Case 1 - SuperMart Case Study
Case 1 - SuperMart Case Study
Contents
Background to SuperMart ........................................................................................................... 4
SuperMart and GlobalStores - financial information for years ended during
2018 ................................................................................................................................................ 6
Sustainability ................................................................................................................................... 8
Preparation for a strategy meeting ......................................................................................... 9
The strategy meeting ................................................................................................................. 12
Exhibit 1 .......................................................................................................................................... 14
Summary financial statements circulated by Mohammad Hafeez, Financial
Director ........................................................................................................................................ 14
Exhibit 2 .......................................................................................................................................... 16
Basic financial data for the top 5 Europe supermarket groups for years ended
during 2018 ................................................................................................................................ 16
Exhibit 3 .......................................................................................................................................... 19
Memorandum – information systems and home shopping ....................................... 19
Your role as a consultant........................................................................................................... 20
Exhibit 4 .......................................................................................................................................... 20
Memorandum - Developing USA Operations .................................................................. 20
Exhibit 5 .......................................................................................................................................... 22
Memorandum - Home Shopping Operations .................................................................. 22
Exhibit 6 .......................................................................................................................................... 22
Memorandum - Future International Operations .......................................................... 22
Appendix A.................................................................................................................................. 23
Report - Assessment of Europe supermarkets .......................................................... 23
Exhibit 7 .......................................................................................................................................... 25
Memorandum - Update on current performance .......................................................... 25
Exhibit 8 .......................................................................................................................................... 25
Memorandum - The new earnings forecast .................................................................... 25
GlobalStores, which is also incorporated and based in the USA, had originally been
a smaller rival of SuperMart, but had been an early developer of self-service
grocery stores. GlobalStores continued to innovate, developing larger stores. It
found that labour savings increased, and that a wider range of groceries and
general merchandise could be sold in these stores without excessive stockholding
costs. The customers liked this, and were also attracted by the first out-of-town
stores, which were even larger, and provided easy and free car parking for
customers, avoiding town centre congestion. Customers were no longer limited to
buying what they could carry away by public transport; they could, if they wished,
fill their cars.
GlobalStores had, many years ago, overtaken SuperMart to become the largest
and most profitable supermarket group in the USA.
The last published quarterly “like for like” sales growth figures (that is, for
comparable stores, excluding new openings) show that GlobalStores is growing at
a rate of over 5% each year in these terms, whilst SuperMart is achieving under
2%. To this must be added the vast area of new sales space being built each year
by GlobalStores. It is also expanding overseas very rapidly, and is rumoured to be
likely to make further acquisitions. Supermarkets were also being criticised for
holding ‘land banks’, which is land they own that could be developed into a
supermarket. Supermarkets often purchased land simply to stop a competitor
building a store in the area. GlobalStores had a significant holding of land with
planning permission for development in areas where the target customer groups
were being encouraged to locate.
SuperMart has also come under pressure from other fast-growing competitors,
which have either prospered by being more “up market”, in an era of growing
affluence, or have built very strong regional market shares. Some of these now
appear to be able to buy at least as effectively as SuperMart, and have a significant
number of ‘in-town’ convenience stores. The supermarket industry is currently
undergoing a change in terms of shopping habits. Growth in ‘click and collect’ and
online shopping has continued in most of the markets in which SuperMart
operates, but city analysts think that SuperMart has been slow to recognise this.
An innovation by some supermarkets is the growth of the ‘dark stores’. These are
located in cities on major traffic routes in and out of the city, typically used by
commuter traffic, and are stores designed to allow customers to collect their
shopping on their way home from work. Although these stores are not open to the
public for general shopping, they are set out like a normal supermarket, as this
enables a similar range of products to be stocked, and the store layout facilitates
the picking of goods by the staff who prepare the orders for collection by the
customers, who are able to ‘drive through’ and collect their shopping from a
collection point.
