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S2 Discrete Random Variables

This document contains two statistics problems involving discrete random variables. The first problem involves coins in a bag with a 1:3 ratio of 1p and 2p coins. Candidates were asked to find the mean, variance, list possible samples of size 3, and the sampling distribution of the sample means. The second problem involves coins in a bag with specified probabilities of 1p, 2p, and 5p coins. Candidates were asked to find the mean, variance, list possible samples of size 2, and the sampling distribution of the sample means. The reviewer notes that most candidates did well on the first problem but had more difficulty with the second, particularly calculating probabilities in the sampling distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
16 views

S2 Discrete Random Variables

This document contains two statistics problems involving discrete random variables. The first problem involves coins in a bag with a 1:3 ratio of 1p and 2p coins. Candidates were asked to find the mean, variance, list possible samples of size 3, and the sampling distribution of the sample means. The second problem involves coins in a bag with specified probabilities of 1p, 2p, and 5p coins. Candidates were asked to find the mean, variance, list possible samples of size 2, and the sampling distribution of the sample means. The reviewer notes that most candidates did well on the first problem but had more difficulty with the second, particularly calculating probabilities in the sampling distributions.

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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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S2 Discrete random variables PhysicsAndMathsTutor.

com

1. A bag contains a large number of coins. It contains only 1p and 2p coins in the ratio 1:3

(a) Find the mean μ and the variance σ2 of the values of this population of coins.
(3)

A random sample of size 3 is taken from the bag.

(b) List all the possible samples.


(2)

(c) Find the sampling distribution of the mean value of the samples.
(6)
(Total 11 marks)

2. A bag contains a large number of coins. Half of them are 1p coins, one third are 2p coins and
the remainder are 5p coins.

(a) Find the mean and variance of the value of the coins.
(4)

A random sample of 2 coins is chosen from the bag.

(b) List all the possible samples that can be drawn.


(3)

(c) Find the sampling distribution of the mean value of these samples.
(6)
(Total 13 marks)

Edexcel Internal Review 1


S2 Discrete random variables PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com

1. (a)

x 1p 2p
P(X = x) 1 3
4 4
1 3 7 3
µ = 1× + 2 × = or 1 or 1.75 B1
4 4 4 4
2
1 3 7
σ2 = 12 × + 22 × –   M1
4 4 4
3
= or 0.1875 A1 3
16
Note
B1 1.75 oe
M1 for using ∑ (x p ) – µ
2 2

A1 0.1875 oe

(b) (1,1,1), (1,1,2) any order, (1,2,2) any order, (2,2,2) B1


(1,2,1) (2,1,1) (2,1,2) (2,2,1) all 8 cases considered. B1 2
May be implied by 3 *
(1,1,2) and 3 * (1,2,2)
Note
ignore repeats

(c)
x 1 4 5 2
3 3
P( X = x ) 1
4
× 14 × 14 = 1
64
3 × 14 × 14 × 34 = 9
64
3 × 14 × 34 × 34 = 27
64
3
4
× 34 × 34 = 27
64

B1 M1 A1 M1 A1A1 6

Edexcel Internal Review 2


S2 Discrete random variables PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com

Note
1st B1 4 correct means (allow repeats)
1st M1 for p3 for either of the ends
1st A1 for 1/64or awrt 0.016 and 27/64 or awrt
0.422
2nd M1 3 × p2(1 – p)for either of the middle two
0<p<1
May be awarded for finding the probability of the
3 samples with mean of either 4/3 or 5/3 .
2nd A1 for 9/64 (or 3/64 three times) and 27/64
(or 9/64 three times) accept awrt 3dp.
3rd A1 fully correct table, accept awrt 3dp.
[11]

2. (a)
X 1 2 5
P(X = x) 1 1 1
2 3 6

Mean = 1 × 1 + 2 × 1 + 5 × 1 = 2 or 0.02 Σx.p(x) need ½ and 1


3 M1 A1
2 3 6

Variance = 12 × 1 + 22 × 1 + 52 × 1 – 22 = 2 or 0.0002 M A1 4
2 3 6

(b) Σx2 .p(x) – λ2


(1,1)
(1,2) and (2,1) B2
(1,5) and (5,1) LHS -1 B1 3
e.e.
(2,2)
(2,5) and (5,2) repeat of “theirs” on RHS B1
(5,5)

Edexcel Internal Review 3


S2 Discrete random variables PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com

(c)
x 1 1.5 2 3 3.5 5
P( X = x ) 1×1=1 1 1 ×1 =1 1 2× 1 × 1 = 1 1
2 2 4 3 3 3 9 6 3 6 9 36
¼ M1A1
1.5+,-1ee M1 M2 6
[13]

Edexcel Internal Review 4


S2 Discrete random variables PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com

1. A high proportion of candidates attempted the first two parts of this question successfully, with
the majority of candidates getting at least one mark for part (b). Those less successful in part (a)
either misread the question and ended up with a denominator of 3 for the probabilities or
xp( x )
confused formulae for calculating the mean and variance and used, for example, ∑ n
for

the mean or used E(X2) for σ2. The solution to part (c) proved beyond the capability of a
minority of candidates but, for the majority, many exemplary answers were evident, reflecting
sound preparation on this topic. Candidates who found all 8 cases in (b) usually gained four
marks in part (c) for calculating the probabilities. For a small percentage of those candidates,
calculating the means was difficult and hence completing the table correctly was not possible. A
few candidates tried unsuccessfully to use the binomial to answer part (c).

2. In part (a) many candidates were able to calculate the mean accurately, although some divided
by random constants. Few drew up a table and many were unable to cope with the 5p coins.
The most common error in calculating the variance was the failure to subtract E(X)².
Most candidates correctly identified 6 possible samples but some failed to realise that
combinations such as (1,5) and (5,1) were different and so missed the other 3 possibilities. Only
a minority of candidates were able to attempt part (c) of the question with any success, with
many candidates having no idea what was meant by ‘the sampling distribution of the mean
value of the samples’. Most did not find the mean values and if they did, then they were unable
to find the probabilities (ninths were common).Very few candidates achieved full marks.

Edexcel Internal Review 5

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