Mathematics: On History of Mathematical Economics: Application of Fractional Calculus
Mathematics: On History of Mathematical Economics: Application of Fractional Calculus
Review
On History of Mathematical Economics: Application
of Fractional Calculus
Vasily E. Tarasov
Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow 119991, Russia;
[email protected]; Tel.: +7-495-939-5989
Received: 15 May 2019; Accepted: 31 May 2019; Published: 4 June 2019
Abstract: Modern economics was born in the Marginal revolution and the Keynesian revolution.
These revolutions led to the emergence of fundamental concepts and methods in economic theory,
which allow the use of differential and integral calculus to describe economic phenomena, effects, and
processes. At the present moment the new revolution, which can be called “Memory revolution”, is
actually taking place in modern economics. This revolution is intended to “cure amnesia” of modern
economic theory, which is caused by the use of differential and integral operators of integer orders.
In economics, the description of economic processes should take into account that the behavior of
economic agents may depend on the history of previous changes in economy. The main mathematical
tool designed to “cure amnesia” in economics is fractional calculus that is a theory of integrals,
derivatives, sums, and differences of non-integer orders. This paper contains a brief review of the
history of applications of fractional calculus in modern mathematical economics and economic theory.
The first stage of the Memory Revolution in economics is associated with the works published in 1966
and 1980 by Clive W. J. Granger, who received the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in
2003. We divide the history of the application of fractional calculus in economics into the following
five stages of development (approaches): ARFIMA; fractional Brownian motion; econophysics;
deterministic chaos; mathematical economics. The modern stage (mathematical economics) of the
Memory revolution is intended to include in the modern economic theory new economic concepts
and notions that allow us to take into account the presence of memory in economic processes. The
current stage actually absorbs the Granger approach based on ARFIMA models that used only the
Granger–Joyeux–Hosking fractional differencing and integrating, which really are the well-known
Grunwald–Letnikov fractional differences. The modern stage can also absorb other approaches by
formulation of new economic notions, concepts, effects, phenomena, and principles. Some comments
on possible future directions for development of the fractional mathematical economics are proposed.
Keywords: mathematical economics; economic theory; fractional calculus; fractional dynamics; long
memory; non-locality
to construct mathematical models of economic processes and phenomena. Moreover, it is not enough
to prove the existence of a solution and find it in an analytic or numerical form, but it is necessary to
give an economic interpretation of these obtained mathematical results.
We can say that modern mathematical economics began in the 19th century with the use of
differential (and integral) calculus to describe and explain economic behavior. The emergence of
modern economic theory occurred almost simultaneously with the appearance of new economic
concepts, which were actively used in various economic models. “Marginal revolution” and “Keynesian
revolution” in economics led to the introduction of the new fundamental concepts into economic theory,
which allow the use of mathematical tools to describe economic phenomena and processes. The most
important mathematical tools that have become actively used in mathematical modeling of economic
processes are the theory of derivatives and integrals of integer orders, the theory of differential and
difference equations. These mathematical tools allowed economists to build economic models in a
mathematical form and on their basis to describe a wide range of economic processes and phenomena.
However, these tools have a number of shortcomings that lead to the incompleteness of descriptions
of economic processes. It is known that the integer-order derivatives of functions are determined
by the properties of these functions in an infinitely small neighborhood of the point, in which the
derivatives are considered. As a result, differential equations with derivatives of integer orders, which
are used in economic models, cannot describe processes with memory and non-locality. In fact, such
equations describe only economic processes, in which all economic agents have complete amnesia and
interact only with the nearest neighbors. Obviously, this assumption about the lack of memory among
economic agents is a strong restriction for economic models. As a result, these models have drawbacks,
since they cannot take into account important aspects of economic processes and phenomena.
for orders of derivatives, the semi-group property for dynamic maps [16–21]. We can state that
the violation of the standard form of the Leibniz rule is a characteristic property of derivatives of
non-integer orders [16]. The most important application of fractional derivatives and integrals of
non-integer order is fading memory and spatial non-locality.
