04-Estimation of Parameters
04-Estimation of Parameters
- Illustrating t- distribution
1
What I Know (Pretest)...
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use the t-table at the appendix as needed. Use a separate sheet
of paper.
2
What’s In (Review)
In the previous lessons, you learned that when we study sampling distribution of
the sample mean using central limit theorem, this involves taking sample sizes from a
certain population with replacement. With this, sampling distribution will closely
resemble to that of a normal distribution.
What’s New
t- distribution which is also known as Student’s t-distribution, is a probability
distribution which is utilized in estimating parameters of a certain population in case of
the sample size is small and/or the population variance or standard deviation is
unknown. It is like with the z-distribution that is bell-shaped and symmetric about the x-
axis but flatter and more spread.
Take note that z-test is only used when the population standard deviation or
variance is known and/or the sample size is large enough. But for sample sizes which
are small, sometimes the population standard deviation or variance is unknown, rely on
the t-distribution whose value can be known using:
(x−μ)
t=
s
√n
where x is the sample mean, μ is the population mean, s is the standard deviation of the
sample and n is the sample size.
In addition, there is a lot of different or family of t-distributions. Its particular form
is determined by its degrees of freedom. Degrees of freedom refer to the number of
independent observations in a given set of data. The number of independent
observations is sample size minus one or in symbols, that is df= n-1 where df is the
degree of freedom and n is the sample size. Hence, given a sample size of 9 will have a
degree of freedom 8 and if given a degree of freedom of 14 will mean a sample size of
3
15. However, for some or other applications, degrees of freedom can be calculated in a
different way.
Moreover, some properties of t-distribution are that the mean distribution is equal
to 0 and its variance is greater than 1 although close to 1. T- distribution is the same as
the standard normal distribution given with infinite degrees of freedom.
With any statistic that have a bell- shaped distribution which is approximately
normal, the t-distribution can be used. This means that the population distribution must
be normal, symmetric, unimodal and no outliers. Also, the t-distribution can still be
utilized for moderately skewed population distribution given that it is unimodal, without
outliers and size is at least 40. Lastly, the t-distribution can be applied for a size greater
than 40 and without outliers.
The t- distribution Table
In order to get the t- value, a t-distribution table is shown above which is consist
of the degrees of freedom (df) which are the numbers at the leftmost column, “α”
which is some of the special areas at the topmost row and the t-values which are
located at the right of the degrees of freedom and below “α”.
4
the leftmost column. The intersection of α =0.05 and df= 8 is 1.860. (see illustration
below)
df α 0.1 0.05
1 3.078 6.314
2 1.886 2.920
⋮ ⋮ ⋮
8 1.397 1.860
Activity 1
Determine what is asked based on the given data below.
1. n= 14 α =0.1 t (α ,df )=
2. df= 10 α =0.025 t (α ,df )=
3.t (α ,df )= 2.052 α =0.025 n=
4. Find the t-value when μ=42, x=44, s= 5 and n=25.
df α 0.1
1 3.078
2 1.886
⋮ ⋮
13 1.350
5
2. df= 10 α =0.025 t (α ,df )=2.228
0
.
df α 0.1 0.05 0
2
5
1 3.078 6.314
2 1.886 2.920
⋮ ⋮ ⋮
10 2
.
1.372 1.812 2
2
8
0
.
df α 0.1 0.05 0
2
5
1 3.078 6.314
2 1.886 2.920
⋮ ⋮ ⋮
27 2
.
