PIB Presentation - 28092020 PDF
PIB Presentation - 28092020 PDF
PIB 2020
September 2020
PIB 2020
Outline
4. What is new
- Governance
- Administration
- Fiscal
- Host Communities
5. Specific Incentives
6. Industry Engagement Summary
PIB 2020
Petroleum industry faces five major challenges
Ever cheaper renewables.
Solar Costs as low as 2 - 6
COVID 19 cents/kWh are now common.
strongest recession since 1929
“Green” hydrogen
Climate change
10 – 20
flat demand after
20yrs
demand will keep growing
Natural gas demand is generally believed to keep growing during the next 20 – 30 years, to replace
coal and to play an optimal role in conjunction with the introduction of renewable energy
PIB 2020
Large number of countries are now putting new acreage on the market
The increased level of uncertainty about oil demand, becomes an important element in
making decisions on the optimal exploitation of petroleum resources.
Countries with abundant petroleum resources are well advised to accelerate the exploration
and development before possible international oil demand patterns may make oil production
less attractive.
6
Countri
Licensing rounds in
es
progress in
25 Countries
9 other
Countries
PIB 2020
Proliferation of Licensing Rounds in the World
❑ Large number of
countries are now
putting new acreage on
the market due to
looming threats.
❑ Covid-19 heightens
competition for
investing capital.
OPL601
OPL602
Sokoto
OPL603 OPL604
OPL605 OPL606
OPL607
OPL608
OPL703
OPL704 OPL705 OPL706
OPL707 OPL708 OPL709
OPL701
OPL702
OPL710 OPL711
open acreage.
OPL614
Chad
OPL712 OPL714 OPL716 OPL717 OPL718 OPL719 OPL720 OPL721 OPL722 OPL723
OPL715
OPL713
OPL623
OPL620 OPL621 OPL622
OPL736
OPL624 OPL625
OPL746
Benue
OPL501
OPL502
10°
Thereafter, companies were
OPL809 OPL810 OPL811
OPL503
OPL505 OPL506
OPL504
Bida
again required to relinquish 50%
OPL812 OPL813 OPL814 OPL815 OPL816
OPL817
OPL818
OPL507 OPL508 OPL509
OPL510 OPL819 OPL820
OPL302
OPL202 OPL905 State Bo und ary
OPL474
OPL916
OPL205 OPL908 OPL909
OPL454 OPL204
OML96 OPL206 OPL917 Blo ck s on O ffe r
OML113 OPL310 OPL311 OPL274 OPL907
OPL241
OML103 OML98
OPL332 OML111 OPL275
6°
OML4
20
OML40 OPL912
OPL312 OPL313 OPL314 OML110 OML95 OML38 OPL910 OPL911
OPL315 OPL228
OML49 OML41
OPL280
Limited open
200 0
acreages a
OML122 OML59 OML51
OML55
100 0 - 2 000 m
3 00
considerable petroleum
OPL289 OPL467 OML72
OPL286
OPL285
major growth
400 0
potential
400 0m ab ov e
impediment
OPL220 OPL221 OPL222
OPL337 OPL252
OPL338 OPL339 OPL340 OPL251 OPL242 OPL216 OPL217
OPL218 OPL219
OPL259
OPL268 OPL269 OPL270 OPL271 OPL272 OPL273 Joint Dev elopm ent Zone Projec tion: G eographic , Minna D atum
With the repeal of the NNPC Act this obligation will be re-
created and could be implemented on the renewal of leases
PIB 2020
Nigeria’s Peculiar Challenges
Government Income Take@0% - World Rating Nigeria -Onshore 50 million barrel field, $ 60/bbl price,
$20/bbl costs
100.0%
Existing
90.0%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
23
36
49
62
75
88
6
283
555
101
114
127
140
153
166
178
192
205
216
231
243
256
270
296
309
322
335
348
361
374
387
400
413
426
439
452
465
478
491
504
517
529
542
568
581
594
607
620
633
646
659
672
685
697
710
723
736
749
757
Ranking Numbers
Nigeria among the toughest in the world, ranking 748 out of 757 PIB 2020
Nigeria’s Peculiar Challenges
80.00%
70.00%
Cost Savings Ratio (%) (real)
60.00%
50.00%
New
40.00%
1993 PSC
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
$30 $28 $26 $24 $22 $20 $18 $16 $14 $12 $10
-10.00%
PIB 2020
Nigeria’s Peculiar Challenges
• Deferment of core
investments
• Lack of focus on
Midstream
• Inadequate funding for
JV operations
• Lack of funding for
decommissioning and
abandonment
• Environmental
remediation
• Insignificant direct social
& economic benefits to
host communities
• Divestments by majors
PIB 2020
Nigeria’s Peculiar Challenges
Lack of focus on Midstream
UPSTREAM MIDSTREAM DOWNSTREAM
Cooking Gas
GAS
Issues and Inter Agency misalignments that characterized the journey due to complex and onerous
packaging of the PIB as single document
- Lack of ownership
- Ministerial powers
PIB will contribute in two important ways to the acceleration of economic growth in Nigeria:
1
Conversion Offered on a voluntary basis a conversion contract exchanging a significant
relinquishment of acreage for somewhat improved fiscal terms.