The new revolution (“Memory revolution”) is intended to include in the modern economic
theory and mathematical economics different processes with long memory and non-locality. The main
mathematical tool designed to “cure amnesia” in economics is the theory of derivatives and integrals
of non-integer order (fractional calculus), fractional differential and difference equations [1–5]. This
revolution has led to the emergence of a new branch of mathematical economics, which can be called
“fractional mathematical economics.”
Fractional mathematical economics is a theory of fractional dynamic models of economic processes,
phenomena and effects. In this framework of mathematical economics, the fractional calculus methods
are being developed for application to problems of economics and finance. The field of fractional
mathematical economics is the application of fractional calculus to solve problems in economics (and
finance) and for the development of fractional calculus for such applications. Fractional mathematical
economics can be considered as a branch of applied mathematics that deals with economic problems.
However, this point of view is obviously a narrowing of the field of research, goals and objectives of
this area. An important part of fractional mathematical economics is the use of fractional calculus to
formulate new economic concepts, notions, effects and phenomena. This is especially important due
to the fact that the fractional mathematical economics is now only being formed as an independent
science. Moreover, the development of the fractional calculus itself and its generalizations will largely
be determined precisely by such goals and objectives in economics, physics and other sciences.
This “Memory revolution” in the economics, or rather the first stage of this revolution, can be
associated with the works, which were published in 1966 and 1980 by Clive W. J. Granger [22–26], who
received the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 2003 [27].
The history of the application of fractional calculus in economics can be divided into the following
stages of development (approaches): ARFIMA; fractional Brownian motion; econophysics; deterministic
chaos; mathematical economics. The appearance of a new stage obviously does not mean the cessation
of the development of the previous stage, just as the appearance of quantum theory did not stop the
development of classical mechanics.
Further in Sections 2.1–2.5, we briefly describe these stages of development, and then in Section 3
we outline possible ways for the further development of fractional mathematical economics.
fractional differences (GLF-difference), which have been suggested more than a hundred and fifty years
ago and are used in the modern fractional calculus [1,3]. We emphasize that in the continuous limit
these GLF-differences give the GLF-derivatives that coincide with the Marchaud fractional derivatives
(see Theorem 4.2 and Theorem 4.4 of [1]).
Among economists, the approach proposed by Gravers (and based on the discrete operators
proposed by them) is the most common and is used without an explicit connection with the
development of fractional calculus. It is obvious that the restriction of mathematical tools only
to the Grunwald–Letnikov fractional differences significantly reduces the possibilities for studying
processes with memory and non-locality. The use of fractional calculus in economic models will
significantly expand the scope and allows us to obtain new results.
with respect to time. It should be noted that, in general, the presence of a waiting time and a delay
time does not mean the presence of memory in the process.
In the framework of the fractional Brownian motion Stage, a lot of papers [50–71] and books [72,73]
were written on the description of financial processes with memory and non-locality.
As a rule, in fractional mathematical finance, fractional dynamic models are created without
establishing links with economic theory and without formulating new economic or financial concepts,
taking only observable market prices as input data. In the fractional mathematical finance, the main
requirement is the mathematical consistency and the compatibility with economic theory is not the
key point.
It should be noted that formal replacements of derivatives of integer order by fractional derivatives
in standard differential equations, which describe economic processes, and solutions of the obtained
fractional differential equations were considered in papers published before 2016. However, these
papers were purely mathematical works, in which generalizations of economic concepts and notions
were not proposed. In these works, fractional differential equations have not been derived, since a
formal replacement of integer-order derivatives by fractional derivatives cannot be recognized as
a derivation of the equations. Formulations of economic conclusions and interpretations from the
obtained solutions are not usually suggested in these papers. Examples of incorrectness and errors
in such generalizations are given in the work [189]. In the paper [189], we formulate five principles
of the fractional-dynamic generalization of standard dynamic models and then we illustrate these
principles by examples from fractional mathematical economics. We can state that in the works with
formal fractional generalizations of standard economic equations the Principles of Derivability and
Interpretability [189] were neglected. Let us give a brief formulation of the Principles of Derivability
and Interpretability.
