FMPMC 411 Module 3
FMPMC 411 Module 3
Engage:
FUTURES MARKET
Futures Market are places (exchanges) to buy and sell futures contract.
Examples:
FUTURES CONTRACT
A futures contract is an agreement to buy (if you are in long position) or sell (if you are
short) something in the future, at an agreed upon price (the futures price).
Futures exist on financial assets (debt instruments, currencies, stock indexes), and real
assets (gold, crude oil, wheat, cattle, cotton, etc.)
Explore:
Key Concept:
Seller of the contract
Buyer of the contract
Underlying instrument
Expiration Date
Size
Delivery cycle
The spot price of the underlying asset
Settlement mechanism
Basic Types of Futures
Contract
a. Speculation
Speculators may attempt to profit from the major movements in the market.
(fundamental or technical analysis)
Speculators are often blamed for big price swings in the futures market. (law of
supply and demand)
b. Hedging
Used to minimize or manage market risks of an existing large diversified
portfolio. (portfolio insurance)
Does not seek profit by trading securities futures but rather seek to stabilize the
revenues or costs of their business operations.
c. Arbitraging
Simultaneous buy/sell program trading where there is a profitable difference
between index futures and stocks presented in the underlying index.
3. Commodity Futures
Agreement that provide for the delivery of a specific amount of a commodity at a
designated time in the future at a given price.
Almost all commodities future contract are closed out ore reserved before the actual
delivery date occurs.
1. They can be used by companies or sole proprietors to remove the exchange rate risk
inherent in the cross-border transactions.
2. They can be used by investors to speculate and profit from currency exchange rate
fluctuations.
1. An intermediary that guarantees that traders in the future will honor their obligation.
2. It acts as the buyer to every seller and seller to every buyer.
3. Owned by futures exchanges/markets
The Margin
futures margin is the minimum amount of funds required in your trading account to initiate a
buy or sell futures position.
Types of Margin
1. Initial margin – This is the minimum amount set by a futures exchange platform to
enter a futures position.
2. Maintenance margin – This refers to the amount that you must maintain at any given
time in your trading account to cover potential losses on your positions.
3. Day trade margins – This is basically an initial margin for a full day’s trade. This
means it is the minimum amount required to day trade a contract.
4. Position trade or overnight margins – This is the margin required to hold your
position past the closing time of the market and into the next trading day.
Settlement price
Average of the prices of the trades during the last period of trading (closing period)
Set by the exchange to prevent manipulation of prices by the traders.
Used to make calculations at the end of each trading day.
Elaborate:
Example 1:
Assuming you go long on the futures contracts for XYZ stock trading at $10 covering
100 shares and required 20% initial deposit. How much is the initial margin required?
Answer:
Example 2:
Following up from the first example. Assuming at the end of the first trading day, XYZ
stock rises to $10.10. What would be the Margin Balance?
Answer:
Example 2:
Following up from the above example. Assuming at the end of the second trading day,
XYZ stock drops to $9.90. How much would be the margin balance?
Answer:
Actual Price of underlying asset when maintenance margin will be hit = Stock Price -
(Initial Margin - Maintenance Margin)
Example:
Price of the stock when maintenance margin will be hit = $217.89 – (54.47 –
43.58) = 217.89 – 10.89 = $207
This means that when your $16,341 paid as initial margin drops down to below
$13,074, you would receive a margin call to top up variation margin. This happens
when AAPL stock drops to $207.
Example: Consider a long position of five July wheat contracts, each of which covers 5,
000 bushels. Assume that the contract price is $2.00 and that each contract requires an
initial margin deposit of $150 and a maintenance margin of $100. The total initial margin
required for the 5-contract trade is $750. The maintenance margin for the account is
$500. Compute the margin balance for this position after a 2-cent decrease in price on
Day 1, a 1-cent increase in price on Day 2, and 1-cent decrease in price on Day 3.
Answer:
Each contract is for 5,000 bushels so that a price change of $0.01 per bushel
changes the contract value by $50, or $250 for the five contracts: (0.01)(5)(5,000)
= $250.00.
1. Through Delivery
The location for delivery, terms of delivery, and details of what is exactly to be delivered
are all specified in the contract.
2. Cash Settlement
The futures account is marked-to-market based on the settlement price on the last day of
trading
3. Reverse or Offsetting
If you make an exact opposite trade (maturity, quantity, and good) to your current
position, the clearinghouse will net your positions out, leaving you with zero balance.
1. Treasury Bills
Based on a $1million face value 90-day
Settled in cash
Price quotes are 100% minus the annualized discount in percent on the T-bills
Example:
A price quote of 98.52 represents an annualized discount of 1.48%. What is the actual
discount from the face? How much is the delivery price?
Answer:
Actual discount = 0.0148 x (90/360) = 0.0037
Delivery price = (1 – 0.0037) x 1 million = $996, 300
2. Eurodollar Futures
Based on a 90-day LIBOR
Price quotes are 100%-annualized LIBOR in percent
Cash settled
Minimum price change is one “tick” (.01% of the face value of the contract which is
equivalent to $25)
Example:
A quote of 97.60% corresponds to an annualized LIBOR of (100% – 97.60) = 2.4% and
an effective 90-day yield of 2.4%/4 = 0.6%
If you took a long position at 98.52 and the price fell to 98.50, how much is the long’s
loss?
Answer:
Example:
An index level of 1,000, what is the value of each contract?
If a long stock index futures position on S& P 500 index futures at 1, 051 and has an
index of 1, 058 at the settlement date, how much would be the trader’s gain?
Answer:
5. Currency Futures
Smaller in volume than the forward currency market
Contract are set in units of the foreign currency
Price is stated in USD/unit
Example:
The size of the peso contract is MXP500, 000, and the euro contract is on EUR125, 000.
How much would be the gain of loss on MXP500, 000 unit contract and on EUR125, 000
unit contract if the change in the price of the currency unit is USD0.0001?
Answer:
Elaborate:
In a short bond paper differentiate Forward contract and future contract through an illustrative example.
Evaluate:
(A quiz will be administered to assess your learning and it will be sent in a separate mail or
posted at google classroom based on the activity schedule.)