Common Knowledge of Rationality and Successive Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies
Common Knowledge of Rationality and Successive Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies
Player C
C1 C2 C3 C4
R1 1,1 1,0 4,2 3,1
R2 0,2 0,0 2,1 5,0
Player R
R3 2,2 1,1 3,3 4,0
R4 1,3 5,2 2,2 3,4
In this game each player has four available strategies. Player R does not have a strictly
dominated strategy, but strategy C2 is strictly dominated (by C1) for player C. Thus,
we can eliminate it under the assumption that C is rational. Now that C2 is eliminated,
under the assumption that player R knows that C is rational (1st degree CKR), R4
becomes strictly dominated by R3 (since R knows that C2 would never be played), and
it can be eliminated too. But under the assumption that C knows that R knows that C
himself/herself is rational (2nd degree CKR), C knows that R4 shall never be played,
and this elimination of R4 now makes C4 strictly dominated (by C3) as well. Similarly,
if R knows that C knows that R knows that C is rational (3rd degree CKR), R knows
that C4 will not be played, and hence, R2 now becomes strictly dominated (by both R1
and R3). CKR of 4th degree (C knows that R knows that C knows that R knows that C
is rational) means that C, knowing that R2 has been eliminated, would never choose C1
because it now is strictly dominated by C3. Thus, C can only play C3 (it is the only
strategy that “survived”). Under 5th degree CKR, R knows that C will choose C3, and
this means that R will choose R1 (which strictly dominates over the only other surviving
strategy, R3). Therefore, the equilibrium of this game is that R chooses R1 and C
chooses C3. To arrive at this conclusion, we had to assume individual rationality, as
well as common knowledge of rationality up to the 5th degree.
The reasoning that helped us find the equilibrium in this game is known as the
method of successive elimination of strictly dominated strategies. It uses the
assumption of CKR up to whatever degree is needed, in order to bring the game to a
point where no player has a strictly dominated strategy anymore. In the last two games
we examined, this assumption made strategies “fall like dominoes”, the one after the
other, and along with one additional degree of CKR, until each player remained with
only one strategy, leading us to a unique equilibrium. However, the method of
successive elimination of strictly dominated strategies is not guaranteed to lead to a
resolution where each player is left with just one strategy. In fact, in most games none
of the strategies available to the players are strictly dominated, so this method might
not even take off at all (see for example, the game below).
Player C
C1 C2 C3
R1 2,1 0,0 1,2
Player R
R2 0,0 1,1 0,0
R3 1,2 0,0 2,1
Here we see that neither R nor C have a strictly dominated strategy, and
therefore, it is not possible to eliminate any one of these strategies. Thus, even if we
have assumed players who not only maximise utility, but also have mutual knowledge
of this fact (a knowledge that can theoretically go to infinite depths), there is nothing
that we can say on the resolution of this game, unless we make further assumptions
(we’ll do that on Thursday!). In the absence of strictly dominated strategies, the players
would be rational to make any choice: player R would be rational to choose R1, if (s)he
expected player C to choose C1. Or, (s)he could rationally choose R2, if (s)he expected
C to choose C2. Finally, (s)he would also rationally choose R3, if (s)he expected C to
choose C3. Similarly, C would rationally choose C1, C2 or C3 if (s)he expected player
R to choose R3, R2 and R1 respectively. These strategies are called rationalisable.
We should not eliminate weakly dominated strategies when we apply the method of
successive elimination of strictly dominated strategies!