Derivability Principle: It is not enough to generalize the differential equations describing the
dynamic model. It is necessary to generalize the whole scheme of obtaining (all steps of derivation)
these equations from the basic principles, concepts and assumptions. In this sequential derivation
of the equations we should take into account the non-standard characteristic properties of fractional
derivatives and integrals. If necessary, generalizations of the notions, concepts and methods, which
are used in this derivation, should also be obtained.
Interpretability Principle: The subject (physical, economic) interpretation of the mathematical
results, including solutions and their properties, should be obtained. Differences, and first of all
qualitative differences, from the results based on the standard model should be described.
The most important purpose of the modern stage of development of fractional mathematical
economics is the inclusion of memory and non-locality into the economic theory, into the basic
economic concepts and methods. The economics should be extended and generalized such that it
takes into account the memory and non-locality. Fractional generalizations of standard economic
models should be constructed only on this conceptual basis. The most important purpose of studying
such generalizations is the search and formulation of qualitatively new effects and phenomena caused
by memory and non-locality in the behavior of economic processes. In this case, these results in
mathematical economics, which are based on fractional calculus, can be further used in computer
simulations of real economic processes and in econometric studies.
Let us list some generalizations of economic concepts and fractional generalizations of economic
models that have already been proposed in recent years. Using the fractional calculus approach to
describe the processes with memory and non-locality, the generalizations of some basic economic
notions were proposed in the works [118–139]. The list of these new notions and concepts primarily
include the following:
• The marginal value of non-integer order [118–122,190] with memory and non-locality;
• The economic multiplier with memory [123,124];
• The economic accelerator with memory [123,124];
• The exact discretization of economic accelarators and multiplier [125–128] based on exact fractional
differences [129];
• The accelerator with memory and crisis periodic sharp bursts [130,131];
• The duality of the multiplier with memory and the accelerator with memory [123,124];
• The elasticity of fractional order [132–135] for processes with memory and non-locality;
• The measures of risk aversion with non-locality [136] and with memory [137];
• The warranted (technological) rate of growth with memory [112,170,174–176,189];
• The non-local methods of deterministic factor analysis for [138,139];
The use of these notions and concepts makes it possible for us to generalize some classical
economic models, including those proposed by the following well-known economists:
(1) Michele Caputo proposed some fractional dynamic model of economy [191–200]:
• In the standard relaxation equation, which describes the relaxation economy to equilibrium,
the memory has been introduced in the reactivity of investment to the interest rate.
• The continuous-time IS–LM model with memory [192];
• The tax version of the Fisher model with memory for stock prices and inflation rates [199]
that can be used to predict nominal and real interest rate behavior with memory.
(2) Mathematical description of some fractional generalization of economic models was proposed by
the Kabardino–Balkarian group: Adam M. Nakhushev [201,202], Khamidbi Kh. Kalazhokov [203],
Zarema A. Nakhusheva [204].
(3) Mathematical description of some fractional generalization of economic models were proposed
by the Kamchatka group: Viktoriya V. Samuta, Viktoriya A. Strelova, and Roman I. Parovik [205],
Yana E. Shpilko, Anastasiya E. Solomko., Roman I. Parovik [206] Danil M. Makarov [207].
(4) Shiou-Yen Chu and Christopher Shane proposed the hybrid Phillips curve model with memory
to describe the dynamic process of inflation with memory in the work [208].
Mathematics 2019, 7, 509 9 of 28
(5) Rituparna Pakhira, Uttam Ghosh and Susmita Sarkar derived [209–213] some inventory models
with memory.
