2018 PV Module Reliability Scorecard: Defining Quality. Guiding Industry
2018 PV Module Reliability Scorecard: Defining Quality. Guiding Industry
2018 PV MODULE
RELIABILITY SCORECARD
Defining Quality. Guiding Industry.
Contributors:
Ken Sauer, Senior PV Engineer, [email protected]
Adam Gushansky, Project Manager, [email protected]
Steve Jones, Business Line Director - Renewables Advisory North America, [email protected]
Jackson Moore, Head of Solar Technology, [email protected]
Raymond Hudson, Senior Principal Consultant, [email protected]
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION __________________________________________________________________ 05
CONCLUSION ____________________________________________________________________ 30
04 ENERGY 2018 PV Module Reliability Scorecard
INTRODUCTION
here has never been a more exciting time in the solar industry. Buyers are faced with
T increased technological advances, which test our understanding of what makes a
module “proven”, while energy pricing continues to fall, compressing project margins.
Technologies that have been developed over recent years, including bifacial modules and PERC
cells, are now available from many of the top module suppliers. India, China, Brazil, Mexico and
Egypt are examples of some of the fastest growing PV markets that are themselves experiencing
an emergence of new manufacturers. We no longer think about production in terms of
megawatts per year, but in gigawatts.
Excitement can be equally joined with uncertainty. In the case of the solar industry, risk is often
associated with new technologies and rapid development. New technologies mean uncharted
territory in terms of module performance and long term reliability. The speed and volume at
which these developments are introduced result in new risks associated with poor quality
module construction, increasingly complicated logistics and limited field history.
In these exciting and sometimes challenging times, the industry moves forward by leaps and
bounds. With 98 GW installed globally, up 29 percent from 2016, 2017 was another record
year for new solar capacity. We expect 2018 to continue this record-setting growth, easily
eclipsing the 100 GW milestone. At DNV GL’s Energy Labs, our experts have experienced the
shift in the industry just as you have, and we remain one step ahead. We have tested everything
from proven technologies to prototypes, with results ranging from reliable to risky, sometimes
counter to conventional wisdom and expectations.
DNV GL first published this Scorecard in 2014 to show you, the market, what we found and
learned through our testing. We are proud to present our fourth annual PV Module Reliability
Scorecard.
Ditlev Engel
CEO
DNV GL - Energy
1982
1905 The first megawatt-scale
Albert Einstein PV array goes on-line in
explains the California, USA
photoelectric
1958
The Vanguard I
effect based
space satellite
on the photon
uses a small
theory of light 1964
(< 1 W) array
to power its NASA launches
radios the first Nimbus
satellite, able to
1839
run entirely on
19 year old
470 W of solar
Edmund
Bacquerel of
France
discovers the
creation of 1954
voltage when The modern
certain solar cell is
material is invented by 1977
exposed to 1963
Bell Labs, with Japan installs Global PV 1999 2004
light ~6% efficiency manufacturing
the world's Cumulative Annual global
largest PV array, production worldwide capacity additions
242 W on a capacity installed exceed 1 GW for
lighthouse exceeds photovoltaic the first time
500 kW capacity reaches
1 GW
2017
98 GW of PV
2012 installed in one
2017 year, more than
World's largest array connects to the Largest ever PV
grid - 145 MW in Germany 2016 the net addition
World's largest manufacturing of all coal, gas,
array connects to capacity additions and nuclear
the grid - 648 MW announced in a power plants
in India single quarter at combined.
40 GW (Q4)
PV module aging and failure mechanisms have been The results from a Heliolytics study support this
documented over a wide range of power plant trend. Heliolytics has inspected over 8 GW of
locations and material sets. Field failures of PV operating systems using aerial infrared
equipment can stem from component issues, design technology. Focusing on ground-mounted modules
flaws, or failures in quality control during the with sub-module defects, they found that more than
manufacturing process. 7% of sites have sub-module defect rates greater
than 0.5%. Sub-module defects include failed
The graphic below indicates leading PV module aging diodes, cell damage or poor soldering where at least
and failure mechanisms occurring as infant, midlife and 1/3 of the module becomes inactive.
wear-out failures.
How was module testing developed? How does degradation relate to module failure?
