CCUS-2021 FactBook
CCUS-2021 FactBook
Towards Net-Zero
2021
Compiled by the Kearney Energy Transition Institute
Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage
Acknowledgements
The Kearney Energy Transition Institute wishes to acknowledge the following people for their review of this FactBook:
Kamel Bennaceur, CEO at Nomadia Energy Consulting, Former Director of Sustainable Energy Policies and Technologies
at IEA, former Minister of Industry, Energy and Mines of Tunisia; as well as Dr. Adnan Shihab-Eldin, Claude Mandil, Antoine
Rostand, and Richard Forrest, members of the board for the Kearney Energy Transition Institute.
Their review does not imply that they endorse this FactBook or agree with any specific statements herein.
About the FactBook: Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage
This FactBook seeks to provide an overview of the latest changes in the carbon capture, utilization and storage landscape.
It summarizes the main research and development priorities in carbon capture, utilisation and storage, analyses the
policies, technologies and economics and presents the status and future of large-scale integrated projects.
About the Kearney Energy Transition Institute
The Kearney Energy Transition Institute is a non-profit organization that provides leading insights on global trends in
energy transition, technologies, and strategic implications for private-sector businesses and public-sector institutions. The
Institute is dedicated to combining objective technological insights with economical perspectives to define the
consequences and opportunities for decision-makers in a rapidly changing energy landscape. The independence of the
Institute fosters unbiased primary insights and the ability to co-create new ideas with interested sponsors and relevant
stakeholders.
Authors
Romain Debarre, Prashant Gahlot, Céleste Grillet and Mathieu Plaisant
2
Executive Summary………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 4
1. The need for CCUS …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 11
1.1 Order of magnitude .………………………………………………………………………………………………………..................... 12
1.2 Global CO2 emissions and carbon budget .……………………………………………………………………………...................... 13
1.2 CCUS scenarios and sectoral applications……………………………………………………………………………………………. 15
1.3 Main obstacles………………………...………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 22
2. Value chain and key technologies ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 23
2.1 Value chain overview………….…………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 24
2.2 Separation technologies…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 25
2.3 Capture technologies ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 29
2.4 Transport technologies ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 37
2.5 Storage and Utilization technologies …………………………………………………………………………………...................... 39
3. Global overview of CCUS development …………………………………………………………………………………........................ 44
3.1 Global perspective…………………….………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 45
3.2 Geographic focus …………………….………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 48
4. Outlook of Carbon Capture development per sector …….…………………………………………………………………………….. 53
4.1 Sectoral overview…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..54
4.2 Natural gas processing………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 59
4.3 Power generation………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 62
4.4 Cement and steel…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 74
4.5 Other sectors (chemicals, refining, blue hydrogen, marine vessels)………………………...............……….................................85
5. Outlook of Carbon Utilization and Storage……………………………………………………………………………………………….. 99
5.1 Global Storage capacity…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 100
5.2 Global Utilization perspectives…………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 102
5.3 Sectoral overview (Oil & Gas, Chemicals, Clusters / Hubs, circular carbon economy)…………………………………………... 104
6. Economics, Policies and Regulations……..…………………….………………………………………………………………………... 116
6.1 Cancelled projects…….………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 117
6.2 CCUS costs………………………………………………………………………………………………………………........................ 118
6.2 Business models…….…………………………………………………………………………………………...………………………. 128
6.3 Policies and regulations………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 130
6.4 Public acceptance …….…………………………………………………………………………………………...…………………….. 140
7. Financing and key players……………………………………………………………….…....................................................................143
7.1 Financing…………………….……………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 144
7.2 Key players…………………….………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 149
Appendix & bibliography ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 150
3
Definition of Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage, or CCUS
Every energy CCUS, is an emissions reduction technology that can be applied across the energy system. CCUS technologies involve the
transition scenario capture of carbon dioxide (CO2) from fuel combustion or industrial processes, the transport of this CO 2 via ship or pipeline,
and either its use as a resource to create valuable products or services or its permanent storage deep underground in
requires CCUS to geological formations. CCUS technologies also provide the foundation for carbon removal or "negative emissions" when the
CO2 comes from bio-based processes or directly from the atmosphere. (IEA 2021)
achieve
climate-change CO2 atmospheric concentration has reached unprecedented levels
Between 1970 and 2000, total CO2 emissions rose by +0.3 GtCO2 per year and accelerated from 2000 to +0.7 GtCO2 per
targets year, increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations to a record high of 418 ppm in May 2021. This rise is mostly the result of
fossil-fuel consumption in heating/cooling, power generation, transport and industry. At current emission levels, the
remaining carbon budget corresponding to the +1.5°C target could be exhausted by 2030.
CCUS development is not on track to meet IPCC and IEA climate-change scenario targets
CCUS is needed to achieve the goal of net-zero emissions, according to the IPCC and the IEA. The global capture
capacity was about 50 MtCO2 per year in 2020. The ongoing pipeline of projects forecasts about 220 MtCO2 per year of
global capture capacity in 2030, a huge gap compared with the 800 MtCO 2 per year target of the IEA’s sustainable
development scenario (SDS).
CCUS could help decarbonize sectors that are responsible for more than 45 percent of the world’s CO2 emissions
CCUS is a key technology to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors with few other decarbonization options, such as the cement,
The need for CCUS iron and steel, and chemicals industries. CCUS is expected to be developed for multiple industries and mainly combined with
storage solutions. Some technology solutions are being tested for marine vessels but have limited use in transportation
(pages 11–22) overall.
Fuel transformation should be the fastest CCUS adopter with more than 80% of CO2 emissions projected to be captured
by 2030. The cement industry has only recently started using CCUS technology and but is projected to scale up over the
next 10 years to capture almost 50% of all CO2 emissions created during the production process. Therefore, CCUS appears
to be among the most impactful solutions for reducing emissions from cement production. It is also emerging as the most
cost-effective approach in many regions to curb emissions in iron and steel and chemicals manufacturing.
By 2050, CCUS could represent more than 25% of the emission reduction for iron and steel and more than 60% for cement,
according to the IEA. The industry will remain the first for captured carbon emissions, bioenergy with carbon capture and
storage (BECCS) is expected to grow as a negative emission solution and will represent more than 20% of the captured CO 2
by 2070. Overall, the captured CO2 would most likely be stored rather than reused.
Executive summary The development of CCUS is generally perceived to be challenging because of four main obstacles
Unfavourable economics for industries, a challenging scale-up, the regulation gap, and the lack of public support are the
4 major obstacles for the development of CCUS.
CCUS refers to a set of CO2 capture, transport, utilization, and storage technologies combined to abate CO2
The CCUS value emissions. CO2 is generally captured from large and stationary emissions sources (power or industrial plants), transported
chain includes three in a gaseous or liquefied state by pipelines or ships and stored in geological formations or reused to promote carbon
circularity.
main steps: carbon
The CO2 capture mainly consists of separating CO2 molecules from flue gases and relies on three technologies:
capture, carbon – Absorption and adsorption of the CO2 by a liquid carrier (solvent) or solid carrier (sorbent) and regeneration of the liquid
transport, and or solid by increasing the temperature or reducing the pressure
– Membranes (metallic, polymeric, or ceramic material) for gas separation, not suitable for post-combustion, most suitable
carbon storage or for high pressure and high CO2 concentration
– Cryogenic method using low temperature to liquefy and separate CO2 from other gases
utilization
Adsorption and absorption capture is the dominant technology, but membranes and cryogenic capture have great potential.
Four capture technologies occur at different steps of the combustion value chain:
– Post-combustion. CO2 is separated from flue gas after combustion with air and can be retrofitted to power and heavy
industrial plants with relatively high costs and energy penalty. This technology is the most broadly used outside oil and
gas.
– Oxy-combustion. Fuel is combusted in pure oxygen instead of air, producing a concentrated CO 2 stream in the flue gas,
which is almost ready to be transported. Oxy-combustion could be retrofitted to existing plants, though with significant
redesign.
Value chain and key – Pre-combustion. A hydrocarbon fuel source—coal, gas, or biomass – is gasified into shifted syngas (H2/CO2 mix), from
technologies which the CO2 is separated. The H2 is then used to fuel the power plant or to produce chemicals or synthetic fuels. In
power generation, the pre-combustion process is more energy efficient than post-combustion but requires new and
expensive plant design, such as an integrated gasification combined cycle.
(pages 23–43) – Natural gas sweetening. In this mature process, CO2 is separated from raw natural gas at a gas processing plant.
In 2020, the global CCUS capacity reached about 50 Mtpa. The current pipeline of projects should triple the global
capacity in the coming years, achieving about 170 Mtpa in 2030.
Executive summary
6
Oil and gas along with power have been leading the CCUS development
The maturity of The oil and gas sector and the power sector have been leading CCUS development and are expected to remain as such at
CCUS applications least until 2030. These two sectors represent the vast majority of CCUS projects in 2020.
varies by industries The CCUS industry has entered a new development phase (“industrialization”), which is characterized by the development of
clusters grouping multiple sources of CO2 emissions from different applications (such as blue hydrogen production as well as
cement and steel applications) and thanks to the increasing regulatory pressure on CO 2 emissions (such as carbon pricing
or net-zero targets from multiple countries and companies).
In the next decade, the number of CCUS projects is expected to increase by more than 70%, with about 120 projects in
2030. The average size of the CCUS projects is also expected to grow, moving from below 1 Mtpa of CO 2 p to 5 Mtpa of
CO2 in the next decade, essentially triggered by large blue hydrogen production projects or hubs.
Blue hydrogen, steel, and cement industries are the newcomers investing in CCUS
For high-emitting sectors such as iron and steel and cement production, CCUS is listed as one of the best possibilities to
drastically reduce CO2 emissions. CCUS has been introduced recently for small commercial or pilot projects in the iron,
steel, and cement industries. The number of heavy industry large-scale facilities is going to increase from three in 2020 to
seven in 2030. Large-scale projects such as Lafarge-Holcim Cement added to eight industrial hubs in development with
either a cement or iron and steel plant. Despite this increase, heavy industries remain the least-efficient sector in capturing
GHG emissions with an average of less than 1 MtCO2 captured per year per project.
Outlook of carbon capture In the upcoming years, industries such as blue hydrogen production and chemicals production are going to see more and
development per sector more facilities. Hydrogen is even considered as the most ambitious field of application for CCUS with an average of almost 5
MtCO2 captured per year per project, more than any other industry. The trend is supported by the development of high-
(pages 53–98) capacity hydrogen energy projects and clusters, such as in United Kingdom with ambitious national plans to switch fuel for
domestic and industrial applications from natural gas to hydrogen combined with CCUS.
CCUS in power is interesting to retrofit coal or gas-fired and biomass power plants to abate their carbon emissions and
allow their continued operation. It has reached commercial scale with the opening in 2014 of the first large-scale CCUS
power plant in Canada: the Sask Power Boundary Dam.
Identified global geological storage capacity largely overcomes the need for storage
Global overview of Geological storage capacities of CO2 remain unexplored in many areas of the world. Asia and North America own the
biggest identified geological storage capacities. The estimated storage capacity of North America corresponds to hundreds
Utilization and Storage of years of their own emissions (about 350 to 3,200 years). But in many areas of the world, the storage capacity of the
sedimentary basins remained unexplored or not fully reported.
(pages 99 – 115)
Executive summary
8 (1) EOR - Enhanced Oil Recovery: processes related to improving the recovery of hydrocarbon trapped in geological reservoirs, commonly consists in injecting steam, solvent or CO2
Relatively high capture costs and a lack of efficient policies prevent the industrialisation of CCUS development;
To achieve net-zero business models are still to be invented
objectives, The key element of comparison is the cost of one ton of CO 2 abated, which enables the comparison of CCUS technologies
with other decarbonisation solutions, including renewables. One of the main drawbacks related to CCUS is the cost that can
governments need be higher than 100$/t. Over the past eight years, 14 potentially large-scale projects have been cancelled, including 11 for
economics reasons. One of the main inconveniences related to CCUS is the high costs, which can easily go higher than
to develop CCUS $100/t. The capture part commonly represents about 75% of the total cost but can decrease with high-concentrated CO2,
policies and such as in natural gas processing, hydrogen, or fertilizers production. Transport and storage usually represent 25% of the
cost of the overall process. The most interesting storage option is direct use of CO 2 for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) or
regulations to storage in onshore depleted oil and gas fields. Although CCUS has a strong CO2 abatement potential, it increases the
levelized cost of production for every sector. Thus, solutions to limit the investment risk need to be found to keep CCUS
incentivize growing.
companies to invest
Many countries have recently committed to net-zero objectives by 2050–2060
and to raise public At least 27 countries, representing more than 60% of the world’s economy, have already announced their goal to become
carbon neutral by 2050. Some have even put their objectives into law. These announcements represent around a third of the
awareness world CO2 emissions. Moreover, by 2060, this number rises to 65% of CO2 emissions. To achieve this objective, some
countries will increase the part of renewables in their energy mix; others are setting carbon taxes or tax credits such as the
US 45Q tax credit for carbon sequestration set in 2018. Major companies set CO 2 emissions reductions goals among their
scope of emissions (scope 1, 2, or 3). As all companies are different, the decomposition of the CO2 emissions according
scopes are different from one company to another, and objectives are also different.
Economics, Policies and
Regulations Carbon regulations and taxes are essential to the development of CCUS and the reduction of CO 2 emissions
Countries are considering policies or regulations to decrease CO2 emissions. Nordic countries have been the first ones to
introduce a carbon tax; they did it almost 30 years ago. Today, Sweden is the world’s top taxer with a price of $137/t. Even if
(pages 116 - 142) carbon taxes are a way to decrease emissions, some countries or regions also have emissions trade scheme (ETS) that
give allowances to companies to trade carbon emissions at trading-based prices, such as stocks. European Union have the
biggest ETS with around 1,7 GtCO2 covered (45% of EU emissions) and a price above $40/t. However, in some regions,
ETS doesn’t cover as much as in the EU, or the prices are three or four times lower than in EU ETS.
Although CCUS public R&D spending is quite low compared with other clean technologies, CCUS is ranked third behind
solar and wind energy but above hydrogen, geothermal energy, or biofuels.
After a rise in CCUS patents since 1996, 2014 was the start of a decline
Energy patents are a direct conclusion of the variation of public R&D funding and private research. The number of patents
for all kinds of low-carbon technologies rose between 1996 until 2011 and then decreased. Patents about CCUS had the
same variation with an increase since 1996 until 2014 and reached about 700 patents. As for public R&D funding, the United
States is the top patents provider and has always been since 2009. The country always maintains its patents production
above 180 patents a year, with almost 260 in 2012 and 2013. Japan is fighting for the second rank, and South Korea
Finance, R&D, and key overtook Japan in 2014 to become the second provider of CCUS patents in the world (92 patents in 2018). European
players countries arrived just after with a total of 70 patents.
The main aim of R&D is to improve capture technologies’ cost and energy efficiency, find suitable reservoirs, and understand
(pages 143–149) the behavior of CO2 underground, for which field demonstration is essential.
Executive summary
10
1. The need for CCUS
11 vgorai01
Carbon and Carbon dioxide equivalence – 1 tCO2 in EOR allows the recovery of 2-3 additional
Orders of – 1 Gigatonne (Gt) = 1 billion tonnes barrels of oil
magnitude – 1 kg carbon (C) = 3.664 kg carbon dioxide (CO2) Size of CCUS projects
Energy-related CO2 emissions per year Largest global projects
– One passenger car: 3-6 tCO2 1) Shute Creek CCUS-EOR facilities (ExxonMobil, USA
- Wyoming)
– Average CO2 emissions/capita: ~4.5 tCO2
– Operational since 1986, extended in 2010
– New York City: 37 MtCO2
– Captures and stores 7 MtCO2/year from natural gas
– United Kingdom: 90 MtCO2
processing and refining
– US: 5.1 GtCO2
2) Century Plant CCUS-EOR facilities (Occidental
– World 31.5 GtCO2 Petroleum, USA - Texas)
What does 1 tonne of CO2 represent? – Operational since 2010
– CO2 captured by 25 trees grown for – Captures and stores 5 to 8 MtCO2/year from natural
10 years gas processing
– One economy class air travel from Paris to New York 3) The Alberta Carbon Trunck Line (Canada)
– Worldwide average CO2 emissions per capita in 3.6 – Operational since March 2020
months
– The highest CO2 transport capacity infrastructure,
– 1.35 MWh of electricity produced in a supercritical with 14.6 MtCO2/year (currently processing
pulverized black-coal power plant; approximately 5 1MtCO2/year)
seconds of emissions of a large unit (~1GW)
Standard coal power plant (mineral carbonation) without
Financial indicators for CO2 emissions CCUS
– Environmental carbon taxes are generally below – Nominal capacity: 500MW
$20/tCO2
– Average load factor: 0.85
– Market prices for EOR reached $30/tCO2 when the oil
– Produces 3,500 GWh of electricity per year
price was averaging $100/bbl.
