Chapter 18 Statistics
Chapter 18 Statistics
18.1 TOTAL QUALITY MANAGEMENT 18.7 CONTROL CHARTS FOR THE RANGE
AND THE MEAN
18.2 SIX SIGMA MANAGEMENT
The R Chart
18.3 THE THEORY OF CONTROL CHARTS The X Chart
18.4 CONTROL CHART FOR THE 18.8 PROCESS CAPABILITY
PROPORTION OF NONCONFORMING Customer Satisfaction and Specification Limits
ITEMS—THE p CHART Capability Indexes
18.5 THE RED BEAD EXPERIMENT: CPL, CPU, and Cpk
UNDERSTANDING PROCESS VARIABILITY A.18 USING SOFTWARE FOR CONTROL
18.6 CONTROL CHART FOR AN AREA CHARTS
OF OPPORTUNITY— THE c CHART A18.1 Microsoft Excel
A18.2 Minitab
A18.3 (CD-ROM Topic) SPSS
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
In this chapter, you learn:
• The basic themes of quality management and Deming’s
14 points
• The basic aspects of Six Sigma management
• How to construct various control charts
• Which control chart to use for a particular type of data
• How to measure the capability of a process
752 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
U S I N G S TAT I S T I C S
Service Quality at the Beachcomber Hotel
In the Chapter 12 “Using Statistics” scenario, you were the manager of
T. C. Resort Properties. For this scenario, consider that you manage only
the Beachcomber Hotel. As the hotel manager, you would want to contin-
ually improve the quality of service that your guests receive so that over-
all guest satisfaction increases. To help you achieve this improvement,
T. C. Resort Properties has provided its managers with training in Six
Sigma management. In order to meet the business objective of increasing
the return rate of guests at your hotel, you have decided to focus on the
critical first impressions of the service that your hotel provides. Is the
assigned hotel room ready when a guest checks in? Are all expected
amenities such as extra towels and a complimentary guest basket in the
room when the guest first walks in? Are the video-entertainment center
and high-speed Internet access working properly? And, do guests receive their luggage in a rea-
sonable amount of time?
To study these guest satisfaction issues, you have embarked on an improvement project
that measures two critical-to-quality (CTQ) measurements, the readiness of the room and the
time it takes to deliver luggage. You would like to learn the following:
■ Are the proportion of rooms ready and the time required to deliver luggage to the rooms
acceptable?
■ Are the proportion of rooms ready and the luggage delivery time consistent from day to
day, or are they increasing or decreasing?
■ On the days when the proportion of rooms that are not ready or the time to deliver lug-
gage is greater than normal, is this due to a chance occurrence or is there a fundamental
flaw in the process used to make rooms ready and deliver luggage?
I n this chapter the focus is on quality and productivity management. Companies manufactur-
ing products, as well as those providing services, such as the Beachcomber Hotel in the
“Using Statistics” scenario, realize that quality and productivity are essential for survival in the
global economy. Among the areas in which quality has an impact on our everyday work and
personal lives are:
• The design, production, and subsequent reliability of our automobiles
• The services provided by hotels, banks, schools, retailing operations, and mail-order
companies
• The continuous improvement in computer chips that makes for faster and more powerful
computers
• The ever-expanding capability of communication devices such as data transmission lines,
paging devices, facsimile machines, and cellular telephones
• The availability of new technology and equipment that has led to improved diagnosis of ill-
nesses and the improved delivery of health care services
increased emphasis on statistics, process improvement, and optimization of the total system.
This approach, widely known as total quality management (TQM), is characterized by these
themes:
• The primary focus is on process improvement.
• Most of the variation in a process is due to the system and not the individual.
• Teamwork is an integral part of a quality management organization.
• Customer satisfaction is a primary organizational goal.
• Organizational transformation must occur in order to implement quality management.
• Fear must be removed from organizations.
• Higher quality costs less not more, but requires an investment in training.
In the 1980s the federal government of the United States increased its efforts to improve qual-
ity in American business. Congress passed the Malcolm Baldrige National Improvement Act
of 1987 and began awarding the Malcolm Baldrige Award to companies making the greatest
strides in improving quality and customer satisfaction. W. Edwards Deming became a promi-
nent consultant to many Fortune 500 companies including Ford, General Motors, and Proctor
and Gamble. Through four-day seminars, Deming widely promoted his “14 points for man-
agement” listed below, and many companies adopted some or all of them.
1. Create constancy of purpose for improvement of product and service.
2. Adopt the new philosophy.
3. Cease dependence on inspection to achieve quality.
4. End the practice of awarding business on the basis of price tag alone. Instead, minimize
total cost by working with a single supplier.
5. Improve constantly and forever every process for planning, production, and service.
6. Institute training on the job.
7. Adopt and institute leadership.
8. Drive out fear.
9. Break down barriers between staff areas.
10. Eliminate slogans, exhortations, and targets for the workforce.
11. Eliminate numerical quotas for the workforce and numerical goals for management.
12. Remove barriers that rob people of pride of workmanship. Eliminate the annual rating or
merit system.
13. Institute a vigorous program of education and self-improvement for everyone.
14. Put everyone in the company to work to accomplish the transformation.
Point 1, create constancy of purpose, refers to how an organization deals with problems
that arise both at present and in the future. The focus is on the constant improvement of a prod-
uct or service. This improvement process is illustrated by the Shewhart-Deming cycle shown
in Figure 18.1. The Shewhart-Deming cycle represents a continuous cycle of “plan, do, study,
and act.” The first step, planning, represents the initial design phase for planning a change in a
manufacturing or service process. This step involves teamwork among individuals from differ-
ent areas within an organization. The second step, doing, involves implementing the change,
preferably on a small scale. The third step, studying, involves an analysis of the results using
statistical tools to determine what was learned. The fourth step, acting, involves the acceptance
of the change, its abandonment, or further study of the change under different conditions.
FIGURE 18.1
Shewhart-Deming Cycle
Act Plan
Study Do
754 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
Point 2, adopt the new philosophy, refers to the urgency with which companies need to
realize that there is a new economic age of global competition. It is better to be proactive and
change before a crisis occurs than to react to some negative experiences that may have
occurred. Rather than take the approach “if it’s not broke, don’t fix it,” it is better to continually
work on improvement and avoid expensive fixes.
Point 3, cease dependence on inspection to achieve quality, implies that any inspection
whose purpose is to improve quality is too late because the quality is already built into the
product. It is better to focus on making it right the first time. Among the difficulties involved in
inspection (besides high costs) are the failure of inspectors to agree on the operational defini-
tions for nonconforming items, and the problem of separating good and bad items. The follow-
ing example illustrates the difficulties inspectors face.
Suppose your job involves proofreading the sentence in Figure 18.2 with the objective of
counting the number of occurrences of the letter “F.” Perform this task and record the number
of occurrences of the letter F that you discover.
FIGURE 18.2
An Example of a
Proofreading Process
FINISHED FILES ARE THE RESULT
Source: W. W. Scherkenbach, OF YEARS OF SCIENTIFIC
The Deming Route to
Quality and Productivity: STUDY COMBINED WITH THE
Road Maps and Roadblocks
(Washington, DC: CEEP
EXPERIENCE OF MANY YEARS
Press, 1986).
