Engineering Economics Lecture (# 1 - 6)
Engineering Economics Lecture (# 1 - 6)
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 1
General Introduction
Lecture # 1
Definition Cont’d
What is Economy?
It is the management of household or private expenses.
[From Greek]
What is Economics?
It is the branch of social science that deals with the production
& distribution and consumption of goods and services and
their management.
It is the study of production and distribution of wealth.
It is the study of choice and decision-making in the world with
limited resources.
It is the study of how individuals, businesses & governments use
their limited resources and satisfy unlimited wants. [Others]
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
7
Principles of EEs
Principle 1: Develop the alternatives
Principles Cont’d
Principles Cont’d
Principle 3: Use a consistent viewpoint
The prospective outcomes of the alternatives, selection of the
criteria and other, should be consistently developed from a
defined viewpoint [perspective.
Usually, the viewpoint of the decision maker would be used.
Principles Cont’d
13
Principles Cont’d
Principles Cont’d
Example Cont’d
Step 1: Define the Problem
Example Cont’d
Step 3: Outcomes and cash flows for each alternative
Outcomes should be developed from the consistent viewpoint:
You and your friends’ perspective [Principle 3]
Compare the differences between Alternatives A and B.
[Principle 2]
Alternative A varies from B in the aspects of the size of the
pizza, total cash flow and may also delivery time.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
20
Example Cont’d
Example Cont’d
Step 5: Analysis and comparison of the alternatives
[Principle 5]
Example Cont’d
Step 6: Selection of best alternative
When performing this step, the uncertainly and risk should be
stated explicitly [Principle 6].
Uncertainties which relevant to the decision includes Quality,
Delivery time etc
Based on the criteria of the smallest cost per unit volume,
Alternative B is the best choice.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
24
Example Cont’d
Tasted good?
On-time delivery?
Generally
Engineering economy is an answer to following questions
Which engineering projects are worthwhile? [project
worthiness]
Which engineering projects should have a higher priority?
[priority for available alternatives]
How should the engineering project be designed?
[economic design]
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
26
Equipment Replacement
Physical Economic
Environment Environment
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
31
Engineering Process
Finding out what people need and want that can be supplied
by engineering Assistance in decision making
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Introduction
34
Step 1: Creative Step : People with vision and initiative adopt the
premise that better opportunities exist than are known to them. This
leads to exploration, and investigation of potential opportunities.
Examples
Infrastructure expenditure decision
End of Chapter 1
General Introduction
Lecture # 1
Thank You!!!
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 2
Lecture # 2
Important Terminology
Utility is the level of satisfaction i.e. obtained by consuming
a commodity [good or service]
Value designate the worth that a person attaches to an
object or service
Value is a measure or appraisal of utility in some medium
of exchange.
It is not the same as cost or price.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
4
Economy of exchange
Economy of Organization
1. Labor saving
Cost [Classification]
Example
Option 1:
To keep $2,000 in the bank and earn a guaranteed interest
of $100 at the end of 1 year.
Option 2:
To invest $2,000 in stock market and earn the expected
profit of $200 at the end of 1 year.
A. Opportunity cost of Option 1 = $200
B. Opportunity cost of Option 2 = $100
B< A, could we conclude that we SHOULD choose option 2?
No! We have to take the uncertainly of $200 in Option 2
into account.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
19
Breakeven Analysis
Finding the breakeven points: [Model 1]
Solve, - bD2 + [a – Cv]D - CF = 0. We obtain two roots:
D’ = - [a – Cv] {[a – Cv]2 - 4bCF}1/2 [See Scenario 1]
- 2b
Finding the breakeven points: [Model 2]
p is independent of D.
TR = p * D
TC = CF + CvD
TR = TC D’ = CF [See Scenario 2]
P - Cv Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
24
Example 2
A small-medium enterprise produces half concrete ditch used
to construct the drainage for the anticipated road project.
The fixed cost is 50,000 birr per month, and the variable
cost is 30 birr per ditch.
Example 2 Cont’d
a. Determine the optimum demand that maximizes profit?
Given:
p = 150 – 0.02D, where a = 150 and b = 0.02; CF = 50, 000;
Cv = 30.