– Emits 3.4 MtCO2/yr
– Each tonne of CO2 avoided by using CCUS in a coal
power plant is likely to cost $50-$150/tCO2 Coal power plant with post-combustion CCUS (20 MW,
– If an offshore wind farm replaces a coal fired power- 400tCO2/d)
plant, the cost of 1 ton of CO2 avoided is negative, as – Produces 3,600 GWh per year (CCUS energy
they have the same LCOE, but coal emits about 150 penalty: .8%)
times more CO2 per MWh. – CO2 emissions captured efficiency 85%
Orders of magnitude
– Developed economies generate $2,000-$6,000 of – Avoids 90,000 tCO2/yr
GDP per tonne of CO2 emitted (carbon-emissions
12
intensity)
Fossil-fuel use is Global anthropogenic CO2 emissions Atmospheric CO2 concentration since 2005
(1850–2011)
responsible for
about 80% of
anthropogenic
CO2 emissions, 418 ppm
and atmospheric in May 2021
CO2 concentration
reached a record
high in 2021
could be 50
Already emitted
(1850–2017)
exhausted in 45
43
4.000 +2080
43
about 10 years 40
Others
LUC(1) +1500
3.500
35
66% of global GHG
emissions come from end- 30
Gas
use combustion of coal, oil
and gas (~35/53 GtCO2eq 25 3.000
+840
over) 20 Oil
+1.170
+580
15
2.500
+420
10
Coal 2.200
5
0 0
CO2 CH4 N2O F-gases Total 2.0°C target 1.5°C target
Possible CO2 emission pathways and required carbon dioxide removal - CDR(1) capacities for 1.5°C target
(GtCO2 per year)
– LED, S1, S2 and S3 (also referred to as P1, P2, P3, and P4) are four illustrative IPCC scenarios
1.5°C-consistent pathway archetypes. CDR technologies are integrated into all possible CO2
emission pathways, except LED
– S1 and S2 require, among other measures, a decrease of final energy demand of 15% and 5% in
2030 relative to 2010, thus limiting the need of CDR technologies to an average of ~3.1 and ~5.0
GtCO2 per year (from 2020 to 2100) respectively
– S3 also relies on a high share of renewables in the electricity mix (48%) and big reductions in coal
(-75% compared to 2010) in 2030. However, oil consumption is only reduced 3% and gas even
increases 33%. With a final energy demand increase of 17%, an average of ~7.8 GtCO2 per year
should be captured by CDR technologies from 2020 to 2100
Depending on future energy efficiency and mix, CCS and – The resource and energy intensive scenario S4 predicts an overshoot of the 1.5°C target,
negative emission technologies should represent between 3.1 followed by massive implementation of non-land CDR technologies (average ~14.9 GtCO2 per year
and 14.9 GtCO2 per year. from 2020 to 2100)
(1) Carbon dioxide removal, also called “negative emissions technologies” (pls refer to the Negative Emissions Technologies FactBook) are anthropogenic activities removing CO2 from the atmosphere and durably
storing it in geological, terrestrial, or ocean reservoirs, or in products. It includes existing and potential anthropogenic enhancement of biological or geochemical sinks and direct air capture and storage but excludes
natural CO2 uptake not directly caused by human activities (IPCC). BECCUS: Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (CCUS)
15 Sources: IPCC (2018) “SR1.5 – Summary for Policymakers” and “Chapter 2” – figure 2.5
CCUS must be Global energy sector CO2 emissions reductions by measure in the sustainable
deployed with development scenario relative to the stated policies scenario, 2019–70
(GtCO2 per year)
other solutions to
decarbonize the % contribution CCUS can play four crucial roles in
energy sector in emission
reduction
the transition to net zero:
Annual reductions (2070) ▪ Tackling emissions from existing
energy assets
▪ As a solution for sectors where
emissions are hard to abate
▪ As a platform for clean hydrogen
production
▪ Removing carbon from the
atmosphere to balance emissions
that cannot be directly abated or
The IEA’s sustainable avoided
development scenario, in
which global CO2 emissions 15% The CCUS contribution to emissions
from the energy sector fall to reductions grows over time as the
zero on a net basis by 2070 technology progresses, costs fall, and
worldwide compared with the other cheaper abatement options are
stated policies scenario, exhausted.
which considers current IEA forecasts stocking more than 2
national energy- and climate- GtCO2 per year until 2060 to follow the
related policy commitments Paris agreement.
CCUS scenarios and sectoral
applications
Note: CCUS will contribute to the top three drivers of emission reduction, contributing 19% of the CO2 emission reduction in 2070.
16 Sources: IEA (2020) “CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions”; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Ongoing CCUS Potential CO2 capture capacity of the current announced projects
developments are Total capture capacity since 1972 (MtCO2 per year)
far below the 800
800
400
300
200
100 220
0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2030
Years Total CCUS capacity Pipeline of projects Gap to IEA SDS objective
Even if the CO2 capture capacity is expected to deeply increase from 2022-2023, the global capacity
remains quite low compared to IEA objectives and the sustainable development scenario (SDS). The SDS,
been created by the IEA, is a roadmap with guidance and advices in order to follow the energy transition
and to respect the Paris Agreement, to keep temperatures well below 2°C above pre-industrial era. The
capture capacity of the current pipeline of projects need needs to be multiplied by ~4-fold by 2030.
world’s CO2
Agriculture,
emissions 12.7 (24%) forestry, and other
land use1
2
7.4 (14%) Transportation
– Use of CCUS for the
production of synthetic
fuels and hydrogen
Industry
11.1 (21%) (including steel, cement, and
fuels
refining)
– Use of decarbonized
3.8 (7%) Electricity and heat electricity and heat
Oil and gas, others leveraging CCUS
Enhanced Coal-Bed-
CCUS scenarios and sectoral Methane Recovery
applications
20 (1): EOR - Enhanced Oil Recovery; “EOR – with storage” allows to inject larger quantities of CO2 compared to traditional EOR
CCUS is expected
to be developed CO2 capture forecasts for 2030, 2050, and 2070 CO2 utilization forecasts for 2030, 2050, and 2070
for multiple
industries and GtCO2 captured per annum
mainly combined 13 12,6
Industry CO2 emissions stored
with storage 12
Power generation
6%
5%
Iron and steel
Chemicals CO2 emissions reused
solutions 11 Other fuel transformation 2,7
11% Cement
10 BECS
8% Coal
9
In 2050, industry will remain 9% Natural gas
the first sector of CO2 8 4,1
emissions captured, with the 7 6,3 15% Biomass
cement industry accounting 6 6%
for half of these emissions. 7% 92%
2,0
5 19%
However, in 2070, among 2,9 23%
Other fuel
the 12.5 Gt of captured CO2, 4 14%
transformation
a third come from power 1,9 10%
3
6%
generation (and 50% of it 93%
2 Bioenergy +
from biomass). Even if 0,9 1,6 25%
2,9 21%
CCS
CCUS utilization increases 1
0,8 13% Direct air
through the years, the 0 2%
capture
captured CO2 is most likely 2030 2030 2050 2050 2070 2070
to be stored rather than 77% 8%
23% 7%
being used. 0,1 0
0,2 0,2 0,1
0,2 2030 2050 2070
0,0
0,5 0,0
CCUS scenarios and sectoral 0,2 0,2 0,3
applications
21 Sources: IEA CCUS in clean energy transition (2020); Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
The development Unfavorable economics for industries Challenging scale-up
of CCUS is The development of CCUS requires important CCUS technologies are mature, and CCUS
generally upfront investments that significantly impact the facilities have been operating for decades in
profitability of industries (not compensated by certain industries but at relatively small scale
perceived to be sufficient carbon pricing mechanisms). At (pilot). CO2 storage capacities are huge in many
challenging present, CO2 is most valuable for oil and gas geographies, but the deployment of CCUS at
because of four (EOR), but its application to other heavy industrial scale lacks dedicated infrastructure
industries (such as cement and steel) is more and clear incentive mechanisms.
main obstacles challenging. Hence, CCUS development is an
economic challenge in many industries. Reaching the industrial scale requires
developing clusters (group of emitters) to reach
However, the global cost to achieve +2°C could scale that is sufficient to support the
more than double without CCUS deployment, development of massive infrastructures and
according to the IPCC. make the case for geological storage.
23 Sedlarova, Lenka
CCUS refers to a CCUS Value Chain
set of CO2 capture, CO2 Sources Separation & Capture Transport Utilization & Storage
transport,
utilization, and Oil & Gas
Gas
Pipeline Storage
sweetening
storage – Natural gas processing CO2/CH4 separation – Dedicated
technologies – Oil refining geological storage
– Enhanced Oil
combined to abate Post- Recovery (EOR)
Chemicals – Enhanced coal-
CO2 emissions combustion Ships
bed methane
– Fertilisers production CO2/N2 separation recovery (ECBM)
– Biomass-to-liquid
– Enhanced
geothermal
Heavy industry Pre-
combustion Utilization
Non-Exhaustive
– Cement production Gasification or reformers Railcars
– Iron & Steel production CO2/H2 separation Biological
– Greenhouse
Power – Algae growth
generation Oxy-fuel
combustion Mineralisation
– Coal, Oil, Gas
– Biomass O2/N2 air separation unit Chemical
Oxy-fuels boiler Trucks – Baking soda
Blue Hydrogen – Bioethanol
– Carbon fibres
– Steam methane – Ethanol
reforming – Fertilisers
– Liquid fuel
Value chain overview Not covered in this FactBook – CO2 methanation
Non-Conversion
24 Sources: Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis, Global CCUS Institute (2019)
– Food processing
The separation of
CO2 molecules
contained in Carbon separation technologies
exhausting gases
can be realized
through four main
technologies (1/3)
through four main Adsorption refers to the accumulation of CO2 on the surface of a sorbent, often very porous and
technologies (2/3) with a large surface-to-weight ratio. Sorbent-based CO2 capture involves the chemical or physical
Adsorption adsorption of CO2 using a solid sorbent. Like solvents, solid sorbents are usually regenerated by
increasing temperature or reducing pressure to release the captured CO2. Solid sorbents may have
lower regeneration energies compared with solvents because of lower heat capacities.
Gas separation using membranes is a pressure-driven process. Because of the low pressure of flue
gases, driving force is too low for membrane processes in post-combustion (low pressure and low CO2
Key CO2 separation concentration). Membrane processes offer increased separation performances when CO 2 concentration
technologies Membranes in the feed mixture increases. Membrane designs include metallic, polymeric, or ceramic materials
capable of operating at elevated temperatures and that use a variety of chemical and/or physical
mechanisms for separation.
Liquid or The Liquid or supercritical CO2 method uses low temperatures for condensation, separation, and
purification of CO2 from flue gases. (The freezing point of pure CO2 is 195.5 K at atmospheric pressure.)
supercritical CO2 It enables direct production of liquid CO2 that can be stored or sequestered at high pressure via liquid
(Inherent CO2 capture) pumping.
Novel technologies (experimental stage) for post-combustion capture include hybrid systems that
combine attributes from multiple technologies (such as solvents and membranes) as well as alternative
Novel technologies and processes such as electrochemical pumps and chemical looping. Electrochemical
pumps include carbonate and proton conductors and molten carbonate and aqueous alkaline fuel cells
technologies have been studied for use in separating CO2 from both air and flue gases. Research is conducted on
Separation technologies
biological fixation (from natural photosynthesis) and mineral carbonation to transform CO2 into carbon
material.
26
Sources: “Carbon Dioxide Separation from Flue Gases: A Technological Review Emphasizing Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions” (2014); Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
The separation of Amine-based absorption technology Pressure swing absorption technology
CO2 molecules
contained in
exhausting gases
can be realized
through four main
technologies (3/3)
Separation technologies
– Low energy
consumption
– Suitable for flue
Flue gas properties (mainly – Lower cost of CO2 – Low adsorption capacities – Pilot gases from post-
concentration of CO2, Adsorption capture (in flue gases conditions) combustion
temperature, and pressure) – Suitable for separating
capture
are the most effective factors CO2 from dilute stream
for selecting a suitable – Not suitable for
process for CO2 separation. Membrane post-combustion
– Require high energy for – Pilot / Industrial capture
– Continuous, steady-
separation state technology
post-combustion CO2
capture – Works with oxy-
fuel combustion
capture
28 Sources: “Carbon Dioxide Separation from Flue Gases: A Technological Review Emphasizing Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions” (2014); Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Several CO2- Technology Separation technology Technological maturity
separation Normal Commercial
Service
Allam-Fetvedt Cycle
Inherent CO2 capture
Capture technologies Calix Advanced Calciner
Capture technologies
30 Note: SPC is supercritical pulverized coal; NGCC is natural gas combined cycle.
Source: GCCSI (2021), Technology Readiness and Costs of CCS; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
CO2 capture Oxy-combustion
systems may be Thermal power plant burners are modified to burn fuel with
nearly pure oxygen instead of air. As a result, concentration in
classified into four N2 flue gas varies between 80% to 98% CO2, mixed with vapor,
resulting in a stream almost ready to transport. Additional drying,
categories (2/2) Air Air separation
(cryogenic) purification and compression are also needed before transportation.
O2 Burning fuel in pure oxygen instead of air produces a pure stream
Flue of CO2 and avoids the difficult process of CO2/N2 separation.
Coal, oil, Combustion gas Another benefit is greater energy efficiency than in post-
gas, CO2 combustion. The main hurdle is the very large stream of oxygen
(power and CO2
biomass separation required, and extremely high temperature reached in the oxy-
heat)
combustion chamber. Another important issue is the insufficient
purity of CO2 in flue gases, which was problematic in early
Flue gas mainly consists of CO2 and H2O demonstration projects.
which are separated by condensing water
Pressure swing
Main separation Cryogenic air Membranes
technology Amine solvents adsorption
separation units solvents
sorbents
– Solvents – Solvents – Air separation – Solvent
– Sorbents – Sorbents units – Membranes
– Flue gas – Membranes – Chemical
recirculation – Process looping-
– Carbonate integration – Direct oxy-
Main axis of R&D
Looping – Hydrogen combustion
– Cryogenic CO2 turbine – turbine
capture – Air separation – Oxyfuel retrofit
– Fuel cells CO2 units – Allam-Fetvedt
capture Cycle
Capture technologies
0
Chemicals Power Heavy Hydrogen Oil and Clusters Total
generation industries gas
Oxy-combustion
Pre-combustion
Post-combustion
Capture technologies
Notes: Some facilities can do several CO2 capture methods, such as both pre- and post-combustion.
35 Sources: GCCS and NREL databases; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Most of separation Maturity curve of CO2 separation and capture technologies
technologies are
still in the
demonstration Oxy-fuelling
Distances: traveling
Distances: long Distance: long Distances: over long
short distances
distances distances distances
Transformation for
Transformation for Transformation for Transformation for
transport:
transport: transport: transport:
liquefaction1
Compression under liquefaction1 Liquefaction1
the form of
supercritical fluid
– CO2 transportation is already well-established and poses no greater risk than natural gas transportation, with compression of CO2 being a
mature technology
– 50 CO2 pipelines, with a combined length of 6,600 km, already operate in North America, transporting more than 60 MtCO2 annually, mostly
for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) purposes. The technical challenges presented by CO2 pipelines differ from those associated with natural gas
and include impurities in the CO2 stream and managing corrosion and pressure (both much higher than in natural gas pipelines).