Another worrying trend is that foreign companies, those not previously operating
in the USA, have captured a significant segment of the low cost market. These
were quite small companies a few years ago but their growth rates have been very
Sustainability
The supermarket industry has been under fire from the media and consumer
groups in recent years, and the USA, like many countries has experienced a
growing concern with obesity within its population. The types of food sold by
supermarkets has been heavily criticised, as has the amount of packaging and
food wastage. SuperMart has attempted to respond by actively seeking ways to
reduce food wastage. However, problems with the supply chain and poor
information systems creating stock-outs sometimes encourages over ordering,
which then leads to high levels of food waste. Consumer bodies are quick to
highlight this, which exposes internal problems to the outside world. However,
sustainability is not just about food wastage and eating habits but involves close
working relationships with suppliers to reduce transport costs, production and
processing costs, packaging and food presentation. It is also about reducing the
carbon footprint throughout the whole supply chain and trading responsibly.
Recent government promises to legislate to ban the use of single use plastics in
packaging has sent shock waves through the industry.
Working closely with suppliers is seen as a positive step in that it can reduce costs
through improved communication and increased efficiencies but unless suppliers
adopt similar policies and commitments to reduce carbon, change processing
practices, find new sustainable methods and materials for packaging, etc., it is
difficult to make it work in practice. SuperMart have found that it does not have
the buyer power it used to have and is not able to insist that suppliers adopt
sustainable policies if they wish to trade responsibly with SuperMart. There is a
danger that if SuperMart is too insistent it will make suppliers unwilling to work
closely with them if they feel they can make a higher margin by supplying
Susan Paine (VP Human Resources) also included elements in the CSR report
about being a responsible employer and ensuring jobs were sustainable, and that
SuperMart would strive to make a positive social and economic contribution by
working closely with the local communities in which it operates.
As the reporting of its sustainable activities is limited now, SuperMart does not
have any specific performance measures or control systems in place to effectively
monitor the degree to which it is achieving any degree of sustainability in its
operations. However, Susan Paine is supported by the Chief Executive Officer,
Christiana Tasousa, that SuperMart should strive to be seen as a sustainable
company, i.e., one that takes its responsibility seriously.
Heinrick Volkler is head of compliance and was formerly the partner within
SuperMart’s auditors with responsibility for SuperMart. He is concerned that, while
SuperMart’s accounts met all relevant standards, and presented no problems to
his former firm, he would have preferred a more conservative view to be taken on
certain issues. In particular, he is concerned that SuperMart appears to depreciate
investments in store fittings and information technology more slowly than
GlobalStores. The effect of this would be that the charge for depreciation to the
accounts is lower than GlobalStores which means that the lower profits of
SuperMart is even more worrying. Also, GlobalStores will potentially replace the
equipment more regularly than SuperMart adding to the problem that SuperMart
is seen as old-fashioned and out of touch with modern technology. He is also
concerned by differences in accounting for pension liabilities, as SuperMart has
proportionately many more long-service employees than GlobalStores. The
treatment of supplier payments and the early recognition of revenue, (e.g.,
recognising revenue at full sales price, and delaying the impact of promotional
discounts until payment is made to the supplier, which has the effect of distorting
revenues across accounting periods) by some of the competitors has also been a
cause for concern among city analysts and there is talk of a potential fraud case
being made against one particular competitor. Heinrick is confident that SuperMart
has accounted correctly for revenue and payments to suppliers, but he is
concerned that it could damage supplier relationships if the publicity raises
suspicion about the practices of supermarkets.
Christiana Tasousa is 60. She has been Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of SuperMart
for four years, the culmination of a lifetime working for the company. Her career
Mohammad Hafeez had been appointed VP Finance two years ago, having
previously been an audit partner with the auditors, but not directly concerned with
the SuperMart audit. He found the accounting system to be rather old-fashioned.
He hoped to develop a new integrated system as part of any (much overdue)
information systems update. He understood the concerns expressed by Heinrick
Volkler regarding depreciation and pension liabilities. He felt uneasy in discussions
with the institutional investors and financial analysts, who were always seeking
“guidance” on likely future statements on profits, although profits had been stable
and predictable. When asked further questions about future plans, he did not
respond. The accounts for 2018 were still not finalised, but he had circulated,
before the meeting, a summary statement, showing very limited progress in a
difficult market. (This financial statement is given as Exhibit 1).
