Statistics and Probability - q4 - Mod14 - Solving Problems Involving Test of Hypothesis On Population Proportion - V2
Statistics and Probability - q4 - Mod14 - Solving Problems Involving Test of Hypothesis On Population Proportion - V2
Probability
Quarter 4 – Module 14:
Solving Problems Involving Test
of Hypothesis on Population
Proportion
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Published by the Department of Education
Secretary: Leonor Magtolis Briones
Undersecretary: Diosdado M. San Antonio
Each SLM is composed of different parts. Each part shall guide you step-by-
step as you discover and understand the lesson prepared for you.
In addition to the material in the main text, Notes to the Teacher are also
provided to our facilitators and parents for strategies and reminders on how they can
best help you on your home-based learning.
Please use this module with care. Do not put unnecessary marks on any part
of this SLM. Use a separate sheet of paper in answering the exercises and tests. And
read the instructions carefully before performing each task.
If you have any questions in using this SLM or any difficulty in answering the
tasks in this module, do not hesitate to consult your teacher or facilitator.
Thank you.
In real life whenever we are confronted with problems, our decision-making skill is
being tested. Before we decide, there are certain considerations and analysis of the
given conditions must be made. Someone can be an expert problem solver if s/he is
able to apply the learned concepts in a particular situation. Although problem solving
has steps, someone may have his/her own way or techniques of solving a problem.
Meanwhile, in statistical analysis, there are steps that need to be followed in solving
problems involving test of hypothesis on population proportion. The objective is for
us to make a correct decision about the null hypothesis. It is whether we can
confidently say that the change in our data is real, definite, and not attributed by
chance.
Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a separate sheet of
paper.
5. What is the critical value (in a test about proportions) for a left-tailed test with
𝛼= 0.05 and n ≥ 30?
a. zcom = -2.33 c. zcom = -1.645
b. zcom = -1.96 d. zcom = 2.58
8. Tina wants to know if the proportion of people who buy suman is affected at
all by her open microphone reading. If p=0.8 before her reading, what is the
appropriate set of hypotheses?
It was claimed that on a certain year, 55% of Filipinos believed that there was an
improvement in the Philippine economy. Suppose that on the following year, only
290 out of 500 people randomly selected believed that there was an improvement in
our country’s economy. Does this indicate an increase in the number of certain
Filipinos who believed that there was an improvement in our economy? Use 0.05
level of significance.
15. Which of the following is the best decision and conclusion based on the results
of the test statistic? The computed z-statistic or zcom is 1.35.
a. Since the computed test statistic zcom = 1.35 does not fall in the rejection
region, do not reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that at
0.05 level of significance, there was not enough evidence that the number
of people who believed that there was an improvement in our economy
has increased.
b. Since the computed test statistic z = 1.35 does not fall in the rejection
region, reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that at 0.05
level of significance, there was not enough evidence that the number of
people who believed that there was an improvement in our economy has
increased.
c. Since the computed test statistic z = 1.35 falls on the rejection region,
do not reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that at 0.05
level of significance, there was enough evidence that the number of
people who believed that there was an improvement in our economy has
increased.
d. Since the computed test statistic z = 1.35 does not fall in the rejection
region, do not reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we conclude that at
0.05 level of significance, there was enough evidence that the number of
people who believed that there was an improvement in our economy has
increased.
Read, analyze, and identify the given on the following problems involving population
proportions.
1. It has been claimed that 30% of students in a particular senior high school
dislike Mathematics. When a survey was conducted by a researcher, it showed
that 150 of 1,000 students dislike Mathematics. Test if the claim was different
from the population at = 0.01 level.
Given:
a. Ho : _______________(symbols)
___________________________________________(statement)
b. Ha : _______________(symbols)
___________________________________________(statement)
c. Level of Significance = __________
d. n = ________
e. X = ________
f. 𝑝̂ = ________
2. In a public senior high school, a survey conducted last year by the barangay
health workers showed that 10% of the students drink alcohol. This year, a new
survey was conducted randomly on 320 students from the same school and it
was found out that 28 of them drink alcohol. Determine if the claim that there
is a decrease on the proportion of senior high school students who drink
alcohol is true. Use α = 0.05.