The U.S. Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s (JPL) Block Buy Long-term module power degradation is built into
program started in the mid-1970s with the goal of project expectations and is warranted by
developing environmental tests for crystalline silicon manufacturers. Typical warranty terms provide a
modules. This program established many of the tests guarantee of 97% of the nameplate rating during
that are still used for reliability assessment today. the first year, reduced by 0.6-0.7% annually during
the following 24 years.
The European Solar Test Installation (ESTI) project
was initiated in the late 1970s and focused on both Measuring power degradation in the field when
testing modules and creating standard performance the levels are small is extraordinarily difficult due to
metrics for solar cells. the uncertainty of measurement tools and sensors.
Practically, this results in most PV module warranty
These two programs formed a foundation for today’s claims being limited to excessive underperformance
basic module certification tests: or complete failure. DNV GL notes that an allowance
for uncertainty, typically according to EN 50380, is
■■ International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) applied for warranty enforcement which effectively
61215 “Crystalline silicon terrestrial photovoltaic (PV) lowers the guaranteed level by a further amount (on
modules – Design qualification and type approval” the order of 3%).
■■ Underwriters Laboratories (UL) 1703 “Standard for
Flat-Plate Photovoltaic Modules and Panels” Based on DNV GL’s experience and data, at least
7% of commercial PV modules do not pass the IEC
Are there limitations to the standards? 61215 humidity freeze test. This 7% figure pulls from
Though most PV projects require UL and/or IEC the historical dataset that has grown from tens to
certification to ensure a minimum level of module thousands of modules.
robustness and safety, it is widely accepted that
these certification standards are not sufficient to
demonstrate long-term PV module reliability for the
following reasons:
In 2012, DNV GL developed the PV Module Product Qualification Program (PQP) to support the solar community
with two aims:
Provide PV equipment buyers and power plant investors with independent and consistent reliability and
performance data to support implementation of an effective supplier management process (such as an
Approved Product or Vendor List).
Provide independent recognition to module manufacturers who outpace their competitors in product quality and
durability.
The scope of the PQP aligns with requirements from DNV GL’s downstream partners, including developers,
contractors, asset owners and financiers. The PQP has evolved to consider new insights in understanding field
failure and degradation mechanisms, requests from DNV GL’s downstream partners, as well as feedback from PV
module manufacturers. For example, beginning in 2018, an extended light soak test sequence was added to
better quantify LID stabilization.
This PV Module Reliability Scorecard is a distillation of the past 18 months of PQP results. Each set of results is
backed by a complete report on each product tested; these individual PV module reports are available to DNV GL
downstream partners. All Bill of Materials (BOM) of modules submitted to PQP testing are witnessed in production
and tested in the same way and in the same environment to enable a levelled comparison.
In the past five years, DNV GL has tested over 300 BOMs for more than 50 module manufacturers. Nine of the
top ten global module manufacturers and more than 70% of the latest Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF)
“Tier 1” manufacturers have participated in the PQP.
Spectrum of Performance
As vigilant readers of past Scorecards will note, the results of DNV GL’s 2018 Scorecard show strong performance
and fewer failures than in past years. However, underscored by the results presented in the following pages, there
is still a spectrum of performance. PQP and Scorecard participants tend to place a higher value on the reliability of
their products than non-participants. As such, the median results presented in the following pages may be better
than the median results of the broader industry.
Methodology
Results presented in the bar charts on the subsequent pages show average values of different BOM(s) for a single
module model. The majority of Scorecard participants are 60- or 72-cell mono- or multi-crystalline silicon modules.
Each test sequence had a different number of manufacturers and model types participating. The Top Performers in
each test category are identified in each table, in alphabetical order. Top Performers are model types that degraded
less than 2% for the entirety of the test sequence.
DNV GL cautions that not all products are represented in every test. For example, some products are not
subjected to all tests, or some results may not be available at the time of publication.
No Measurable
Thermal Cycling 600 Cycles -8.8 -1.6
Degradation
No Measurable
Damp Heat 2000 hours -8.1 -2.5
Degradation
PV modules are constructed from several materials with varying coefficients of thermal expansion. As temperature
and irradiance fluctuate, materials expand or contract at different rates, introducing interface stress. An example is
solder joint fatigue, which can manifest electrically as an increase in series resistance and decreased performance at
high irradiance.