(6) Computer simulation for modeling the national economies in the framework of the fractional
generalizations of the Gross domestic product (GDP) model was proposed by Inés Tejado, Duarte
Valério, Nuno Valério, Pedro Pires [214–220] in 2014–2019, and by Dahui Luo, JinRong Wang,
Michal Feckan in 2018 in the paper [221].
(7) In addition, we may note the works with economic models that were proposed in [100–105] that
are related to the deterministic chaos stage.
Let us note that the problems and difficulties arising in the construction of fractional-dynamic
analogs of standard economic models by using the fractional calculus are described in [189] with details.
Some of proposed models can be considered as econophysics approach, which are based on
fractional generalization of the standard damped harmonic oscillator equation, where the memory has
been introduced in the frictional term by using fractional derivative instead of first-orderr derivative.
New principles, effects and phenomena have been suggested for fractional economic dynamics
with memory and non-locality (for example, see [174–176,189,222]). Qualitatively new effects due to
the presence of memory in the economic process are described in the works [174–176,189,222].
In my opinion, this stage of the development of fractional mathematical economics actually
includes (absorbs) approaches based on the ARFIMA model using only the Granger–Joyeux–Hosking
fractional differencing and integrating, which in really are the well-known Grunwald–Letnikov
fractional differences [39]. This opinion is based on the obvious fact that the new stage allows the
AFRIMA approach to go beyond the restrictions of the Grunwald–Letnikov operators, and use different
types of fractional finite differences and fractional derivatives of non-integer orders.
Moreover, this stage can include (absorbs) approaches based on the fractional econophysics and
deterministic chaos. For the econophysics approach, new opportunities are opening up on the way to
formulating economic analogues of physical concepts and notions that will be more understandable
to economists. This will significantly simplify the implementation of the concepts and methods of
fractional econophysics in economic theory and application.
The most important element in the construction of the fractional mathematical economics as a new
theory is the emergence and the formation of new notions, concepts, effects, phenomena, principles
and methods, which are specific only to this theory. This gives rise to a new scientific direction (the
fractional mathematical economics), since there is something of their own that others do not have.
We have now entered the stage of forming a new direction in mathematical economics and
economic theory, when concepts and methods are not borrowed from other sciences and areas, but
their own are created.
(1) The simplest distribution of the order of fractional derivatives and integrals is the continuous
uniform distribution. The fractional operators with uniform distribution were proposed in [112,
113,129] and were called as the Nakhushev operators. Adam M. Nakhushev [235,236] proposed
the continual fractional derivatives and integrals in 1998. The fractional operators, which
are inversed to the continual fractional derivatives and integrals, were suggested by Arsen V.
Mathematics 2019, 7, 509 11 of 28
Pskhu [237,238]. In papers [112,113,129], we proved that the fractional integrals and derivatives of
the uniform distributed order could be expressed (up to a numerical factor) through the continual
fractional integrals and derivatives, which have been suggested by A. M. Nakhushev [235,236].
The proposed fractional integral and derivatives of uniform distributed order have been called in
our paper [129] as the Nakhushev fractional integrals and derivatives. The corresponding inverse
operators, which contains the two-parameter Mittag–Leffler functions in the kernel, were called
as the Pskhu fractional integrals and derivatives [129].
(2) In the papers [112,113], we proposed the concept of “weak” memory and the distributed order
fractional operators with the truncated normal distribution of the order. The truncated normal
distribution with integer mean and small variance can be used to describe economic processes
with memory, which is distributed around the classical case.
(3) As a special case of the general fractional operators, which were proposed by Anatoly N. Kochubei,
the fractional derivatives and integrals of distributed order are investigated in the works [239,240].
Fractional differential equations of distributed orders are actively used to describe physical
processes. However, at the present time, equations with distributed order operators have not yet
been used to describe economic processes. We hope that new interesting effects in economics can be
described by using order-distributed fractional operators.