Zhang Yixing had been appointed as VP Operations Director - USA, four years ago.
He is responsible for controlling the stores through a structure of regional offices,
and has responsibility for sales policy and sales promotions in USA. Previously he
had been a Purchasing Manager for eight years. While he has been in the company
all his working life, he does not share Christiana Tasousa’s view of present
operations. If he had the opportunity to succeed Christiana Tasousa as CEO, he
would like to cut staff considerably and close many of the smaller stores. He would
like to carry out such a policy now, but sees no prospect of gaining support.
Victor Adebowale was appointed VP Information Systems two years ago. He had
previously held a similar position with a major European supermarket group,
where he had installed new advanced systems. He had been appointed by
SuperMart with the implied brief to modernise its systems, but he was uncertain
whether he could persuade the executive team to authorise the very considerable
investment required. Part of the problem related to the limited success to date of
the on-line home shopping development in USA. SuperMart had been very late
Michael Chang is Chief Purchasing Officer. He had moved into this role four years
ago after a career in purchasing with other major groups. He found that SuperMart
valued relationships with old established suppliers, and that other senior
managers tended to intervene to protect their old friends whenever he wished to
change suppliers. He felt that he was achieving little, and was tentatively looking
for a move to another group, that would allow him more latitude to make an
impact. He felt there was scope for reducing buying prices with a much stronger
approach to managing the supply chain. Even 1% would be very big money.
Amelie Poulain had joined SuperMart two years ago as the first person to hold the
appointment of VP International Operations. At 40 years, she was the youngest of
those to attend the meeting. Her career had been in supermarket management
and regional management, including three years in Canada. She found the present
overseas operations to be a “dreadful muddle”, with no clear strategy, and no
clear rationale for why the various investments had been made. Some investments
had been sound and traded profitably. Others were at best marginal. All were quite
small. While overall, they added up to 12% of SuperMart’s turnover, they
contributed less than 2% of the profit. SuperMart’s market share did not exceed
3% in any of the international markets in which it traded. Ideally, she would sell
most of the present overseas stores, retaining only the most profitable operations,
and then persuade SuperMart to make a major overseas investment. (Exhibit 2
includes information that Amelie has gathered about competitor stores in Europe).
Susan Paine had been recently been appointed VP Human Resources and had not
been involved before in a meeting such as that planned. She was uncertain of
quite what to expect, but was preparing papers on matters that concerned her, in
case there was an opportunity to raise them. In particular, she wished to raise the
case for a policy of allowing early retirement for some long-service employees to
provide scope to recruit younger staff, especially from ethnic minorities, even
though she did not think the CEO would be enthusiastic. She would also like to
get involved with SuperMart’s operations outside USA, to achieve a universal
employment policy. It appeared that in many countries, staff enjoyed far greater
job security and holiday entitlements than did SuperMart staff in USA. The
Government had also pushed for companies to increase the minimum wage to
what it referred to as a ‘living wage’. A competitor had recently stated that it was
going to increase its pay to employees to levels above the ‘living wage’ from next
year. Based on information that Susan’s staff had managed to find out through
industry contacts, if SuperMart followed this step it would add approximately $5m
to SuperMart’s wage bill. Susan also wanted to push the sustainable policies more
as, with the recent focus on these issues in the media, there was an opportunity
for SuperMart to differentiate itself from the market by promoting a sustainable
The CEO, reporting on current trading, and short-term forecasts indicated that
like-for-like sales in the current quarter were expected to rise by up to 2%.
However, GlobalStores was showing a much stronger trend, and may be growing
by 5% to 7% each year in terms of like-for-like sales. Including the new stores
being built each year, GlobalStores is growing in total at well in excess of 15%
each year. SuperMart profits would probably be no more than static at best, and
may fall slightly. He regarded maintaining the dividend as a priority, even it if
meant restraining investment.
Heinrick Volkler commented that this could only lead to a further fall in the share
price.
The President then opened the meeting for wider discussion, seeking suggestions
for the way ahead.