People usually see either three Fs or six Fs. The correct number is six Fs. The number you
see depends on the method you use to examine the sentence. You are likely to find three Fs if
you read the sentence phonetically and six Fs if you count the number of Fs carefully. The point
of the exercise is to show that if such a simple process as counting Fs leads to inconsistency of
inspectors’ results, what will happen when a much more complicated process fails to contain a
clear operational definition of nonconforming? Certainly, in such situations, a large amount of
variability occurs from inspector to inspector.
Point 4, ending the practice of awarding business on the basis of price tag alone, represents
the antithesis of lowest-bidder awards. There is no real long-term meaning to price without
knowledge of the quality of the product.
Point 5—improve constantly and forever every process for planning, production and ser-
vice—reinforces the importance of the continuous focus of the Shewhart-Deming cycle and the
belief that quality needs to be built in at the design stage. Attaining quality is a never-ending
process in which reduction in variation translates into a reduction in the financial losses result-
ing from products and services experiencing large fluctuations in quality.
Point 6, institute training, reflects the needs of all employees, including production work-
ers, engineers, and managers. It is critically important for management to understand the dif-
ferences between special causes and common causes of variation (see section 18.3) so that
proper action is taken in each circumstance.
Point 7, adopt and institute leadership, relates to the distinction between leadership and
supervision. The aim of leadership should be to improve the system and achieve greater con-
sistency of performance.
Points 8 through 12—drive out fear, break down barriers between staff areas, eliminate
slogans, eliminate numerical quotas for the workforce and numerical goals for management,
and remove barriers to pride of workmanship (including the annual rating and merit system)—
are all related to the evaluation of employee performance. An emphasis on targets and exhorta-
tions may place an improper burden on the workforce. Workers cannot produce beyond what
18.3: The Theory of Control Charts 755
the system will allow (this is clearly illustrated in section 18.5). It is management’s job to
improve the system, not to raise the expectations on workers beyond the system’s capability.
Point 13, encourage education and self-improvement for everyone, reflects the notion that
the most important resource of any organization is its people. Efforts that improve the knowl-
edge of people in the organization also serve to increase the assets of the organization.
Education and self-improvement can lead to reduced turnover within an organization.
Point 14, take action to accomplish the transformation, again reflects the approach of man-
agement as a process in which one continuously strives toward improvement in a never-ending
cycle.
Although Deming’s points were thought-provoking, some criticized his approach for lack-
ing a formal, objective accountability. Many managers of large organizations, used to seeing
financial analyses of policy changes, needed a more prescriptive approach.
The control chart monitors variation in a characteristic of a product or service over time.
You can use a control chart to study past performance, to evaluate present conditions, or to pre-
dict future outcomes (see reference 7). Information gained from analyzing a control chart
forms the basis for process improvement. Different types of control charts allow you to analyze
different types of critical-to-quality (CTQ) variables—for categorical variables such as the pro-
portion of hotel rooms that are nonconforming in terms of the availability of amenities and the
working order of all appliances in the room, discrete variables such as the number of hotel
guests registering a complaint during a week, and continuous variables such as the length of
time required for delivering luggage to the room. In addition to providing a visual display of
data representing a process, a principal focus of the control chart is the attempt to separate spe-
cial causes of variation from common causes of variation.
Special causes of variation represent large fluctuations or patterns in the data that are not
inherent to a process. These fluctuations are often caused by changes in the process that
represent either problems to correct or opportunities to exploit. Some organizations refer to
special causes of variation as assignable causes of variation.
Common causes of variation represent the inherent variability that exists in a process.
These fluctuations consist of the numerous small causes of variability that operate
randomly or by chance. Some organizations refer to common causes of variation as chance
causes of variation.
The distinction between the two causes of variation is crucial because special causes of
variation are not part of a process and are correctable or exploitable without changing the sys-
tem. Common causes of variation, however, can be reduced only by changing the system. Such
systemic changes are the responsibility of management.
Control charts allow you to monitor a process and identify the presence or absence of spe-
cial causes. By doing so, control charts help prevent two types of errors. The first type of error
involves the belief that an observed value represents special-cause variation when it is due to
the common cause variation of the system. Treating common-cause variation as special-cause
variation often results in overadjusting a process. This overadjustment, known as tampering,
increases the variation in the process. The second type of error involves treating special-cause
variation as common-cause variation. This error results in not taking immediate corrective
action when necessary. Although both of these types of errors can occur even when using a
control chart, they are far less likely.
To construct a control chart, you collect samples from the output of a process over time.
The samples used for constructing control charts are known as subgroups. For each subgroup
(i.e., sample), you calculate the value of a statistic associated with a CTQ variable. Commonly used
2Recall from section 6.2 that statistics include the fraction nonconforming (see section 18.4), the number of nonconformities
in the normal distribution, (see section 18.6), and the mean and range of a numerical variable (see section 18.7). You then plot
µ ± 3σ includes almost all the values versus time and add control limits to the chart. The most typical form of a control chart
(99.73%) of the observations sets control limits that are within ±3 standard deviations2 of the statistical measure of interest.
in the population. Equation (18.1) defines, in general, the upper and lower control limits for control charts.
so that
Upper control limit (UCL) = process mean +3 standard deviations
Lower control limit (LCL) = process mean −3 standard deviations
When these control limits are set, you evaluate the control chart by trying to find any pattern
that might exist in the values over time and by determining whether any points fall outside the
control limits. Figure 18.3 illustrates three different situations.
18.3: The Theory of Control Charts 757
FIGURE 18.3
Three Control Chart Common cause variation
only: No points outside Special cause
Patterns X 3σ Limits; no pattern X variation X Pattern over time:
over time Special cause variation
UCL
Center
Line
LCL
Special cause variation
In panel A of Figure 18.3, there is no apparent pattern in the values over time and there are
no points that fall outside the 3 standard deviation control limits. The process appears stable
and contains only common-cause variation. Panel B, on the contrary, contains two points that
fall outside the 3 standard deviation control limits. You should investigate these points to try to
determine the special causes that led to their occurrence. Although panel C does not have any
points outside the control limits, it has a series of consecutive points above the mean value (the
centerline) as well as a series of consecutive points below the mean value. In addition, a long-
term overall downward trend is clearly visible. You should investigate the situation to try to
determine what may have caused this pattern.
3Minitabuses different The detection of a trend is not always so obvious. Two other simple rules3 (see references 7
rules—see reference 13. and 8) that allow you to detect a shift in the mean level of a process are:
• Eight or more consecutive points that lie above the center line or eight or more consecutive
points that lie below the center line.
• Eight or more consecutive points move upward in value or eight or more consecutive
points move downward in value.
A process whose control chart indicates an out-of-control condition (a point outside the control
limits or exhibiting a trend) is said to be out of control. An out-of-control process contains
both common causes of variation and special causes of variation. Because special causes of
variation are not part of the process design, an out-of-control process is unpredictable. Once
you determine a process is out of control, you must identify the special causes of variation that
are producing the out-of-control conditions. If the special causes are detrimental to the quality
of the product or service, you need to implement plans to eliminate this source of variation.
When a special cause increases quality, you should change the process so that the special cause
is incorporated into the process design. Thus, this beneficial special cause now becomes a com-
mon-cause source of variation and the process is improved.
