Mountain Man Excel
Mountain Man Excel
Courseware 920573
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Created 1/8/2020
Exhibit 1 Mountain Man 2005 Income Statement
0.0540789
Exhibit 2 Profile of Beer Drinkers by Beer Type by Key Demographics, 2005
Age
21-24 9% 8% 2%
25-34 20% 20% 15%
35-44 24% 23% 19%
45-54 22% 23% 32%
55-64 14% 14% 19%
65+ 12% 12% 13%
Household Income
under $25k 14% 16% 20%
$25k-49.9k 25% 24% 27%
$50k-74.9k 21% 21% 25%
$75k-99.9k 16% 15% 15%
$100k+ 24% 23% 13%
Exhibit 3 Competitive Market Shares in Barrels by Brewer
10041591
Exhibit 4 Beer Consumption by State, 2000 to 2005 (shipments in barrels)
Superpremium (craft
and high-end
domestics) 2,305,847 6.2% 9%
Total Barrels 37,191,077 100.0%
B. Consumption by Origin/Packaging
EAST
CENTRAL
REGION % Total
Imported 4,462,929 12.0%
Domestic - Packaged 29,618,974 79.6%
Domestic - Draught 3,109,174 8.4%
Total Barrels 37,191,077 100.0%
Exhibit 6 Light beer Market Shares and Dominant Brands
A. B.
Light Beer Competitive Market Shares Leading Domestic Light Beer Brands
2005
Market
East Central Region 2005 Market Share East Central Region Share
Anheuser-Busch 49% Bud Light 32.9%
Miller 24% Miller Lite 17.8%
Coors 11% Coors Light 14.7%
Other brands 14% Natural Light 9.8%
Imports 2% Busch Light 6.4%
Total Light Beer 100% Michelob Ultra 5.6%
Milwaukee’s Best Light 3.4%
Other domestic brands 9.4%
Total 100%
C.
Leading Imported Light Beer Brands
Medium 2005
Magazines 23.2
Newspapers 6.6
Newspaper supplements –
Outdoor 51.5
Total Print $81.30
TOTAL $709.10
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Mountain Man Lager 520000 509600 499408 489420 479631
Light beer market in east region 18,744,303 19494075 20273838 21084792 21928183
Mountain man light 0 48735 101369 158136 219282
S.P per barrel MMLAGER and Light 97 97 97 97 97
Revenue MMLAGER 50440000 49431200 48442576 47473724 46524250
Revenue MM Light 0 4727313.2 9832811 15339186 21270338
C.P of MM lager 66.93 66.93 66.93 66.93 66.93
C.p of MM Light 71.62 71.62 71.62 71.62
Fixed Costs for MMLight 1650000 900000 900000 900000
Mountain Man lager Expense 34803600 34107528 33425377 32756870 32101732
Mountain Man Light Expense 0 3490414.2 7260061 11325696 15704965
Total GM 15636400 15323672 15017199 14716855 14422517
Advertisement expense 10995920 10776002 10560482 10349272 10142286
Net GM if they don’t do anything 4640480 4547670.4 4456717 4367583 4280231
NPV ₹ 15,822,354.40
Cannabilization (5%) cost 73273.355 152408.6 237757.4 329690.2
Now, Net GM 4061296.1 5977058 7243315 8615914
NPV ₹ 24,753,835.92
Cannabilization (20%) cost 293093.42 609634.3 951029.5 1318761
Now, Net GM 3841476 5519833 6530043 7626843
NPV ₹ 22,327,212.24
Cannabilization (100%) 1465467.1 3048172 4755148 6593805
Now, Net GM 2669102.4 3081295 2725925 2351799
NPV ₹ 9,385,219.29
2010 SUM(2006-2010)
470039
22805311
285066
97
45593765
27651439
66.93
71.62
900000
31459698
20416454
14134067
9939441
4194626 ₹ 21,846,827.42
428597.3
10101014 ₹ 35,998,597.51
1714389
8815222 ₹ 32,333,416.93
8571946
1957665 ₹ 12,785,787.21
Light beer sales CAGR 4%
Traditional premium beer declining -4%
Cannabalization
5% 20%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Mountain ManRevenue $ 50,000,000.00
Barrels 520000
US market $ 76,725,000.00 $ 75,000,000.00
Advertisement cost $ 750,000.00
SG & A cost $ 900,000.00