– Maritime transportation of CO2 is already in use at a small scale in the drinks industry and could be a promising and flexible transport option
for the bulk transportation of CO2 in CCUS, in large vessels similar to those used to transport liquefied petroleum gas.
Transport technologies
– Truck and rail transport are unlikely to play a significant role in CCUS deployment.
1Requires the construction of a liquefaction facility at the point of origin
37 Sources: The Costs of CO2 Transport: Post-Demonstration CCUS in the EU, Zero Emission Platform 2011; The Costs of CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage, 2021; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Transport Maturity curve of CO2 transport and storage technologies
technologies are
mainly already
used at a large-
Truck, rail
Pipeline
Pipelines
Transport technology
First-of-a-kind commercial projects
Lab work Bench scale Pilot scale with ongoing optimization Widely deployed
Maturity
Transport technologies
*Technology Readiness Level
38 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute ; IEA - ETP Clean Energy Technology Guide (2020)
The Storage and utilization of CO2
Main storage risks are generally related to leaks
characteristics of CO2 storage from wells (completions) or formation sealing
CO2 geological
storage vary by Geological Depleted oil and gas
storage reservoir
Deep saline aquifer Coal bed methane Basalt /ultra-mafic rocks
type of reservoir Underpressurized Vast open structures Coal beds display Basalt and ultra-mafic
porous reservoirs where CO2 can spread fractures that greatly rocks with high porosity and
can store CO2 in slowly upward are limited improve permeability permeability provide ideal
structural or by the cap rock. CO2 is of the media and allow medium for CO2 injection
stratigraphic traps hydrodynamically trapped CO2 to migrate and storage. Injected CO2
Reservoir
description without risking over- in micro pores during throughout the coal reacts with in situ glass and
pressurization. migration. seams and be alteration minerals and
physically adsorbed by replicates natural
coal micro pores. crystallization in pore spaces
in a few years (for example,
calcite).
Very localized Seismic monitoring of the CO2 replaces methane Pilots consisted of injecting
storage is easy to slow spread of CO2, results adsorbed in coal micro water and CO2 separately
monitor and proven in a diffuse storage. The pores, allowing for with proportions insuring the
Monitoring leakproof. additional risk of over- enhanced coal bed complete dissolution of
and safety pressurization can be methane recovery. CO2 in water at depth.
mitigated by careful
monitoring.
CO2 utilization:
– Oil and gas industry for enhanced oil recovery or enhanced coal bed methane recovery
– Chemical industry for food processing, bio-ethanol, fertilizers
Storage and utilization technologies – Biological for green houses
– Mineralization
39 Sources: Kearney Energy Transition Institute
Captured CO2 can Utilization and storage options for CO2
be stored in
appropriate
geological
formations or
used in the
industry
CO2–EOR
Injection of CO2 into nearly depleted petroleum reservoirs acts as a solvent that
reduces the viscosity of the oil and allows enhanced oil recovery of the reservoir.
Once the field is depleted, it can be utilized to store additional CO2 permanently.
Algae fixation
The engineered capture of CO2 by photosynthesis, where algae are fed with a pure
stream of CO2 to convert them directly into liquid fuels is still in the early stage of
demonstration.
Mineralization – 1 ton CO2 injected leads to the recovery of an additional 2–3 barrels of oil.
CO2 is stored in the form of limestone or other calcium carbonates and integrated
within concretes and cements. – CO2 is recycled in the reservoir as part the injected volumes when they go back to the
surface with the produced oil
CO2–EGS: this alternative to enhanced geothermal systems uses CO2 as working
fluid in place of water.
41 Sources: IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Program (IEA GHG), “CO2 Storage in Depleted Oilfields: Global Application Criteria for Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery”; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
In Enhanced Principle of ECBM ECBM schematic
coalbed methane – When CO2 is injected in the coalbed layer, both the
gaseous and adsorbed-state of CH4 and CO2 will exist
(ECBM) process, in equilibrium. However, since the coalbed has a
CO2 is injected much stronger adsorption capacity for CO2 than CH4,
the injection of CO2 will make the adsorbed CH4
into a CBM well to desorb, thus enhancing the CH4 recovery
enhance recovery – A proportion of the injected CO2 will be stored in the
coalbed formation, making it difficult for it to leak to
of methane whilst the surface
storing CO2 – The successful injection of CO2 to enhance coalbed
methane recovery has been proved by many
underground experimental and numerical studies but large-scale
commercial plants are absent
Compared to other storage
media, it is much more
difficult to provide estimates
of the realistic (or matched)
global storage capacity Advantages Challenges
potential due to the
complexity of the CO2-coal- – Methane recovery from existing wells can be In theory, CO2 is highly suited for injections in coal
methane-water system increased from below 50% to over 95% seams, but in practice, the situation is more complex
– CO2 can be stored in the methane-depleted coal – As the CO2 adsorbs to the coal surface it causes
seams localized swelling and reduced permeability–issues
resulting in lower or even halted production rates
– Revenue could be obtained from both increased gas
production as well as from greenhouse gas funding – Potential solutions include alternating CO2 injection
mechanisms with N2, by using flue gas, by allowing resting periods
between injections, or by performing different drilling
approaches, but all these options add complexity and
Storage & Utilization Technologies cost to a project making it economically unviable
– Lack of proper monitoring, verification, and accounting
(MVA) guidelines and technologies
42 Source: IEA CLEAN COAL CENTRE (2015) “Potential for enhanced coalbed methane recovery”, Press search, Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Only a few new Maturity curve of CO2 utilization technologies
CO2 applications
are in
development
Mineralization
Utilization technologies
Power generation
Fuel production Urea
Cement industry
First-of-a-kind commercial projects
Lab work Bench scale Pilot scale with ongoing optimization Widely deployed
Maturity
43 Sources: IEA–ETP Clean Energy Technology Guide (2020); Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
3. Global overview of
CCUS development
44
About 60(1) CCUS Overview of global CCUS projects
projects were Operational and
operational in (or Total In Development
projects projects
advanced
220 60
development 200 55
phase) in 2020 180
Operational projects 50
Project in development
160 45
Total developed projects
140 40
Cancelled and completed projects
35
120
30
100
25
80
20
60
15
40
10
20
5
Since about 2000, the 0
number of CCUS projects in 0
-20
operation have taken off, but -5
about 60% of developed -40 -10
projects have been -60 -15
terminated or cancelled. -80 -20
-100 -25
1972 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025f 2030f
Cancelled and
Completed
projects
Global perspective
(1) All types of projects included: pilot, demonstration, single-industry application, and clusters (CO2 captured from multiple sources).
45 Sources: GCCSI and NREL databases, IEA (2020); Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Sleipner In Salah Air Products SMR Coffeyville North West Redwater
– Statoil – BP, Sonatrach, Partnership
project – Coffeyville Resources
Most integrated – Gas processing
– 0.85 MtCO2 per year
Statoil
– Onshore
– Air product
– Hydrogen production
Nitrogen Fertilizers
– Alberta Carbon Trunk
Line (ACTL)
LLC – Oil refining
projects in – Carbon tax – Gas processing
– 1 MtCO2 per year
– 1 MtCO2 per year
– EOR revenues and
– Fertilizer
– 1 MtCO2 per year
– 1.4 MtCO2 per year
– EOR revenues
(injection – public grant
operation are currently suspended)
– CERs
– EOR revenues
associated with
the oil and gas Great Plains Synfuel Lost Cabin
– Conoco Phillips
Lula Oil Field
– Petrobras
Abu Dhabi CCUS Nutrien CO2 Stream
– Alberta Carbon Trunk
– Dakota gasification, – Abu Dhabi National
industry Cenovus, Apache
– Synthetic natural gas
– Gas processing
– 0.9 MtCO2 per year
– Gas process.
– 0.7 MtCO2 per year
Oil Company
– Iron and steel
Line (ACTL)
– Fertilizer production
– EOR revenues – EOR revenues – 0,8 MtCO2 per year – 0.6 MtCO2 per year
– 3 MtCO2 per year – EOR revenues
– EOR revenues
– EOR revenues
Geographic focus Notes: Operational: currently running projects; in development: early development, advanced development, or in construction projects; terminated: pilots projects successfully over; cancelled: expected projects
cancelled. Both facilities and hubs are taking into account. This chart bar has been made in median of CO2 capture capacity to avoid bias generated from few huge CCUS clusters (for example, the 200 Mtpa CCUS
cluster to be developed in the Gulf of Mexico resulting from the aggregation of several small hubs).
Sources: GCCSI database, IEA (2020); Our World in Data: CO2 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions (2020); Full-Scale Feed Study for Retrofitting the Prairie State Generating Station with an 816 MWe Capture Plant
50 Using Mitsubishi Heavy Industries of America Post-Combustion CO2 Capture Technology; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
North America is Leading CCUS countries in 2020
Capture Capacity Number of operational
Type of storage
North America is by far the current main place for CCUS projects. 60% of the current operational projects
take place either in Canada or in the United States, but they mostly represent 84% of the current
operational worldwide capture capacity of CO2 emissions. By adding Brazil in the stats, the last number
increases to ~90%. Asia have currently 7 ongoing projects (including 6 in China) for a total capture
capacity of 2,6 Mtpa. 4 projects are operational in Europe which capture almost 2,8 MtCO2 per year.
Finally, there are 3 operational projects in Middle East with a total capture capacity of 2,1 Mtpa.
Geographic focus Even if these numbers are quite low, many more projects and clusters are in development, mostly in
Europe, North America. These projects are starting in the next few years.
Note : only countries with a capture capacity greater than 0,5 Mtpa are reported
51 Source : Kearney Energy Transition Institute based on GCCSI and NETL databases
GCC countries GCC countries have huge potential for CCUS projects in GCC countries in
have great CCUS 2020 3
potential and 2
ambition in CCUS – Up to 30 Gt of CO2 can be stored
underground in the region. 1
development
– The Middle East emits 1.9 GtCO2 in 2018
Saudi Arabia UAE Qatar
(~5% of global emissions).
Advanced development Operational
– The Middle East benefits from large
geological storage capacities, possibly linked
to EOR opportunities. – Three CCUS projects are in application: two in
natural gas processing and one in iron and steel
production capturing a total of 2.1 Mtpa of CO2.
3.7
Geographic focus
Sources: GCCSI Global Status Report 2020, Our World in Data Annual CO2 emissions (2018);
52 Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis 2020 2025 2040
4. Outlook of carbon
capture development
per sector
53 Image by rrinch01
Oil & Gas and Size of carbon capture projects per industry application
Power Generation (1972-2030, max capacity in Mtpa)
The graph represent the main CCUS projects developed
and sectors have and planned to be developed, since the first CCCS
been leading the CCUS project
capacity
project (Terrell Natural Gas Processing Plant ) was
developed in 1972 in the United States.
CCUS 55 Clusters are CCUS projects that capture CO2
development emissions from at least two different types of industrial
sources, by opposition to single industry projects (Heavy
Industries, Oil & Gas, Chemicals, Hydrogen and Power
50 Generation) that capture CO2 emissions from a single
type of industry. Hydrogen has been treated as a
specific entity but could in fact be included in the Oil &
Gas category, as Hydrogen projects results from the
processing of fossil fuels, generally operated by the Oil
15
& Gas industry.
The Oil & Gas industry developed the first CCUS
project in 1972, capturing CO2 from natural gas
10 processing and reinjecting it in petroleum reservoir for
Enhanced Oil Recovery.
The emerging blue hydrogen industry is accelerating
5
the need for CCS projects, with 3 dedicated operating
projects. Although Hydrogen projects are treated as a
specific industry, they also rely to the Oil & Gas industry
as they generally result from the processing of natura
0 gas.
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 The power generation started developing CCUS
project in 1976 (in the US) capturing CO2 from coal-fired
Operation year
boiler and was used for soda production.
Clusters Hydrogen
Heavy Industries Oil & Gas
Sectoral overview Chemicals Power Gen.
: currently running projects; 2In development : “early development”, “advanced
1Operational
Sectoral overview
Note: Large projects refers to integrated CCUS projects larger than 0.6 MtCO2 per year.
57 Sources: IEA and GCCSI reports; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Global CCUS Number of operational CCUS projects Total capture operational CCUS projects
capacity is Number of large-scale projects Capture capacity (Mtpa)
expected to more 150 200
than double in the +70% +230%
next decade, with 150
the emergence of 100
larger projects and
100
clusters
50
50
0 0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025f 2030f 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025f 2030f
Power plants with CCUS is the sector with more large-scale facilities than any other industries (17 new
projects between 2015 and 2030). Those facilities are expected to capture a total of 64 MtCO2 per year.
The chemicals industry plans to develop eight new large-scale facilities by 2030, capturing almost 8 MtCO2
(on average 1 MtCO2 per project).
In contrast, the blue hydrogen industry is expected to increase its capture capacity from 2 to 46 MtCO2 (on
Sectoral overview average 5 MtCO2 per project).
Note: CCUS clusters projects (serving multiple industries and applications) have been included for the realization of the graphs.
58 Sources: GCCS, NETL; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
CCUS facilities Context Challenges
have been ▪ Natural gas deposits can contain large amounts of CO2 – ▪ Location dependency i.e. a large-scale gas processing
even up to 90% – which, for technical reasons, must be
operating for removed before the gas is sold or processed for liquefied
plant requires near-by gas fields (for gas supply) and CO2
transport infrastructure (for ease in utilization ex: pipeline
decades in natural natural gas (LNG) production connectivity to EOR storage sites)
▪ Till 2000s, almost all the CO2 captured globally at large- ▪ Natural gas processing requires very high capture rates to
gas processing scale facilities was captured from gas processing plants, but meet product gas specifications for pipeline transport
now make up about two-third of the total typically less than 0.5% CO2 by volume) and liquefaction
sector ▪ Relatively mature application area where CO2 can be (0.005% CO2 by volume)
captured at relatively low cost and high concentration.
Captured CO2 can be reinjected into geological formations
or used for EOR.
Physical separation is currently the main capture method used in natural gas processing with most of the large-scale gas processing
plants using proprietary solvents
59 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020, Press search,Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Shute Creek Gas Plant, La Barge, Wyoming Century Plant, Pecos County, Texas
Globally, the
biggest
commercial CCUS
plants in operation
are in natural gas
processing sector
CO2 Source Natural gas stream from fields in Wyoming, CO2 Source Nearby fields in the Val Verde sub-basin
including LaBarge field
Separation Physical separation using solvents
Separation Cryogenic Separation
Transport 100-mile pipeline
Transport 142-mile pipeline
Oil Field EOR Permian Basin Fields
Oil Field EOR A series of fields in Wyoming, Colorado, and Storage Site
Storage Site Montana
Key Highlights The largest single industrial source CO2
Key Highlights A concentrated acid gas stream of about 60% capture facility in North America. Since 2010,
hydrogen sulfide and 40% CO2 is injected into the plant has supplied CO2 for enhanced oil
a section of the same reservoir from which it recovery operations via a 100-mile pipeline
was produced, safely disposing of the linking the facility to the CO2 distribution hub in
hydrogen sulfide and CO2. In 2008, an Denver City, Texas. The plant was designed in
expansion of the CO2 capture facility brought 2008 with a maximum capacity of 5 Mtpa and
the capacity up to 7 Mtpa. brought online in 2010. An expansion in 2012
Natural Gas Processing increased capacity to 8.4 Mtpa
Source: MEETING THE DUAL CHALLENGE, APPENDIX C – CCUS PROJECT SUMMARIES,
60 National Petroleum Council report (2020), Carbonbrief.org, Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Natural gas Natural Gas Processing combined with CCUS projects
processing Non-exhaustive
Bell Creek
In Salah
Century Plant Petrobras Santos Basin
Sleipner
Terrell
Gorgon
Snøhvit
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Operational Year
Natural Gas Processing = 1 Mtpa Capture Capacity
Physical In an integrated gasification combined-cycle coal power plant, coal is gasified into a synthesis gas, consisting of hydrogen and
carbon monoxide. The synthesis gas is shifted in a water-gas-shift (WGS) reaction to produce additional hydrogen and convert the
CCUS can allow existing absorption carbon monoxide into carbon dioxide. The carbon dioxide is then captured from the shifted syngas using physical separation
plants to continue operations processes, such as adsorption, and afterward, the remaining hydrogen (H2) is combusted in a combined-cycle gas turbine that
generates power.
after CO2 capture retrofits
Oxy-fueling An oxy-fueling coal-fired power plant involves the combustion of coal using nearly pure oxygen instead of air, resulting in a flue gas
and lifetime extensions composed of CO2 and water vapor, which can be dehydrated to obtain a high-purity CO2 stream.