A process whose control chart is not indicating any out-of-control conditions is said to be
in control. An in-control process contains only common causes of variation. Because these
sources of variation are inherent to the process itself, an in-control process is predictable. In-
control processes are sometimes said to be in a state of statistical control. When a process is
in control, you must determine whether the amount of common-cause variation in the process
is small enough to satisfy the customers of the products or services. (In section 18.8, you will
learn statistical methods that allow you to compare common-cause variation to customer
expectations.) If the common-cause variation is small enough to consistently satisfy the cus-
tomer, you then use control charts to monitor the process on a continuing basis to make sure
that the process remains in control. If the common-cause variation is too large, you need to alter
the process itself.
758 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
p(1 − p )
p±3 (18.2)
n
p(1 − p )
UCL = p + 3
n
p(1 − p )
LCL = p − 3
n
For equal ni,
k
∑ pi
i =1
n = ni and p =
k
or in general,
k k
∑ ni ∑ Xi
i =1 i =1
n = and p = k
k
∑ ni
i =1
Any negative value for the lower control limit means that the lower control limit does not exist.
To show the application of the p chart, return to the “Using Statistics” scenario concerning the
Beachcomber Hotel.
During the Measure phase of the Six Sigma DMAIC model, a nonconformance was
operationally defined as the absence of an amenity in the room or a room appliance not in
working order upon check-in. During the Analyze phase of the Six Sigma DMAIC model,
data on the nonconformances were collected daily from a sample of 200 rooms. Table 18.1
lists the number and proportion of nonconforming rooms for each day in the 4-week period.
HOTEL1.
k
For these data, k = 28, ∑ pi = 2.315 and because the ni are equal ni = n = 200. Thus,
i =1
k
∑ pi 2.315
i =1
p = = = 0.0827
k 28
( 0.0827 )(0.9173)
0.0827 ± 3
200
so that
and
Figure 18.4 displays the Microsoft Excel control chart for the data of Table 18.1. Figure
18.5 provides Minitab output. Figure 18.4 and 18.5 indicate a process in a state of statistical
760 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
control, with the individual points distributed around p without any pattern and all the points
within the control limits. Thus, any improvement in the process of making rooms ready for
guests in the Improve phase of the DMAIC model must come from the reduction of common-
cause variation. Such reductions require a change in the process. These changes are the respon-
sibility of management. Remember that improvements cannot occur until improvements to the
process itself are successfully implemented.
FIGURE 18.4
Microsoft Excel p Chart
for the Nonconforming
Hotel Room Data
FIGURE 18.5
Minitab p Chart for the
Nonconforming Hotel
Room Data
The first example illustrated a situation in which the subgroup size did not vary. As a gen-
eral rule, as long as none of the subgroup sizes ni differ from the mean subgroup size n by
more than ±25% of n (see reference 7), you can use Equation (18.2) on page 758 to compute
the control limits for the p chart. If any subgroup size differ by more than ±25% of n , you use
alternative formulas for calculating the control limits (see reference 7). To illustrate the use of
the p chart when the subgroup sizes are unequal, Example 18.1 studies the production of gauze
sponges.
so that
Thus,
and
Figure 18.6 displays the Microsoft Excel control chart for the sponge data. Figure 18.7
shows the Minitab control chart. An examination of either of these figures indicates that day
26, in which there were 39 nonconforming sponges produced out of 651 sampled, is above the
upper control limit. Management needs to determine the reason (i.e., root cause) for this special
cause variation and take corrective action. Once actions are taken, you can remove the data
from day 26 and then construct and analyze a new control chart.
762 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
Notice that the UCL and LCL on Figure 18.7 are represented by a jagged line. Minitab is
calculating separate control limits for each day depending on the subgroup size for that day.
FIGURE 18.6
Microsoft Excel p Chart
for the Proportion
of Nonconforming
Sponges
FIGURE 18.7
Minitab p Chart
for the Proportion
of Nonconforming
Sponges
a. Construct a p chart for the proportion of unacceptable b. Based on your answer to (a), if you were the manager of
cans for the month. Does the process give an out-of-con- the accounting office, what would you do to improve the
trol signal? process of account number entry?
b. If you want to develop a process for reducing the pro-
portion of unacceptable cans, how should you proceed? 18.8 A regional manager of a telephone company is
responsible for processing requests concerning additions,
18.7 The manager of the accounting office of a large hos- changes, or deletions of telephone service. She forms a
pital is studying the problem of entering incorrect account service improvement team to look at the corrections in
numbers into the computer system. A subgroup of 200 terms of central office equipment and facilities required
account numbers is selected from each day’s output, and to process the orders that are issued to service requests.
each account number is inspected to determine whether it Data collected over a period of 30 days are in the file
is a nonconforming item. The results for a period of 39 TELESPC.
days are in the file ERRORSPC. a. Construct a p chart for the proportion of corrections.
a. Construct a p chart for the proportion of nonconform- Does the process give an out-of-control signal?
ing items. Does the process give an out-of-control b. What should the regional manager do to improve the
signal? processing of requests for changes in telephone service?
From Table 18.3, on each day, some of the workers were above the mean and some below the
mean. On day 1, Sharyn did best, but on day 2, Peter (who had the worst record on day 1) was
best, and on day 3, Alyson was best. How can you explain all this variation? Using Equation
(18.2) on page 758 to develop a p chart for these data,
k
k = 4 workers × 3 days = 12, n = 50, and ∑ X i = 113
i =1
Thus,
113
p= = 0.1883
(50)(12)
so that
p(1 − p )
p±3
n
0.1883(1 − 0.1883)
= 0.1883 ± 3
50
= 0.1883 ± 0.1659
Thus,
and
Figure 18.8 represents the p chart for the data of Table 18.3. In Figure 18.8, all of the points are
within the control limits and there are no patterns in the results. The differences between the
workers merely represent common-cause variation inherent in a stable system.
766 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
FIGURE 18.8
p Chart for the Red UCL
Bead Experiment
.30
Proportion of Red Beads
.20
P = 0.1883
.10
LCL
0
Alyson Peter Alyson Peter Alyson Peter
David Sharyn David Sharyn David Sharyn
The above situation fits the assumptions of a Poisson distribution (see section 5.4). For the
Poisson distribution, the standard deviation of the number of nonconformities is the square root
of the mean number of nonconformities (λ). Assuming that the size of each area of opportunity
5Ifthe size of the unit varies, remains constant,5 you can compute the control limits for the number of nonconformities per
you should use the u chart area of opportunity using the observed mean number of nonconformities as an estimate of λ.
instead of the c chart (see Equation (18.3) defines the control limits for the c chart, which you use to monitor and analyze
references 7, 8, and 11). the number of nonconformities per area of opportunity.
c±3 c (18.3)
UCL = c + 3 c
LCL = c − 3 c
k
∑ ci
i =1
where c =
k
k = number of units sampled
ci = number of nonconformities in unit i
To help study the hotel service quality in the “Using Statistics” scenario, you can use a c chart
to monitor the number of customer complaints filed with the hotel. If guests of the hotel are
dissatisfied with any part of their stay, they are asked to file a customer complaint form. At the
end of each week, the number of complaints filed is recorded. In this example, a complaint is a
nonconformity and the area of opportunity is one week. Table 18.4 lists the number of com-
plaints from the last 50 weeks. COMPLAINTS
k
k = 50 and ∑ ci = 312
i =1
Thus,
312
c = = 6.24
50
c ±3 c
= 6.24 ± 3 6.24
= 6.24 ± 7.494
Thus,
FIGURE 18.9
Minitab c Chart for
Hotel Complaints
18.6: Control Chart for an Area of Opportunity—The c Chart 769
a. Construct the appropriate control chart and determine a. Construct a c chart for the number of items per day that
the LCL and UCL. are returned for rework. Do you think that the process is
b. Are there any special causes of variation? in a state of statistical control?
b. Should the owner of the dry cleaning store take action to
PH Grade 18.12 The following data were collected on the investigate why 12 items were returned for rework on
ASSIST number of nonconformities per unit for 10 time day 12? Explain. Would your answer change if 20 items
periods: were returned for rework on day 12?
c. On the basis of the results in (a), what should the owner
Nonconformities Nonconformities
of the dry cleaning store do to reduce the number of
Time Per Unit Time Per Unit
items per day that are returned for rework?