Contract
The growth of the Nigerian economy is hampered by the lack of electricity. Nigeria has two very large
sources for relatively low-cost power:
203tcf
Natural gas reserves of which much can be produced for less than
$3.50/MMBtu
Establish
• Good governance
• Competitiveness
Remove • Global best practices
• Ease of doing business
Uncertainty due to protracted non
overhaul of legal framework on
Governance and Fiscal
environment
PIB 2020
Governance Structure… Policy & Regulation
ADMINISTRATION GOVERNANCE
• Acreage management • Redefined Ministerial powers
• No jurisdiction is having a single regulator for the entire oil & gas value chain globally
• Span of control
• Extractive mentality
PIB 2020
Governance Structure… Policy & Regulation
Minister
(Policy Setting / direction; industry co-ordination & supervision)
Staff
composition
Commission: Appropriation, 1st
line charge, % of Revenue
collection
PIB 2020
Governance Structure… Commercial
Within
Months Months
PIB 2020
12 Elements of Administration
Deep Rights
Any contract or agreement will be signed directly with the Commission. Joint Ventures with NNPC will not be
required and NNPC will no longer play the role of concessionaire under PSCs.
PIB 2020
12 Elements of Administration: Conversion Process
• The PIB will permit current holders of OPLs and The conversion to the new terms will
OMLs to voluntarily convert to the new terms of be on the basis of conversion
the PIB. contracts.
• If companies so wish they can maintain their Under these contracts companies
current terms until the renewal of their lease. agree to terminate any outstanding
court cases and arbitration cases
• The PIB provides for two types of fiscal terms: against NNPC.
• Conversion terms are selected in such a -- PPLs to which the new acreage
manner that government oil revenues are not terms apply.
negatively affected in a major way.
PIB 2020
12 Elements of Administration: Conversion Process
Areas to be relinquished
selection and relinquishment process illustrates all the PPL areas will form a single PPL consisting of various
blocks.
PIB 2020
12 Elements of Administration: Conversion Process
PIB 2020
12 Elements of Administration: Drill or Drop Concept
PIB 2020
Rationale for Attractive Fiscal Terms
• In order for the Nigerian oil industry to survive facing this challenging future, the PIB has to create an
environment in which Nigerian oil companies will continue to invest and prosper.
• This means that the fiscal terms for oil have to be based on a conservative framework of the future. This
framework is based on a long-term oil price of $ 50/bbl in real terms.
• Fiscal terms for new development investments based on a 45% cost/price ratio, which means costing $
22.50/bbl, need to be marginally economic, while lower cost projects should be economically attractive.
This will ensure that under low prices at least relatively low-cost projects will continue to be attractive.
• If future prices turn out to be higher, the benefits should be shared between the investors and the Federal
Government.
• Current revenues preserved for 18 months for stability • Grandfathering AGFA & other fiscal incentives,
and planning section 39 of CITA
• Three fiscal system for flexibility: Existing, Conversion • Voluntary Conversion provision with fiscal
and New incentives
• Dual tax structure: NHT & CITA • The story of future of oil : Current socio-economic
• Dual royalty structure – Volume & Price and technological issues facing the industry
• Amended Deep offshore and inland basin preserved • Less fiscal burden on frontier and inland basin
with redefinition acreages
• Non-Associated and Associated Gas enjoys CITA • Reduced fiscal burden on marginal and small field
producers
28 PIB 2020
PIFB… Royalty by Production & Price
Royalty
Rates by
Production
Note: DW with<15kbp 7.5%, OS&SW first 5kbp @ 5%, next 5kbp @7.5%
Dual Tax
30 PIB 2020
Tax Regime
1 National Hydrocarbon
Tax (NHT)
• The hydrocarbon tax applies only to
oil and where applicable
condensates and natural gas liquids
produced from associated gas in an
oil field Onshore Shallow Deep offshore
• Not applicable to associated gas or
non-associated gas & Frontier
New
• NHT not deductible for CITA Acreages 22.5% 20% 10.0%
• Drilling costs, facilities and other
assets will be deducted as capital
Converted
allowances at 20% per year straight
line from the year the costs are Acreages 42.5% 37% 5%
incurred, except for the exploration
well and first two appraisal wells per
field, which can be deducted 100%.