DNV GL’s Thermal Cycling (TC) test sequence is an extrapolation of IEC 61215, which specifies 200 cycles. DNV GL’s
PQP sequence included 600 cycles in 2016-17, and has been extended to 800 cycles in 2018 (for inclusion in the 2019
Scorecard). TC includes interval characterization to profile the progression of degradation. A single thermal cycle
completes in an environmental chamber when the temperature is lowered to -40°C, dwelled, and then increased to
85°C to dwell again. During the temperature ramps, maximum power current is applied to the modules. One cycle
duration typically ranges from three to five hours.
Whether in arid environments with large daily temperature ranges or more temperate environments with many smaller
range cycles, extended thermal cycling delivers insight into the reliability of PV module construction, manufacturing
processes and expected field performance.
Compared to previous Scorecard releases, the results in the 2018 Scorecard show an
improvement in TC 600 performance. The median for TC is -1.6% degradation, with the worst
performer measuring -8.8%. In the 2017 Scorecard, the median was -1.9%, with the worst
performer having complete failure, measuring no power output.
The various layers in a typical crystalline-Si PV module are shown to the right. These layers need to stay securely
adhered for decades in the field.
In an IEC 61215 Damp Heat test, modules are held at a constant temperature of 85°C and a relative humidity of 85%
for 1,000 hours (approximately 42 days). This moisture ingress stresses the module’s adhered interfaces. DNV GL has
performed hundreds of Damp Heat tests at various durations, assessing module resilience as a function of these
durations. DNV GL has found that 2,000 hours, as used in the PQP, are effective at differentiating top performance
versus average performance.
1000 2000
Results for DH 2,000 in the 2018 Scorecard showed higher degradation than what was
presented in previous editions. The median is -2.5% this year compared to -0.9% in both 2014
and 2017. The maximum degradation was -8.8% in 2018, compared to -5.5% in 2017.
The Dynamic Mechanical Load (DML) test sequence evaluates a module’s ability to withstand cyclic mechanical
deflection as an accelerated proxy for wind and snow loads. The sequential mechanical loading, thermal stress and
moisture ingress can cause performance loss due to solder joint fatigue, microcrack development and propagation,
and cell corrosion.
For the DML test sequence, the module is installed according to the manufacturer’s recommended mounting
configuration and is subjected to 1,000 cycles of alternating loading at 1,000 Pa. During the test, DNV GL monitors
continuity of the module’s electrical circuit and leakage current to the module frame. After an interim
characterization, the module is stressed in chamber for 50 thermal cycles to cause microcrack propagation before
undergoing 10 humidity freeze cycles to fully realize the potential power loss. The 2018 PQP extends the humidity
freeze cycles from one set of 10 cycles to three sets of 10 cycles.
The DML test scrutinizes various aspects of the PV module, including design features such as frame size, material
selection such as edge seal, and manufacturing controls of cell interconnection and etching.
DML results in the 2018 Scorecard improved over what was reported in prior Scorecards.
The median and bottom result from 2018 were -1.2% and -3.1% respectively, compared to -1.2%
and -11% in 2017, -1.6% and -7.3% in 2016, and -0.5% and -6.3% in 2014.
Potential Induced Degradation (PID) emerged as a reliability concern as higher system voltages and ungrounded
systems were deployed with increasing regularity. PID, while having varied failure mechanisms, is driven by the internal
PV circuit being biased either negatively or positively in relation to ground. C-Si is predominately affected by shunting
from ionic motion within the cell.¹
During the test, a voltage bias equal to the system voltage rating of the module (either -1 kV or -1.5 kV) is applied
under 85°C and 85% relative humidity conditions for two sessions of 96 hours. This accelerated environment provides
the temperature, moisture and voltage bias conditions necessary to evaluate degradation related to increased leakage
current.
It should be noted that there are reversible and non-reversible PID mechanisms. Electrochemical corrosion and some
sodium ion damage to the PN junction are widely considered irreversible, while PID due to the accumulation of static
charge on the surface of cells, also known as polarization, can be reversed.