1 25 6 15
2 11 7 12 PH Grade SELF 18.14 The branch manager of a sav-
3 10 8 10 ASSIST Test ings bank has recorded the number of
4 11 9 9 errors that each of 12 tellers has made during the
5 6 10 6 past year. The results were as follows: TELLER
PH Grade 18.15 Falls are one source of preventable hospi- does it appear that special causes of variation occurred
ASSIST tal injury. Although most patients who fall are not in these weeks?
hurt, a risk of serious injury is involved. The data e. Explain how the fire department can use these data to
in the file PTFALLS represent the number of patient falls per chart and monitor future weeks in real-time (i.e., on a
month over a 28-month period in a 19-bed AIDS unit at a week-to-week basis)?
major metropolitan hospital.
a. Construct a c chart for the number of patient falls per 18.17 Rochester-Electro-Medical Inc. is a manufactur-
month. Is the process of patient falls per month in a state ing company based in Tampa, Florida, that produces
of statistical control? medical products. Recently, management felt the need to
b. What effect would it have on your conclusions if you improve the safety of the workplace and began a safety
knew that the AIDS unit was started only one month sampling study. The following data represent the number
prior to the beginning of data collection? of unsafe acts observed by the company safety director
c. What other factors might contribute to special cause over an initial time period in which he made 20 tours of
variation in this problem? the plant. SAFETY
The R Chart
You can use several different types of control charts to monitor the dispersion (i.e., variability)
in a numerically measured characteristic of interest. The simplest and most common is the
control chart for the range, the R chart. You use the range chart only when the sample size is
10 or less. If the sample size is greater than 10, a standard deviation chart is preferable.
Because sample sizes of five or less are typically used in many applications, the standard devi-
ation chart is not illustrated in this text. (For a discussion of standard deviation charts, see ref-
erences 7, 8, or 11.) The R chart enables you to determine whether the variability in a process
is in control or whether changes in the amount of variability are occurring over time. If the
process range is in control, then the amount of variation in the process is consistent over time,
and you can use the results of the R chart to develop the control limits for the mean.
To develop control limits for the range, you need an estimate of the mean range and the
standard deviation of the range. As shown in Equation (18.4), these control limits depend on
two constants, the d2 factor, which represents the relationship between the standard deviation
and the range for varying sample sizes, and the d3 factor, which represents the relationship
between the standard deviation and the standard error of the range for varying sample sizes.
Table E.13 contains values for these factors. Equation (18.4) defines the control limits for the R
chart.
k
∑ Ri
i =1
where R =
k
You can simplify the calculations in Equation (18.4) by using the D 3 factor, equal to
1 − 3(d3/d2), and the D4 factor, equal to 1 + 3(d3/d2), to express the control limits as shown
in Equations (18.5a) and (18.5b).
To illustrate the R chart, return to the “Using Statistics” scenario concerning hotel service qual-
ity. During the Measure phase of the Six Sigma DMAIC model, the amount of time to deliver
luggage was operationally defined as the time from when the guest completes check-in proce-
dures to the time the luggage arrives in the guest’s room. During the Analyze phase of the Six
Sigma DMAIC model, data were recorded over a 4-week period. Subgroups of five deliveries
were selected from the evening shift on each day. Table 18.5 summarizes the results for all 28
days. HOTEL2
772 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
k ∑ Ri
∑ Ri = 97.5, and R = i =1 97.5
k = 28, = = 3.482
i =1
k 28
Using Equation (18.4) on page 771 and from Table E.13 for n = 5, d2 = 2.326, and d3 = 0.864,
0.864
3.482 ± 3( 3.482)
2.326
= 3.482 ± 3.880
Thus,
UCL = 3.482 + 3.880 = 7.362
LCL = 3.482 − 3.880 < 0
Therefore, the LCL does not exist because it is impossible to get a negative range.
Alternatively, using Equation (18.5) on page 771, and D3 = 0 and D4 = 2.114, from Table E.13,
UCL = D4 R = ( 2.114 )(3.482 ) = 7.36
Figure 18.10 displays the Microsoft Excel R chart for the luggage delivery times. Figure
18.10 does not indicate any individual ranges outside the control limits or any trends.
FIGURE 18.10
Microsoft Excel R Chart
for the Luggage
Delivery Times
The X Chart
Now that you have determined that the control chart shows that the range is in control, you con-
tinue by examining the control chart for the process mean, the X chart.
The control chart for X uses subgroups each of size n for k consecutive periods of time.
6R / d 2 is used to estimate To compute control limits for the mean, you need to compute the mean of the subgroup
the standard deviation of means (called X ) and the standard deviation of the mean (which is called the standard error
the population, and R / d 2 n of the mean σ X in Chapter 7). The estimate of the standard deviation of the mean is a func-
is used to estimate the tion of the d2 factor, which represents the relationship between the standard deviation and the
standard deviation of the range for varying sample sizes.6 Equations (18.6) and (18.7) define the control limits for the
mean. X chart.
k k
∑ Xi ∑ Ri
i =1 i =1
where X = R =
k k
X i = sample mean of n observations at time i
Ri = range of n observations at time i
k = number of subgroups
You can simplify the calculations in Equation (18.6) by utilizing the A2 factor, equal to
( )
3/ d2 n . Equations (18.7a) and (18.7b) show the simplified control limits.
774 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
UCL = X + A2 R (18.7a)
LCL = X − A2 R (18.7b)
k k
k = 28, ∑ X i = 265.38, and ∑ Ri = 97.5
i =1 i =1
so that
k k
∑ Xi 265.38
∑ Ri 97.5
i =1 i =1
X = = = 9.478 and R = = = 3.482
k 28 k 28
Using Equation (18.6) on page 773 and Table E.13 for n = 5, d2 = 2.326,
R
X ±3
d2 n
3.482
= 9.478 ± 3
( 2.326) 5
= 9.478 ± 2.008
Thus,
Alternatively, using Equations (18.7a) and (18.7b), and A2 = 0.577 from Table E.13,
These results are the same as those using Equation (18.6), except for rounding error.
Figure 18.11 displays the Microsoft Excel X chart for the luggage delivery time data.