Both the CEO and the VP Human Resources stressed the importance of having due
regard for employees in difficult times, and protecting their interest as far as
possible. SuperMart had a deserved reputation as a good employer; this could
easily be lost.
The VP Finance raised the question of whether pressure should be put on suppliers
to provide extended trade credit to finance refurbishment. Anne Marie McTavish,
an independent consultant who the President had invited to the meeting,
wondered whether the anti-trust authorities would accept this, but thought that it
could be possible, provided that the credit taken did not extend beyond that taken
by close competitors. This information was not available, and needed to be
investigated. The CEO and the Chief Purchasing Officer both commented on the
long-term loyalty and support of many suppliers who had worked with SuperMart,
in some cases for over fifty years.
The question was raised as to who would manage the acquired company. The VP
International Operations stressed the need for good local management, by local
nationals, who understood local customers and tastes. She cited the saying, ‘Think
Global, Act Local’. The CEO stressed the desirability for top jobs to be held by USA
nationals to ease communication with head office.
Heinrick Volkler suggested that a major acquisition within the USA should be
considered. However, no one present had any clear ideas of potential acquisitions
or synergies. This was left for further investigation.
Summing up, the President commented on the need for all ideas to be followed
up for a further meeting as soon as more data was available. He stated that he
would discuss with the CEO what information would be immediately available for
prompt circulation, and a programme for collating further relevant information for
another meeting in two or three months’ time.
Exhibit 1
Summary financial statements circulated by Mohammad Hafeez, VP
Financial
Supermarket group A B C D E
€ billion € billion € billion € billion € billion
Sales 34.10 28.26 16.86 13.36 7.56
Profit before tax 1.75 0.71 0.73 0.52 (0.14)
Less Tax 0.47 0.27 0.24 0.15 (0.11)
Profit after tax 1.258 0.44 0.49 0.37 (0.03)
Supermarket group A B C D E
Europe total stores 697 470 249 488 1,319
Supermarket Extra 297 304 242 160 0
stores*
Europe sales** € 29.8 € 20.2 € 16.2 € 12.8 € 7.56
billion billion billion billion billion
Employees 225 197 109 87 60
(thousands)
Percentage of own brand products sold (figures for years ended during
2018)
Supermarket group A B C D E
Percentage of own 53 62 31 45 48
brand products sold
Supermarket group A B C D E
Supermarket group A B C D E
Percentage 9 8 12 7 (3)
increase/(decrease)
over 1 year
Estimated market 25 18 15 10 6
share %
Online sales as a percentage of total sales are at less than those in the USA, but
are growing rapidly. Most are made by supermarket A, with a store-based
distribution system. Other supermarkets are catching up quickly. In some cases,
dedicated warehouses are being used for order picking and delivery. One
supermarket group (not listed above) probably has some 15 to 20% of the on-
line market and sells itself as the online retailer of choice. Its market share is
growing as the appetite for online grocery shopping increases in Europe.
The present apparent losses on home shopping reflect some operational problems,
and some poor accounting.
The original proposals, assumed that picking (selecting from the shelves the items
ordered by customers and packing them) would be done in slack time by ‘free’
store staff. The cost was ignored in the home shopping proposal. Picking is done
on the basis of when staff have spare time, but is now charged to the home
shopping cost centres, thus reducing the costs of normal store operations. If
dedicated staff were engaged, it would cost the home shopping cost centre no
more than is charged by various stores, and picking would be done when required.
However, store managers would be under further pressure to control their overall
staff costs and would likely reduce the number of staff in-store. I understand from
the accounting staff that a technique of time driven activity-based costing may
provide a better costing of the operation.
On present volumes, the home shopping is unprofitable, but this ignores any
customer gain achieved by internet shoppers also visiting stores. We know that
on average internet customers have a higher average income and spend more per
visit.