Solution
a. D* = [a – Cv] / 2b = [150 – 30] / 2*0.02 = 3,000 Blocks.
b. Profit = aD - bD2 – [CF + CvD] = [150*3,000] – 0.02[3,000]2 –
[50,000 + [30*3,000]]
= 130,000 birr.
c. D’ = - [150 – 30] +/- {[150 – 30]2 – 4[0.02][50,000]}1/2
- 2[0.02]
D1’ = 450; D2’ = 5550
d. D is profitable in the range 450 - 5550.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
29
Cost Optimization
It refers to how to design the product in order to minimize the
cost.
General approach:
1. Identify the design variable that is the primary cost driver
[e.g., the thickness of the material].
2. Write an expression for the cost model in terms of the
design variable.
3. Find the optimum value of the design variable to have the
minimum cost value.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
30
Example 3
Block production machine type 1 and 2 are being
considered for the production of a part of a product.
The capital investment associated with the machine are about
the same and can be ignored. The important differences
between the machines are:
1. their production capacities [production rate x available
production hours];
2. their reject rates [% of block produced that cannot achieve
the required quality and not to be sold.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
31
Type 1 Type 2
The material cost is 6.00 birr per parts, and all defect-free
parts produced can be sold for 12 birr each. The rejected
block have no value.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
32
For either machine, the operator cost is 15.00 birr per hour
and the variable overhead rate for traceable costs is 5.00
birr per hour.
a. Assume that the daily demand for this part is large enough
that all defect-free parts can be sold. Which machine
should be selected?
b. What would be the reject rate have to be for Machine
type 2 to be as profitable as Machine type 1?
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
33
Solution
Since both machine types have different total daily revenue and
total daily cost, we should base on the daily profit to select the
machine.
Solution Cont’d
Machine type 1: Profit per day = 3,808 birr per day.
Solution Cont’d
X = 0.08
End of Chapter 2
Fundamental Economic and Cost Concepts
Lecture # 2
Thank You!!!
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 4
Lecture # 4
For the lender, it consists, for convenience, of [1] risk of loss, [2]
administrative expenses, and [3] profit or pure gain.
Interest [ I ]
Interest is usually expressed as a percentage of the amount owed
Interest [ I ] [Simple]
Total interest is linearly proportional to the amount of loan
[principal], the interest rate, and the number of interest periods
I = [P] [N] [i]
I : total interest
P : principal
N : number of interest periods
i : interest rate per interest period.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Time Value of Money
7
If the borrower pays back the total amount owed after one year,
she/he will pay 1,140.00 birr.
If someone does not pay back any of the amount owed after one
year, then normally the interest owed, but not paid, is considered
now to be additional principal, and thus the interest is
compounded
Economic Equivalency
The banker in the previous example normally does not care
whether you pay him 1,140.00 birr after one year or 1,299.60
birr after two years.
To him, the three values [1,000, 1,140, and 1,299.60 birr] are
equivalent.
1,000 Birr today is equivalent to 1,140 birr one year from today
and 1,000 Birr today is equivalent to 1,299.60 Birr two years
from today.
NB: The three values are not equal but equivalent
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Time Value of Money
10
In a cash-flow diagram:
Horizontal line represents time scale,
Example [CFD]
Develop the cash-flow diagram for this project from the investor’s
viewpoint.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Time Value of Money
16
2. To move a cash flow forward in time by one time unit, multiply the
magnitude of the cash flow by [1 + i].
3. To move a cash flow backward in time by one time unit, divide the
magnitude of the cash flow by [1 + i].
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Time Value of Money
18
OR
OR
Notation: P = F [P/F, i%, N] where the factor in the parentheses
is read "find P given F at i% interest per period for N interest
periods.
If she pays back the loan and accumulated interest after 8 months, how
much will she have to pay back?
E.G 2: Solution
P = 100,000/[I + 0.08]5 =100,000/[1.46933] = 68,058.32 Birr
= 68,060 Birr
To solve this problem you can also use the interest tables.
OR
OR
OR
F =?
A =?
