50.0% 50.

0%
Rights Granted
300 300
FALSE Chance
Applying for Landing Rights
0 150
50.0% 50.0%
Rights Refused
0 0

Government's Possible Decision

70.0% 70.0%
Chance of Success
300 200
FALSE Chance
Further Investment
-100 155
50.0% 15.0%
Rights Granted
300 200
30.0% Chance
Chance of Failure
0 50
50.0% 15.0%
Rights Refused
0 -100
89.0% 70.3%
Chance of Success
300 190
79.0% Chance
Certain/ Further Investment
Decision -100 173.5
166.46 50.0% 4.3%
Rights Granted
300 190
11.0% Chance
Chance of Failure
0 40
50.0% 4.3%
Rights Refused
0 -110
TRUE Chance
Pilot Project
-10 166.46
50.0% 10.5%
Rights Granted
300 290
21.0% Chance
Unlikely / Failure
0 140
50.0% 10.5%
Rights Refused
0 -10