1.372 1.812 0
2
5
Since: df= 27
df= n – 1
27= n – 1
27+1= n (Addition Property of Equality)
n= 28
6
4. Find the t-value when μ=42, x=44, s= 5 and n=25.
(x−μ) ( 44−42) 2
t= 2(5)
s = 5 = 5 = =2
5
√n √25 5
1. n= 20 α =0.005 t (α ,df )=
2. df= 28 α =0.01 t (α ,df )=
3. Find the t-value when μ=18.5, x=19, s= 2.5 and n=16.
1. n= 25 α =0.01 t (α ,df )=
2. df= 4 α =0.025 t (α ,df )=
3.t (α ,df )= 2.763 α =0.005 df=
4.t (α ,df )= 2.5 α =0.01 n=
5. Find the t-value when μ=127, x=120 , s= 14 and n=18.
7
Assessment (Post test)
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use a separate sheet of paper.
8
Key Answers
Pretest Enrichment Activity
1. A 1.2.861
2. C
3. B 2. 2.467
4. D
5. D 3. 0.8
Generalization
1. Assuming that the data are approximately or normally distributed, t-distribution will
be used if sample size is small enough, and/or variance of the population is
unknown.
2. Some properties of t-distribution are: the mean distribution is equal to zero and
variance is greater than 1 although close to 1.
9
Identifying Percentiles Using
Lesson
2 t-Distribution
10
What I Know (Pretest)...
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use the t-table at the appendix as needed. Use a separate sheet
of paper.
What’s In (Review)
In the previous lessons, you learned about t- distribution in which there are
properties on when it can be used. Also, you learned that as sample size increases, the
t-distribution tends to approach normality or z-distribution.
What’s New
11
Percentile is one of the measurements in statistics which tells the value below in
which an observations’ percentage in a set of observations falls. For example, you
score 70 in an exam and it was mentioned that you scored at the 85 th percentile, it
means that 85% of the scores are below you and 15% of the scores are above you.
Activity 1
Determine what is asked based on the given data below.
df α 0.05
1 6.314
2 2.920
⋮ ⋮
13 1.771
12
2. df= 10 Percentile= 90th t (α ,df )= 1.372
Since the degrees of freedom is given already, we can now identify the 90 th
percentile which is 1.372.
df α 0.1
1 3.078
2 1.886
⋮ ⋮
10 1.372
13
9. n= 9 Percentile= 99th t (α ,df )=
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use the t-table at the appendix as needed. Use a separate sheet
of paper.
a. 2.131 c. 2.145
14
b. 2.160 d. 2.120
th
3. What is the 99.5 percentile in a t-distribution with 9 degrees of freedom?
a. 2.764 c. 3.169
b. 3.250 d. 2.821
4. What is the 5th percentile in a t-distribution with 10 degrees of freedom?
a. -1.363 c. -1.372
b. -1.796 d. -1.812
5. What is the 2.5th percentile in a t-distribution with a sample size of 7?
a. 2.447 c. -2.776
b. -2.776 d. -2.447
Key Answers
Pretest Enrichment Activity
1. D
1. 2.977 6. 1.356
2. B
2. 2.060 7. 2.567
3. A
3. 2.861 8. 3.499
4. C
4. 1.96 9. 2.896
5. C
5. 1.533 10. 1.96
Generalization
1. -1.328 1. A
2. -2.060 2. C
3.1.328 3. B
4. -1.645 4. D
5. 2.132 5. D
15
Lesson Length of Confidence Interval
3
16
What I Know (Pretest)...
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use the t-table and z-table at the appendix as needed. Use a
separate sheet of paper.
17
What’s In (Review)
In the previous lessons, you learned that t-distribution can be used in determining
percentile of a certain data. It tells you the value at which a certain percentage your data
is included. However, it has also disadvantages as it may confuse individuals on how it
is different from percentage of the real score and as it indicates ranking among group of
data.
What’s New
Estimating consists of either giving a certain value or giving an interval. When an
interval estimate has an attached confidence coefficient, it will be called confidence
interval. Confidence interval is a range with lower limit and upper limit used to estimate
population parameter. The lower and the upper limit of the interval is within the certain
level of confidence.
