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(4870) - 2004 M.B.A. 204: Decision Science (2013 Pattern) (Semester - II)

1. The document is an exam for an MBA Decision Science course containing 10 multiple choice questions. 2. Question 1 presents an optimization problem to allocate newspaper advertisements across Hindi and English papers with a budget of Rs. 50,000. 3. Question 2 involves assigning 4 jobs to 4 machines to minimize total costs as shown in a cost matrix. 4. The remaining questions cover additional topics in decision science including probability, game theory, network diagrams, and production acceptance problems.

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Jiya Lele
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50 views4 pages

(4870) - 2004 M.B.A. 204: Decision Science (2013 Pattern) (Semester - II)

1. The document is an exam for an MBA Decision Science course containing 10 multiple choice questions. 2. Question 1 presents an optimization problem to allocate newspaper advertisements across Hindi and English papers with a budget of Rs. 50,000. 3. Question 2 involves assigning 4 jobs to 4 machines to minimize total costs as shown in a cost matrix. 4. The remaining questions cover additional topics in decision science including probability, game theory, network diagrams, and production acceptance problems.

Uploaded by

Jiya Lele
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Total No. of Questions : 10] SEAT No.

:
P3793 [4870]-2004
[Total No. of Pages : 4

M.B.A.
204 : DECISION SCIENCE
(2013 Pattern) (Semester - II)

Time : 2½ Hours] [Max. Marks : 50


Instructions to the candidates:
1) Attempt Five questions.
2) Each question has an internal option.
3) Each question carries 10 marks.
4) Figures to the right indicate marks for question.
5) Graph will not be provided, draw neat diagrams on answer sheet only, if required.
6) Non scientific calculator is permitted.

Q1) A company wants to give advertisements in two local news papers, one Hindi
and one English. Expected coverage through the Ads, is 1000 and 1500 people
per ads. respectively. Each Ads in a Hindi costs Rs. 3000/- and for an English
is Rs. 5000/-. Company decided not to place more than 10 ads, in the Hindi
and at least 6 ads. in the English daily. The Total advertisement budget is
Rs, 50,000/-. Formulate the problem as L.P. Model. [10]
OR

Q2) Four different machines have four different jobs. The following matrix gives
the costs in rupees of job on machine. The set up and take down time costs
are assumed to be prohibitively high for changovers. How should the jobs be
assigned to the various machines so that the total costs is minimised. [10]
Machines
M1 M2 M3 M4
J1 5 7 11 6
Jobs J2 8 5 9 6
J3 4 7 10 7
J4 10 4 8 3

P.T.O.
Q3) A person wants to hire for repairing machines which breakdown at on average
rate per hour, which following Poisson Distribution. A and B two repairmen
interviewed. ‘A’ charges Rs. 100/- per hour and services breakdown machines
at the rate of 6 per hour. B demands Rs. 125/- per hour and services at an
average of 8 machines per hour. Downtime of a machine costs Rs. 25/- per
hour, which repairman should be hired? [10]

OR

Q4) Three brands of product P, Q and R are having market share as 30%, 30%
and 40% respectively. Customers shifts their brands. Brand switching matrix
every quarter is given below: [10]

From To

A B C
A 50% 30% 20%

B 20% 70% 10%

C 20% 20% 60%

Find market share at the end of quarter.

Q5) A production unit is not knowing the product acceptance probability and the
data are given below: [10]
Anticipated 1st year profit Rs. ‘000
Accpetance
Product Full Partial Minimal
Good 8 70 50
Fair 50 45 40
Poor –25 –10 0
Determine the optimal decision under each of the following criteria :
a) Maximax
b) Maximin
c) Minimax Regret
OR

[4870]-2004 2
Q6) Player A and B are playing with the following Matrix. [10]
Player B
Player A 1 2 3 4 5
I 1 3 2 7 4
II 3 4 1 5 6
III 6 5 7 6 5
IV 2 0 6 3 1

Solve the following game by using Dominance Rule.

Q7) Write short notes on (any two): [5 + 5 = 10]


a) Concept of PERT and CPM.
b) Concept of Network diagram with example.
c) Dummy Activities and events with example.
d) Floats and its types with example.
OR
Q8) Draw the network diagram for the following list of activities: [10]
Activity Immediate Activity Immediate
Predecessor Predecessor
A - L K
B A M K
C B N K
D C O D
E D P O
F E Q B
G E R N
H C S L, M
I C, F T S
J G, H, I U P, Q
K J V U

[4870]-2004 3
Q9) a) A card is drawn from ordinary pack and a gambler bets that it is a spade
or an ace. What are the odds against his winning this bet?
b) What is the chance that a leap year, selected at random will contain 53
sundays?
[5 + 5 = 10]

OR
Q10)Find the probability distribution of the number of sixes in three tosses of a
dice. [10]

E E E

[4870]-2004 4

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