Agsalda, Oliver D.

Problem Set
IE101 – C06

1. I have a bag containing 4 blue marbles and 6 red marbles. I choose 4 marbles (without replacement)
at random. Let X be the number of blue marbles and Y be the number of red marbles.

(a) Construct a joint probability distribution table;

X=blue
0 1 2 3 4 h(y)
0 0 0 0 0 1/210 1/210
( 4 )( 6 )
1 0 0 0 4/35 0 4/35 X Y
P ( X ,Y )=
Y=red 2 0 0 3/7 0 0 3/7 ( 10 )
4
3 0 8/21 0 0 0 8/21

4 1/14 0 0 0 0 1/14 (4 ∁ 4 )(6 ∁0)

P ( 4,0 ) = =1/210
10∁ 4
g(x) 1/14 8/21 3/7 4/35 1/210
(4 ∁1)(6 ∁ 3)
P ( 1,3 )= =8/21
10 ∁ 4
(4 ∁3)(6 ∁ 1) (4 ∁ 0)(6 ∁ 4)
P ( 3,1 )= =4 /35 P ( 0,4 ) = =1/14
10 ∁ 4 10∁ 4
(4 ∁2)(6 ∁ 2)
P ( 2,2 )= =3 /7
10 ∁ 4

(b) P (X = 2 | Y = 0).

f (x , y )
f ( x| y )=
h( y )
0
f ( 2|0 )=
1/ 210
f ( 2|0 )=0
 Agsalda, Oliver D. Problem Set
IE101 – C06

2. The table below shows the joint distribution of two random variables, X and Y. Determine the value of
C.

Y=1 Y=2 Y=3 Y=4

X=1 6C 3C 2C 4C 15C
X=2 4C 2C 4C 0 10C
X=3 2C C 0 2C 5C The grand total must be 1 so,
12C 6C 6C 6C 30C
30 C=1
1
C=
30
3. Consider two random variables X and Y with joint PMF given below. Find P (X ≤ 2, Y ≤ 4).

P ( X ≤2 , Y ≤ 4 )=P ( 1,2 ) + P ( 1,4 ) + P ( 2,2 )+ P (2,4)

1 1 1 1
P ( X ≤2 , Y ≤ 4 )= + + +
12 24 6 12
3
P ( X ≤2 , Y ≤ 4 )=
8

4. Data on oxide thickness (nanometers) of semiconductors are as follows: 425, 431, 416, 419, 421, 436,
418, 410, 431, 433, 423, 426, 410, 435, 436, 428, 411, 426, 409, 437, 422, 428, 413, 416.
 Agsalda, Oliver D. Problem Set
IE101 – C06

(a) Calculate a point estimate of the mean oxide thickness for all wafers in the population;

425+431+ 416+ 419+421+ 436+418+ 410+ 431+ 433+ 423+ 426+ 410+435+ 436+ 428+411 +426+ 409+ 43
X=
24
10160
X=
24
X =423.33 nm
(b) Calculate a point estimate of the standard deviation of oxide thickness for all wafers in the
population;

X ( X −X ) ( X −X )2
425 1.67 2.7889
431 7.67 58.8289
416 -7.33 53.7289 ∑( X− X)2
419
421
-4.33
-2.33
18.7489
5.4289
s=
√
N −1
436 12.67 160.5289 1897.3336
418
410
-5.33
-13.33
28.4089
177.6889
s=
√ 24−1
431 7.67 58.8289 s=9.083 nm
433 9.67 93.5089
423 -0.33 0.1089
426 2.67 7.1289
410 -13.33 177.6889 (c) Calculate the standard error of the point estimate of the
435 11.67 136.1889 mean.
436 12.67 160.5289
s
428 4.67 21.8089 sX =
411 -12.33 152.0289 √n
426 2.67 7.1289 9.083
409 -14.33 205.3489 sX =
437 13.67 186.8689
√24
422 -1.33 1.7689 s X =1.854
428 4.67 21.8089
413 -10.33 106.7089 5. A sample of the newly-produced highlighters are taken and
416 -7.33 53.7289 the diameters are found to be 1.01, 0.97, 1.03, 1.04, 0.99, 0.98,
∑ 0.99, 1.01, 1.03 and 1.00 centimeters.
1897.3336
( X −X )2

1.01+ 0.97+1.03+1.04+ 0.99+0.98+0.99+1.01+1.03+1.00

x=
10
10.05
x=
10
x=1.005
 Agsalda, Oliver D. Problem Set
IE101 – C06

X ( X −X ) ( X −X )2
1.01 0.005 0.000025
∑( X− X)2
0.97
1.03
1.04
-0.035
0.025
0.035
0.001225
0.000625
0.001225
s=
√
N −1

0.00485
0.99
0.98
-0.015
-0.025
0.000225
0.000625
s=
√ 10−1
0.99 -0.015 0.000225
1.01 0.005 0.000025 s=0.02321398046
1.03 0.025 0.000625
1.00 -0.005 0.000025
∑
0.00485
( X −X )2

(a) Find a 99% confidence interval on the mean diameter;

CL=99% df=9
 Agsalda, Oliver D. Problem Set
IE101 – C06

t α =3.25 0
2

X −t α
2
( √sn )< μ< X +t ( √sn )
α
2

1.005−3.250 ( 0.02321398046
√10 ) < μ<1.005+3.250(
0.02321398046
√ 10
)

0.9811< μ< 1.0289 centimeters

 Agsalda, Oliver D. Problem Set
IE101 – C06

(b) Compute a 99% prediction interval on a measured diameter of a single metal piece taken from the
machine;

1 1
2 √ n 2 √
X −t α s ( 1+ )< μ< X +t α s ( 1+ )
n

1 1
1.005−3.250(0.02321398046)( 1+
√ 10
)< μ<1.005+ 3.250(0.02321398046)( 1+ )
10 √
0.9 259< μ<1.0841 centimeters
(c) Find the 99% tolerance limits that will contain 95% of the metal pieces produced by this machine.

k=4.265

x +ks , x−ks
1.005+ ( 4.265 )( 0.02321398046 ) , 1.005−( 4.265 ) ( 0.02321398046 )
( 0.906 , 1.104 ) centimeters