Membranes At a coal-fired power plant with post-combustion capture using chemical absorption, the carbon dioxide is separated from the
combustion flue gas by membranes, which are polymeric films and act as a selective barrier able to separate CO 2 from a stream.
polymeric
Chemical looping Chemical looping systems use small particles of metal (such as iron and manganese) to bind oxygen from the air to form a metal
oxide (first reactor), which is then transported to the other reactor where it releases the oxygen for the combustion of the fuel, thus
combustion generating energy and a concentrated stream of CO2 (second reactor).
Supercritical CO2 While in conventional power plants flue gas or steam is used to drive one or multiple turbines, in supercritical CO 2 (sCO2) cycles
supercritical CO2 is used (CO2 at or above its critical temperature and pressure, where liquid and gaseous phases of CO 2 are
Power Generation cycle indistinguishable). sCO2 cycles offer many potential advantages, including higher plant efficiencies, lower air pollutant emissions,
lower investment costs and high CO2 capture rates.
62 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020; Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Overview of key carbon capture technologies in power generation
Not exhaustive
Chemical Chemical Physical
Oxy-fueling Membranes Chemical looping
absorption is the absorption absorption
Stage Post combustion Pre combustion Oxy-fuel Post combustion Oxy-fuel
most mature
carbon capture Capture rates ~90% ~90% 90% 80–90% Up to 98%
Key countries United States, China, Japan, Australia, Spain Australia, Brazil, NA
Canada, United United States Norway, United
Kingdom, Japan States
Key projects – Boundary Dam – In Japan, CO2 – Coal-fired – Membrane- – No major large-
Carbon Capture capture tests Callide power based scale
Project, Canada started end of station (30 MW) separation of demonstration
– Petra Nova 2019 at an in Australia carbon dioxide projects but
Carbon Capture, oxygen-blown – Circulating has been around 40 pilot
United States, IGCC power fluidized bed performed at plants with
largest post- plant (160 MW) coal-fired boiler demonstration varying
combustion – In Belgium, a 20 (30 MW) in and large scale capacities (0.2
carbon capture MW pilot plant Spain (respectively in kW to 3 MW)
system installed tested pre- (Compostilla Australia and have operated
on a coal-fired combustion project) Brazil ) for chemical looping
power plant (can capture at the natural gas combustion
– Schwarze
capture up to 1.4 253-MW processing. under various
Pumpe lignite
MtCO2 per year Buggenum Moreover, the conditions
power station
for use in IGCC power Polaris relevant for
(30 MW) in
enhanced oil plant between membrane is combustion of
Germany
recovery and May 2011 and available coal, gas, oil,
received $163 October 2013 commercially for and biomass
million (2008) CO2
Power Generation Technology readiness level
High Low
63 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020; Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Carbonate fuel cell Conventional gas power plant Gas power plant with molten carbonate fuel cell capture
is a promising with CCS unit
technology
10%
innovation in the 0.3 CO2 + 6 H2O + air
10%
CO2
power sector that 90%
storage
produces MCFC
2.7 CO2
Additional
4CO2 + 8H2O + air 3CO2 + 6H2O + air
electricity while power output
increasing the Power Power
concentration of plant plant 4H2 + CO2 90% CO2
storage
CO2 in the flue gas 3.7 CO2 + 4H2O
Higher CO2
4CH4 + 4O2 + air 3CH4 + 3O2 + air CH4 + 2H2O concentration
CO2 is concentrated by a Power output: 400MW for a 500MW plant Power output: +50% to + 200% (depending on CO2 capture intensity)
fuel cell process as a side Estimated carbon intensity: ~60g CO2/kWh Estimated carbon intensity:~40 to 25g CO2/kWh
reaction of power
generation. For example, a • A conventional combined cycle gas • Conventional cycle gas turbine produces power from methane combustion
500 MW plant would turbine (CCGT) produces power • Exhausted gases are cleaned from 90% of their CO2 by the molten
produce an additional 120 from methane combustion. carbonate fuel cell, which is powered by methane (reformed into hydrogen).
MW using MCFC instead of • About 20% of the power generated is • The molten carbonate fuel cell produces additional decarbonized power
consuming 50 MW for consumed by the CO2 storage during the electrochemical reaction of capturing CO2.
conventional capture. process (90% CO2 captured).
• Exhausted gases release CO2 in the
atmosphere.
Power Generation Note: Cost analysis for SureSource technology in a 550MW coal-fired plant equippedforty90% CCUS
Sources: CCUS Talks: The Technology Cost Curve, GCCSI, 2020; Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell Performance for CO2 Capture from Natural Gas Combined-Cycle Flue Gas, Journal of the Electrochemical Society,
2020; Exxon Mobil Advanced Carbonate Fuel Cell Technology in Carbon Capture and Storage, FuelCell Energy: Carbon Capture with Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell Power Plants, 2017; Kearney Energy Transition
64 Institute analysis
Chemical Overview Two-stage flash model
innovations are – U.S. DOE’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
(PNNL) – along with partners from Fluor Corp and the
helping reduce Electric Power Research Institute – are using the Clean gas
cost in extracting unique properties of a solvent, known as EEMPA (N- CO2
(2-ethoxyethyl)-3-morpholinopropan-1-amine), that
CO2 from post- allow it to sidestep the energetically expensive Trim Cooler
demands incurred by traditional solvents
combustion gas.
– The method demonstrated 90% CO2 capture and
release from power plant flue gas for $47.10 per Flue gas
Cross
metric ton (vs $58.30 per metric ton for current Absorber Exchanger HP Flash LP Flash
commercial solutions)
Rich solvent
– Pivoting to plastic equipment (from steel) further
optimizes the costs (by $5 per metric ton)
PNNL team has also
identified the ideal rock and
process (time efficient) of
injecting captured carbon in
it to transform it into a Advantages R&D roadmap
carbonate rock i.e.
mineralisation – Reduces costs by 19% and requires 17% less – In 2022, PNNL team will produce 4,000 gallons of
energy compared to commercial counterparts EEMPA to test in the facilities (0.5-megawatt scale) at
(aqueous amines-based absorption solutions) the National Carbon Capture Center in Shelby County,
Since this process Alabama, in a project led by the Electric Power
transforms CO2 from gas to – Captures carbon without high water content, so it's
Research Institute in partnership with Research
solid state, it is stable for water-lean
Triangle Institute International
geologic time and would not – Much less viscous than other water-lean solvents
hence no diluent needed – Key research areas would be to test increasing scales
cause earthquakes and further refine the solvent's chemistry, with the aim
– Low solvent volatility to reach the U.S. DOE’s goal of deploying
– Can be used in existing infrastructure commercially available technology that can capture
Power Generation CO2 at a cost of $30 per metric ton by 2035
Source: DOE/PACIFIC NORTHWEST NATIONAL LABORATORY, Techno-economic comparison of various process configurations for post-combustion carbon capture using a single-component water-lean solvent
65 (Jian et all 2021), Press search, Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
CCUS use has Power generation combined with CCUS projects
been introduced to Non-exhaustive
retrofit biomass,
natural gas, or Gerald Gentleman Station
coal-fired power
plants and abate
their CO2
emissions ZEROS Project Tundra
Boundary Dam
Power Generation
Note: some Pilots and Demonstration CCS facilities are not included in this graph when their capture capacity remains unknown
66 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, WEO (2020), International Energy Agency (2019), The Future of Hydrogen, Seizing today’s opportunities, GCCSI Global Status of CCUS 2019
The first Saskpower Boundary Dam CCUS Project
large-scale CCUS After more than six years in planning, CCUS
power plant began for power generation has finally become
a reality with the opening of the SaskPower
operation in Boundary Dam, the first large-scale CCUS
power plant in operation.
October 2014 in
After initial start-up hiccups, the plant
Canada, marking a appears to be running “exceptionally well” as
landmark in clean of Q1 2016, and has captured 0.75MtCO2
since operational start-up
fossil-fuel power 1 MtCO2 year Capture Plant This project illustrates the substantial
generation upfront costs required by each large
integrated CCUS project: $640 million in
pure capture costs excluding pipelines (~$20
Project characteristics Details million for 100 km), storage site
characterization and storage facilities (up to
Power capacity with CCUS 115 MW, 90% CO2 emissions captured, a dozen injection wells, depending on
1 MtCO2 per year (more than 4 Mt CO2
cumulatively has been captured by March 2021,
reservoir quality).
including 0.73 Mt in 2020) Although of commercial-scale, Boundary
Dam is not a commercial initiative:
Total capital costs $1.42 billion (8% over budget)
SaskPower, a state-owned utility monopoly,
Carbon capture unit cost $620 million has received public grants and increased
electricity tariffs to finance the project.
Government funding $314 million
Other facilitating factors for SaskPower
Capture type Post-combustion by Cansolv (Shell) include low-cost local fuel (lignite), CO2 sales
for EOR, and the absence of transport costs,
Transport type Pipeline (built and owned by Cenovus) as Cenovus is building and owns the related
transport pipeline.
Storage type EOR (sold to Cenovus)
Saskpower CEO estimates the LCOE for
Planning Plan start: February 2008 Boundary Dam to be similar to that of a new-
Power Generation Construction start: April 2011 build gas combined cycle plant in the region.
Operation status: Fully operational in Q1-2016
67 Sources: BNEF “Operational CCUS in Canada: Blueprint or One-Hit Wonder?” (2014); picture credit: adapted from SaskpowerCCUS.com; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Post-combustion Caledonia Clean Energy Project
capture in a
natural gas-fired Country: United Kingdom
power plant for Operational date: 2025
low carbon Capex: around £50M for pre-feed
electricity
CO2 savings: 3.1 Mt year
Project leaders: Summit Power Group
68 Sources: Steelanol, LanzaTech, Cordis Europa; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
CCUS combined Drax BECCUS Plant
with bioenergy at
Drax biomass- Country: United Kingdom
fired power plant Operational date : 2027
to reach negative Investment : £400,000 for the pilot project
emissions CO2 savings: Currently 300 kg per day
Project leaders: Drax Group and Mitsubishi
Heavy Industries Group
Drax Group wants to add Government funding Project is concerned by a £800 millions envelope of subsidies of the UK government.
carbon capture facilities to its
CO2 capture capacity Pilot: 300 kg per day, aim of 8 MtCO2 per year by 2024 and 50 MtCO2 per year by 2050
current biomass power plant
in North Yorkshire. The Business type Biomass power with carbon capture
power plant would become Planning 2018–2019: first pilot
one of the first bioenergy 2020: second pilot
carbon capture and storage 2020–2027: development of CCUS-technology on one biomass unit
(BECCUS) facilities in 2030: installation on a second unit
Europe. The project is part of 2035: installation on all four units
Zero Carbon Humber. Capture type Post-combustion
Power Generation Utilisation type Geological storage + works to turn CO2 into fish food
10.000
600
469
400
5.000 10.170
-49%
200
2.060
740 1.050
48
12 1.320 560
0 0 490
Coal Natural Solar PV Wind CO2 emissions CO2 emissions CO2 emissions
gas with 90% CCS with 99% CCS
Emision intensity Natural gas Coal
Emission intensity with 90% CCS
Emission intensity with 99% CCUS
Power Generation
1. For conventional subcritical power plant units
2. 90% CCUS and 99% CCUS are more efficient on coal emissions since they are mostly direct emissions and natural gas emissions also have a significant share of indirect emissions not tackled with CCUS..
71 Sources: IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
CCUS equipment Timeline of power plants projects
or retrofitting 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Dry Fork
GreenGen IGCC
Haifeng
Huntington Beach Plant
(Carbon SAFE Project)
Korea-CCS 1&2
Petra Nova
Prairie State
Project Tundra
ZEROS Project
Power Generation
Pilot phase Development phase Operational phase
72
Recent coal power Age structure of coal capacity per region
plants built in GW, world, 2019
China and India 800
provide huge
potential for CCUS 600
Others
Southeast Asia
development India
China
Europe
400
United States
200
0
Less than 10–20 20–30 30–40 40–50 50+
10 years
• 2,080 GW of coal-fired power plants are in operation in the world, accounting for about 38% of the electricity
production.
• Almost 60% of the world’s coal fleet is 20 years old or younger, and a coal power plant design lifetime is 50 years.
• Over the past 20 years, Asia accounted for 90% of all coal-fired capacity built worldwide: China (880 GW), India
(173GW), and Southeast Asia (63 GW)
• Modern coal plants (ultrasupercritical, supercritical, and combined heat and power) are more efficient than old
generation (subcritical plants), in terms of carbon emissions intensity.
• Subcritical plant represent 40% of the coal fleet emissions and more than half of them are under 20 years of age.
Power Generation
Physical The adsorbents are made from new classes of materials such as functionalized-silica or metal-organic frameworks, which can
catch and release CO2 at very rapid rates.
adsorption
Membrane Membrane separation uses a semi-selective membrane (a polymeric membrane that allows some gases to pass through but not
others) to concentrate CO2 on one side of the membrane, thus separating it from a stream. This remains in a development stage.
separation
Novel approaches Electrochemical process to convert calcium carbonate into calcium hydroxide (Ca(OH) 2) in an electrolyzer, producing a
Cement, Iron and Steel concentrated CO2/O2 steam (to which CO2 capture could be applied) and hydrogen (that could be used in subsequent stages of
production). The calcium hydroxide can then be converted to calcium silicates needed for cement in a kiln.
74 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020; Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Overview of key carbon capture technologies in cement1 Not exhaustive
Chemical Chemical Physical
Calcium looping Oxy-fueling Direct separation
absorption is absorption adsorption
Stage Post combustion Oxy-fuel Oxy-fuel Post combustion Post combustion
currently the most
mature carbon Capture rates ~90% Up to 98% 90% 80—90% Being evaluated
sector Key countries USA, China, Germany, Italy, Italy, Austria, Denmark, Canada, United Belgium
Norway, Canada, Chinese Taipei Germany States
India
Application to
Key projects – A commercial- – A pilot-scale – In Dania, Denmark, – The CO2MENT – A successful
cement scale post- demonstration oxy-fuel capture was project in pilot-scale
combustion was completed successfully piloted Canada demonstration of
CCU facility by CEMCAP at in a kiln precalciner launched trials in the technology,
opened in the University of (cooperation 2019 of Svante’s developed by
2014 at Capitol Stuttgart between Airliquide (formerly Calix, occurred
Aggregates (Germany). and FLSmidth) Inventys) CO2 at the
plant in Texas. – Taiwan Cement – “Westküste 100” capture Heidelberg
– A pilot plant has been testing project—green H2 technology at a Cement plant in
(50 kt CO2 per calcium looping and decarbonization LafargeHolcim Lixhe, Belgium
year) began capture at its on an industrial scale cement plant by LEILAC
operation in Heping Plant in (Germany) and has project in 2019.
2018 by Anhui Hualien, Taiwan successfully
– A special focus area
Conch in since 2017, with captured CO2.
is industrial gas
China. successful pilot- producers such as
scale trials Air Liquide, Air
completed. Products, Linde,
Praxair.