Frontier Basins: hydrocarbon tax is not applicable until renewal of
• Hydrocarbon Tax can be the lease; after renewal onshore new acreage terms apply.
consolidated for each of the 6
classes of hydrocarbon tax rates
100%
revenues.
PIB 2020
Production Incentives
Conversion for all conversion acreage the lower of 20% of the fiscal oil price and $ 2.50
acreage : per barrel for any volume
PIB 2020
Production Sharing Contract
• The sequencing of the production sharing The minimum profit oil share to Government
is adjusted to an international concept. is based on cumulative production and is as
follows:
• Under the current PSCs the production
sharing is calculated after deducting from -- up to 50 million barrels 5%
the gross revenues, the royalties, the tax
oil and costs. -- up to 100 million barrels 10%
• Under the PSCs for new acreage the -- up to 350 million barrels 15%
production sharing is calculated after the
deduction of royalties and cost oil. The -- up to 700 million barrels 25%
hydrocarbon tax and companies' income
tax are determined on the integrated -- up to 1500 million barrels 35%
revenues of the contractor being the cost
oil and the contractor share of profit oil. -- over 1500 million barrels 45%
IRR benchmarking of onshore fields IRR benchmarking of shallow water fields IRR benchmarking of deep offshore fields
price: $ 50/bbl, costs: $ 22.50/bbl price: $ 50/bbl, costs:$22.50/bbl price: $ 50/bbl, costs: $22.50/bbl
20.00% 20.00% 20.00%
18.00% 18.00% 18.00%
16.00% 16.00% 16.00%
14.00%
12.00% 12.00%
10.00%
10.00% IRR 10.00% IRR IRR
8.00%
8.00% Minimum 8.00% Minimum 6.00% Minimum
6.00% 6.00% 4.00%
4.00% 4.00% 2.00%
0.00%
2.00% 2.00%
20 MM 50 MM 100 MM 200 MM 500 MM 1000 MM 2000 MM
0.00% 0.00% Field Sizes (million barrels)
5 MM 10 MM 20 MM 50 MM 100 MM 200 MM 500 MM 10 MM 20 MM 50 MM 100 MM 200 MM 500 MM 1000 MM
IRR is adequate for every field IRR is adequate for every field IRR is adequate except a 2
size based on new acreage size based on new acreage billion barrel field which has to
terms terms cost <$21/bbl to be economic.
35 PIB 2020
International Benchmarking for Oil
International
benchmarking was
800 Fiscal systems
done of the various
fiscal terms under
the PIB.
160 Countries
Assumptions
• Based on international benchmarking of onshore, shallow water and deep offshore terms assuming a
100 million barrel field, an oil price of $ 50/bbl and costs of $ 20/bbl.
• For benchmarking purposes, the onshore terms do not include the terms for continental North America,
which are typically well based rather than field based, nor for Onshore Russia, which are entirely based
on a Ruble economy and therefore not comparable.
