Airline Network Planning: April 2013
Airline Network Planning: April 2013
April 2013
Airline Network Planning | April 2013
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Abstract ............................................................................................. 3
Abbreviations .................................................................................... 4
Conclusion....................................................................................... 19
Addendum ....................................................................................... 20
References ...................................................................................... 23
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Abstract
Airline companies around the world develop next generation optimal
network planning solutions to maximize revenues and minimize
operational expenditures. Such solution entails a powerful user
interface, simulation capabilities, customizable rules/workflows, and
integration with a variety of existing internal & external systems.
Primary objectives are to enhance business intelligence, minimize
unprofitable flights, improve schedule quality, and reduce time
involved with schedule plan creation.
The purpose of this document is to illustrate HCL‟s relevant domain
knowledge, problem statement understandings, and industry-wide
expertise. The intended audience includes Airline Executives,
Architects, and Project Owners.
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Abbreviations
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4
Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Additional description.
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Use Cases
Airline network planning is a process of designing, creating, and
publishing the Network Plan. There are multiple short-term and
long-term network planning use cases.
1. Short-term use cases
a. Plane switching use case, where planes need to be
substituted to similar or larger/smaller plane due to
mechanical problems, delayed flights,
oversold/undersold situations
b. Crew recovery use case, where the flight crew for
the plane is incomplete due to illness, missing
connecting flights, flight delays, etc.
2. Long-term use cases
a. Opening new flight routes
b. Decreasing/increasing of flight frequency on an
existing route due to seasonal/long-term change in
demand/profitability
c. Closing existing routes due to change in
demand/profitability
Fleet rebalancing to address (predicted) changes in passenger
volume and business class/coach demand ratio on each route.
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Solution Architecture:
1. Proper technology selection process requires a deep dive
into existing systems architecture and currently employed
technologies
2. “Best of Breed” Open Source alternatives are viable in an
airline company environment
3. The solution should offer versatility, follow available
standards, and fit closely with typical airline company‟s
long-term broader goals
4. Strong focus on user experience and overall performance is
very much required
Data Sources (available data points from existing
services/databases):
1. Flight leg cost (duration, fuel use for each type of aircraft)
database or service
2. Maintenance schedules, cost, facilities
3. Ground crews availability, cost
4. Flight crews availability, schedules, overnight restrictions
5. Aircraft fleet structure, availability, aircraft carrying capacity,
seats configuration
6. Airport/terminal costs/constraints
7. Current and predicted ask/demand/fares dynamics on major
routes
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Solution Capabilities
Database Layer
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
and aid with the outcome prediction for network plan change
exploration.
Data availability/granularity/precision as well as the prediction
spread of each model could vary. In some cases, historical data
trending deployment lesser cost could be a deciding factor. More
complex models (also based on extended datasets) could be
deployed later and/or used for special use cases.
Let‟s compare a historical trending approach to an extended
forecasting model for airport demand forecasting:
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
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Oracle WSO2
Mathematica
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
programming,
Mathematica
optimization
PostgreSQL
Geospatial Snoflake
Situational
Awareness; high Luciad
performance
visualization of
situational
awareness
applications;
Geospatial
Situational
Awareness for
browser-based
environments;
Mobile Geospatial
Situational
Awareness; Air
Traffic Playback and
Analysis. FIXM and
AIXM viewers
IBM Netezza.
Particular strength for
near-real-time
analytics
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Summary
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Even though the SOA route of BPM orchestration is the most widely
accepted, it could come with a significant rework of internal
applications, depending on the current solutions in place. We had
demonstrated that Open Standard Data Architecture allows
enhancing BPM orchestration functionality with additional data
exchange merits. Still, business drivers might not justify narrow or
wide re-architecture of the system in some cases. Therefore, let‟s
mention other technologies which could help with Network Plan
Optimization use cases.
If data scientist collaboration is envisioned as important and
significant, then it might be worth considering the Chorus product.
Chorus is usually deployed as part of an EMC Greenplum stack.
Chorus allows Agile collaboration and answers most data science
challenges for airline network optimization tasks. Chorus could be
considered as a Sharepoint alternative which is very data-driven
and supports Agile collaboration. Chorus doesn‟t support BPM
(BPMN, BPEL) integration at this point.
The Oracle BPM Suite might also be considered as an excellent
alternative with perceived minimal changes to existing system.
Oracle is widely used for persistent layer in aeronautical
applications.
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Conclusion
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Addendum
Forecasting Considerations
EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast models structure is important
to consider as a case study (please refer to diagram on page 30 of
(4)).
Such concepts/views might need to be trended on a global scale or
regional scale for a particular airline and competing airlines.
There are calls for “AIRPORT-COLLABORATIVE DECISION
MAKING” (A-CDM) facilitation by the Airports Council
International(ACI) (5). ACI plans to develop:
- a best practices guide for globally-harmonized A-CDM
implementation
- specifications for globally-harmonized A-CDM
- specifications for interchange of A-CDM data at airports with
other data exchange models for flight CDM such as AIXM,
WXXM and FIXM
The maturity of such harmonization efforts and data availability
forecasts needs to be aligned with business goals. Harmonized data
elements, data dictionaries and schemas could be introduced to
make an in-house solution more future-proof and ease the
complexities of leveraging external sources.
Business factors might be deemed important to be compatible with
data flows coming from FAA NGATS (Next Gen) sites. There are
eight existing “Metroplex” areas in the US which cover the busiest
aircraft traffic locales, while five more will be deployed in 2012/2013
(6). NGATS data are more relevant for short-term network traffic
optimization use cases, however a Big Data approach could mine
valuable information for long-term forecasting as well.
FAA NGATS deployment will introduce following systems:
Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B)
Collaborative Air Traffic Management (CATM)
System Wide Information Management (SWIM)
Time-Based Flow Management (TBFM)
En Route Automation Modernization (ERAM). (7)
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
References
1. EUROCONTROL. [Online]
http://www.eurocontrol.int/dossiers/single-european-sky.
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Airline Network Planning | April 2013
Author Info
. Andriy has over 20 years of experience in the
areas of data management and software
development. Andriy is a Sr. Solution Architect
with HCL‟s ERS-SEG-TFG.
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