Figure 18.12 presents Minitab R and X charts. Figures 18.11 and 18.12 do not reveal any
points outside the control limits or any trend. Although there is a considerable amount of vari-
ability among the 28 subgroup means, since both the R chart and the X chart are in control, the
luggage delivery process is in a state of statistical control. If you want to reduce the variation or
lower the mean delivery time, then you need to change the process.
18.7: Control Charts for the Range and the Mean 775
FIGURE 18.11
Microsoft Excel X Chart
for the Luggage
Delivery Times
FIGURE 18.12
Minitab X and R Charts
for the Luggage
Delivery Times
For example, a soap manufacturer understands that customers expect their soap to produce
a certain amount of lather. The customer can become dissatisfied if the soap produces too much
or too little lather. Product engineers know that the level of free fatty acids in the soap controls
the amount of lather. Thus, the process manager, with input from the product engineers, sets
both a USL and an LSL for the amount of free fatty acids in the soap.
As an example of a case in which only a single specification limit is involved, consider the
“Using Statistics” scenario concerning hotel service quality on page 752. Since customers want
their bags delivered as quickly as possible, hotel management sets a USL for the time required
for delivery. In this case, there is no LSL. As you can see in both the luggage delivery time and
soap examples, specification limits are customer-driven requirements placed on a product or a
service. If a process consistently meets these requirements, the process is capable of satisfying
the customer.
One way to analyze the capability of a process is to estimate the percentage of products or
services that are within specifications. To do this, you must have an in-control process
because an out-of-control process does not allow you to predict its capability. If you are deal-
ing with an out-of-control process, you must first identify and eliminate the special causes of
variation before performing a capability analysis. Out-of-control processes are unpredictable,
and therefore, you cannot conclude that such processes are capable of meeting specifications
or satisfying customer expectations. In order to estimate the percentage of product or service
within specifications, first, you must estimate the mean and standard deviation of the popula-
tion of all X values, the CTQ variable of interest for the product or service. The estimate for
the mean of the population is X , the mean of all the sample means [see Equation (18.6) on
page 773]. The estimate of the standard deviation of the population is R divided by d2. You
can use the X and R from in-control X and R charts, respectively. You need to find the
correct d2 value in Table E.13.
In this text, the population of X values is assumed to be approximately normally distrib-
uted. (If your data are not approximately normally distributed, see reference 2 for an alter-
native approach.) Assuming that the process is in control and X is approximately normal,
you can use Equation (18.8) to estimate the probability that a process outcome is within
specifications.
In section 18.7, you determined that the luggage delivery process was in control. Suppose that
the hotel management has instituted a policy that 99% of all luggage deliveries must be com-
pleted in 14 minutes or less. From the summary computations on page 774
Thus, you estimate that 99.874% of the luggage deliveries will be made within the specified
time. The process is capable of meeting the 99% goal set forth by the hotel management.
Capability Indexes
A common approach in business is to use capability indexes to report the capability of a
process. A capability index is an aggregate measure of a process’s ability to meet specification
limits. The larger the value of a capability index, the more capable a process is of meeting cus-
tomer requirements. Equation (18.9) defines Cp , the most commonly used index.
THE CP INDEX
USL − LSL
Cp = (18.9)
6( R / d 2 )
specification spread
=
process spread
780 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
The numerator in Equation (18.9) represents the distance between the upper and lower specifi-
cation limits, referred to as the specification spread. The denominator, 6( R / d2 ) , represents a 6
standard deviation spread in the data (the mean ±3 standard deviations), referred to as the
process spread. (Recall from Chapter 6 that approximately 99.73% of the values from a normal
distribution fall in the interval from the mean ±3 standard deviations.) You want the process
spread to be small in comparison to the specification spread in order for the vast majority of the
process output to fall within the specification limits. Therefore, the larger the value of Cp, the
better is the capability of the process.
Cp is a measure of process potential, not of actual performance, because it does not con-
sider the current process mean. A value of 1 indicates that if the process mean could be cen-
tered (i.e., equal to the halfway point between USL and LSL), then approximately 99.73% of
the values would be inside the specification limits. A Cp value greater than 1 indicates that a
process has the potential of having more than 99.73% of its outcomes within specifications.
A Cp value less than 1 indicates that the process is not very capable of meeting customer
requirements, for even if the process is perfectly centered, less than 99.73% of the process
outcomes will be within specifications. Historically, many companies required a Cp greater
than or equal to 1. Now that the global economy has become more quality conscious, many
companies are requiring a Cp as large as 1.33, 1.5, and for companies adopting Six Sigma
management, 2.0.
To illustrate the calculation and interpretation of the Cp index, suppose a soft-drink
producer bottles its beverage into 12-ounce bottles. Each hour four bottles are selected and
control charts for the range and the mean are constructed. At the end of 24 hours the capa-
bility of the process is studied. The lower specification limit is 11.82 ounces and the upper
specification limit is 12.18 ounces. Suppose that the control charts indicate that the
process is in control and the following summary calculations were recorded on the control
charts:
n= 4 X = 12.02 R = 0.10
To calculate the Cp index assuming that the data are normally distributed, from Table E.13,
d2 = 2.059 for n = 4. Using Equation (18.9) on page 779,
USL − LSL
Cp =
6( R / d2 )
12.18 − 11.82
= = 1.24
6( 0.10 / 2.059 )
Because the Cp index is greater than 1, the bottling process has the potential to fill more than
99.73% of the bottles within the specification limits.
In summary, the Cp index is an aggregate measure of process potential. The larger the value
of Cp, the more potential the process has of satisfying the customer. In other words, a large Cp
indicates that the current amount of common-cause variation is small enough to consistently
produce items within specifications. For a process to reach its full potential, the process mean
needs to be at or near the center of the specification limits. The following introduces capability
indexes that measure actual process performance.
USL − X
CPU = (18.10b)
3( R / d2 )
Since the process mean is used in the calculation of the CPL and CPU indices, the value of the
index gives a measure of process performance—unlike Cp, which measures only potential. A
value of CPL (or CPU) equal to 1.0 indicates that the process mean is 3 standard deviations
away from the lower specification limit (or upper specification limit). For CTQ variables with
only an LSL, the CPL measures the process performance. For CTQ variables with only a USL,
the CPU measures the process performance. In either case, the larger the value of the index, the
better the capability of the process.
In the “Using Statistics” scenario, the Beachcomber Hotel has a policy that luggage deliver-
ies are to be made in 14 minutes or less. Thus, the CTQ variable delivery time has an upper spec-
ification limit of 14, and there is no lower specification limit. Because you previously deter-
mined that the luggage delivery process was in control, you can now calculate the CPU. From
the summary computations on page 774,
X = 9.478 and R = 3.482
The capability index for the luggage delivery CTQ variable is 1.01. Because this value is
slightly more than 1, the upper specification limit is slightly more than 3 standard deviations
above the mean. To increase CPU even farther above 1.00 and therefore increase customer sat-
isfaction, you need to investigate changes in the luggage delivery process. To study a process
that has a CPL and a CPU, see the bottling process in Example 18.2.