PID can be managed at many levels within a system. Certain system grounding configurations or distributed
electronics may not require PID-resistant modules. For this reason, DNV GL recommends evaluating intended
applications of the PV modules before selecting PID-resistant or non-PID-resistant modules.
PID96 PID192
1Naumann, V.et al. (2013), The role of stacking faults for the formation of shunts during potential induced degradation of crystalline Si solar cells. Phys. Status Solidi RRL, 7: 315-318.
The PID test results in the 2018 Scorecard present a significant improvement compared to previous
years. The 2018 median was -1.4%, compared to -0.4%, -2.7%, and -18.4% in 2017, 2016 and 2014
respectively. More indicative of the improved PID performance is the comparison of this year’s worst
performer at -7.4% versus -92.2%, -58.3% and -100% in 2017, 2016 and 2014 respectively. It is worth
noting that some module types do not claim to be PID-resistant.
BOM Matters.
As manufacturers diversify their supply chains and developers enter emerging markets, educated BOM selections
and decisions become the cornerstone of PV plant reliability.
-1% -2%
■■ Manufacturer A
Module Type B ■■ 96 hours ■■ 96 hours
■■ BOM 1 ■■ 85 ■■ 85
85% 85%
Negative Negative
Bias Bias
-1% -12%
■■ Manufacturer A
Module Type B
■■ BOM 2 ■■ 96 hours ■■ 96 hours
■■ 85 ■■ 85
85% 85%
Negative Negative
Bias Bias
Findings.
Encapsulant choice is one of the PID mitigation methods available, with high volumetric resistivity isolating the
internal circuit. Not all solutions are created equal, with some merely designed to pass a qualification test.
Comparison of BOM 1 and BOM 2 underscores this; both BOMs performed similarly for the standard duration
test, with BOM 2 only differentiated as a worse performer when tested to the longer durations required in
DNV GL’s PQP.
What is a PAN file and how is it made? Incidence Angle Modifier: Reflection Quantified
Energy predictions are a key contributor to project As the earth rotates throughout the day, the angle at
development for procurement decisions, cost of capital which sunlight strikes the solar module changes. As this
and risk mitigation. For PVsyst software, a file with a angle becomes more oblique, losses from reflection
‘.PAN’ extension is used to specify the performance increase. Manufacturers have focused on mitigating
characteristics of a PV module including the module’s these losses through the use of anti-reflective coatings
response to temperature and irradiance. or texturing. To model these losses, an Incidence Angle
Modifier (IAM) profile is quantified and employed.
DNV GL’s optimized PAN files start with lab-based These results can be used to inform or validate a
power measurement per IEC 61853-1, which manufacturer’s guidance to its customers.
determines a module’s power across a range of
irradiance and temperature. This dataset is the In PVsyst, the default IAM profile is modeled using
feedstock for optimizing five coefficients in a modified the American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and
one-diode model employed by PVsyst. These results Air Conditioning (ASHRAE) model. This model, using
are reconciled with the manufacturer’s datasheet, which default parameters, can over-estimate the losses from
governs product warranty compliance. non-normal incidence angles. Lab-based
characterization of the IAM profile can result in more
300
accurate yield predictions that provide more clarity in
250 the energy assessment.
55
■■ Temperature ( C)
200
45 150
35 100
50
200 600 1000 PMAX(W)
Irradiance (W/m2)
Sources: DNV GL
For the 2018 Scorecard, DNV GL evaluated failures from three viewpoints: BOM, model type and manufacturer.
1. BOM
A single module type can have multiple BOM variants, as each critical component change can have different
performance and durability implications. 2018 results indicate that 9% of tested BOMs failed at least one of the
evaluation criteria.
2. Model Type
When viewed at a model-type level, the failure rate increased due to the overarching model type affected by a
single BOM failure. For 2018, this was 12% of the PQP population.
3. Manufacturer
Lastly, the highest level of review is on the manufacturing level, where 22% of all manufacturers who tested in the
PQP in the past 18 months had at least one failure.
Visual Failure
Safety Failure
>5% power loss
The chart above depicts the types of failures noted in the 2018 Scorecard. These can occur at interval or final
characterization events.
