Jacf 12431
Jacf 12431
N UMB ER 4
FA L L 2 0 2 0
Journal of
APPLIED
CORPORATE FINANCE
I N THIS I SSU E:
Finance and 17 The First Modern Financial Crises: The South Sea and Mississippi
Bubbles in Historical Perspective
Central Banks
Robert F. Bruner, University of Virginia; and Scott C. Miller, Yale University
117 Using ESG to Enhance Fixed-Income Returns: The Case of Inherent Group
Nikhil Mirchandani and Chelsea Rossetti, Inherent Group
I
n an article published in this journal eight years ago called “Clearing and Collateral
Mandates: The New Liquidity Trap?,” I challenged the conventional wisdom that a
major feature of the Dodd-Frank Act—the one that required clearing of most over-the-counter
reduce the risk of another financial crisis. Indeed, I argued that such measures could actually
increase systemic risk. The gravamen of my argument was that Dodd-Frank, in its attempt to
reduce credit risk in derivatives markets, would end up increasing liquidity risk. That is, the
Act’s clearing and collateral mandates would tend to increase demands for funding liquidity
during times of market stress. Given that historically most financial crises have been at root
liquidity crises, this substitution of liquidity risk for credit risk was deeply problematic.
In March 2020, the market dislocations caused by the Beware the Ides of March
COVID-19 virus provided the first major test of the finan- The rapid spread of the COVID-19 virus, and the widespread fear
cial infrastructure that had been erected in the aftermath that it could rival the Spanish Influenza of 1918-1919, caused a
of Dodd-Frank. After a few fraught days of this COVID- large change in asset prices. In the almost four-week period from
apocalypse, the system stabilized, so apparently the test was February 19 to March 16, the S&P 500 index declined almost
passed. exactly 1,000 points—a nearly 30% decline. At the same time,
But some healthy skepticism is in order. For one the volatility of the S&P 500 (measured by the VIX volatility
thing, the most pronounced symptoms of an incipient index) more than quadrupled, from 14.4% to 72%.
crisis were directly attributable to the credit-risk-reducing But the market for U.S. Treasury securities sent even more
and liquidity-risk-increasing features of the Dodd-Frank ominous signals. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes declined
reforms—margins (collateral) on derivatives. Margins from 1.56% on February 19 to 0.54% on March 9, but then
and liquidity played a central role in mid-March’s market spiked up to 1.18% on March 18 before dropping again to
disruptions. For another, Federal Reserve intervention in 0.62% on April 3. And these gyrations in Treasury rates were
the form of massive injections of liquidity, rather than the accompanied by anomalous movements in the spreads, or differ-
autonomous operation of market infrastructure, is what ences, between various interest rates. The spread between the
stemmed the crisis. The episode proves, therefore, just how Overnight Index Swap rate and the yield on 30-year Treasuries
dependent the financial system remains on the prompt and spiked from around 45 to 120 basis points.1 At the same time,
effective intervention of the lender of last resort. It’s almost
as if Dodd-Frank never happened, or doesn’t matter—
1 Andreas Schrimpf, Hyun Song Shin, and Vladyslav Sushko, “Leverage and
except to the extent it exacerbated the liquidity strains that Margin Spirals in Fixed Income Markets during the COVID-19 Crisis,” BIS Bulletin 2
the Fed eased through its massive intervention. (2020).
5 Gregory Zuckerman and Ben Eisen, “Mortgage Firm Struggles to Meet Margin
4 Mohit Gupta, “Coronavirus, Market Volatility and Double Margin Calls,” Cassini Calls as Market Turmoil Continues,” Wall Street Journal, March 23, 2020.
Systems Whitepaper (2020). 6 Gupta.
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