76 Sources: ” International Energy Agency “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” (2020); Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Chemical Overview of key carbon capture technologies in iron and steel Not exhaustive
absorption is the Chemical Waste gases to Waste gases to Smelting Physical
absorption fuel chemicals reduction adsorption
most mature Stage Post combustion Post combustion Post combustion Post combustion Post combustion
carbon capture
technology option Capture rates ~90% NA NA NA 80—90%
Cement projects
the speed of
CO2MENT
development is
expected to Longship CCS
increase in the
cement industry LafargeHolcim Cement
Beijing Shougang
Swayana Mpumalanga
Athos
COURSE 50
Cement, Iron and Steel Pilot phase Development phase Operational phase
79
The largest SkyMine® process integrated in San Antonio cement plant
demonstration
plant of CCUS in
the cement sector
is based on the
chemical
absorption
process
80 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020, Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
New capture LEILAC: direct separation calcining technology
technology to
lower emissions in Country: Belgium
cement production
Operational date: 2025
plant
Capex: €20.7 million (pilot)
CO2 savings: 185t per day
Project leaders: Calix, HeidelbergCement, and Imperial
College
82 Sources: CSLF, GCSSI, ADNOC, Pres search, Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Post-combustion Steelanol–LanzaTech’s CarbonSmartTM
treatment of steel Country: Belgium
industry’s waste Operational date: 2025
gases fermented Capex: €14.5 million (pilot); €215 million (total)
into ethanol and Capture cost: €30–€40/t
chemicals
CO2 savings: 0.35 Mt per year
Project leaders: ArcelorMittal, Primetals
Technologies, and LanzaTech
Technology features Industrial waste gases are compressed and then cooled, cleaned, and injected into a vessel
for fermentation with microbes and a liquid media. The microbes consume the gases to make
CarbonSmartTM has the ethanol and chemicals.
ambition to transform CO2 CCUS efficiency Up to 90% of CO2 produced
emissions from recycles Production of 25 000 t of ethanol per year (2.5 Mt if fully deploy)
wastes into fuels dans
Government funding €10.1 million of the €14.5 million for the pilot test (Europe H2020)
chemicals. The process is
based on microbial CO2 capture capacity 0.35 MtCO2 per year
fermentation. The microbes Business type Carbon is captured from ArcelorMittal steel plant and then used to make bioethanol.
grow on the gases and
transform them into Planning 2015–2021: pilot project
2022: operational project
chemicals and fuel
Capture type Post-combustion
85 Sources: International Energy Agency “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” (2020); Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Overview of key carbon capture technologies in chemicals
Chemical Not exhaustive
absorption is the Chemical Physical Physical
absorption absorption adsorption
most mature Stage Post-combustion Post-combustion Post-combustion
carbon capture
technology option Capture rates ~90% ~90% 80–90%
Oxy-fuelling High-purity oxygen is used in the regenerator to produce a flue gas consisting of mainly CO 2 and H2O. Due to the flue gas
compression, partial bypass to the stack is not required, which gives oxyfuel combustion an inherent boost on CO 2 recovery
The fluid catalytic cracking compared to post combustion capture. A pilot scale demonstration of the oxy-FCC process was performed at a Petrobas refinery in
(FCC) unit is responsible for the CO2 Capture Project. The test showed that it is technically feasible to operate an oxy-FCC unit.
20–55% of total CO2 Chemical looping The chemical looping combustion process is based on oxygen transfer from an air reactor to fuel reactor using a solid oxygen
carrier. The main advantage of the CLC process compared to conventional combustion is that CO 2 is not diluted with N2 in the
emissions from a typical combustion combustion gases, and so highly concentrated CO2 is obtained without any extra energy needed.
refinery.
87 Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020, Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Multiple technical Context Challenges
CCUS options can ▪ Current hydrogen production (~75 Mt H2 annually chiefly ▪ Blue hydrogen might seem necessarily more expensive
from fossil fuels) produces 800 MtCO2, corresponding to
apply to blue the combined total energy sector CO2 emissions of
with end-use CCUS, because the additional step of
methane reforming entails capital, energy, and operating
Indonesia and the United Kingdom.
hydrogen ▪ Unabated production of hydrogen from fossil fuels results
costs to produce the hydrogen
▪ The cost of electrolytic Hydrogen is expected to come
production in emissions of 9 tCO2/t H2 in the case of natural gas (76%
share of H2 production) and 20 tCO2/t H2 in the case of
down substantially in the long term driven by declining
prices of renewable electricity and scaling up of
coal (23% share of H2 production).
electrolysers
▪ Pre-combustion carbon capture technologies can be
applied to capture CO2 before combustion takes place to
produce blue hydrogen
Key
Description
technologies
Steam Steam methane reformation is a catalytic reaction in which CH4 reacts with high temperature (800°C) steam to generate H2 and CO
(syngas). This process requires an input of heat, which leads to lower efficiencies and a diluted CO 2 stream which is costly to capture.
methane The reforming process is followed by a water gas shift process in which the CO reacts with water at lower temperatures to generate
reforming more H2 and CO2. Then, CO2 is captured and a stream of high-purity H2 is obtained. (H-Vision and Magnum projects in the
Netherlands)
Natural gas Autothermal reformation is a variation of SMR in which the methane reacts in an O2-deficit atmosphere instead of using high
Around 40% of low-carbon temperature steam, avoiding the need for an external input of heat. Once the syngas is produced, the rest of the process is similar to
hydrogen supply can be autothermal SMR with the difference that the H2–CO ratios are different and the operating and designing conditions of downstream processes have
linked to CCUS in 2070 reforming to be adapted. (HyNet and H21 projects in the United Kingdom)
Natural gas The combination of autothermal reforming (ATR) with a Gas Heated Reformer (GHR) is an improved design of ATR that allows
achieving higher efficiencies, lower CO2 production and lower oxygen consumption. The ATR and GHR are in series and the GHR acts
autothermal both as a pre-heater and cooler of the inlet/outlet of the ATR. The GHR benefit is that it pre-reforms the gas going to ATR using the heat
reforming with from the exhaust gases of the ATR and performs part of the reforming that would otherwise take place in the ATR. The main technical
challenge for GHR is carbon deposition (metal dusting) on the shell side (high temperature from the ATR outlet at around 1100C to 600-
gas heated 800C). This can be solved by either material selection that can withstand the conditions and thermal cycling (cost) or by either
reforming decreasing the operating pressure or adding more steam, both of which come with penalty in process efficiency.
Gasification Gasification is a thermochemical process in which a solid feedstock (coal / biomass / waste) is transformed into a gas mixture of H2,
CO, CO2 and other light hydrocarbons (called syngas), along with other byproducts (char and tars). The gaseous fraction is treated to
maximize H2 and CO proportions. Following treatment, the gas is passed through a water gas shift reactor in which steam reacts with
CO in the presence of a catalyst to generate H2 and CO2. Then, CO2 is captured and a high-purity H2 stream is obtained (99.9and% vol
Other Sectors: Blue H2 if Pressure Swing Adsorption is used).
Methane Methane pyrolysis (or splitting) is an emerging technology. It involves splitting methane at high temperatures, for example in a plasma
generated by electricity, to produce hydrogen and solid carbon, but no CO2. Monolith Materials operates a pilot methane pyrolysis plant
88 Splitting in California and a commercial demonstration plant in Nebraska.
Sources: “Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage” International Energy Agency 2020, Kearney Energy Transition institute analysis
Steam Methane Reforming with Carbon capture 1,2
Blue hydrogen is
derived from the
fossil fuel-based
production
processes as CO2
emissions are
captured, utilized,
and stored
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Other Sectors: Blue H2 / fertilizers /
refining Chemicals Hydrogen Energy Methanol Operational Year
= 1 Mtpa Capture Capacity
Fertilizer Oil refining Ethanol
90 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, International Energy Agency (2019), The Future of Hydrogen, Seizing today’s opportunities, GCCSI Global Status of CCUS 2019
Fossil fuels with Estimated levelized cost of hydrogen from different sources
CCUS are $/kg, World, 2019
competitive to 2019 2050
decarbonize 8
hydrogen
production even
with the reduction
6
of low carbon
electricity prices
+6%
+30%
2
0
SMR SMR + CCS Coal Coal Green SMR + CCS Coal Green
gazification gazification Hydrogen gazification Hydrogen
+ CCS + CCS
Port Jerome
Port Arthur Refinery
refining
Quest
Tomakomai
Other Sectors: Blue H2 Great Plain Synfuels
Business type Captured carbon from hydrogen production facility and then stored into 2km deep aquifers.
Business type Hydrogen production with carbon capture used for EOR
Production technology Low carbon hydrogen from natural gas via autothermal reforming units
Government funding NA
Business type Hydrogen production with carbon capture to store and sell captured liquefied CO2 to Air Liquide
clients (like agricultural producers, food industry or also retailers to maintain the cold chain)
Capture type Cryocap technology (separate CO2 from gas mix by cryogenic process)
Coal-to-liquid facility which produces synthetic natural gas. CO2 is produced during the
Business type
methanation process, CO2 is then captured and then sent to Canada for EOR.
Challenge: The CO2 captured would be much heavier than the carried fuel, requiring additional fuel
to join destination and additional space for onboard CO2 storage.
Opportunity: This CCS solution would enable the retrofitting of existing vessels, without modifying
their propulsion systems or switching to decarbonized fuels such as biodiesel or low-carbon
hydrogen.
Cost: Some ongoing designed solutions estimate minimal cost of CO2 captured around €100 per ton
of CO2 (€1.8 million e uipment for a 3,000 kW engine ship).
Other Sectors: Marine Vessels
Source: https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy-environment/news/worlds-first-carbon-capture-at-sea-set-for-shipping-trials/; Mitsubishi (link); M. Feenstra et al., Ship-based carbon capture onboard of diesel or
98 LNG-fueled ships (International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, vol. 85, June 2019)
5. Outlook of carbon
utilization and storage
99 Image by Itung01
The geological Global geological storage (GtCO2)
storage capacities
of CO2 are Confidence Level
unexplored in 200 to 403
200
(North Sea)
many areas of the
300 1 210 to 4 130
world 2 000 to 21 000
100
140
1 to 5 5 to 25
100
5 to 30 12
9
140
23
47 to 63
7
2 to 228
2 000
16
150
220 to 410
hundreds of years
under current
emissions levels 1750
2000
3,1
2,5
1,3 580 1100
490 0,5
200 700
50 0,7 400
230 0,2
Storage capacity is not a 180
constraint Middle East Europe Asia Africa Worldwide Oceania South North
America America
The worldwide total geological carbon storage capacities are important, and in some regions the estimates
are uncertain as they remain unexplored at this stage.
Middle East and Europe have large unexplored geological storage capacities. But North and South
Americas would have already identified enough storage capacities for hundreds of years of current
emissions. On the basis of the current knowledge, the distribution of storage capacities looks unequal
Global Storage Capacity between the regions
(1) CO2 emissions from industries, power and heat generation were estimated to represent 46% of national emissions on average
Note : this analysis is made with GCCSI storage capacities estimation (from previous slide) and the CO2 data of “Our World is data”; some actual storage areas may not have been shown
101 Sources: Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis based on GCCSI 2019 Report (2019) – Our World is Data
CCUS potentially Order of magnitude of CO2 storage and utilization
covers a broad (CO2 Mtpa, 2020) Concrete curing
Enhanced Coal-Bed-
Global Utilization Perspectives Methane Recovery
(1): EOR - Enhanced Oil Recovery; “EOR – with storage” allows to inject larger quantities of CO2 compared to traditional EOR
Note: global CO2 capture is estimated to ~50Mtpa in 2020, which higher than the value tracked in the figure, some storage and applications of CO2 capture could not be properly tracked, which explain the
102 difference.
Once captured, Operational CO2 capture capacity per utilization and storage
CO2 is mostly (including cancelled projects, in MtCO2 per year)
used for enhanced
oil recovery, but 250
Other
+355%
geological storage Geological Storage
EOR
should become 200
the main
application around 150
2030
100
50
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E
Currently, the captured CO2 is mostly used for EOR purposes, but by 2030, geological storage is expected
to become the main CO2 utilization pathway and should reach more than 85 MtCO2 per year around 2030.
Intention to develop additional large clusters (a 200 Mtpa capture capacity in the Gulf of Mexico (no
confirmed date) may complement this projection.
Several projects have been announced with supposed starting date in 2025 (assuming a five-year project
Global Utilization Perspectives development phase). Some of them may actually not be developed.
1Otherincludes commercial purposes, urea production, biofuels, mineralisation etc…
103 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis based on GCCSI database
Weak oil prices Oil price scenarios and associated US CO2-EOR production forecasts
may undermine EOR production (mb/year) CO2 % total EOR
1.400
30%
1.200
25%
1.000
20%
800
15%
600
10%
400
200 5%
0 0%
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
CO2-EOR Chemical CO2 % of total EOR
Thermal Other1
CO2-EOR almost represents ~50% of all EOR projects, it currently produces 200 million of barrels per day,
which is only 24% of the total EOR production. This part is expected to grow and to reach 35% by 2035 but
mainly due to the increase of CO2-EOR projects.
The COVID-19 crisis and large oil price uncertainties and fluctuations has generated further uncertainties
on the oil and gas market, jeopardizing the development of CCUS projects related to the Oil and Gas
sector.
Sectoral Overview:
Oil & Gas (EOR)
*before COVID-19 pandemic
1. Other = other gas injections (like CO2-EOR), combustion EOR, microbial EOR
104 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis; IEA (2018) ‘Whatever happened to enhanced oil recovery?, US EIA “Short-term energy outlook” (October 2020)
CO2 can be reused Multiple chemical pathways from CO2
through multiple
chemical Methanol
Formic acid
Hydrocarbons, O
pathways e.g. Kerosene, diesel Me-OH H C
OH Carboxylic acids
H3C ( CH2
) n CH 3
R C
O
OH
urea
Methane O
CH3-H NH2 C
O=C=O NH2
O
M-CO3 R1NH C
Inorganic carbonates Substituted ureas NHR2
These routes offer an
opportunity for the chemical O
industry to reduce its O
R1O C
dependence on fossil fuels, N R
) RO C
to reduce industrial CO2 n OR R
NH Organic carbamates
emissions as well as to Cyclic Carbonates Organic carbonates )
n
recycle and valorize emitted
CO2. Cyclic Carbamates
O O
[ R
)
O n
[ [ R
)
O n
[
Sectoral Overview:
Chemicals Poly(carbonate) monomers Poly(carbamate) monomers
105 Source: Carbon capture and utilization in the green economy (Styring, Jansen et all 2011)
Reacting CO2 with Comparison of hydrogen based low-carbon synthesis routes
hydrogen, derived
using low carbon
electricity, can be Product Electricity (MWh) CO2 as feed (t) Avoided CO2 (t) Costs (€) Avoided CO2 as kg
an alternative to Chemicals per ton of product per MWh1 per €2
fossil carbon
Ammonia 12.5 - 1.71 700-800 137 2.1-2.4
feedstocks for
producing Urea 8.1 0.73 2.05 450-550 253 4.1-4.5
chemicals and Methanol 11.02 1.373 1.53 300-650 139 2.4-5.1
synthetic fuels
Olefins 26.6 3.2 1.89 670-1900 71 1-2.8
Sectoral Overview:
Chemicals 1. Expressed as a function of required electricity
2. Expressed as a function of production costs
a. Well-to-wheel
106 Source: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (Bazanella and Ausfelder 2017)
CO2-based Different CO2-based products and the current status of deployment
chemical product
formation Compounds1 Products
pathways are at
Salicylic acid (29 kt) Aspirin
various stages of
maturity Cyclic carbonates (40 kt) Solvents, Electrolytes, Intermediate for polymer synthesis
Urea (115 Mt) Fertilizer, Resins
Methanol Acetic acid, Ethylene, Propylene, Polymer precursor
Formic acid Preservatives, Adhesives, Substrates in fuel cells
Polycarbonate etherols Polyurethane foam
An integration of CO2- Inorganic carbonate Mineral fillers, Cement, Soil stabilization
emitting industrial
technologies with CO2- Polypropylene carbonate Packing foils/sheets
converting systems (such as
biological system using Alcohols Solvents, Detergents
algae, photo bacteria, and
enzymatic catalysts) can be Aldehydes Polymers, Solvents, Dyes, Cosmetics
helpful in achieving DME Fuel additives, LPG substitute
sustainable value-added
products. Organic acids Surfactants, Food and Pharma industry products
Organic carbamates Pesticides, Polymer precursor, Isocynate, Agrochemicals, Cosmetics
Sectoral Overview: Commercial Lab-scale Demonstration
Chemicals
1. Quantity of CO2 utilized per annum globally to produce the compound
Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, CO2 Catalysis (Kleji, North and Urakaw 2017), Advanced Routes of Biological and Bio-electrocatalytic Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Mitigation Toward Carbon Neutrality
107 (2020), Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (Bazanella and Ausfelder 2017)
Covestro has Using CO2 as a raw material for plastics
developed an Sleeping on CO2
innovative Flexible foam for mattresses
technology that CO2
enables carbon Fit with CO2
capture and Binder for sport floorings
utilization
by partly
substituting
+ Dress with CO2
Elastic fibers for the textile
Up to 20% CO2
oil-based raw In new material
industry
materials cardyon®
with CO2
Use CO2
Save crude oil
Projects in the pipeline
Building, driving, cooling, washing with
CO2
Cardyon® is manufactured with an innovative method that uses a new catalyst, which causes the CO2 to
react with propylene oxide to produce certain plastic components known as polyols. This results in a new
type of polyols with a CO2 share of up to 20 percent substituting crude oil feedstock completely.
