GAMBOA - Assignment No.1 Decision Tree Analysis
GAMBOA - Assignment No.1 Decision Tree Analysis
2BSA-3
Please answer the following questions and submit on the deadline date.
It is obvious that we decide each day of our lives, we are being put in between
choices many times, we even have dilemmas of choosing which is the better option,
and how will our decision affect our current and future situation. A decision tree's
advantage is that it lists all the possible outcomes as well as the revenue or loss
associated with each. The accessible data can then be used by the company's
management to make an informed choice regarding the project or investment they
are considering. The decision model's tree structure aids in reaching a conclusion for
any situation that is more complex in nature. The concept is applied in a variety of
fields, including corporate finance, philosophy, and economic forecasting. An
individual must decide whether to invest in a specific project using the decision tree
model. These models are frequently used by management because they present
information in a graphical fashion with possible probability associated with the
outcome.
The technique of decision tree analysis comes with both hazards and benefits.
The following are some of the benefits of decision tree analysis: simple and easy to
interpret decision trees; valuable without requiring large amounts of hard data;
assists decision makers in determining the best, worst, and expected outcomes for
various scenarios; and can be combined with various decision techniques. There may
be certain downsides to employing decision tree analysis. Unclear values can lead
to complex computations and uncertain consequences; decision trees are unstable,
and little data changes can lead to substantial structure changes; decision tree
information gain can be skewed; and decision trees are frequently wrong. The
influence diagram, a more compact, mathematical graphical representation of a
choice issue, is a popular alternative to decision trees.
Surely, the decision-tree idea does not provide definitive answers to managers
faced with uncertain investment decisions. We have not yet arrived to that point, and
it is possible that we will never do so. However, the notion is useful for
demonstrating the structure of investment decisions, and it can also be quite useful
in evaluating capital investment options. Decision tree analysis is useful for
resolving problems, identifying possible possibilities, and making complicated
GAMBOA, Daniela Amor L. 2BSA-3