To get the confidence interval, we use either of the following:
• x± Zα ( )
σ
2 √n
∨x−Z α
( )
σ
2 √n
( )
< μ< x + Z α
2 √n
σ
for estimating population mean when variance is
known or sample size is greater than 30; or
( ( )) (
• x ± t α ,n−1 x
(2 ) √n
s
∨x − t α
( ))
x
( 2 , n−1 ) √ n
s
(
< μ< x+ t α
( )) x
s
( 2 , n−1 ) √ n
for estimating population
mean when variance is unknown and sample size is less than 30 where;
x = sample mean
σ = population standard deviation
n = sample size
Zα
( )σ
2 √n
∨t α
( )
x
s
( 2 ,n−1) √ n
= margin of error- refers to the maximum allowable difference
18
Identifying and Computing Length of Confidence Interval
Example 1: Confidence level= 95% σ= 9 n= 20 x = 56
Solution:
= x−Z α( )
σ
2 √n
< μ< x+ Z α( )
σ
2 √n
( ( )) ( ( ))
= 56 – Z 0.05
2
9
√20
< μ<56+ Z 0.05
2
9
√ 20
= 56 – (1.96 (
√20 )) ( ( √ 20 ))
9 9
< μ<56+ 1.96
(
( 2 ) √n( )) ( ( ))
= x− t α ,n−1 x
s
< μ< x + t α
( 2 ) √n
,n−1
x
s
( ( ) √25 ) ( ( ) √ 25 ))
= 30− t 0.05
2
x
( 3
, 25−1 ) < μ< 30+ t 0.05
2
x
(
, 25−1
3
( ( √25 )) ( ( √ 25 ))
¿ 30− t x
3
( 0.025,24 ) < μ< 30+ t x
( 0.025,24 )
3
= 30−(2.064 x (
√ 25 )) ( ( √25 ))
3 3
< μ<30+ 2.064 x
Activity 1
Identify the confidence interval estimate and compute its width based on the
given data below.
19
Solution
1. σ= 12.5
C
on
fid
en
ce
le
ve
l=
90
%
n= x = 42
64
¿ x−Z α
( √σn )< μ< x+ Z ( √σn )
2
α
2
¿ 42−Z
( 12.5
0.1
√ 64
2
) < μ< 42+Z 0.1
2
( √ 64 )
12.5
¿ 42−Z
( 12.5
0.1
√ 64
2
) < μ< 42+Z 0.1
2
( √ 64 )
12.5
20
( ( ) √n ) ( ( ) √n ))
= x− t α
2
(
,n−1
s
) x< μ< x + t x
α
2
( s
,n−1
= 21−( t x
( √1510 ))< μ< 21+(t x ( √1510 ))
( 0.01,9 ) ( 0.01,9 )
= 21−(2.821 x ( ) (
) ( √ 10 ))
15 15
< μ<21+ 2.821 x
√ 10
= 21−13.38< μ <21+ 13.38
= 7.62< μ<34.38
Therefore, confidence interval is from 7.62 to 34.38 with a width of 26.76.
3. σ= 10
C
on
fid
en
ce
le
ve
l=
95
%
n= x = 23.5
40
¿ x−Z α
( √σn )< μ< x+ Z ( √σn )
2
α
2
¿ 23.5−Z
( √1040 )< μ<23.5+ Z ( √1040 )
0.05
2
0.05
2
¿ 23.5−1.96
( √1040 )< μ<23.5+1.96 ( √1040 )
¿ 23.5−1.96 ( ) < μ<23.5+1.96 (
√ 40 )
10 10
√ 40
¿ 23.5−1.96
( √1040 )< μ<23.5+1.96 ( √1040 )
¿ 23.5−3.1< μ< 23.5+3.1
¿ 20.4< μ< 26.6
Therefore, confidence interval is from 20.4 to 26.6 with a width of 6.2.