Given:
a. Ho : _______________(symbols)
___________________________________________(statement)
b. Ha : _______________(symbols)
___________________________________________(statement)
c. Level of Significance = __________
d. n = ________
e. X= _______
f. 𝑝̂ = ________
Below is a problem with its solutions/answers already given. Arrange the steps by
writing numbers 1-5 based on your understanding on the proper order of solving
problems on population proportions.
PROBLEM:
________ DECISION: Does not fall in the rejection region; fail to reject the Ho
________ computed z-statistic: zcom = -1.15 and critical z-value: -1.645
________ Ho: The proportion of students who watch news in national TV
during weekdays is 15%. ( Ho : p = 0.15)
Ha : The proportion of students who watch news in national TV
during weekdays is fewer than 15%. ( Ho : p < 0.15)
What is It
Just like in puzzles, you need to think of different ways on how you will be able to
solve it. Same with solving problems involving test of hypotheses on population
proportions, you need to follow important steps in order to arrive at the correct
answer.
Here are the five (5) steps in solving problems for a test of hypothesis on the
population proportion.
Remember:
STEP 5. DECISION/CONCLUSION:
➢ The decision will be either to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis
(Ho).
➢ Draw your conclusion about the population proportion based on the
test statistic value and the rejection region.
❖ If the computed z-statistic (zcom) is > or < the tabular/critical
value (ztab), reject the null hypothesis (Ho).
❖ If the computed z-statistic(zcom) falls in the rejection region,
reject the null hypothesis (Ho).
❖ If the computed z-statistic(zcom) does not fall in the rejection
region, fail to reject the null hypothesis (Ho).
Illustrative Examples
Example 1: Every year, the assigned teachers determine the Body Mass Index (BMI)
of students. In a certain public junior high school, a study finds that
10% of Grade 7 students observed are underweight. A sample of 780
Grade 7 students were randomly chosen and it was found out that 125
of them are underweight. Is this claim different for their grade level age?
Use 0.05 level of significance.
SOLUTION:
𝑋
𝑝̂ =
𝑛
125
=
780
̂=
𝒑 0.16
𝑝̂−𝑝
z=
𝑝(1−𝑝)
√
𝑛
0.16−0.10
=
0.10 (1−0.10)
√
780
0.06
=
0.01
zcom = 6.0
𝛼 0.05
= = 0.025
2 2
𝛼
NOTE: Using the Areas Under the Normal Curve Table, critical
2
𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑠 at 0.05 level of significance are ± 1.96
Rejection Region
𝛼 𝛼
= 0.025 = 0.025
2 2
Rejection Region
1. = 0.05
Ho: p = 0.6
Ha: p ≠ 0.6
2. = 0.05
p = 0.45
right-tailed test
1. _____________________________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________________________
3. _____________________________________________________________________________
4. _____________________________________________________________________________
5.______________________________________________________________________________
A. Give three (3) best experiences in your life wherein you think you made the right
decisions. Share some things, ideas, or techniques that you considered before
finally deciding. You are going to present your answers through a collage in a
short bond paper. (Use recyclable materials like old magazines, newspaper, etc.)
Assessment
Multiple Choice. Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a
separate sheet of paper.
1. A hypothesis test is done in which the alternative hypothesis is that more than
10% of the population is left-handed. The calculated p-value for the test is
0.25. Which statement is correct?
a. We can conclude that exactly 25% of the population is left-handed.
b. We can conclude that more than 10% of the population is left-handed.
c. We can conclude that more than 25% of the population is left-handed.
d. We cannot conclude that more than 10% of the population is left-
handed.
3. A potato chip producer and a supplier of potatoes agree that each shipment
must meet certain quality standards. If the producer is convinced that more
than 8% of the potatoes in the shipment have blemishes, the truck will be sent
away and another one would have to be sent. In a recent shipment, an SRS of
80 potatoes was selected and 7 had blemishes. Use = 0.01.
Which is the correct decision for this test?
a. Since p-value = 0.4024 > .01, I reject H0.
b. Since p-value = 0.4024 > .01, I reject H0.
c. Since p-value = 0.4024 < .01, I fail to reject H0.
d. Since p-value = 0.4024 > .01, I fail to reject H0.
