Money and Inflation: Questions For Review
Money and Inflation: Questions For Review
6. The holders of money pay the inflation tax. As prices rise, the real value of the money
that people hold falls—that is, a given amount of money buys fewer goods and services
since prices are higher.
7. The Fisher equation expresses the relationship between nominal and real interest
rates. It says that the nominal interest rate i equals the real interest rate r plus the
inflation rate π:
i = r + π.
This tells us that the nominal interest rate can change either because the real interest
rate changes or the inflation rate changes. The real interest rate is assumed to be unaf-
fected by inflation; as discussed in Chapter 3, it adjusts to equilibrate saving and
investment. There is thus a one-to-one relationship between the inflation rate and the
nominal interest rate: if inflation increases by 1 percent, then the nominal interest rate
also increases by 1 percent. This one-to-one relationship is called the Fisher effect.
If inflation increases from 6 to 8 percent, then the Fisher effect implies that the
nominal interest rate increases by 2 percentage points, while the real interest rate
remains constant.
8. The costs of expected inflation include the following:
a. Shoeleather costs. Higher inflation means higher nominal interest rates, which
mean that people want to hold lower real money balances. If people hold lower
money balances, they must make more frequent trips to the bank to withdraw
money. This is inconvenient (and it causes shoes to wear out more quickly).
b. Menu costs. Higher inflation induces firms to change their posted prices more
often. This may be costly if they must reprint their menus and catalogs.
c. Greater variability in relative prices. If firms change their prices infrequently,
then inflation causes greater variability in relative prices. Since free-market
economies rely on relative prices to allocate resources efficiently, inflation leads to
microeconomic inefficiencies.
d. Altered tax liabilities. Many provisions of the tax code do not take into account the
effect of inflation. Hence, inflation can alter individuals’ and firms’ tax liabilities,
often in ways that lawmakers did not intend.
e. The inconvenience of a changing price level. It is inconvenient to live in a world
with a changing price level. Money is the yardstick with which we measure eco-
nomic transactions. Money is a less useful measure when its value is always
changing.
There is an additional cost to unexpected inflation:
f. Arbitrary redistributions of wealth. Unexpected inflation arbitrarily redistributes
wealth among individuals. For example, if inflation is higher than expected,
debtors gain and creditors lose. Also, people with fixed pensions are hurt because
their dollars buy fewer goods.
9. Hyperinflation is always a reflection of monetary policy. That is, the price level cannot
grow rapidly unless the supply of money also grows rapidly; and hyperinflations do not
end unless the government drastically reduces money growth. This explanation, howev-
er, begs a central question: Why does the government start and then stop printing lots
of money? The answer almost always lies in fiscal policy: When the government has a
large budget deficit (possibly due to a recent war or some other major event) that it can-
not fund by borrowing, it resorts to printing money to pay its bills. And only when this
fiscal problem is alleviated—by reducing government spending and collecting more
taxes—can the government hope to slow its rate of money growth.
10. Real variables are measured in physical units, and nominal variables are measured in
terms of money. Real variables have been adjusted for inflation and are often measured
in terms of constant dollars, while nominal variables are measured in terms of current
dollars. For example, real GDP is measured in terms of constant base-year dollars,
while nominal GDP is measured in current dollars. An increase in real GDP means we
26 Answers to Textbook Questions and Problems
have produced a larger total quantity of goods and services, valued in base-year dollars.
As another example, the real interest rate measures the increase in your purchasing
power, the quantity of goods and services you can buy with your dollars, while the nom-
inal interest rate measures the increase in the amount of current dollars you possess.
The interest rate you are quoted by your bank, say 3 percent, is a nominal rate. If the
inflation rate is 3 percent, then the real interest rate is 5 percent, meaning your pur-
chasing power has only increased by 5 percent and not 8 percent. The quantity of dol-
lars you possess has increased by 8 percent but you can only afford to buy 5 percent
more goods and services with these dollars.
a. To find the average inflation rate the money demand function can be expressed in
terms of growth rates:
% growth Md – % growth P = % growth Y.
The parameter k is a constant, so it can be ignored. The percentage change in
nominal money demand M d is the same as the growth in the money supply
because nominal money demand has to equal nominal money supply. If nominal
money demand grows 12 percent and real income (Y) grows 4 percent then the
growth of the price level is 8 percent.
Chapter 4 Money and Inflation 27
b. From the answer to part (a), it follows that an increase in real income growth will
result in a lower average inflation rate. For example, if real income grows at 6
percent and money supply growth remains at 12 percent, then inflation falls to 6
percent. In this case, a larger money supply is required to support a higher level of
GDP, resulting in lower inflation.
c. If velocity growth is positive, then all else the same inflation will be higher. From
the quantity equation we know that:
% growth M + % growth V = % growth P + % growth Y.
Suppose that the money supply grows by 12 percent and real income grows by 4
percent. When velocity growth is zero, inflation is 8 percent. Suppose now that
velocity grows 2 percent: this will cause prices to grow by 10 percent. Inflation
increases because the same quantity of money is being used more often to chase
the same amount of goods. In this case, the money supply should grow more slow-
ly to compensate for the positive growth in velocity.
5. The major benefit of having a national money is seigniorage—the ability of the govern-
ment to raise revenue by printing money. The major cost is the possibility of inflation,
or even hyperinflation, if the government relies too heavily on seigniorage. The benefits
and costs of using a foreign money are exactly the reverse: the benefit of foreign money
is that inflation is no longer under domestic political control, but the cost is that the
domestic government loses its ability to raise revenue through seigniorage. (There is
also a subjective cost to having pictures of foreign leaders on your currency.)