Example 1. The Abel-type fractional integral (and differential) operator with Kummer function in the
kernel, which is described in the classic book [1] (see equation 37.1 in [1], (p. 731)) can be interpreted
as the Riemann–Liouville fractional integral (and derivatives) with gamma distribution of delay
time [187,228]. Some Prabhakar fractional operators with the three-parameter Mittag–Leffler functions
in the kernel can also be interpreted as a Laplace convolution of the Riemann–Liouville (or Caputo)
fractional operators with continuously distributed lag (time delay) [186,228].
Example 2. We can state that the Kober fractional integration of non-integer order [1,2,4] can be
interpreted as an expected value of a random variable up to a constant factor [241] (see also Section
9 in [228]). In this interpretation, the random variable describes dilation (scaling), which has the
gamma distribution. The Erdelyi–Kober fractional integration also has a probabilistic interpretation.
Fractional differential operators of Kober and the Erdelyi–Kober type have analogous probabilistic
interpretation, i.e., these operators cannot describe the memory. These operators describe integer-order
operator with continuously distributed dilation (scaling). The fractional generalizations of the Kober
and Erdelyi–Kober operators, which can be used to describe memory and distributed dilation (scaling),
were proposed in [228].
Example 3. The Riesz fractional integro-differentiation (See Section 2.10 of [4]) cannot be used to
describe memory since this operator violates the causality principle, if it is written in the standard
form. For economic and physical processes with memory, the causality can be described by the
Mathematics 2019, 7, 509 12 of 28
Kramers–Kronig relations [116]. The Riesz fractional integro-differentiation can be used to describe
power-law non-locality and power-law spatial dispersion.
studied. The existence of optimal solutions for fractional differential equations should be considered
for economic processes with memory and non-locality.
Methods of the fractional calculus of variations are actively developing [248,249]. However, at
the present time, none of the variational problems, which are well known in economics, has been
generalized to the case of processes with memory using fractional calculus.
In the variation approach, there are some problems that restrict the possibilities of its application.
One of the problems associated with the property of integration in parts, which actually turns the
left-second fractional derivative into a right-sided derivative. As a result, we will obtain equations in
which, in addition to being dependent on the past, there is a dependence on the future, that is, the
principle of causality is violated.
We assume that this problem cannot be solved within the framework of using the principle of
stationarity of the holonomic functional (action). It is necessary to use non-holonomic functionals. We
can also consider non-holonomic constraints with fractional derivatives of non-integer orders [250].
We can also consider variations of non-integer order [251] and fractional variational derivatives [252].
Another problem is the mathematical interpretation and the economic (and physical)
interpretations of extreme values. The non-holonomic constraints and variations of fractional orders
should also have a correct economic (and physical) interpretation.
However, we emphasize that for the economics, finding the optimality and stability of the solution
is very important.
microeconomics and macroeconomics. The Big Data will give us a possibility to take into account the
effects of memory and non-locality in those economic and financial processes in which they were not
even suspected.
Fractional econometrics can reach new opportunities in the development of new econometric
methods and their use in describing economic reality by applying methods of modern fractional calculus,
various types of fractional finite differences, differential and integral operators of non-integer order.
As a result, we can state that the main goals of fractional economics such as explain the economy
and to make predictions for processes with memory, and correctly describe economic events, data,
processes, and to give adequate predictions, we should have fractional econometrics.
One of the main goals of fractional mathematical economics and economic theory is to explain the
processes and phenomena with memory in economy and make predictions. However, to explain the
economic processes with memory, it is necessary to understand what memory is and how to describe it.
Note that a clear understanding of the memory does not even exist within the framework of fractional
calculus approach.
where the kernel M(t, τ) of this integral operator is called the memory function (or the linear response
function). Obviously, the derivative of the integer orders of some variable can be considered as an
associated variable X(τ). We also can consider integer-order derivatives of Y(t) as endogenous variables.
It is obvious that not every kernels M(t, τ) can be used to describe the memory in the economic
processes. Possible restrictions on the memory function are discussed in paper [112,113].