EXAMPLE 18.2 CALCULATING CPL AND CPU FOR THE BOTTLING PROCESS
In the soft-drink bottle filling process described on page 780, the following information was
presented:
n= 4 X = 12.02 R = 0.10 LSL = 11.82 USL = 12.18 d2 = 2.059
X − LSL
CPL =
3( R / d2 )
12.02 − 11.82
= = 1.37
3( 0.10 / 2.059 )
USL − X
CPU =
3( R / d2 )
12.18 − 12.02
= = 1.10
3( 0.10 / 2.059 )
782 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
Both the CPL and CPU are greater than 1, indicating that the process mean is more than 3 stan-
dard deviations away from both the LSL and USL. Since the CPU is less than the CPL, you
know that the mean is closer to the USL than the LSL.
The capability index Cpk measures actual process performance for quality characteristics with
two-sided specification limits. Cpk is equal to the value of either the CPL or CPU, whichever is
smallest:
Cpk
Cpk = MIN[CPL, CPU] (18.11)
A value of 1 for Cpk indicates that the process mean is 3 standard deviations away from the
closest specification limit. If the characteristic is normally distributed, then a value of 1 indi-
cates that at least 99.73% of the current output is within specifications. Like all capability
indices, the larger the value of Cpk the better. Example 18.3 illustrates the use of the Cpk index.
The Cpk index is greater than 1, indicating that the actual process performance exceeds the
company’s requirement. More than 99.73% of the bottles contain between 11.82 and 12.18 ounces.
PH Grade 18.32 Refer to problem 18.25 on page 777 con- 18.33 Refer to problem 18.20 on page 775 concerning
ASSIST cerning a filling machine for a tea bag manufac- waiting time for customers at a bank. (Note: Ignore the fact
turer. In this problem you should have concluded that in this problem, X is out of control). Suppose manage-
that the process is in control. The label weight for this prod- ment has set an upper specification limit of 5 minutes on
uct is 5.5 grams, the lower specification limit is 5.2 grams, waiting time and that at least 99% of the waiting times
and the upper specification limit is 5.8 grams. Company must be less than 5 minutes in order for the process to be
policy states that at least 99% of the tea bags produced considered capable. BANKTIME
must be inside the specifications in order for the process to a. Estimate the percentage of the waiting times that are
be considered capable. TEA3 inside the specification limits. Is the process capable of
a. Estimate the percentage of the tea bags that are inside meeting the company policy?
the specification limits. Is the process capable of meet- b. If management implemented a new policy stating that
ing the company policy? 99.7% of all waiting times are required to be within
b. If management implemented a new policy stating that specifications, is this process capable of reaching that
99.7% of all tea bags are required to be within specifica- goal? Explain.
tions, is this process capable of reaching that goal? Explain.
SUMMARY
This chapter has introduced you to quality and productiv- ity of a process by estimating the percentage of items
ity including total quality management, Deming’s 14 within specifications and by calculating capability
points, and Six Sigma management. You have learned indices. By applying these concepts to the services pro-
how to use several different types of control charts to dis- vided by the Beachcomber Hotel, you learned how a
tinguish between common causes and special causes of manager can identify problems and continually improve
variation. You have learned how to measure the capabil- service quality.
KEY FORMULAS
Constructing Control Limits Control Limits for the Range
Process mean ±3 standard deviations (18.1) d3
R ± 3R (18.4)
Upper control limit (UCL) = d2
process mean +3 standard deviations d3
UCL = R + 3R
Lower control limit (LCL) = d2
process mean −3 standard deviations
d3
LCL = R − 3R
Control Limits for the p Chart d2
Calculating Control Limits for the Mean Using For a CTQ variable with only a lower specification limit:
the A2 Factor P ( an outcome will be within specifications ) (18.8c)
UCL = X + A2 R (18.7a) = P ( LSL < X )
LSL − X
LCL = X − A2 R (18.7b) = P < Z
R
d2
Estimating the Capability of a Process
The Cp Index
For a CTQ variable with a lower specification limit and an
upper specification limit: USL − LSL
Cp = (18.9)
P ( an outcome will be within specifications ) (18.8a) 6( R / d 2 )
= P ( LSL < X < USL)
specification spread
LSL − X =
USL − X process spread
= P < Z <
R R
CPL and CPU
d2 d2
X − LSL
For a CTQ variable with only an upper specification limit: CPL = (18.10a)
3( R / d2 )
P ( an outcome will be within specifications ) (18.8b)
= P ( X < USL) USL − X
CPU = (18.10b)
USL − X 3( R / d2 )
= P Z <
R Cpk
d2 Cpk = MIN[CPL, CPU] (18.11)
KEY TERMS
A2 factor 773 D4 factor 771 Six Sigma Management 755
area of opportunity 766 Deming’s 14 points special causes of variation 756
assignable causes of variation 756 for management 753 specification limits 778
attribute charts 758 DMAIC model 755 state of statistical control 757
c chart 766 in-control process 757 subgroup 756
capability index 779 lower control limit (LCL) 756 tampering 756
chance causes of variation 756 lower specification limit (LSL) 778 total quality management (TQM) 753
common causes of variation 756 out-of-control process 757 upper control limit (UCL) 756
control chart 756 p chart 758 upper specification limit (USL) 778
critical-to-quality (CTQ) 755 process capability 778 variables control charts 770
d2 factor 771 R chart 771 X chart 773
d3 factor 771 Red Bead experiment 764
D3 factor 771 Shewhart-Deming cycle 753
18.39 Why are the X and R charts used together? Cases Sold Before the Promotion
18.40 What principles did you learn from the red bead Day Total Rudybird Day Total Rudybird
experiment? 1 154 35 16 177 56
18.41 How do you decide if you should use a p chart or a 2 153 43 17 143 43
c chart? 3 200 44 18 200 69
4 197 56 19 134 38
18.42 What is the difference between process potential 5 194 54 20 192 47
and process performance? 6 172 38 21 155 45
7 190 43 22 135 36
18.43 A company requires a Cpk value of 1 or larger. If a 8 209 62 23 189 55
process has a Cp = 1.5 and a Cpk = 0.8, what changes 9 173 53 24 184 44
should you make to the process? 10 171 39 25 170 47
18.44 Why is a capability analysis not performed on out- 11 173 44 26 178 48
of-control processes? 12 168 37 27 167 42
13 184 45 28 204 71
14 211 58 29 183 64
Applying the Concepts 15 179 35 30 169 43
You should use Microsoft Excel, Minitab, or SPSS to
solve problems 18.45–18.53. Cases Sold After the Promotion
18.45 A producer of cat food constructed control charts Day Total Rudybird
and analyzed several quality characteristics. One character-
istic of interest is the weight of the filled cans. The lower 31 201 92
specification limit for weight is 2.95 pounds. The data file 32 177 76
CATFOOD contains the weights of five cans tested every fif- 33 205 85
teen minutes during a day’s production. 34 199 90
a. Construct a control chart for the range. 35 187 77
b. Construct a control chart for the mean. 36 168 79
c. Is the process in control? 37 198 97
d. If the process is in control, estimate the percentage of Source: Extracted from Charles T. Crespy, Timothy C. Krehbiel, and
the cans whose weight is inside the specification limits. James M. Stearns, “Integrating Analytic Methods into Marketing
e. If the process is in control, calculate CPL. Research Education: Statistical Control Charts as an Example,”
f. If the manufacturer requires that 99.7% of all cans be Marketing Education Review, 5, Spring 1995, 11–23.