E.G 5: How much should you deposit to your savings account now
at an annual interest rate of 10% to provide for 5 end-of-year
withdrawals of $15,000 each?
P =?
A =?
E.G. 7 Cont’d
Solution
End of Chapter 4
Lecture # 4
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 5 and 6
Lecture # 5
Solution: The hourly profit [HP] on the loader equals the billing
rate less the operation cost and the cost of the operator.
Cash Flow
Diagram
The PPP for the new dump truck is determined by summing the
present value of purchase prices occurring in years 0, 7, 14, and
21. The present value for each purchase price is calculated using
SPPWF as follows:
The NPV for the purchase of the new dump truck is calculated as
follows:
The net present value [NPV] for the purchase of the used dump
truck is calculated as follows:
Given:
Cash Flow Loader A [$] Loader B [$] Loader C [$] Loader D [$]
Solution:
Step 1: Rank the alternative in order of initial cost [purchase price].
Loader A Loader C Loader B Loader D. Because Loader
A has the lowest initial cost [current best alternative].
The difference in the cash flows for these two alternatives is shown
in Figure below.
The difference in the cash flows for these two alternatives is shown
in Figure below.
The annual profits for the new truck are already a uniform series.
The annual equivalent for purchasing new loader is;
Alternative 2 [Used]
Lecture # 5
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 7
Depreciation Cost
Lecture # 6
Introduction
Reasons Cont’d
R m = 1/5 = 0.2
Dm = R m [P-F]
SOY = N [N+1] / 2
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Depreciation Cost
13
R m = [N-m+1]/SOY
D m = {[N-m+1]/SOY}[P-F]
BV m = P-[P-F] [m(N-m/2+0.5)/SOY]
R m = [5-m+1]/15
D m = R m [12,000-2,000] = [[5-m+1]*10,000]/15
Declining methods range from 1.25 times the current book value
divided by the life to 2.00 times the current book value divided
by the life [the latter is termed double declining balance].
The symbol R is used for the depreciation rate for the declining-
balance method of depreciation:
Since [BV] can never go below [F], the declining balance method
must be forced to intersect the value [F] at time [N].
End of Chapter 7
Depreciation Cost
Lecture # 6
Thank You!!!
By
Meseret G [Lecturer]
School of Engineering
Semester II
2013 4/10/2013
Engineering Economics [CENG 5011]
2
Chapter 9
Lecture # 8
Introduction
Difficulties:
Notation:
I: Initial investment
Decision Criteria
Convenience: $50,000
Tourism: $50,000.
Apply the B-C ratio method with a study period of 20 years and
a MARR of 10% per year, and determine whether this is an
acceptable project or not. 4/10/2013
Meseret G. [CENG 5011]
Public Project Evaluation [B-C Ratio Method
12
AW version:
CR – Capital Recovery
[b] Modified B-C ratio:
PW version:
AW version:
Extend runways
Suppose the increased noise level caused by the project will bring
a disbenefit of $100,000 per year to the neighborhood. Still
extend the runway?
E.G. 2: The city of Adama has received two design proposals for
a new wing to the municipality hospital.
Design 1 Design 2
Construction cost [Birr] 10M 15M
Building maintenance cost [Birr/year] 35,000 55,000
Patient benefits [Birr/year] 0.8M 1.05M
The MARR is 5% per year, and the life of the addition is
estimated at 30 years. Suppose there is DN alternative.
a. Use AW version of conventional B-C ratio method to make the
selection.
Meseret G. [CENG 5011] 4/10/2013
Public Project Evaluation [B-C Ratio Method
20
Solution:
a. AW1 [C] = 10,000,000 Birr [A/P , 5% , 30] + 35,000 Birr =
685,500 Birr
AW2 [C] = 15,000,000 Birr [A/P , 5% , 30] + 55,000 Birr =
1,030,750 Birr
Rank order: DN-Design 1-Design 2.
Since the disbenefits of Design 2 are 200,000 Birr less than those
of 1, this positive difference is added to the 250,000 Birr benefits
of 2 to give it a total benefit of 450,000 Birr.
End of Chapter 9
Public Project Evaluation
[Benefit-Cost Ratio Method]
Lecture # 8
Thank You!!!