Mathematics 2019, 7, 509 16 of 28
In this paper [112,113], we describe some general restrictions that can be imposed on the structure
and properties of memory. In addition, to the causality principle [116], these restrictions include the
following three principles:
Mathematically, the principle of non-aging memory means that the memory function has a
property M(t, τ) = M(t − τ). In this case, the integral operator can be described by the convolution
Y(t) = (M ∗ X)(t), [112,113].
The principle of memory reversibility is connected with the principle of duality of accelerator
with memory and multiplier with memory, which is proposed in [123,124]. In general, fractional
calculus, which was proposed in [239,240] and based on the use of differential-convolution operators,
the principle of memory reversibility means that the general operators should have a right inverse
(a kind of a fractional integral).
Note that the Kober and Erdelyi–Kober fractional operators, which are interpreted in [112,113] as
operators that describe memory with generalized power-law fading, really are integer-order operators
with continuously distributed scaling or dilation (see [241] and Section 9 in [228]), and therefore, these
operators cannot describe the memory.
Note that time delay, which is sometimes interpreted as a complete (perfect, ideal) memory [112,
113], cannot describe memory. In economics and electrodynamics, processes with time delay (lag)
are not referred to as processes with memory and time delay is not interpreted as a memory. The
interpretation of the time delay, which is usually called a lag in economics, as some kind of memory
seems to be incorrect for the following reasons.
From economic and physical points of view, the time delay is caused by finite speeds of processes,
i.e., the change of one variable does not lead to instant changes of another variable. Therefore, the time
delay cannot be considered as memory in processes. This fact is well-known in physics as the retarded
potential of an electromagnetic field, when a change in the electromagnetic field at the observation
point is delayed with respect to the change in the sources of the field located at another point. The
processes of propagation of the electromagnetic field in a vacuum are not interpreted in physics as
presence of memory in these processes.
From a mathematical point of view, the kernels of integral operators for distributed time delay
(lag) and fading memory are distinguished by the fact that the normalization condition holds for the
time delay case. Note that the probability distribution functions as kernels, which are usually called
the weighting function in economics, are actively used for macroeconomic models with distributed
delay time. Equivalent differential equations of integer orders in economics are usually used instead
of equations with integro-differential operators, in which the weighting function in the kernels. It is
known that under certain conditions, equations with continuously distributed lag are equivalent to
differential equations with standard derivatives of integer orders. Mathematically, this means that
processes with time delay can be described by equations containing only a finite number of derivatives
of integer orders. The integer-order derivatives of functions are determined by the properties of these
functions in small neighborhood of the considered point. As a result, differential equations of integer
orders cannot describe a memory. To describe processes with fading memory and distributed time
delay, we should use the distributed lag fractional calculus [228], (see also [185–187]).
As a result, within the framework of fractional calculus, it is necessary to distinguish between
fractional operators that describe distributed time delay and distributed scaling from operators
describing memory, and the combination of memory with these phenomena. However, there are open
questions about what types of memory we can describe by using fractional calculus (for example,
see [116,117]), and in what directions the concept of memory for economic processes will develop.
Mathematics 2019, 7, 509 17 of 28
4. Conclusions
In this brief historical description, an attempt was made to draw a sketch picture of the development
of fractional calculus applications in economics, the birth of a new direction in mathematical economics,
a new revolution in economic theory. Due to brevity and schematics, this picture obviously cannot
reflect the fullness and complexity of the development of a fractional mathematical economics. As a
result, it was possible that some directions and approaches, results and works close in the described
history were missed. One can hope that the written short history will be perceived with understanding
and will be supplemented in the future with new works on the history of the use of fractional calculus
in the economics.
We can hope that the further development of the use of fractional calculus to describe economic
phenomena and processes will take an important place with modern mathematical economics and
economic theory. Generally speaking, it is strange to neglect memory in the economics, since the most
important actors are people with memory.
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