21
4. s= 3
C
on
fid
en
ce
le
ve
l=
99
%
n= x = 28
15
( ( ) √n ) ( ( ) √n )
= x− t α
2
(
,n−1
s
x ) < μ< x + t α
2
x( )
,n−1
s
( ( ) ( √15 )) ( ( ) ( √15 ))
= 28− t 0.01
2
x
,15−1
3
< μ<28+ t 0.01
2
x
3
,15−1
= 28−( t x
( √315 ))< μ< 28+(t x ( √315 ))
( 0.005,14 ) ( 0.005,14 )
= 28−(2.977 x ( ) (
) ( √ 15 ))
3 3
< μ< 28+ 2.977 x
√ 15
= 28−( 2.31 )< μ <28+ ( 2.31 )
= 25.69< μ<30.31
Therefore, confidence interval is from 25.69 to 30.31 with a width of 4.62.
22
What I have learned (Generalization)
1. A study was conducted to determine the average salary of a teacher. With this,
81 teachers were invited as samples. It was known that the mean salary of
these sample teachers is P24,000 with a standard deviation P1,000. Construct
a 90% confidence interval estimate for the average salary of all teachers.
2. The average hour spent in computer by 20 senior high school students during
online class is 7 hours with a standard deviation of 2 hours. Construct a 98%
confidence interval of the average hour spent by all senior high school
students. Identify the width of the interval.
Direction: Read the following questions carefully and choose the letter of your
answer. Use the t-table and z-table at the appendix as needed. Use a
separate sheet of paper.
23
1. What is the range used to estimate the population parameter with an
attached confidence coefficient?
a. Point Estimate c. Margin of Error
b. Confidence Interval d. Statistical Inference
2. Compute the 65% interval estimate of μ given σ =6.4 , n=40, and x=42.
a. 41.06 < µ < 42.94 c. 39.92 < µ < 43.98
b. 40.31 < µ < 42.89 d. 40.27 < µ < 43.93
3. Compute the 98% interval estimate of μ given s=3, n=15 and x=¿ 18
a. 14.97 < µ < 21.03 c. 14.97 < µ < 21.03
b. 15.57 < µ < 20.53 d. 15.97 < µ < 20.03
4. Compute the 95% interval estimate of μ given s=9, n=10 and x=¿115.
a. 109.56 < µ < 120.44 c. 108.56 < µ < 121.44
b. 109.54 < µ < 120.46 d. 108.54 < µ < 121.46
5. A sample of 50 Asian women showed a mean height of 60 inches. If it is
known that the standard deviation of heights of Asian women is 2.5 inches,
construct 70% confidence interval estimate for the height of all Asian women
a. 59.64 < µ < 60.36 c. 59.52 < µ < 60.48
b. 58.64 < µ < 61.36 d. 58.52 < µ < 61.48
6. Based on question number 5, how long is the interval?
a. 1.72 c. 0.96
b. 0.72 d. 2.96
Key Answers
Pretest Enrichment Activity
1. B 1. 1.729
2. D
3. C 2. 2.467
4. A
5. A 3. 0.8
6. B
Generalization
Post test
1. B
2. A
3. D
4. C
5. A
6. B
25
- Computing the appropriate sample size using the length of the interval;and
- Solve problems involving sample size determination
Direction: Read the following questions carefully. Identify the appropriate sample size
of each problem and choose the letter of your answer. Use z-table at the
appendix as needed. Use a separate sheet of paper.
26
4. Given: d= 2.4 CI= 98% σ= 6.4 n=?
a. 29 c. 31
b. 30 d. 32
5. To estimate the mean price of e-books of senior high schools, with a
standard deviation of P80, how many e-books are needed to be selected as
samples if we wanted to be 95% confident that the sample mean of e-books
is within P20 of the true population
a. 59 c. 61
b. 60 d. 62
What’s In (Review)
In the previous lessons, you learned to identify and compute the length of
confidence interval and on how it is different from the other estimations.
