Individual Replacement and Group Replacement Individual Replacement Policy
Individual Replacement and Group Replacement Individual Replacement Policy
REPLACEMENT
Let f (t) - number of items surviving at time (t -1) n = Total number of items with
system under
consideration. The probability of failure of items between 't' and (t - 1) can be
found out by
P = ((t -1) - f (t))/n)
Let the service life time of an item be T and try number of items in a system which
need to be
replaced whenever any of these fails or reaches T.
F (t) = number of items surviving at T
F'(t) = 1 -f (t) number of items that have failed
O (t) = Total operating time
Cf = Cost of replacement after failure of item
CPM = Cost of preventive maintenance.,
Cost of replacement after failure of service time T =n x f '(t) X C1
Also cost of replacement for item replaced before failure = n [1 —1(T)] Cpm
= n + f '(T) c f + n [1 — f ' (T) Cpm
Hence we can replace an item when the total replacement cost given above is
minimum where
0 (t) = f (t) dt
Under this policy, all items are replaced at a fixed interval 't' irrespective of the fact
they have failed or not and at the same time keep replacing the items as and when
they fail. This policy is applicable to a case where a large number of identical low
cost items which are more and more likely to fail at a time. In such cases, i.e., like
the case of replacement of street lights, bulbs, it may be economical to replace all
items at fixed intervals.
Let n = total number of items in the system
N (t) = number of items that fail during time t
C (t) = Cost of group replacement after time t
C (t) / t = average cost per unit time
C g = Cost of group replacement
Cf = Cost of replacing one item on failure
C (t) =nCg
F (t) = Average cost per unit time =C(t)/ t=nCg +Cf(ni+n2+.........+nt _ 1 ) / t
We have to minimize average cost per unit time, so optimum group replacement
time would be that period which minimize this time.
It can be concluded that the best group replacement policy is that which makes
replacement at the end of 't'th period if the cost of individual replacement for the
same period is more than the average cost per unit time.
In real life situations such problems are generally faced by big organizations
having many interconnected departments. In some cases, there is a trend to change
the job because of certain reasons like promotion to higher scale and designation,
attraction of lucrative salary and some social or personal problems.
In previous examples, we assumed that the money value does not change and
remains constant but it is well-known that as the equipment deteriorates and
operating costs keep increasing, the money value keeps decreasing with time.
Hence we must calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) of the money to be spent a
few years hence. Otherwise the resale value, the operating costs, which are to take
place in future, will not be realistic and management will not be able to take
optimal decisions.
Let,
c = Initial cost of item/equipment
oc = Operating cost
r = Rate of interest
A rupee invested at present will be equivalent to (1 + r) a year after (1 + r)2 two
years hence and (1 + r)n in n years’ time. It means that making a payment of one
rupee after n years is equivalent to paying (1 + r)" now. The quantity 1/(1 + r) is
called the present worth or present value of one rupee spent n years from now.
Step I: Find out the present value factor at the given rate and multiply it with the
operating/maintenance cost of the equipment/items for different years.
Step II: Work out the total cost by adding the cumulative present value to the
original cost for all the years.
Step IV: Divide the total cost by corresponding value of the cumulated discount
factor forevery year.
Step V:Find out the value of last column that exceeds the total cost.
Equipment/item will be replaced in the latest year.