Covestro has been manufacturing the new material in a production plant in Dormagen, Germany since
Sectoral Overview: 2016. Up to 5,000 tons of polyols can be produced there each year. This broadens the resource base and
Chemicals supports a circular economy in the chemicals and plastics industry.
108 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, https://www.covestro.com/
Bio-electrochemical Bio electrochemical generation of solvents and biofuels from CO2 under various
systems (BES) operational and nutritional conditions
offers benefits of Reactor Substrate Operational Dominant catalyst Products
synthesizing value- condition
added chemicals H-type double Calcium carbonate Batch type; anaerobic Clostridium Sporogenes Butanol, Ethanol,
chamber fermentation BE1 Fatty acids
from CO2 via
electrogenic Double Butyraldehyde + TRIS- Batch type; enzymatic Alcohol dehydrogenase Butanol
fermenting cathode chamber fuel HCI buffer fuel cell enzymes
cell
microbes H-type double P2 electron carrier Batch type; anaerobic Clostridium beijerinckii Acetone, Butanol
(biocathode) chamber medium + Glucose fermentation IB4
109 Source: Advanced Routes of Biological and Bio-electrocatalytic Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Mitigation Toward Carbon Neutrality (2020)
Europe and North Upcoming new CCUS clusters
America are Non-exhaustive
expecting to
develop cross-
industries CCUS Exxon GoM1
clusters in the Project Tundra
Integrated Midcontinent
Stacked Carbon Storage Hub
Athos
ACT Acorn
CCUS hubs will gather CO2 Abu Dhabi CCS Antwerp@C
emissions from industrial Porthos
areas and stock it or use it ACTL Wabash CarbonNet
without building new facilities CarbonSAFE Illinois – Macon County
and searching for new Humber Zero
storage areas. Ervia Cork
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
5 Mtpa
North America Europe Middle East Oceania Operational Year
Sectoral Overview:
Clusters / Hubs
1. The proposed project would cost $100 billion and the hub could draw up to 50 million mt of CO2 from the air by 2030, and 100 million mt by 2040
110 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute – GCSSI (2019), Press search
The development CCUS hubs and clusters
Advantages Challenges
of CCUS clusters
and hubs is
– Catch CO2 emissions from an area with – Lack of supportive public policies, especially
gaining several high-emitting facilities. CCUS-specific laws, are needed to keep
prominence, – Permit the capture of small CO2 volume by developing these kind of initiatives.
especially in gathering it with other CO2 sources. – Financial support from governments are
– Reduce storage costs thanks to economies of requested to completely fill the gap between
Europe costs and revenues.
scale.
– Create possible commercial synergies that – Complexity of shared pipelines can increase
lower the risk of investment for the the time of the project.
development of CCUS installations.
– Use shared infrastructure to transport and
Clusters store CO2.
Geographic concentration of
related businesses, facilities,
factories, etc. Europe North America Asia and Pacific Middle East South America
Hubs
Central CO2 points from # of hubs 9 6 2 1 1
capture clusters or
distribution CO2 points to Sum of capture
storage clusters 84,8 119 8,0 5,0 3,0
capacity (Mtpa)
Average capacity
Sectoral Overview: 9,4 19,8 4,0 - -
(Mtpa)
Clusters / Hubs
111 Source: GCCSI – Global Status of CCS 2019 (2019) & Understanding Industrial CCS Hubs and Clusters (2016)
Maximum CO2 Capture Operational
# Project Name Country Industries
capacity (Mtpa) Year
CCUS hubs in
Europe 1 ACT Acorn 16 2023 H2
2 Antwerp@C 9 2030
Industrials applications
6
EOR 6
6
Waste incineration
Sources : Kearney Energy Transition Institute – GCCSI Report (2019)
112 Oil and Gas Climate Initiative (2020)
Maximum CO2 Capture Operational
# Project Name Country Industries
capacity (Mtpa) Year
CCUS hubs in
1 ACTL 14,6 2020 H2
Americas
CarbonSAFE Illinois Macon
2 15 2018
County
Industrials applications 1
6 5
EOR 2
Waste incineration
Sources : Kearney Energy Transition Institute – GCCSI Report (2020)
113 Oil and Gas Climate Initiative (2020)
Maximum CO2 Capture Operational
# Project Name Country Industries
capacity (Mtpa) Year
CCUS hubs in the
Middle East and 1 Abu Dhabi Cluster 5 2025 H2
APAC 2 CarbonNet 5 2025 H2
Ethanol production 3
Fertilisers production
H2 Hydrogen production
Natural gas production
Industrials applications 1
EOR
Waste incineration
2
114 Sources : Kearney Energy Transition Institute – GCCSI Report (2020) – Oil and Gas Climate Initiative (2020)
Circular carbon Circular Carbon Economy Concept
economy in the
The circular carbon economy is based on the
Golf Cooperation four Rs :
Council
• Reduce: energy efficiency, non-bio
renewables, nuclear
• Re-use: carbon utilization
• Recycle: bioenergy
• Remove: carbon capture and storage, direct
air capture Distinction between:
• Living carbon (plants and soil)
Cross-cutting: hydrogen, policies • Fugitive carbon (such as methane and CO2 gases)
• Durable carbon (for example, locked in plastics)
Most projects were cancelled Mongstadt (2013) Refinery, CO2 fate unknown Economics: Government dropped support due to cost overruns and delays.
for economical reasons,
Coal & passive storage, Economics: Lack of funding, lack of interest from oil & gas companies for CO2 storage
such as a lack of funding Belchatow (2013) €180million granted contracts, and public opposition to onshore storage.
from the companies involved Power & passive storage, Local public opposition and difficulties in achieving closure for the financial structure of
in the projects or a lack of Porto Tolle (2014) €100million granted the project.
subsidies from the related Methanol plant & EOR Economics: Methanol market was becoming crowded, and methanol-production costs
Lake Charles (2014)
governments or states. $261million granted were uncompetitive, despite government support & EOR.
Coal & passive storage Economics: FutureGen1.0 cancelled in 2004 due to rising costs. FutureGen2.0 funding
FutureGen (2015) $1 billion granted from DOE cancelled in 2015 due to delays and inability to raise private financing.
However, some projects
have been cancelled White Rose CCUS, Power generation & passive Economics: Projects cancelled after the UK announced the suspension of the $1bn UK
Peterhead (2015) storage CCUS Competition
because of local public Economics : In March 2015 E.ON announced the cancellation of the project because gas-
opposition, including E.ON Ruhrgas Large-scale IGCC Plant with fired power stations market is extremely difficult and without support from the Supplemental
Killingholme IGCC (2015) storage under North Sea. Balancing Reserve (SBR) contract
government bans on
onshore storage in Germany AEP Mountaineer (2015)
Power generation &
geological storage
Climate policy : Phase II of the project has been cancelled due to unknown climate policy.
and the Netherlands.
Power generation & EOR, Project delays led to the expiration of funds granted by the US. DOE. While the
HECA (2016) $800m grants & tax credits company hopes to resurrect HECA, it remains unclear when that might happen.
EOR Project with capture Economics : The project was abandoned because due to oil prices decrease, it is
Liaohe EOR Project (2016) facility expected not to be economical and sustainable for the company.
Cancelled Projects
150
100
50
0
Direct Air Capture Compression Transport Storage Monitoring & CCS cost
Capture / Dehydration Verification range
– Capture cost represent about 75% of the total cost for CCUS but can drastically decrease for applications
with high concentrations of CO2 (95–100%) where only a compression step is needed. Cost of CO2 capture is
expected to decline by 50% from 2010 to 2025 for some applications.
– Transport and storage costs represent about 25% of the total CCUS cost. Transport cost is influenced by
the technology used (pipelines, ship, trucks, rails) and by the volume transported (pilot-scale vs. large scale).
Storage cost is driven by the nature of the reservoir (saline aquifer vs. depleted oil and gas field), its
accessibility (onshore vs. offshore), the existence of legacies (wells, infrastructures) and its physical
characteristics (size, porosity, permeability, pressure).
CCUS Costs 1 The capture cost is adjusted according to the prices of feedstock in the United States. All costs (except capture) have been converted to US Gulf Coast basis.
2 Transport costs include liquefaction costs.
3 Typical range of capture cost: 10 (natural gas processing) – 300 (aluminium smelting) $/t
4 Low estimates are the sum of low values of range and high estimates are the sum of high values of range and are indicative.
118 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, , Zero Emission Platform, IEAGHG, The Costs of CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage, 2011, GCCSI - Technology Readiness and Costs of CCS (March 2021)
CO2 capture cost Levelized cost of CO2 capture for key sectors
depends on the $ per ton, 2019
industry and the CO2
concentration
CO2 concentration
DAC1 0,04%
of the stream or
flue gas Power Generation 4-13%
Cement 14-33%
shipping is 45
preferred for pilot 40
projects and very
35
long distances
30
25
20
15
10
0 km
0 300 600 900 1200 1500
Ship (including liquefaction)1 Offshore pipeline Onshore pipeline Liquefaction costs
CCUS Costs
1. Li uefaction costs are evaluated at 5.3€/ ton of CO2
120 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, The Costs of CO2 Transport : Post-demonstration CCUS in the EU, Zero Emission Platform 2011
Storage in Geological storage cost comparison with uncertainty range1
onshore depleted € per ton of CO2 stored, EU, 2011
oil and gas fields
SA NL
is the cheapest, DOGF NL Offshore
especially if
DOGF WF
existing wells are
reusable but their SA NL
limited DOGF WL
0 5 10 15 20
CCUS Costs
1Does not include any fee (such as tax) for storage from host government.
2. “With Legacies” means existing wells that are re-usable for the storage process
121 Source: Kearney Energy Transition institute, Zero Emission Platform, IEAGHG, The Costs of CO2 Storage, 2011
CCUS offers Costs of CO2 abatement by CCUS for different sectors
opportunities for ($/tCO2 avoided, based on current costs estimates) CCS applications
CO2-abatement at 600
Negative Emissions Low-carbon Power Sources CCS to Industries CCS to Power
a moderate cost, 250 Technologies
especially in
industrial 200
applications where
150
CO2 separation is
already inherent to 100
the process
50
0
Local conditions (e.g. wind,
solar sources, geological -50
storage, transport…)
& agro-forestry
Cement CCS
Soil Carbon
CROPS
Solar thermal
DACCS
PC CCS
Chemicals CCS
Blue Hydrogen
CCS
Re/Afforestation
NGCC CCS
Solar PV
Ethanol CCS
weathering
Biochar
Geothermal
Hydropower
processing CCS
Biofuels
IGCC CCS
Sequestration
Wind onshore
Wind offshore
Nuclear
Fertilise /
Natural Gas
Enhanced
States is available 20
Offshore storage
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 in %
-10
-20
CCUS costs
-30
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
123 Source: Kearney Energy Transition, Energy Technology Perspectives 2020 Chapter 3. CCUS technology innovations, 2020, IEA, US EPA 2018, Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2017
Gas combined LCOE of electricity for different sources1
with CCUS is $/MWh, World, 2019 Global weighted average LCOE estimates (2030)
Advanced nuclear plant entering service (US, 2026)
within the range of
Fossil sources Other low carbon sources
other low carbon
electricity sources 200
and has an
advantage to be
dispatchable 150
50
0
Coal Coal Gas Gas Nuclear Onshore Offshore PV Geoth3 Biomass Hydro Hydro
CCUS CCGT2 CCUS wind wind (reservoir) (river)
CCUS costs 1. Boxes indicate the central 50% of values i.e. the second and third quartile
2. CCGT = Combined Cycle Gas Turbine, Onshore wind (for > 1MW plants), PV (utility scale)
3. Geothermal
Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, Projected Cost of Generating Electricity 2020, IEA, Global renewables outlook 2020 (IRENA), Levelized Costs of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy
124 Outlook 2021 (EIA)
Applying CCUS to Increase in levelized cost of production for CCUS power plants
Levelized cost of energy production for different CO2 capture rate
power plants $/MWh, 2019
greatly increases
the levelized cost Coal (USC1, post-combustion) Natural gas (CCGT1, post-combustion)
of production, but
120
an increase in the 120 +8%
+69%
capture rate has a 100
104 +7%
97 100 +47%
moderate impact 100
88
92
86
on the cost
80 80
57 60 59
60
Normal process
40 40
Process with CCUS
20 20
0 0
0 90% 95% 99% 0 90% 95% 99%
Capture rate Capture rate
CCUS costs
1. USC = Ultra Super Critical; CCGT = Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
2. BF-BOF = blast furnace basic oxygen furnace; ISR = innovative smelting reduction; Gas DRI = natural gas-based direct reduced iron/electric arc furnace (EAF) route; H2 DRI = 100% electrolytic hydrogen-based
3. NG = natural gas; Elec = electrolytic;
125 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, Energy Technology Perspectives 2020 Chapter 2. CCUS in the transition to net-zero emissions, 2020, IEA, The role of CCUS in low-carbon power systems, IEA, 2020
CCUS technology Levelized cost of CO2 capture for large-scale post-combustion at coal-fired power plant
can expect cost $2017/ t of CO2
reductions from
learnings and 120
Previously studied facilities Currently operating Recently proposed and new
gains accrued in Porto Tolle
technology Boundary Dam
deployment 100
Project Pioneer
Betchatow
Antelope Valley
Mountainer
The cost reduction comes 80
from solvent improvements
(lower energy use, lower Kingsnorth
degradation), new non- Petra Nova
solvent based capture Massvlakte
60 Linde/BASF Oase
technologies, improved CO2 Longannet
compression strategies,
Shand Surat HE
economies of scale, and Trailblazer Project Tundra
standardization of the San Juan
40
process. ION C3DC
FuelCell MCI
20
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
CCUS costs Various Amine solvent technologies Kansai Mitsubishi CDR Cansolv Carbon capture technology learning rate
126 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, CCUS Talks: The Technology Cost Curve, GCCSI, 2020, Is CCUS Expensive ? : Decarbonization costs in the net-zero context, GCCSI, 2020
Applying CCUS to Increase in levelized cost of production for industrial processes combined with CCUS.
industrial Levelized cost of production
processes $/t, 2019
Cement Steel
increases the 150 1000
+58%
levelized cost of
production +8%
100
+8%
500
50
0 0
Unabated CO2 Capture BF-BOF1 ISR1 Gas DRI1 Gas DRI H2 DRI1
CCS1
Normal process Methanol
Process with CCUS 1500 Ammonia
Other low carbon process
1000
+24%
+20%
500
0
NG2 NG Elec2 NG NG Elec
CCUS costs
1. BF-BOF = blast furnace basic oxygen furnace; ISR = innovative smelting reduction; Gas DRI = natural gas-based direct reduced iron/electric arc furnace (EAF) route; H2 DRI = 100% electrolytic hydrogen-based
2. NG = natural gas; Elec = electrolytic;
127 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute, Energy Technology Perspectives 2020 Chapter 2. CCUS in the transition to net-zero emissions, 2020, IEA, The role of CCUS in low-carbon power systems, IEA, 2020
Such integrated Business models for integrated projects
projects also face
Capture Transport Storage
planning and
coordination – Single integrated project owner:
difficulties that do Self-built model
O&G majors Govt
high level of control, no
coordination issues
not affect CCUS (integration) – Limited to oil and gas majors or
very large utilities only
projects related to
oil and gas
– Several project owners sharing
costs and risks
Partnership Transport O&G – Risk of cancellation if a partner
Power utility pulls out
(JV, consortium) operator companies
– Difficulties in managing differing
industrial cultures and paperwork
128 Source: Kearney Energy Transition Institute Project owner (potentially eligible for emissions reductions) Secondary stakeholder
New business Business models for projects
models for CCUS
Capture Transport Storage
clusters have been
proposed in the – Give more certainties to investors
Transport and
United Kingdom Storage Fee Govt License
Private companies
(governmental subsidies and
secured ROI).