What’s New
In estimating, especially on confidence interval, sample mean, margin of error or
maximum allowable deviation, population variance and sample size are essential to get
a more scientific hypothesis (educated guess) of the true value, the population mean.
27
probability or non-probability sampling, must be taken at least to its minimum need to go
through the study. With this, the researcher/s will be able to make a feasible conclusion
about the parameter of a certain population being studied.
In order to solve for the least number of sample size given a certain confidence
interval, this formula can be used:
( )
2
σ
n= Z α x
2 d
( ( ))
2
σ
n = Zα x
2
d
( ( ))
2
10
= Z 0.15 x
2
2
2
= ( 1.44 x ( 5 ) )
=( 7.2 )2
n = 51.84 ≈ 52 samples
Therefore, you need 52 samples in order to achieve an 85% confidence
level.
(Note: If the computed sample size has a decimal part, it must be rounded off to the
next higher integer as samples need to be whole number.
Solution:
Given: σ = 5
CI= 99%
d=2
( ( ))
2
σ
n = Zα x
2
d
28
( ( ))
2
5
= Z 0.01 x
2
2
2
= ( 2.575 x ( 2.5 ))
= ( 6.44 )2
n = 41.47
n ≈ 42
Activity 1
Identify the number of samples needed in each problem.
( d ))
(
2
σ
n = Zα x
2
= ( Z x ( ))
2
55
0.07
2
12
2
= ( 8.3 )
= 68.89 ≈ 69
Therefore, 69 samples are needed in order to achieve a 93%
confidence level.
2. Given: d= 15 CI= 99.5% σ= 70 n=?
29
( ( ))
2
σ
n = Zα x
2
d
( ( ))
2
70
= Z 0.005 x
2
15
2
= ( 2.81 x ( 4.67 ) )
=( 13.11 )2
= 171.87 ≈ 172 samples
( ( ))
2
σ
n = Zα x
2
d
( ( ))
2
2000
= Z 0.04 x
2
450
2
= ( 2.05 x ( 4.44 ) )
= ( 9.1 )2
= 82.81
≈ 83 samples
30
What I have learned (Generalization)
2. During the pandemic, the LGU gave cash assistance to those who individuals
who were badly affected. It was said that the cash assistance is normally
distributed with a standard deviation of P500. If a concerned citizen wanted to
know if it is true with 97% confidence level within P300 of the true population
mean, how many individuals does he need as samples?
Direction: Read the following questions carefully. Identify the appropriate sample size
of each problem and choose the letter of your answer. Use z-table at the
appendix as needed. Use a separate sheet of paper.
31
2. Given: Margin of error (d)= 2.19, Confidence interval (CI) of population mean
= 90%, and population standard deviation (σ)= 5 solve for the appropriate
sample size.
a. 13 c. 15
b. 14 d. 16
3. Given: d= 3.92 CI= 94% σ= 7 n=?
a. 25 c. 27
b. 26 d. 28
4. Given: d= 2.4 CI= 98% σ= 6.4 n=?
a. 28 c. 30
b. 29 d. 31
5. To estimate the mean price of e-books of senior high schools, with a
standard deviation of P80, how many e-books are needed to be selected as
samples if we wanted to be 95% confident that the sample mean of e-books
is within P20 of the true population
a. 60 c. 62
b. 61 d. 63
Key Answers
Pretest Enrichment Activity
1. C 1. 1,447
2. A
3. B 2. 2,272
4. C
5. D 3. 141
Generalization
1. 373 1. B
2. C
2. 14 3. A
4. D
5. C
Appendix
33
34
Sources:
Banigon, Ricardo B., et al. Statistics and Probability for Senior High
School. Educational Resources Corporation, 2018
https://stattrek.com/probability-distributions/t-distribution.aspx
https://www.dummies.com/education/math/statistics/how-to-find-
percentiles-for-a-t-distribution/
35
MODULE WRITER’S PROFILE
Position : TEACHER II
Educational Attainment:
District : Jasaan
36