36 PIB 2020
Comparative Government Income Take - Onshore
World Onshore Rating for 264 systems: 100 million barrel field, $ 50/bbl price, $20/bbl costs
100.0% Existing
Proposed for
90.0%
Conversion
80.0% Proposed for Acreage
Nigeria onshore rating New Acreage
70.0%
190 New Acreage Terms 70.20%
60.0% 238 Conversion Terms 83.90%
GIT0 (%)(real)
20.0%
of 70.2%. Comparison with
other countries indicates that
10.0% the terms are competitively
placed
0.0%
196
236
101
106
111
116
121
126
131
136
141
146
151
156
161
166
171
176
181
186
191
201
206
211
216
221
226
231
241
246
251
256
261
31
1
6
11
16
21
26
36
41
46
51
56
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
96
Ranking Numbers
PIB 2020
Comparative Government Income Take – Shallow water
World Shallow Water Rating for 249 systems: 100 million barrel field, $ 50/bbl price, $20/bbl costs
100.0%
Existing
90.0% Proposed for
Proposed for Conversion
Nigeria Shallow Water Rating
80.0% 176 New Acreage 67.50% New Acreage Acreage
220 Conversion Terms 80.90%
70.0% 239 Pre-2019 Terms 90.60%
240 End 2019 Terms 91.20%
60.0%
GIT0 (%) (real)
50.0%
Nigeria new acreage terms
40.0% rate 176 out of 249, with a GIT0
of 67.5%. Comparison with
30.0% other countries indicates that
the terms are competitively
20.0%
placed
10.0%
0.0%
96
11
16
21
26
30
35
40
46
51
56
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
206
1
6
101
106
111
113
121
126
131
136
141
144
151
156
161
166
171
176
181
186
191
196
201
211
216
221
226
231
236
241
246
Ranking Numbers
PIB 2020
Comparative Government Income Take – Deepwater (2019 terms)
100.0%
World DW Rating for 170 systems: 100 million barrel field, $ 50/bbl price, $20/bbl costs
90.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
37
61
85
109
1
4
7
10
13
16
18
22
25
28
31
34
40
43
46
49
52
55
58
64
67
70
72
76
79
82
88
91
94
97
100
103
106
112
115
118
121
124
127
130
133
136
139
142
145
148
151
154
157
160
163
166
169
Ranking Numbers
Conversion Terms are more favorable than the current terms by lowering the total tax to 35% and New
Acreage Terms are even more attractive. This is to encourage conversion and investment in new acreage.
PIB 2020
Comparative Government Income Take – Frontier
World Frontier Rating for 170 systems: 100 million barrel field, $ 50/bbl price, $20/bbl costs
100.0%
90.0%
80.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
21
121
221
236
1
6
11
16
26
31
36
41
46
51
56
61
66
71
76
81
86
91
96
101
106
111
116
126
131
136
141
146
151
156
161
166
171
176
181
186
191
196
201
206
211
216
226
231
241
246
251
256
261
Ranking Numbers
PIB 2020
Specific Incentives for Gas Utilization
- For non-associated natural gas, the terms are 5% royalty (except for onshore
gas that is exported) and companies income tax, which is currently 30%. These
terms also apply to the related condensates.
- For associated gas the royalty is also 5% (except for onshore gas that is
exported), there is hydrocarbon tax, but with a generous production allowance
for associated gas (as indicated before) and companies income tax.
- There is no production sharing for gas, while gas costs can be taken as cost oil.
- Definition of a gas network code setting out the rights to enter and exit gas
pipelines by any shipper
- In order to create long term stability and predictability for the prices of
marketable natural gas, the framework in included in the PIB.
- For the Power and Commercial Sector, the gas pricing is linked to the
Base Price provided for in the Third Schedule.
- For the Gas Based Industries the gas pricing is linked to the end
products produced by these industries. The PIB permits willing suppliers
and buyers of all sectors to agree voluntarily on the price for
marketable natural gas.
- Suppliers and buyers can also build their own pipelines (subject to third
party access) in order to transport their gas.
- In the near term the Government will set the gas prices for the
Strategic Sectors for those buyers that elect to be part of the
Government pricing system as implemented by the Domestic Gas
Aggregator.
PIB 2020
Gas Pricing Structure
- Each year the base price will be increased by $ 0.05/MMBtu until 2037
when the price reaches $ 4.00/MMBtu. After that time the price will
remain unchanged.
- The Authority may adjust the base price under certain circumstances,
for instance, if the price creates insufficient supplies for the domestic
market
- Lessees have the right to obtain a wholesale gas supply licence which
will permit the lessees to sell gas anywhere to wholesale customers in
Nigeria using the respective gas transportation networks or pipelines.