(Regulated Asset Base – Final customers will pay the price
Model) set by the company.
40
emissions (%)
35
30
5
1,3 0,0 0,0
0,2 0,3
0
Uruguay
Hungary
Norway
United States1
Fiji
Germany
Argentina
Panama
Japan
South Korea
Chile
France
Sweden
Total
Nepal
Brazil
Canada
South Africa
Costa Rica
Ethiopia
Singapore
Australia
Rest of EU
Austria
Spain
Denmark
Colombia
Finland
Mexico
China
United Kingdom
New Zealand
Kazakhstan
Switzerland
Targeted
2050
2045
2050
2050
2050
2050
2030
2050
2060
2060
2050
2060
2050
2030
2050
2030
2050
2050
2050
2050
2040
2035
2050
2050
2050
2050
2050
2050
2050
2050
year for
?
?
carbon-
Policies & Regulations neutrality
1. Unites States have withdrawn from the Paris Agreement but new President-Elect J.Biden announced that the USA will join back the agreement once in charge.
130 Sources: Our World in Data - Annual CO2 emissions ; Climate Home News - Which countries have a net zero carbon goal? (last update : Jan 8th 2021)
Most key countries have announced plans
to become carbon neutral by at least 2060
No national objective
Australia 0,42 GtCO2 (1,13%) 50% - -26% to -28% - But states aims to be carbon neutral by ETS at national level
2050
1Renewable Energy Sources ; 2Current policies projections ; 3Obama Administration Mid-Century Strategy ; 4Range of all scenarios
131 Sources: Kearney Energy Transition Institute ; World Bank – State and Trends of Carbon Pricing (2020) ; Our World in Data - Annual CO2 emissions
GHG emissions Overview of GHG disclosure and scopes
reduction – Under certain conditions, which vary
pressure on per country, companies are now
corporations has required to ensure that their
subsidiaries and suppliers respect
been increasing human rights and the environment,
with the including their carbon footprint
across the value chain.
development of – In 2016, at least 92% of Fortune
corporate GHG 500 companies responding to the
emissions CDP used the GHG Protocol directly
or indirectly through a program
disclosure based on the GHG Protocol.
covering scopes 1, – Upstream and downstream (scope
2, and 3 3 emissions) can constitute up to
90% of large corporations’ overall
emissions, with variable distribution
across the sources. For example, in
the automotive industry, about 98%
of scope 3 emissions are
downstream (see next slide). The
most emitting category is the fuel
combustion during usage,
representing almost all downstream
emissions.
In most industries, scope 3 CO2 emissions are the most important ones because of the pollutive
characteristic of sold products, especially for automotive or oil and gas companies. Sectors that belong to
heavy industries have bigger scopes 1 and 2 because of the CO2 emissions in their process of fabrication.
Note: This graph has been made by averaging the distribution of CO2 emissions among the scopes 1-2-3
of the five biggest companies of each sector. However, there is no consensus on the definition of each
Policies & Regulations scope.
Some emissions can be counted twice by being in several sectors e.g : the electricity generated by plant (scope 3) used to produce cement (scope 2)
*Global CO2 emissions related to Oil and Natural Gas from IEA - CO2 emissions by energy source, World 1990-2018 (2020)
133 Sources: Kearney Energy Transition Institute ; Carbon Disclosure Project ; Companies websites and CSR report ; Our World in Data ; FAOSTAT - CO2 emissions from agriculture (2020); IEA ETP 2020
Policies CCUS Political Attractiveness Curve ?
supporting CCUS ?
development are EU ETS carbon
gaining price(1) reached
30€/tCO2
Tax credit for the first 12 years following opening for new: Start in 2008 By 2026, tax credit of (per t) : Total of 63 MtCO2 concerned by
– Power plants capturing at least 500,000 t Review in 2018 – $20 → $50 for storage May 2019
US 45Q – Industrial facilities not emitting more than 500,000 t and capturing at least – $10 → $35 for EOR
Tax Credit 25,000 t – $10 → $35 for other uses Some facilities also benefits from the
– Direct Air Capture and other facilities that capture 100,000 t California low-carbon fuel standard
(LCFS)
Canada GGPPA The Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act is divided in two parts : Start in 2018 2020 : $30/t N/A
(for provinces that – Fuel charge for fuel producers and distributors Review in 2020 2023 : $50/t
doesn’t have their – Output-Based Pricing System for facilities emitting more than 50,000 t of 2030 : $170/t
own regulation) CO2
China Trade system of emissions allowances covering coal- and gas-fired power Phases 1 & 2 (2017-2020) Launch price of ¥30/t (around $4,6/t) CO2 emissions from power plants
National ETS plants. Phase 3 (2021 – 2025) (about 3,5 GtCO2 in 2017)
Cap and trade system of emissions allowances covering heavy energy-using Phases 1 & 2 (2005-2012) Price determined by trading : $30,65/t as of Around 45% of global EU CO2
EU ETS installations (power stations & industrial plants) and all airlines operating in Phase 3 (2013 – 2020) Aug. 1st emissions
Investment Fund Europe. Clean H2 and CCS (funding) Phase 4 (2021 – 2030) (about 1,7 GtCO2 in 2018)
NextGen EU EU framework for carbon
removal
Emissions from power units, motor and heat fuels that are not covered by EU Start in 1991 Price increase year by year 87% of Sweden emissions are
Swedish ETS (both industry and general level). $137/t as of Aug. 1st covered by either EU ETS or
Carbon Tax national carbon tax (about 30,4
MtCO2 in 2018)
To meet Paris commitment of emissions reductions of 50–55% by 2030, the Start in 1991 (new stricter Proposal to raise carbon tax to about 2000 This proposal covers emissions
Norwegian Norwegian government proposes a gradual increase in carbon tax on GHG proposal in 2021) NOK (ca. € 190) per tonne CO2 equivalent by under EU-ETS as well as non-ETS
Carbon Tax emissions 2030 from the current NOK 590 per tonne emissions (for example, transport,
– Carbon tax raise will be offset by reducing other taxes correspondingly CO2-e uivalents (ca. € 55) waste, agriculture, and certain other
sources)
System to replace EU ETS and based on it with allowances of CO2 emissions. Start in 2021 TBD 5% below UK former ETS cap
UK ETS Same emissions as EU ETS are covered plus domestic flight inside the UK (following the Brexit) Minimum of £15/t (around $20/t) Forecast of 155 MtCO2 in 2021
135
*As of August, 1st 2020 from the World Bank
Source: European Commission - EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) ; Eurostats – Greenhouse gas emissions statistics (2020) ; Government Offices of Sweden – Carbon Taxation in Sweden (2020) ; Global
CCUS Institute - The US Section 45Q Tax Credit for Carbon Oxide Sequestration (2020) ; The Tax Credit for Carbon Sequestration (Section 45Q)
World ETS map (2020) – illustrative carbon prices
Regulating carbon
EU ETS : $30/t
prices has gained Québec ETS : $17/t
Alberta ETS : $22/t
Number of countries 38 11
Policies & Regulations World CO2 emissions covered by ETS 10,7% 8,0%
Note: in February 2021, the carbon price reached 40€/t as a result of cold weather and recent announcement of new carbon reduction emission target in the EU (-55% objective by 2030)
136 Source: World Bank (2020) - State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2020 (2020) & Carbon Pricing Dashboard
ETS policies ETS policies in Canadian provinces ETS policies in US states
remain a state- Name of the Status of
Name of the
level decision in initiative
Provinces Status of ETS Year Price ($/t)* initiative
States
ETS
Year Price ($/t)*
Delaware
New
New
Brunswick Scheduled TBC TBD Maine
Brunswick
ETS
Maryland
Newfoundland
Newfoundland
and Labrador Operational 2019 ± 20 Massachusetts
and Labrador
PSS
Regional Operational 2009
Greenhouse New Hampshire
5,94
Nova Scotia Gas Initiative
Nova Scotia Operational 2019 Unknown (RGGI) New Jersey
CaT
New York
Stopped in
Ontario CaT 2017 14,65
2018 Rhode Island
Ontario
Vermont
Ontario ETS Scheduled TBC TBD
ETS Virginia
ETS Scheduled Pennsylvania Scheduled 2022
Quebec CaT Quebec Operational 2013 16,89
*Carbon prices from World Bank – Carbon Pricing Dashboard (as of Aug. 1st 2020)
137 Source: World Bank (2020) - State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2020 (2020) & Carbon Pricing Dashboard
The new US Climate change plan Clean energy plan
administration is – Creation of a new cross-agency focused on – Achieve “largest-ever investment in clean
eager to leverage climate: Advanced Research Projects Agency energy research and innovation” by investing
(ARPA-C) $400 billion over 10 years.
CCUS in reaching
their low carbon – Decarbonizing industrial sectors such as – Use CCUS in existing power plants and either
objectives steel, concrete, and chemicals store or use the CO2.
– Decarbonizing food production sector and use – Aim to double research investments and tax
agriculture to remove CO2 from the air and incentives for technologies that capture CO2
store under the ground and to lower cost of CCS retrofits on existing
power plants.
30
20
10
Policies & Regulations
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
139 Source: World Bank – Carbon Pricing Dashboard ;
The Global CCS Do you believe CCS is safe ? Do you support the US action to
Institute survey develop CCS ?
recommends 18% 13%
24% 25%
stronger public
outreach to 27% 38%
sensitize the 40% 38%
stakeholders 11%
14%
about benefits to 8% 12%
increase support 35%
27%
22% 17%
9% 8% 6% 8%
2017 2019 2017 2019
Definitely safe Undecided Not safe at all Strongly support Undecided Strongly oppose
Safe Not that safe Support Oppose
The GCCSI surveyed 100 US federal policy influencers (50 from private and 50 from public sector) about
CCS in January–February 2019:
• Key findings reveals that CCS is only seen as related to fossil fuels but having some benefits for the
environment. Moreover, most of the federal policy influencers agreed that government carbon policies
and increasing R&D funding are the best ways to support and develop carbon capture and storage.
• Finally, to increase public support and knowledge on CCS, the survey reports that there is a need to
Public Acceptance
explain “how CCS fits in to the set of tools and approaches to address climate change” and “the
importance of CCS in reaching carbon reduction goals.”
140 Source: Global CCS Institute - Federal Policy Influencers 2019 Survey (2019)
CCUS have limited Unknown and misunderstood Unfavourable perception
awareness and – Less awareness about CCUS and the – CCUS is usually linked with fossil fuels but
favorable public technology is misunderstood by them barely with industry
whereas its potential benefits for climate
opinion compared change are substantial. – BECCS (Bioenergy with CCS) is starting to be
with other low recognized but the public opinion prefer wind
– Less experience with CCUS and a strong fear and solar electricity despite BECCS’s strong
emission of a tragic failure in the storage process even credentials in achieving negative emissions
technologies though offshore storage appears less
– CCUS included in coal or gas plants is also
dangerous than onshore for local populations.
not as appreciate as renewable energy and
– However, communities with an industrial even lower than natural gas or nuclear
history are eager to welcome CCS projects.
– Norway is more familiar with CCS than – There is a huge lack of awareness of CCS in
Denmark or Sweden the UK, but more than half of the population
wouldn’t be worried
– Offshore storage in the North Sea can avoid
possible controversies – High level of acceptance and low level of
opposition.
“Low public awareness and acceptance have
been identified as one of the most important “CCS is a necessity not an option”
barriers for CCS deployment”
Public Acceptance J.K Haug & P. Stigson UK Committee on Climate Change
Sources : France : ADEME - Le Captage et Stockage géologique du CO2 (CSC) en France (2020) ; Germany : Fraunhofer ISI - Chancen für und Grenzen der Akzeptanz von CCS in Deutschland „CCS-Chancen“
142 (2015) & Acatech - CCU und CCS – Bausteine für den Klimaschutz in der Industrie (2018) ; Nordic Countries : Energy Procedia - Local acceptance and communication as crucial elements for realizing CCS in the
Nordic region (2016) ; UK : The University of Manchester Research - Public awareness and acceptance of carbon capture and utilisation in the UK (2017)
7. Financing and key
players
R&D spend
20
1Estimated
0,4
Hydroelectricity 179
0,3 0,3
Biofuels 171
0,1
0,1
Marine 89
Financing
1. Public R&D refers to IEA member country only. CCUS R&D is defined in this report as all CCUS investments except those for Large Projects (integrated projects above 0.6 Mt/CO2year).
145 Source: IEA - Energy Technology RD&D Budgets 2020 (2020) & Energy Technology Perspective (2020) ; OECDiLibrary - IEA Energy Technology RD&D Statistics (data extracted on Jan. 6th 2021)
Since 2004, the Top 11 CCUS financial contribution1 from OECD countries
United States has 2004-2019, in $ million
been a key 1250
AUS
contributor to CAN
CCUS funding EU
FRA
1000 GER
JAP
KOR
NED
750 NOR
GBR
USA
The United States has been
a huge contributor to CCUS
development, but its 500
envelope has decreased to
stabilize around $200 million
(30% of the total). Japan and
Norway are among the few
250
countries that have
increased their budgets
since 2016 and have
become the second and third
highest contributors 0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Financing
1. only data labelled as “Capture or disposal of CO2 “ were taken into account
2. EU budget is given by the European Union itself and it is not the sum of the budgets from EU members
146 Source: OECD.Stat – Innovation in environment-related technologies (data extracted on Jan. 6th 2021)
The period of Annual number of patents filed for various low-carbon technologies
2004–2012 saw an (in absolute numbers of patents)
Between 1996 and 2006, fuel cells
acceleration in 30000 and solar photovoltaic panels were the
R&D efforts, but Biomass & waste two technologies with the biggest
CCUS numbers of patents filed each year.
CCUS never Biofuels & non-fossil fuels
0
1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018
Financing
1Solarincludes : “Solar Photovoltaic (PV)”, “Solar thermal” and “Solar hybrid PV + thermal”
147 Source: OECD.Stat – Innovation in environment-related technologies (data extracted on Jan. 6th 2021)
The United States Top 10 CCUS patents OECD country producer
leads in filing the 1996-2018, in absolute numbers of patents
most patents in 650
CCUS 600 USA
JAP
550
KOR
500 GER
FRA
450 CAN
CHN
400 GBR
The United States had a NED
350
head start of five years in AUS
working on CCUS R&D over 300
other countries and regions
and has become the 250
reference since 2000. Japan
200
and South Korea only
started to research in 2008, 150
while European countries
struggle to file patents. 100
50
0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Financing
Note : only data labelled as “Capture or disposal of CO2 “ were taken into account.