within the specification limits, comment on the capability a. Construct a p chart using data from the first 30 days
of the process based on your calculations in (d) and (e). (prior to the promotion) to monitor the market share for
18.46 Researchers at Miami University in Oxford, Ohio, RudyBird Diskettes.
investigated the use of p charts to monitor the market b. Is the market share for RudyBird in control before the
share of a product and to document the effectiveness of start of the in-store promotion?
marketing promotions. Market share is defined as the c. On your control chart, extend the control limits gener-
company’s proportion of the total number of products sold ated in (b) and plot the proportions for days 31 through
in a category. If a p chart based on a company’s market 37. What effect, if any, did the in-store promotion have
share indicates an in-control process, then their share in on RudyBird’s market share?
the marketplace is deemed to be stable and consistent over 18.47 The manufacturer of “Boston” and “Vermont”
time. In the example given in the article, the RudyBird asphalt shingles constructed control charts and analyzed
Diskette Company collected daily sales data from a several quality characteristics. One characteristic of inter-
nationwide retail audit service. The first 30 days of data in est is the strength of the sealant on the shingle. During
the accompanying table indicate the total number of cases each day of production, three shingles are tested for their
of computer diskettes sold and the number of RudyBird sealant strength. (Thus, a subgroup is operationally
diskettes sold. The final 7 days of data were taken after defined as one day of production, and the sample size for
RudyBird launched a major in-store promotion. A control each subgroup is 3.) Separate pieces are cut from the upper
chart was used to see if the in-store promotion would and lower portions of a shingle, and then reassembled to
result in special-cause variation in the marketplace. simulate shingles on a roof. A timed heating process is
RUDYBIRD used to simulate the sealing process. The sealed shingle
786 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
pieces are pulled apart, and the amount of force (in pounds) PH Grade 18.49 The funds-transfer department of a bank
required to break the sealant bond is measured and recorded. ASSIST is concerned with turnaround time for investiga-
This variable is called the sealant strength. The lower and tions of funds-transfer payments. A payment may
upper specification limits for sealant strength are 1.0 and 1.5 involve the bank as a remitter of funds, a beneficiary of
pounds, respectively. The data file SEALANT contains sealant funds, or an intermediary in the payment. An investigation
strength measurements on 25 days of production for is initiated by a payment inquiry or query by a party
“Boston” shingles and 19 days for “Vermont” shingles. involved in the payment or any department affected by the
For the “Boston” shingles: flow of funds. When a query is received, an investigator
a. Construct a control chart for the range. reconstructs the transaction trail of the payment and veri-
b. Construct a control chart for the mean. fies that the information is correct and the proper payment
c. Is the process in control? is transmitted. The investigator then reports the results of
d. If the process is in control, estimate the percentage of the investigation and the transaction is considered closed.
the shingles whose sealant strength is inside the specifi- It is important that investigations are closed rapidly, prefer-
cation limits. ably within the same day. The number of new investiga-
e. If the process is in control, calculate Cp, CPL, CPU, tions and the number and proportion closed on the same
and Cpk. day that the inquiry was made are in the file FUNDTRAN.
f. If the manufacturer requires that 99.7% of all shingles be a. Construct a control chart for these data.
within the specification limits, comment on the capability b. Is the process in a state of statistical control? Explain.
of the process based on your calculations in (d) and (e). c. Based on the results of (a) and (b), what should manage-
g. Repeat (a) through (f) using the 19 production days for ment do next to improve the process?
“Vermont” shingles.
PH Grade 18.50 A branch manager of a brokerage com-
PH Grade 18.48 A professional basketball player has ASSIST pany is concerned with the number of undesirable
ASSIST embarked on a program to study his ability to trades made by her sales staff. A trade is consid-
shoot foul shots. On each day in which a game is ered undesirable if there is an error on the trade ticket.
not scheduled, he intends to shoot 100 foul shots. He main- Trades with errors are canceled and resubmitted. The cost
tains records over a period of 40 days of practice, with the of correcting errors is billed to the brokerage company. The
following results: FOULSPC branch manager wants to know whether the proportion of
Foul Foul Foul undesirable trades is in a state of statistical control so she
Shots Shots Shots can plan the next step in a quality improvement process.
Day Made Day Made Day Made Data were collected for a 30-day period with the following
results: TRADE
1 73 15 73 29 76
2 75 16 76 30 80 Undesirable Total Undesirable Total
3 69 17 69 31 78 Day Trades Trades Day Trades Trades
4 72 18 68 32 83
5 77 19 72 33 84 1 2 74 16 3 54
6 71 20 70 34 81 2 12 85 17 12 74
7 68 21 64 35 86 3 13 114 18 11 103
8 70 22 67 36 85 4 33 136 19 11 100
9 67 23 72 37 86 5 5 97 20 14 88
10 74 24 70 38 87 6 20 115 21 4 58
11 75 25 74 39 85 7 17 108 22 10 69
12 72 26 76 40 85 8 10 76 23 19 135
13 70 27 75 9 8 69 24 1 67
14 74 28 78 10 18 98 25 11 77
11 3 104 26 12 88
a. Construct a p chart for the proportion of successful foul 12 12 98 27 4 66
shots. Do you think that the player’s foul-shooting 13 15 105 28 11 72
process is in statistical control? If not, why not? 14 6 98 29 13 118
b. What if you were told that the player used a different 15 21 204 30 15 138
method of shooting foul shots for the last twenty days?
How might this information change your conclusions a. Construct a control chart for these data.
in (a)? b. Is the process in control? Explain.
c. If you knew the information in (b) prior to doing (a), c. Based on the results of (a) and (b), what should the man-
how might you do the analysis differently? ager do next to improve the process?
Case Study 787
18.51 As chief operating officer of a local community 18.53 (Class Project) Use the table of random numbers
hospital, you have just returned from a 3-day seminar on (Table E.1) to simulate the selection of different colored
quality and productivity. It is your intention to implement balls from an urn as follows:
many of the ideas that you learned at the seminar. You have 1. Start in the row corresponding to the day of the month
decided to maintain control charts for the upcoming month you were born plus the year in which you were born. For
for the following variables: number of daily admissions, example, if you were born October 15, 1976, you would
proportion of rework in the laboratory (based on 1,000 daily start in row 15 + 76 = 91. If your total exceeds 100, sub-
samples), and time (in hours) between receipt of a specimen tract 100 from the total.
at the laboratory and completion of the work (based on a 2. Select two-digit random numbers.
subgroup of 10 specimens per day). The data collected are 3. If you select a random number from 00 to 94, consider
summarized in the file HOSPADM. You are to make a presen- the ball to be white; if the random number is from 95 to
tation to the chief executive officer of the hospital and the 99, consider the ball to be red.
board of directors. Prepare a report that summarizes the Each student is to select 100 such two-digit random num-
conclusions drawn from analyzing control charts for these bers and report the number of “red balls” in the sample.
variables. In addition, recommend additional variables to Construct a control chart for the proportion of red balls.
measure and monitor using control charts. What conclusions can you draw about the system of select-
ing red balls? Are all the students part of the system? Is any-
18.52 On each morning for a period of 4 weeks, record one outside the system? If so, what explanation can you
your pulse rate (in beats per minute) just after you get out give for someone who has too many red balls? If a bonus
of bed and also before you go to sleep at night. Set up X were paid to the top 10% of the students (the 10% with the
and R charts and determine whether your pulse rate is in a fewest red balls), what effect would that have on the rest of
state of statistical control. Explain. the students? Discuss.