4. In problem no. 3, what will be the correct conclusion regarding the claim?
a. There is no sufficient evidence that more than 8% of the potatoes in the
shipment have blemishes. Therefore, the truck should be returned.
b. There is sufficient evidence that more than 8% of the potatoes in the
shipment have blemishes. Therefore, the truck should be returned.
c. There is no sufficient evidence that more than 8% of the potatoes in the
shipment have blemishes. Therefore, the truck should not be returned.
d. There is sufficient evidence that more than 8% of the potatoes in the
shipment have blemishes. Therefore, the truck should not be returned.
A public high school wants to increase its reading comprehension rate of 9% for
Grade 7 students from the previous year. After planning and implementing new
reading programs during the last three years, the school re-evaluated its reading
comprehension rate using a random sample of 156 students and found the
reading comprehension rate at 10%. Test the claim at 10% level.
10. Which of the following will NOT result to a decision of rejecting the null
hypothesis?
a. The z-score is located at the rejection region.
b. The p-value is equal to the level of significance.
c. The test statistic is smaller or larger than the critical value.
d. The p-value is greater than the level of significance.
11. Why do you need to set the level of significance in solving problems for test
of hypothesis?
a. to determine the test statistic
b. to identify the margin of error
c. to easily compute the critical value
d. to make the probability of making a Type I error small
12. Which is true about using critical value approach and P-value approach?
a. They are used only for proportions.
b. They will give you different decisions.
c. They are used as alternative solutions.
d. They both have the same results used for drawing conclusions.
The mayor of a town saw an article claiming that the national unemployment rate
is 8%. He wondered if this holds true in their town, so a sample of 200 residents
was taken. The sample included 22 unemployed residents and 0.05 level of
significance was used.
b. Ho : p = 0.08 d. Ho : p = 0.08
Ha : p < 0.08 Ha : p ≥ 0.08
Additional Activities
1. One thousand five hundred (1,500) randomly selected pine trees were tested for
traces of the Bark Beetle infestation. It was found that 153 of them showed such
traces. Test the hypothesis that more than 10% of the pine trees have been
infested. (Use 5% level of significance.)
=0.5
Ho : p = 0.10
Ha : p > 0.10
zcom = 1.645
ERROR: ___________________
CORRECTED: _____________
2. A sample of 100 students were randomly selected from Pinagpala High School
and 18 of them said they are left-handed. Test the hypothesis that less than 20%
of the students are left-handed by using 𝛼 = 0.05 as the level of significance.
Ho: p = 0.20
Ha: p ≠ 0.20.
zcom = 1.96
𝛼 = 0.05.
Ho : p = 0.70
Ha: p < 0.70
P-value = 0.0289
ERROR: ____________________
CORRECTED: ______________
Since P-value < , we fail to reject the null hypothesis (Ho).
5. For a class project, a Grade 12 STEM student wants to estimate the percentage
of students who are registered voters in his school. From 45% Grade 12 students,
he surveys 500 students and finds that 200 are registered voters. Test the claim
at = 0.05 if there is enough evidence proving that there is a change in the
percentage of registered voters.
= 0.05
Ho : p ≠ 0.45
Ha: p ≠ 0.45
It is a non-directional test.
ERROR: ____________________
CORRECTION: _____________
Albacea, Zita VJ., Mark John V. Ayaay, Isidoro P. David, and Imelda E. De Mesa.
Teaching Guide for Senior High School: Statistics and Probability. Quezon City:
Commission on Higher Education, 2016.
Online Resources
Minitab.com. “About the Null and Alternative Hypotheses.” Accessed February 4,
2019. https://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/18/help-and-how-
to/statistics/basic-statistics/supporting-topics/basics/null-and-alternative-
hypotheses/
Minitab.com. “What Are Type I and Type II Errors?” Accessed February 4, 2019.
https://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/18/help-and-how-
to/statistics/basic-statistics/supporting-topics/basics/type-i-and-type-ii-
error/
http://www.ltcconline.net/greenl/courses/201/hyptest/hypprob.htm
https://faculty.elgin.edu/dkernler/statistics/ch10/10-2.htmltesting/p-value-
approach
https://www.khanacademy.org/math/ap-statistics/tests-significance-ap/one-
sample-z-test-proportion/v/calculating-a-z-statistic-in-a-significance-t