
C Flow
the concept of instantaneous conflicting traffic flow as suggested
by Kyte et al. (1991) is used. This concept examines vehicle on a where,
minor road seeking a gap in traffic on the major road at a two AGap = Accepted gap, s
way stop controlled intersection. This concept is being extended CFlow = Conflicting flow rate, vps, and
to midblock crossing locations also where pedestrians waiting to B0 and B1 are the coefficients
cross the carriageway are considered synonymous to vehicle on a
The model parameters for three types of carriageway are given
minor road and vehicles plying on the carriageway define the
in Table 9. ANOVA indicated that the estimated parameters are
instantaneous conflicting flow. The flow rate is estimated by
statistically significant and of plausible sign. The models developed
considering the observation time as given by Eq. (1).
for three types of carriageways were found to be significantly
n different. The goodness of fit was low in the case of 2-L
Conflicting flow rate = ---------------- (1)
( tn – to ) carriageways but was satisfactory in the case of 3-L carriageway.
The typical scatter plots of the relationships for different carriageway
where,
operations are shown in Fig. 4.
n = Number of observed conflicting vehicles for the
subject pedestrian, including the conflicting vehicle
passing just after the pedestrian Table 9. Model Parameters for Conflicting Flow Rate Relationship
tn = Time of arrival of nth conflicting vehicle at reference Type of Model Parameters
point R2 F Value
carriageway Bo B1
to = Time of arrival of a pedestrian at the kerb 3L 2W 5.441 1.63 0.693 212.499
Intuitively, it is assumed that as the conflicting flow rate 2L 2W 4.485 1.356 0.337 169.274
increases the time gaps accepted by the pedestrians will reduce. 2L 1W 4.635 12.46 0.336 482.58
Fig. 4. Conflicting Flow Rate Versus Accepted Gap: (a) Two-lane One-Way Carriageway, (b) Two-lane Two-way Carraigeway, (c) Three-
Lane Two-Way carriageway, (d) Combined Data
Table 10. Model Parameters for Crossing Speed Relationship 6.1 Average Critical Gaps
Carriageway Model Parameters 2 Average critical gap at different locations were estimated and
R F-value
type bo b1 are given in Table 11. The critical time gaps in the case of 2-L 1-
3L 2W 17.885 0.924 0.541 175.574 W carriageways were found varying between 3.44 and 9.75 s.
2L 2W 11.159 0.770 0.630 629.459 The variation in critical gaps on different sections is attributed to
2L 1W 9.396 0.792 0.554 2406.945 traffic volume and/or land use of adjoining area. Traffic volume
on these sections ranged between 1600 and 2900 PCU/h in
educational, residential or recreational areas and it resulted in
5.2 Effect of Crossing Speed lower critical gaps of 3 to 6s. It increased to 6 - 8 s in the mixed
It was assumed that the pedestrians would accept shorter gaps or shopping areas with traffic volume ranging between 1600 and
only when they are in a position to cross at a faster speed. This 2400 PCU/h, and further to 9 s and above when the traffic flow
indicates towards an inverse relationship. The effect of speed was 1400 to 2200 PCU/h in purely mixed land use areas. As may
may or may not be considered as linear and therefore a power be observed traffic volume on these sections do not vary much
function would be more appropriate. The functional form and hence, the main influencing factor is land use. On 2-L2W
between time gap and crossing speed is given by Eq. (3). carriageways, the critical gap reduced by around 21% with
b1 almost no change in average time gaps. This is the result of
AGap = b0 x ( VC ) (3)
increased friction of two-way traffic. Further increase in the
Where, number of traffic lanes (3L-2W) increased the critical gaps by
AGap = Accepted gap (s) 118% which is quite high. All these locations are in the recreational
Vc = Crossing speed (m/s) land use with traffic volume in the range of 1500-1700 PCU/h.
b0 and b1 are the coefficients
6.2 Effect of Gender and Age
The model parameters and corresponding statistics for different
Summary of critical gaps for pedestrians on three types of
locations are given in Table 10. The relationships for all the
carriageway as categorized by their gender and age are given in
carriageway types were found to be significant at 95% confidence
Table 12. As reported in literature also, the female pedestrians
level.
were found accepting higher gaps than male pedestrians. This
might be due to their lower crossing speeds and tendency of
6. Critical Gaps
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