CASE STUDY
THE HARNSWELL SEWING MACHINE COMPANY CASE
Phase 1 starting with a trial project in the machine parts area. As
For almost 50 years, the Harnswell Sewing Machine she is walking to Mr. Harnswell’s office for the meeting,
Company has manufactured industrial sewing machines. she has second thoughts about whether this is such a good
The company specializes in automated machines called idea. After all, just last month Mr. Harnswell told her,
pattern tackers that sew repetitive patterns on such mass- “Why do you need to go to graduate school for your mas-
produced products as shoes, garments, and seat belts. Aside ter’s degree in business? That is a waste of your time and
from the sales of machines, the company sells machine will not be of any value to the Harnswell Company. All
parts. Because the company’s products have a reputation those professors are just up in their ivory towers and don’t
for being superior, Harnswell is able to command a price know a thing about running a business like I do.”
premium for its product line. As she enters his office, Mr. Harnswell, ever courteous
Recently, the production manager, Natalie York, pur- to her, invites Natalie to sit down across from him. “Well,
chased several books relating to quality at a local book- what do you have on your mind this morning?” Mr.
store. After reading them, she considered the feasibility of Harnswell asks her in an inquisitive tone. She begins by
beginning some type of quality program at the company. At starting to talk about the books that she has just completed
the current time, the company has no formal quality pro- reading and about how she has some interesting ideas for
gram. Parts are 100% inspected at the time of shipping to a making production even better than it is now and improving
customer or installation in a machine, yet Natalie has profits. Before she can finish, Mr. Harnswell has started to
always wondered why inventory of certain parts (in partic- answer. “Look, my dear young lady,” he says, “everything
ular the half-inch cam roller) invariably falls short before a has been fine since I started this company in 1955. I have
full year lapses, even though 7,000 pieces have been pro- built this company up from nothing to one that employs
duced for a demand of 5,000 pieces per year. more than 100 people. Why do you want to make waves?
After a great deal of reflection and with some appre- Remember, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.” With that he ush-
hension, Natalie has decided that she will approach John ers her from his office with the admonishment of, “What
Harnswell, the owner of the company, about the possibility am I going to do with you if you keep coming up with these
of beginning a program to improve quality in the company, ridiculous ideas?”
788 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
environment and the equipment warmed to acceptable tem- c. Write a report expressing your conclusions con-
peratures, the machinist opted to manufacture parts that cerning the cam roller diameters. Be sure to discuss
might have to be scrapped. In fact, Natalie recalled that a the diameters as they relate to the specifications.
major problem had occurred on that same day when several DO NOT CONTINUE UNTIL YOU HAVE COMPLETED
other expensive parts had to be scrapped. Natalie said to Jim, THE PHASE 4 EXERCISE
“We just have to do something. We can’t let this go on now
that we know what problems it is potentially causing.” Phase 5
Natalie and Jim decided to take enough money out of petty Natalie noticed immediately that the overall mean diameter
cash to get the thermostat without having to fill out a requisi- with batch 17 eliminated is 0.507527, which is higher than
tion requiring Mr. Harnswell’s signature. They installed the the specification value. Thus, the mean diameter of the
thermostat and set the heating control so that the heat would rollers produced is so high that they would be downgraded
turn on a half hour before the shop opened each morning. in value. In fact, 55 of the 150 rollers sampled (36.67%)
were above the specification value. If this percentage is
EXERCISES
extrapolated to the full year’s production, 36.67% of the
HS.4 What should Natalie now do concerning the cam 7,000 pieces manufactured, or 2,567, could not be sold as
roller data? Explain. half-inch rollers, leaving only 4,433 available for sale. “No
HS.5 Explain how the actions of Natalie and Jim to wonder we often have shortages that require costly emer-
avoid this particular problem in the future has gency runs,” she thought. She also notes that not one diam-
resulted in quality improvement. eter is below the lower specification of 0.5072, so not one
DO NOT CONTINUE UNTIL YOU HAVE COMPLETED of the rollers had to be scrapped.
THE PHASE 3 EXERCISES Natalie realized that there had to be a reason for all
Phase 4 this. Along with Jim Murante, she decided to show the
Because corrective action was taken to eliminate the spe- results to Dave Martin, the head machinist. Dave said that
cial cause of variation, the data for batch 17 were removed the results didn’t surprise him that much. “You know,” he
from the analysis. The control charts for the remaining days says “there is only 0.0003 inch in diameter that I’m
indicate a stable system with only common causes of varia- allowed in variation. If I aim for exactly halfway between
tion operating on the system. Thus, Natalie and Jim sat 0.5072 and 0.5075, I’m afraid that I’ll make a lot of short
down with Dave Martin and several other machinists to try pieces that will have to be scrapped. I know from way
to determine all the possible causes for the existence of back when I first started here that Mr. Harnswell and
oversized and scrapped rollers. Natalie was still troubled by everybody else will come down on my head if they start
the data. After all, she wanted to find out whether the seeing too many of those scraps. I figure that if I aim at
process is giving oversizes (which are downgraded) and 0.5075, the worst thing that will happen will be a bunch of
undersizes (which are scrapped). She thought about which downgrades, but I won’t make any pieces that have to be
tables and charts would be most helpful. scrapped.”
EXERCISE EXERCISES
HS.6 a. Construct a frequency distribution and a stem- HS.7 What approach do you think the machinist should
and-leaf display of the cam roller diameters. take in terms of the diameter he should aim for?
Which one do you prefer? Explain.
b. Based on your results in (a), construct all HS.8 What do you think that Natalie should do next?
appropriate graphs of the cam roller diameters. Explain.
RUNNING CASE
MANAGING THE SPRINGVILLE HERALD
Phase 1
An advertising production team is charged with reducing Monday to Saturday basis. Table SH18.1 includes the total
the number and dollar amount of the advertising errors, number of ads and the number containing errors for a
with initial focus on the ran-in-error category. The team period of one month. (Sundays are excluded because a spe-
collected data including the number of ads with errors on a cial type of production is used for that day.) SH18-1
790 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management
REFERENCES
1. Arndt, M., “Quality Isn’t Just for Widgets,” Business 9. Hahn, G. J., N. Doganaksoy, and R. Hoerl, “The
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7. Gitlow, H., A. Oppenheim, R. Oppenheim, and D. Productivity: Road Maps and Roadblocks (Washington,
Levine, Tools and Methods for the Improvement of DC: CEEP Press, 1987).
Quality, 3rd ed. (Homewood, IL: Irwin, 2005). 15. Snee, R. D., “Impact of Six Sigma on Quality,” Quality
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and Champions (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Financial 16. Walton, M., The Deming Management Method (New
Times-Prentice-Hall, 2005). York: Perigee Books, 1986).
A18.2 MINITAB
Using Minitab for the p Chart
To illustrate how to construct a p chart, refer to the data of
Table 18.1 on page 759 concerning the number of rooms
not ready. Open the HOTEL1.MTW worksheet. FIGURE A18.1 Minitab P Chart Dialog Box
792 CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management