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Infosys Ltd. Revenue Forecasting Model: Regression Chart Prediction Chart

This document presents Infosys Ltd.'s revenue forecasting using three methods: moving average, regression, and ratio analysis with seasonality adjustment. It shows actual quarterly revenue from Q2 2016 to Q4 2019 and forecasts revenue for 2020 using the different models. A comparison chart plots the actual and forecasted revenues over time.

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Satendra Singh Lodhi
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Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
52 views

Infosys Ltd. Revenue Forecasting Model: Regression Chart Prediction Chart

This document presents Infosys Ltd.'s revenue forecasting using three methods: moving average, regression, and ratio analysis with seasonality adjustment. It shows actual quarterly revenue from Q2 2016 to Q4 2019 and forecasts revenue for 2020 using the different models. A comparison chart plots the actual and forecasted revenues over time.

Uploaded by

Satendra Singh Lodhi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Infosys Ltd.

REVENUE FORECASTING M
Quarter Revenue (in crores) Moving average Regression
June 30, 2016 1 14420 13462.51
Sep 30, 2016 2 15000 13924.02
Dec 31, 2016 3 14949 14891.125 14385.53
March 31, 2017 4 14920 15004.5 14847.04
June 30, 2017 5 14971 15134.25 15308.55
Sep 30, 2017 6 15356 15352.5 15770.06
Dec 31, 2017 7 15631 15746.125 16231.57
March 31, 2018 8 15984 16374.375 16693.08
June 30, 2018 9 17056 17296.125 17154.59
Sep 30, 2018 10 18297 18204.625 17616.1
Dec 31, 2018 11 20064 18077.61
March 31, 2019 12 18819 18539.12
June 30, 2019 13 19000.63
Sep 30, 2019 14 19462.14
Dec 31, 2019 15 19923.65
March 31, 2020 16 20385.16

Regression chart Prediction


Revenue (in crores) Moving average Regression Column D Column
25000 Column G Column
25000
20000
20000

15000
15000

10000
10000

5000 5000

0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 0 2 4 6 8
Infosys Ltd.
FORECASTING MODEL
Ratio Seasonality Index Forecast
Revenue (in crores)
1.0711227 1.01444192536117 13656.935
25000
1.0772751 1.0298903855412 14340.214
1.03916922 1.0373501106115 14922.831 20000
1.00491411 0.99251111811142 14735.852
0.97795023 15529.635 15000
0.97374392 16241.433
10000
0.96299988 16837.821
0.95752252 16568.067 5000
0.99425285 17402.335
0
1.03865214 18142.652 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
1.10988123 18752.811
1.01509673 18400.283
19275.036 Moving
Revenue (in crores)
average chart
Moving average Linea
20043.871
20667.801 25000
20232.498
20000
f(x) = 461.50744047619 x + 13000.6547619048
15000 R² = 0.882697700040983
Prediction chart 10000
Column D Column E Column F 5000
Column G Column H Column I
0
0 2 4 6 8 10

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
e (in crores)

8 10 12 14 16 18

rage
oving
chart
average Linear (Moving average)

000.6547619048

6 8 10 12 14

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