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Conditional Probability Activity

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12B 21 Rakkshita
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38 views

Conditional Probability Activity

Uploaded by

12B 21 Rakkshita
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Activity - Probability
Conditional Probability

AIM: To verify conditional probability

MATERIAL REQUIRED: Graph sheet, pencil, scale and color pencils

PRE-REQUISITE KNOWLEDGE: 1.Definition of Probability
2.Intersection of two sets

PROBLEM: 1.A pair of die is thrown. Find the conditional probability of sum is 8
or greater if 4 appears on the first die.

PROCEDURE:
1. Let E= 𝑬𝒗𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒔𝒖𝒎 𝒊𝒔 𝟖 𝒐𝒓 𝒈𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒓
𝟐, 𝟔 , 𝟑, 𝟓 , 𝟑, 𝟔 , 𝟒, 𝟒 , 𝟒, 𝟓 , 𝟒, 𝟔 , 𝟓, 𝟑 , 𝟓, 𝟒 , 𝟓, 𝟓 , 𝟓, 𝟔 ,
E=
𝟔, 𝟐 , 𝟔, 𝟑 , 𝟔, 𝟒 , 𝟔, 𝟓 , (𝟔, 𝟔)
Let F= 𝑬𝒗𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒈𝒆𝒕𝒕𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝟒 𝒐𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒇𝒊𝒓𝒔𝒕 𝒅𝒊𝒆
F= 𝟒, 𝟏 , 𝟒, 𝟐 , 𝟒, 𝟑 , 𝟒, 𝟒 , 𝟒, 𝟓 , (𝟒, 𝟔)
E∩ 𝑭= 𝟒, 𝟒 , 𝟒, 𝟓 , 𝟒, 𝟔)
2. Shade the Squares corresponding to event F with any one color.
3. Shade the squares corresponding to event E which overlaps with F with
some other color F
4. Find n(F) and n(E∩ 𝑭)
5. Required probability is 3/6

𝑬 𝒏(𝑬∩𝒇)
CALCULATION: 𝑷 𝑭
= 𝒏(𝑭)
= 𝟑/𝟔

CONCLUSION: Finding probability of a event E in the restricted sample
space F


Event E

Event F

PROBLEM: A pair of dice are thrown. Find the conditional probability of getting
sum of 2 numbers as prime if the sum I an even number.

1. E= event of getting sum is prime number

1,1 , 1,2 , 1,4 , 1,6 , 2,1 2,3 , 2,5 , 3,2 , 3,4 , 4,1 ,
E=
4,3 , 5,2 , 5,6 , 6,1 , (6,5)

2. F= Event of getting sum as even number.

1,1 , 1,3 , 1,5 , 2,2 , 2,4 , 2,6 , 3,1 , 3,3 , 3,5 , 4,2 ,
F=
4,4 , 4,6 , 5,1 , 5,3 , 5,5 , 6,2 , 6,4 , (6,6)

3. E∩ 𝐹 = (1,1)
4. Required probability is 1/18
! !(!∩!) !
CALCULATION: P = = !"
! !(!)

CONCLUSION: Finding probability of a event E in the restricted sample space F

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