Compare Results
The power degradation from the PQP results is based on accelerated
testing, and as such the degradation results should not be used as a direct
forecast of yearly degradation for fielded modules. The results should be
used as a mechanism to evaluate PV modules and their associated BOMs
and factory locations, and as a tool to compare expected module reliability
and long-term performance qualitatively.
Module quality is affected by the equipment, process and quality control used when manufacturing the product.
The DNV GL PQP includes a factory witness to verify the BOM and factory processes for the modules that are
submitted to the PQP for testing. The factory witness results are documented in a comprehensive report. In
addition to other reliability and performance reports, DNV GL downstream partners can have access to the witness
reports to gain visibility into the BOM and factory.
The table below shows the 2018 Top Performer manufacturers in alphabetical order, followed by the factory
location(s) for the models that underwent PQP testing for the 2018 Scorecard. The graphic below depicts
manufacturer factory regions.
40%
16%
44%
North America
China
Other Asia
While product lines and models may change, retire or be introduced anew, one measure of quality can be
assessed by a manufacturer's consistency as a Top Performer in DNV GL's PV Module Reliability Scorecard.
The Scorecard presented here shows the 2018 Top Performers and their history of Top Performance in previous
editions. The Scorecard is presented by the number of years as a Top Performer, in alphabetical order.
Jinko Solar
Trina Solar
Yingli Solar
Astronergy Solar
JA Solar Holdings
REC Solar
Flex Ltd
Solaria Corporation
SunPower Corporation
Suntech Power
HT-SAAE
LG Electronics, Inc
Panasonic
PV plants experience many conditions that cannot be fully replicated by accelerated testing. Modules
experience concurrent stresses in the field to varying degrees which may not be represented by the test
sequences described in this Scorecard. Laboratory testing is well controlled and typically limited to a single
stress type at a time. Laboratory observations should be utilized to assess how a specific set of aging
mechanisms impact module output over the duration of the test.
Additionally, accelerated testing should be used to screen for PV module defects in large procurements. The
schematics below show a recommended flow of laboratory testing, which can minimize risks in PV plant module
sourcing, development and construction, and operation. The qualification portion (the PQP scope) should
occur when a product is initially being evaluated for the module buyer’s Approved Vendor List. The Statistical
Batch Testing portion, or serial defect screening (typically IEC scope), should be performed on a sample of
modules from the specific batches produced and shipped to the project site. Field exposure testing should
occur long term to inform buyers and suppliers about real-world performance.
Characterization (IV,EL)
Thermal
Cycling
Damp
Heat
Ultraviolet
Light
Dynamic
Loading
Potential
Induced
Degradation
PAN File
& IAM
Field
Exposure &
Performance
Light
Induced
Degradation
DO YOU TRUST THE PRODUCT?
TC 200 DH 1000h UV 45 DML 1k PID PAN file Field Light
kWh/m2 cycles 85 C (including exposure1 soaking > 10
IV, EL, VWL
TC 200
IV, EL, VWL
DH 1000h
IV, EL, VWL
+/- 1kPa
IV, EL
Repeat
until
1%
stable
per IEC
Before Production: Product Qualification Program
UV 45 61215
Light
Module Characterization:
Flash test per IEC 60904 Module
High resolution EL image
Wet dielectric test at 1 kV Characterization
Visual inspection
Module
Characterization
Module
DNV GL’s Product Qualification Program combined with project-level Statistical Batch Testing and Field Testing
provide the global market with necessary analytics and due diligence to ensure that the sourced products have
undergone stringent quality checks throughout the project lifecycle.
PQP test results provide insight into how vendors, modules, BOMs, and factories compare with one another across
a set of controlled accelerated test sequences targeting failure mechanisms encountered in the field.
DNV GL generally recommends choosing vendors with lower degradation levels as this increases the likelihood of
technical and financial success of the project. However, this evaluation should be based on the PQP test results of
the specific model type, BOM, and factory location where the module was produced. DNV GL supports
downstream stakeholders by providing this detailed information upon request.
Contact DNV GL if you wish to become a downstream partner or a manufacturer participant in the PQP.
DNV GL - Energy
Utrechtseweg 310-B50
6812 AR Arnhem
The Netherlands
Tel: +31 26 356 9111
Email: [email protected]
www.dnvgl.com
About DNV GL
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