148 Source: OECD.Stat – Innovation in environment-related technologies (data extracted on Jan. 6th 2021)
Major global and
CO2 capture
Separation & Capture Transport
Transport Storage
Utilisation and Storage
national utilities or
oil and gas
companies are Equipment manufacturers: Alstom, EOR producers: Denbury Resources,
European utilities: Engie, Drax Power, E.ON, Enel, Endesa, Scottish and Southern Energy, Vattenfall, Veolia
Key project owners
American utilities: AES, Capital Power, SCS Energy, Southern Company, NRG Energy, SaskPower, Tenaska, TransAlta
Asia-Pacific utilities: Dongguan Power, GreenGen, Huaneng Group (China); KEPCO (South Korea) ; Masdar (Middle East)
Major O&G companies: Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, Total, Eni, Chevron, Equinor
National Oil Companies: Equinor, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation, Saudi Aramco, Sabic, ADNOC, Petrobras, Pemex, China
National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec
Coal: Consol Energy, Peabody Energy, Rio Tinto, Xstrata Coal
Chemicals, fertilizers, synfuels: Archer Daniels Midland, Air Products, Koch Fertilizer, Shenhua Group, Sasol
Steel : Arcelormittal, Thyssenkrupp, Emirate Steel
Key Players
150
Picture credit - Peschke, Kevin
▪ Acatech - CCU und CCS – Bausteine für den Klimaschutz in der Industrie (2018)
Bibliography (1/2) ▪ ADEME - Le Captage et Stockage géologique du CO2 (CSC) en France (2020)
▪ BNEF - Operational CCUS in Canada: blueprint or one-hit wonder? (2014)
▪ BNEF database (consulted in 2015)
▪ BP - Statistical Review (2015)
▪ CCUS Cost Challenge Taskforce Report - Delivering Clean Growth: (2018)
▪ Climate Home News - Which countries have a net zero carbon goal? (consulted in Jan. 2021) (link)
▪ Energy Procedia - Local acceptance and communication as crucial elements for realizing CCS in the Nordic region (2016)
▪ European Commission - EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS)
▪ Eurostats - Greenhouse gas emissions statistics (2020)
▪ FAOSTAT - CO2 emissions from agriculture (2020)
▪ Food and Agriculture Organization (2020)
▪ Forbes - Biden’s Energy Policy Outlook (2020)
▪ Fraunhofer ISI - Chancen für und Grenzen der Akzeptanz von CCS in Deutschland „CCS-Chancen“ (2015)
▪ Fuelcell Energy - Exxon Mobil Advanced carbonate fuel cell technology in carbon capture and storage (2017)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - CCS Database (2020) (link)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - CCS Talks: The Technology Cost Curve (2020)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - Federal Policy Influencers 2019 Survey (2019)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - Global Status Report 2014 (2014)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - Global Status Report 2019 (2019)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - Global Status Report 2020 (2020)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - The US Section 45Q Tax Credit for Carbon Oxide Sequestration (2020)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) Technology Readiness and Costs of CCS (2021)
▪ GCCSI (Global CCS Institute) - Understanding Industrial CCS Hubs and Clusters (2016)
▪ Goldman Sachs – Carbonomics : 10 key themes from the inaugural conference (2020) (link)
▪ Government Offices of Sweden - Carbon Taxation in Sweden (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Data & stats (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Energy Technology Perspective (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Energy Technology RD&D Budgets 2020 (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Projected Cost of Generating Electricity (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Special Report on Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage (2020)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - The Future of Hydrogen, Seizing today’s opportunities (2019)
151
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - The role of CCUS in low-carbon power system (2020)
Bibliography (2/2) ▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Transforming Industry through CCUS (2019)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Transport sector CO2 emissions by mode in the SDS, 2000-2030 (2019)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - Whatever happened to enhanced oil recovery? (2018)
▪ IEA (International Energy Agency) - World Energy Outlook (2019)
▪ International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control - Ship-based carbon capture onboard of diesel or LNG-fueled ships (2019)
▪ IOGP (International Association of Oil & Gas Producers) - Global CCUS projects (2020)
▪ IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) - AR5 Climate change 2014 (2015)
▪ IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) - Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report (2014)
▪ IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) - IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate
Change Mitigation (2011)
▪ IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) - SR1.5 – Summary for Policymakers (2018)
▪ IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) - SR5–Chapter 2 (2018)
▪ joebiden.com - Plan for Climate Change and Environmental Justice (2020)
▪ joebiden.com - The Biden Plan to Build a Modern, Sustainable Infrastructure and an Equitable Clean Energy Future (2020)
▪ Journal of the Electrochemical Society - Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell performance for CO2 capture from Natural Gas
combined-cycle flue gas, (2020)
▪ Kearney Energy Transition Institute - Bringing CCS to Market (2012)
▪ NASA - Global Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet
▪ National Petroleum Council - Meeting the dual challenge: A Roadmap to At-Scale Deployment of CCUS (2020)
▪ OECD.Stat - Innovation in environment-related technologies (consulted in Jan. 2021)
▪ OECDiLibrary - IEA Energy Technology RD&D Statistics (2021)
▪ Our Word in Data - Annual total CO2 emissions, by world region (2019)
▪ The Scientific World Journal - Carbon Dioxide Separation from Flue Gases: A Technological Review Emphasizing Reduction
in Greenhouse Gas Emissions (2014)
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(2017)
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▪ US EIA (Energy Information Administration) - Short-term energy outlook (2018)
▪ US EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) - Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2017 (2019)
▪ World Bank - State and Trends of Carbon Pricing (2020)
▪ Zero Emission Platform - The Costs of CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage (2011)
152
Acronyms. BECCUS: Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and MtCO2/yr: million tonnes CO2 per year
Storage (CCUS) MVA: monitoring, verification and
CAPEX: capital expenditure accounting
CDR: Carbon dioxide removal, also called NER300: new entrants reserve
“negative emissions technologies” (pls refer to NGCC: natural gas combined cycle
the Negative Emissions Technologies FactBook)
are anthropogenic activities removing CO2 from OXY: oxy-combustion capture
the atmosphere and durably storing it in PCC: post-combustion capture
geological, terrestrial, or ocean reservoirs, or in
products. It includes existing and potential R&D: research & development
anthropogenic enhancement of biological or SNG: synthetic natural gas
geochemical sinks and direct air capture and Subcritical coal power plants: Subcritical
storage but excludes natural CO2 uptake not (SUBC) coal-fired power plants work by boiling
directly caused by human activities (IPCC). water to generate steam that activates a turbine.
CCUS: carbon capture utilization and storage Supercritical (SC) and ultra-supercritical (USC)
EOR: enhanced oil recovery power plants operate at temperatures and
pressures above the critical point of water, i.e.
ETP: Energy Technology Perspectives above the temperature and pressure at which
ETS: Emissions Trading Scheme the liquid and gas phases of water coexist
leading to higher efficiency. Subcritical power
EUA: European Union Allowance plants achieve thermal efficiency in the range
FID: final investment decision between 34% - 40% with the global average
IGCC: integrated gasification combined cycle efficiency around 36%, whereas supercritical
power plants reach efficiencies between 42% -
JV: joint venture 45%. Ultra-supercritical power plants employ
LCOE: levelized cost of electricity advanced metal alloys to withstand extreme
steam conditions and achieve even higher
Large Project: integrated CCUS projects of efficiencies (47.5%)
demonstration or commercial scale (above 0.6
MtCO2/year) US DOE: US Department of Energy
153 WEO: World Energy Outlook
O&G Majors and IOCs in Europe have announced carbon
neutrality targets, including scope 3 emissions
Carbon neutrality on scope 3 implies almost no gasoline or fuels sold in
some countries by 2050
2050 Scope 3 - Near Zero in Norway Net Zero - - Net Zero in Europe
-80% (Absolute1) -60% globally
Scope 3 Net Zero Net zero -50%
-55% (Intensity2)
-65%
Net zero (EU)
154 Note : 1Absolute: reduction in net emissions from the entire life cycle of sold energy products – 2Intensity :X% of the emission intensity
The main aim of Main storage R&D axis Simplified behaviour of CO2 after injection
R&D in storage is 1. Assess country-wide storage space:
to find suitable – Early results seem to indicate massive theoretical
PETROLEUM RESERVOIR AQUIFER
storage potential globally;
reservoirs and Closed structure Open Structure
– most of the potential lies within deep saline 1
understand the aquifers, which are geographically widespread;
behaviour of CO2 – Pore space in depleted oil and gas reservoirs is
suitable but has limited availability;
underground, for – According to the GCCSI, “the importance of
which field undertaking storage-related actions this decade to
prepare for widespread CCUSPETROLEUM
deployment post-
demonstration is RESERVOIR
2020 cannot be overstated”. Closed structure
AQUIFER
Open Structure
essential 2. Understand CO2 behaviour, through: 1
– Large-scale field demonstrations in aquifers;
– Software modelling tools of key trapping
mechanisms:
See the Sleipner case slide 32 1– Physical trapping of mobile CO2 plume
2– Residual trapping of immobile CO2 bubbles
3– Solubility trapping of dissolved immobile CO2 22 1
– Reservoir engineering to manage risk of leakage;
– Monitoring, verification and accounting (MVA); 1
1
– International standards for MVA and risk
assessments;
32
155 Source: GCCSI (2014), “Global Status of CCUS”; Picture credits: CO2CRC; CAGS
Power generation
CCUS can help decarbonize electricity when combined with thermal power generation
Capture capacity
Name of the project Country Description
(MtCO2)
550 MWe natural gas combined cycle plant in California, United States with CO 2 captured
Calc Capture Elk Hills Power Plant 1.4
and stored through EOR for 2024
Caledonia Clean Energy 3.1 Natural gas-fired plant provides flexibility without scarifying CO2 capture for 2024
CarbFix Project Hellisheidi 0.01 Geothermal power plant capturing 12,000 tons CO2 per year since 2014
Planned for 2027, bio-energy combined with CCUS technology, part of the Zero Carbon
Drax BECCS Plant 4.0
Humber Project
Dry Fork 3.0 Coal-based electric generation power plant plans to capture 3 Mtpa for 2025
Project Tundra 3.1 Retrofit of the coal-fired Milton R. Young plant unit 2 for 2025
Eemshaven Power Plant 0.2 Coal and biomass fired 1.6GW plant equipped with CCUS since 2018
One of the two coaled fired unit of Gerald Gentleman Station (700 Mwe) is equipped with
Gerald Gentleman Station 0.8
carbon capture with DOE funding’s for 2025
1 Scope 1 vs 184 gCO2/kWh for methane
2Vacuum swing absorption
Sources: H21 Leeds City Gate Report, HyNet Technical Report August 2017, HyNet North Wet From Vision to Reality 2018, Status of Port-Jérôme Cryocap Plant 2017, The Carbon Capture Project at Air Products’
Port Arthur Hydrogen Production facility, Hydrogen Energy California Final Topical Report 2017, Quest CCUS Project Annual Summary Report 2018, How Humber Zero Works, H-Vision Feasibility Report 2019;
156 Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Power generation
CCUS can help decarbonize electricity when combined with thermal power generation
Capture capacity
Name of the project Country Description
(MtCO2)
GreenGen IGCC 2.0 Coal-fueled plant of 650 MW progressively equipped with carbon capture from 2009 to 2020
Texas power plant retrofitted with post-combustion CO2 capture facility, transportation near
Petra Nova 1.4
Houston for EOR
Combines post-combustion CCUS with coal-fired power generation, some captured CO2
Boundary Dam CCS 1.0
goes for EOR, a portion of the CO2 is stored geologically
816 MWe coal-fired unit of Prairie State Energy Campus under study to capture 5 Mtpa by
Prairie State 5.0
2021
ZEROS Projects 1.5 Low-cost waste to energy by oxy-combustion with carbon capture
Plan to decarbonize Ireland activities involving abated natural gas and CCUS technology for
Ireland Gas Network 2.5
2030
Carbon capture from a coal-fired power plant in China from 0.04 Mtpa from a pilot to 1Mtpa
Sinopec Shengli 1.0
objective in 2025
Capture capacity
Name of the project Country Description
(MtCO2)
Pilot project to capture 1tCO2 per day. CO2 captured would be used for the coal mill fire
CO2MENT Project 1 t per day
suppression system and for water treatment. Phase III has begun in 2020.
Project to capture 95% of CO2 produced during the process thanks to a direct separation
Leilac Project TBD
calcining technology
Project to capture 0,8 Mtpa of CO2 and then stored in the offshore Smeaheia area, total
Longship CCUS 0.8
cost of $2.73 billion (67% financed by the country). To be operational by 2024
Lehig's Edmonton plant 1.4 Project to capture the major of CO2 from flue gas. To be operational by 2021–2022
LafargeHolcim Cement Carbon Consortium (including Total) to conduct a study to assess the viability of a CO2 capture
0.7
Capture facility at LafargeHolcim’s cement plant in Colorado. No operational date announced yet
Capture capacity
Name of the project Country Description
(MtCO2)
Built a compression facility to capture 90% of CO2 from steel factory and to use for EOR;
Abu Dhabi CCS 0.8
project started in 2016
Started in May 2018, converts CO2 generated at Shougang Steel's Caofeidian facility into
Beijing Shougang 0.2
fuel grade ethanol thanks to LanzaTech’s technology
Project to capture CO2 emissions from a ferroalloy plant and convert them into fuel ethanol
Swayana Mpumalanga 0.2 to 0.7
thanks to LanzaTech’s technology. Started in 2019
Assesses IFPEN’s capture solvent reducing the CO2 captured cost by 30% and the energy
3D Project 1.0 consumption during the capture process at the ArcelorMittal steelworks site. Pilot in 2021,
expected to be fully operational by 2025
Project aims to produce bioethanol from CO2 emissions from blast furnaces in a steel mill in
Steelanol 0,35
Ghent thanks to LanzaTech’s technology. Starting in 2022
Project to capture CO2 from TATA Steel and other industries of the region and then to use
Athos 7.5 for horticulture, mineralization or other future CO2 industry usages or to be stored in the
North Sea. To be operational in 2027
Project to enable a 20% reduction in CO2 from blast furnaces in the steel industry. Phase
COURSE 50 6t per day
ongoing and industrialization expected for 2030
Building the first European CCUS equipped industrial zone. First operational steps by mid-
Net Zero Teesside 10
2020 and expected to be fully operational by 2030
Production technology
Government funding
Business type
160 Source: CCUS Technologies@ MIT, Japan CCUS Co.; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Carbon capture North West Redwater Refinery (ACTL)
from hydrogen Country: Canada
production for a
refinery Capacity: 13 000 m3 per day
Production technology
CO2 storage capacity Between 1.2 and 1.4 MtCO2 per year
Oil refinery where H2 is used in the upgrading bitumen process. CO2 is captured and then
Business type
transported to central and southern Alberta for EOR purposes.
Capture type
Production technology Low carbon hydrogen from natural gas via two autothermal reforming units
Business type Hydrogen production, distribution and blending with natural gas for supply to homes,
CCUS, switching industry from natural gas to hydrogen
162 Sources: Report: Cadent Your Gas Network, HyNet North West Delivering Clean Growth, HyNet North West from Vision to Reality; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Produce low H21 North of England
carbon hydrogen Country: UK
from natural gas
with CCUS to fully Capacity: 12.15 GW of H2
Capex: £1.34 billion
supply industries Opex: £24 million per year
and blend it for CoA:
CO2 savings:
home supply CO2 footprint: 14.4g/kWh
Partnerships: Cadent, Equinor, Northern Gas Network
Production technology Low carbon hydrogen from natural gas via nine autothermal reforming units
Government funding
Business type Hydrogen production, distribution and blending with natural gas for supply to homes,
CCUS, switching industry from natural gas to hydrogen
163 Sources: H21 NoE Report 2018; Kearney Energy Transition Institute analysis
Power Leeds H21 Leeds City Gate
urban area with Country: UK
hydrogen and
replace natural Capacity: 1 GW of H2
Capex: £2 billion
gas Opex: £139 million per year
CO2 savings: 1.5 Mt CO2 per year
CO2 footprint: 27gCO2/kWh
Partnerships: Northern Gas Network, Wales and
West Utilities
Production technology Low carbon hydrogen from natural gas, by four SMR 305,000Sm3/h 1,025 MW
Government funding
Business type
Planning 2016 Establishment of H21 program, 2018 Provision of funding to begin the FEED,
Production technology Produce hydrogen by ATR to be blended with natural gas in the beginning (30%)
Government funding
Business type
Planning 2021–2023 project matured to final investment, 2024–2026 engineering and construction,
2026–2027 production
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