Probability Curve
Probability Curve
Distribution
■ Bell Shaped
■ Symmetrical f(X)
■ Mean, Median and Mode
are Equal
Location is determined by the σ
mean, μ X
Spread is determined by the μ
standard deviation, σ
Mean
The random variable has an = Median
infinite theoretical range: = Mode
+ ∞ to − ∞
Changing σ increases
or decreases the
σ spread.
μ X
1
Z
0
Values above the mean have positive Z-values.
Values below the mean have negative Z-values.
a b X
f(X)
0.5 0.5
μ X
0.9772
Example:
P(Z < 2.00) = 0.9772
0 2.00 Z
0.0
The row shows
the value of Z 0.1
to the first . The value within the
.
decimal point . table gives the
2.0 .9772 probability from Z = − ∞
up to the desired Z
2.0
P(Z < 2.00) = 0.9772 value
X
18.0
18.6
Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Ltd. Chapter 6, Slide 26
Finding Normal Probabilities
(continued)
■ Let X represent the time it takes, in seconds to download an image file from
the internet.
■ Suppose X is normal with a mean of 18.0 seconds and a standard deviation
of 5.0 seconds. Find P(X < 18.6)
μ = 18 μ=0
σ=5 σ=1
18 18.6 X 0 0.12 Z
X
18.0
18.6
Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Ltd. Chapter 6, Slide 29
Finding Normal
Upper Tail Probabilities
(continued)
■ Now Find P(X > 18.6)…
P(X > 18.6) = P(Z > 0.12) = 1.0 - P(Z ≤ 0.12)
= 1.0 - 0.5478 = 0.4522
0.5478
1.000 1.0 - 0.5478
= 0.4522
Z Z
0 0
0.12 0.12
Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Ltd. Chapter 6, Slide 30
Finding a Normal Probability
Between Two Values
■ Suppose X is normal with a mean of 18.0
and a standard deviation of 5.0. Find P(18 <
X < 18.6)
Calculate Z-values:
18 18.6 X
0 0.12 Z
P(18 < X < 18.6)
= P(0 < Z < 0.12)
X
18.0
17.4
f(X)
μ ± 1σ encloses about
68.26% of X’s
σ σ
μ-1σ μ μ+1σ X
68.26%
Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Ltd. Chapter 6, Slide 35
The Empirical Rule
(continued)
2σ 2σ 3σ 3σ
μ x μ x
95.44% 99.73%
Example:
■ Let X represent the time it takes (in seconds) to
download an image file from the internet.
■ Suppose X is normal with mean 18.0 and standard
deviation 5.0
■ Find X such that 20% of download times are less than
X.
0.2000
? 18.0 X
? 0 Z