$ billion
Sales 43.90
Cost of Goods sold (34.60)
Gross profit 9.30
Store running costs (1.18)
Delivery costs – online
sales (0.50)
Staff costs (2.55)
Marketing (0.86)
Website maintenance costs (0.50)
Administration costs (0.30)
Depreciation (0.92)
Operating profit 2.49
Interest (0.35)
Profit before tax 2.14
***************************************************************
Exhibit 4
Memorandum - Developing USA Operations
To: EMT, SuperMart
I propose that we should simplify operations. I have estimated the effect of the
proposals on operating profits and my thoughts are as follows:
• Close down home shopping and focus on in-store high quality service. I
estimate that this would save approximately $1.1 billion of operating costs
each year, but we would also lose the gross margin (21%) on an estimated
$5 billion of sales (This considers that some customers may buy in-store as
well as online).
• Close all unprofitable stores or marginally profitable stores in USA. This will
mean shutting at least 400 stores with a present turnover of $2.9 billion
and total operating costs $0.8 billion per annum. One off closure cost
relating to building and staff redundancy would amount to $0.5 billion
during the first year of this proposed plan, as the stores are closed and
disposed of.
• Having closed many smaller stores, review head office functions, and see
what can be decentralised to the stores, and what else can be closed down
in head office – a target would be saving $0.05 billion a year.
Prices for small store groups may be quite high – we may find ourselves paying
up to 30 times current after-tax profits. We should be able to produce rapid
increases in profit from better buying and stronger management, especially if we
free up management time by disposing of, or closing, our poorer stores.
To put this in figures, our investment of $1 billion would probably generate profits
of about $25 million before interest and tax. In the second year, we would make
Exhibit 5
Memorandum - Home Shopping Operations
Exhibit 6
Memorandum - Future International Operations
I propose:
Appendix A
Report - Assessment of Europe supermarkets
To: Amelie Poulain, VP International Operations and Members of EMT
SuperMart
From: StrategicsPartners, Merchant Bankers, Europe
Date:
Subject: Assessment of Europe supermarkets.
Supermarket group B, the market leader until a few years ago and the present
‘Number 2’, is a very solid business with a good reputation for quality and
customer service.
While it was always regarded as impregnable, with the large family holdings and
their involvement in management, it is understood, in the strictest confidence,
that this is about to change. A suitable cash (not shares) offer could enable the
family to unravel various family trusts and complex holdings and move away from
There is considerable scope for effective investment in new systems, and B has
considerable scope to extend existing stores, having a number of very large sites
that are not fully utilised. However, the family has decided that it does not wish
to invest any more in the business, and if more investment is needed, this is the
time to sell completely.
You will know the Chief Executive of D – Alfredo Garcia – he used to work for you.
As we understand the matter, some four years ago you restructured, and
combined the two posts of VP Marketing, and VP USA Retail Operations, into the
new post of VP Operations - USA, which he did not succeed in obtaining. He then
left your employment. Subsequently he became CEO for two years of a smallish
supermarket group in Europe, and apparently increased profit there. In the two
years he has been CEO of D, he has certainly made an impact on profits and the
share price. He has followed a policy of special promotions successfully, but never
had the finances to modernise the stores.
We have provided below schedules giving our views of future sales and profits of
the two groups. We would recommend that an acquisition premium of 33% above
the current market capitalisation be assumed in preliminary calculations, although
it may not be as much in practice.
Exhibit 7
Memorandum - Update on current performance
SuperMart’s current trading is not encouraging, and the outlook for the year is not
as good as it appeared in January. The VP Finance current forecast is that earnings
per share for 2019 will be materially below that for 2018 – possibly as low as $
1.25 compared with $ 1.59. This will not leave any dividend cover.
Exhibit 8
When the markets are informed, as they must be, of the new earnings forecast,
there will be a sharp fall in the share price and a fall in the price/earnings ratio.
To maintain investor confidence, a clear and convincing statement of a plan to
improve earnings in the medium term will be essential. A P/E ratio of 20 is the
best that can be expected, and this would result in a share price of $25.
Maintaining even this share price probably depends, to some extent, on
speculation regarding a possible bid for SuperMart from a large foreign group. It
is known that some of these have looked at possible acquisitions in USA.
The city appears to view SuperMart as a defender – it’s time we began to think
more like a prospector.