PIB 2020
Gas Pricing Structure – Non-Associated Gas Economics
PIB 2020
Positioning Nigeria.. As Most Transparent in Africa
PIB 2020
Focus on Frontier Exploration
- Frontier exploration is stimulated with a favourable fiscal
system consisting of only
- 7.5% Royalty
- CITA
PIB 2020
3 Funds Created
• Frontier Exploration Fund: 10% of accruals from Rents on PPL & PML
• Managed by the Commission
13% of Derivation
Section 162 (2) CFRN 1999
• Reciprocity on facilities
protection in exchange for
funds
PIB 2020
Host Community – Proposed Host Community Development Trust
• Incorporation of Petroleum Host Communities Development Trusts by Settlors
• Provides direct social and economic benefits to host communities
• Funded by 2.5% of the actual OPEX of the settlor for the accounting period of the preceding year
• Advisory Committee to decide projects through engagement with the communities
MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE
Project ownership and
delivery
Project initiators
ADVISORY COMMITTEE PIB 2020
Industry Engagement Summary
96 Issues
raised
77 Completely
resolved
Industry Concerns
1 Deep water Royalties @ 2.5%
19 Clarified
3
4
Petroleum Industry exemption from Dividend Tax as under PPTA
PIB 2020
End
PIB 2020
INCREASE OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
Shallow Water Terms Benchmarking
COMPARABLE FISCAL TERMS GIT0
100 million bareels, price: $50/bbl, costs:$20/bbl
158 COTE D' IVOIRE-Off(SW-Ex #1) 62.7%
159 PAKISTAN-SW (<200) 62.9%
161 LIBERIA-Block LB-10 63.3%
167 Mexico-SW-PSC Round 1.1-Minimum Bid Value 64.8%
173 THAILAND-SW (GulfofThailand) 67.2%
176 NIGERIA: SW-New Acreage-PIB 67.5%
179 THAILAND-PSC-Minimum-Terms 68.5%
184 CAMEROON (2019 Terms)(ON,SW,DW) 69.7%
186 ANGOLA-Off(SWPSC-B9BidTerms) 70.1%
189 GABON-Off(SWPSCTerms) 70.4%
194 ANGOLA-SW-2019 Minimum Terms Block 10 71.8%
The Van Meurs Energy data base has 249 fiscal systems for the
shallow water. From a low to a high GIT0, the Nigeria new
acreage terms rate 176 out of 249, with a GIT0 of 67.5%.
Comparison with other countries indicates that the terms are
competitively placed.
53
INCREASE OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
Benchmarking Deep Offshore Terms – End of 2019
COMPARABLE FISCAL TERMS GIT0
100 million barrels, price:$ 50/bbl, costs:$20/bbl
122 NIGERIA: DW-ConversionTerms-PIB 66.7%
123 TRINIDAD&TOBAGO-OffDW(Min PSC Bid Terms) 67.2%
129 SURINAME: Guyana Basin 2006 68.7%
133 CAMEROON (2019 Terms)(ON,SW,DW) 69.7%
136 ANGOLA-DW-2019 Minimum Terms Block 28 70.4%
138 NIGERIA-OffDW(1993-PSC)-2019Terms 72.0%
139 ANGOLA-Off(UDWPSC-B46) 72.2%
141 MYANMAR - DW > 1200 Feet 72.7%
143 BRAZIL-Santos-Uirapuru-PSC-MinTerms 73.5%
145 MALAYSIA-(WD 200 - 1000) 74.9%
147 Norway 75.7%
149 ALGERIA: ON(Zone A) - Isolated Areas 76.0%
The Van Meurs Energy data base has 170 fiscal systems for the
deep offshore. From a low to a high GIT0, the Nigeria Current
2019 deep water terms rate 138 out of 170, with a GIT0 of 72.0%.
Comparison with other countries indicates that the terms are
competitively placed.
54
INCREASE OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
Deep Offshore Conversion and New Axcreage Terms
COMPARABLE FISCAL TERMS GIT0
100 million barrels, price:$ 50/bbl, costs:$20/bbl
115 NIGERIA: DW-NewAcreage-PIB 62.6%
116 THA-DW (Andaman Sea) 62.8%
118 Indonesia-GrSplt-DW-POD1-Lloc-Fr 63.2%
120 CUBA: OffDW (PSC) 65.2%
122 NIGERIA: DW-ConversionTerms-PIB 66.7%
123 TRINIDAD&TOBAGO-OffDW(Min PSC Bid Terms) 67.2%
129 SURINAME: Guyana Basin 2006 68.7%
133 CAMEROON (2019 Terms)(ON,SW,DW) 69.7%
136 ANGOLA-DW-2019 Minimum Terms Block 28 70.4%
138 NIGERIA-OffDW(1993-PSC)-2019Terms 72.0%
The Conversion Terms are more favorable than the current terms
by lowering the total tax to 35% and New Acreage Terms are even
more attractive. This is to encourage conversion and investment
in new acreage.
55