The foreign country’s political stability is a key factor. The primary reason for
using another nation’s money is to gain stability. If the foreign country is unstable,
then the home country is definitely better off using its own currency—the home econo-
my remains more stable, and it keeps the seigniorage.
6. A paper weapon might have been effective for all the reasons that hyperinflation is bad.
For example, a large increase in the money supply increases shoeleather and menu
costs; it makes relative prices more variable; it alters tax liabilities in arbitrary ways; it
increases variability in relative prices; it makes the unit of account less useful; and
finally, it increases uncertainty and causes arbitrary redistributions of wealth. If the
hyperinflation is sufficiently extreme, it can undermine the public’s confidence in the
economy and economic policy.
Note that if foreign airplanes dropped the money, then the government would not
receive seigniorage revenue from the resulting inflation, so this benefit usually associ-
ated with inflation is lost.
7. The money demand function is given as
d
ÊMˆ Y
ÁË P ˜¯ = L (i, Y ) = 5i .
a. If output Y grows at rate g, then real money balances (M/P)d must also grow at
rate g, given that the nominal interest rate i is a constant.
b. To find the velocity of money, start with the quantity equation MV = PY and
rewrite the equation as V = (PY)/M = (P/M)Y. Now, note that P/M is the inverse of
the real money supply, which is equal to real money demand. Therefore, the veloc-
ity of money is V = (5i/Y) × Y, or V = 5i.
c. If the nominal interest rate is constant, then the velocity of money must be constant.
d. A one-time increase in the nominal interest rate will cause a one-time increase in
the velocity of money. There will be no further changes in the velocity of money.
8. One way to understand Coolidge’s statement is to think of a government that is a net
debtor in nominal terms to the private sector. Let B denote the government’s outstand-
ing debt measured in U.S. dollars. The debt in real terms equals B/P, where P is the
price level. By increasing inflation, the government raises the price level and reduces in
28 Answers to Textbook Questions and Problems
real terms the value of its outstanding debt. In this sense we can say that the govern-
ment repudiates the debt. This only matters, however, when inflation is unexpected. If
inflation is expected, people demand a higher nominal interest rate. Repudiation still
occurs (i.e., the real value of the debt still falls when the price level rises), but it is not
at the expense of the holders of the debt, since they are compensated with a higher
nominal interest rate.
9. Deflation is defined as a fall in the general price level, which is the same as a rise in
the value of money. Under a gold standard, a rise in the value of money is a rise in the
value of gold because money and gold are in a fixed ratio. Therefore, after a period of
deflation, an ounce of gold buys more goods and services. This creates an incentive to
look for new gold deposits and, thus, more gold is found after a period of deflation.
10. An increase in the rate of money growth leads to an increase in the rate of inflation.
Inflation, in turn, causes the nominal interest rate to rise, which means that the oppor-
tunity cost of holding money increases. As a result, real money balances fall. Since
money is part of wealth, real wealth also falls. A fall in wealth reduces consumption,
and, therefore, increases saving. The increase in saving leads to a rightward shift of the
saving schedule, as in Figure 4–1. This leads to a lower real interest rate and an
increase in the level of investment.
r Figure 4–1
S1 S2
Real interest rate
r1 A
r2 B
I (r)
I, S
Investment, Saving
The classical dichotomy states that a change in a nominal variable such as infla-
tion does not affect real variables. In this case, the classical dichotomy does not hold;
the increase in the rate of inflation leads to a decrease in the real interest rate. The
Fisher effect states that i = r + π. In this case, since the real interest rate r falls, a 1-
percent increase in inflation increases the nominal interest rate i by less than 1 per-
cent.
Most economists believe that this Mundell–Tobin effect is not important because
real money balances are a small fraction of wealth. Hence, the impact on saving as
illustrated in Figure 4–1 is small.
11. The Economist magazine has a useful Web site for tracking recent economic data
(www.economist.com), although to access some data requires a paid subscription.
Other useful sources are the World Bank (www.worldbank.org), the International
Monetary Fund (www.imf.org), and the Central Intelligence Agency (www.cia.gov).
Finding data on interest rates and inflation rates is fairly easy. Finding data on the
growth of the money supply can be more challenging, plus you need to make sure you
are comparing the correct monetary aggregates. For example, in 2008, inflation in
Kenya was 25 percent, the interest rate was 8.5 percent, and growth of M3 was 13 per-
cent. In Denmark in 2008, inflation was 3.5 percent, the interest rate was 4 percent,
Chapter 4 Money and Inflation 29
and growth of M3 was 22 percent. Note that countries with higher rates of inflation
have higher nominal interest rates. To show that countries with higher rates of money
growth have higher rates of inflation is more difficult and requires gathering data on
inflation and money growth across a range of years. Money growth can vary substan-
tially from year to year within a country, and this is not always immediately reflected
in the inflation rate.
As another example, in the twelve months ending in November 2001, consumer
prices in Turkey rose 69 percent from a year earlier, M1 rose 55 percent while M2 rose
52 percent, and short-term interest rates were 54 percent. By contrast, in the United
States in the twelve months ending in December 2001, consumer prices rose about 2
percent, M1 rose 8 percent, M2 rose 14 percent; and short-term interest rates were a
little under 2 percent. These data are consistent with the theories in the chapter, in
that high-inflation countries have higher rates of money growth and also higher nomi-
nal interest rates.