PREFACE
PREFACE
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
TITLE i
PREFACE ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS iii
CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Definition of News Item
2.2 Analysis
3.1 Conclusion
BIBLIOGRAPHY
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
—
the 2019 novel coronavirus acute respiratory disease (2019-nCoV ARD) — there are now (2
p.m. Wuhan time, Tuesday) more than 42,600 confirmed cases worldwide. If the current pace
prevails, that figure will exceed 50,000 in the coming days.
And yet, there may be something else going on behind the reported figures.
On the one hand, the number of confirmed cases outside China is less than 500, and there have
been only two deaths, which both are associated with the virus epicenter Wuhan. While these
numbers are likely to increase in the near future, the low starting-point suggests that China’s
costly and draconian measures may have saved many lives within and particularly outside China.
More importantly, the pace of the contagion may be decelerating in China. In international
media, the spotlight is mainly on the absolute numbers of accumulated cases and deaths, which
are likely to increase. And yet, the relative increase of these accumulated cases has decreased
ever since mid-January. Even more importantly, the relative daily increase of new cases, which
have critical impact on the longer-term duration and severity of the outbreak, may be amid a
crossroads.
The confirmed new cases increased steadily from mid-January soaring to almost 3,900 on Feb. 4.
Since then, the numbers have fallen below 2,700. In relative terms, the change has been almost
progressive, having plunged from almost 350 percent to negative.
The big question is, will the trend prevail. While the data could indicate a possible turnaround in
the virus outbreak, there is no assurance that the deceleration will prevail. It is well known that
virus trend lines can zigzag. Consequently, complacency in the struggle against the outbreak is
no option.
Also, all projections rely on data accuracy and presume the absence of adverse mutations within
and outside China. Furthermore, the trend lines are predicated on the idea that there will be no
new, major outbreaks as people in China are now returning to their homes after the holiday
period.
Finally, the trend is predicated on the idea that containment will succeed outside China, where
precautions have been lagging in many countries, including high-income nations.
Since mid-2018, ASEAN countries have suffered collateral damage associated with the United
States-Sino trade friction, slowing world trade and eroding global growth. Even before the
outbreak, regional growth prospects were downgraded by 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points for 2019
to 2020. Now, Southeast Asian economies may face new downgrades associated with the
outbreak’s likely economic impact.
Last December, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) revised its forecast down to 4.4 percent for
2019 but maintained at 4.7 percent for 2020. The latter was predicated on the anticipated mild
recovery in China and the US. It will be downgraded.
Prior to the virus outbreak, growth forecasts were downgraded for Singapore and Thailand, but
upgraded for Brunei and Vietnam, with the remaining ASEAN economies on track to meet
forecasts, despite export declines and weaker investment weighing on growth prospects.
In early 2020, downgrades are likely to deepen in Singapore and Thailand, while positive
prospects in Vietnam will not prevail. Growth forecasts in Taiwan and East Asia — South Korea
and Taiwan — will be penalized, due to anticipated supply chain disruptions, particularly in
electronics, machinery and textiles.
Growth prospects in Singapore have eroded significantly and will be compounded by the
outbreak. The 2020 real gross domestic product forecast could be downgraded to less than 1
percent. In Hong Kong, political volatility coupled with the outbreak will extend the technical
recession into the first quarter.
The rest of Southeast Asia — Malaysia, Indonesia, Lao, Cambodia, Myanmar and the
Philippines — will find it hard to stay on track with forecasts. In the past year, softening
domestic investment exacerbated export woes in larger economies — Indonesia, Malaysia,
Philippines, Singapore and Thailand — but domestic consumption held up to cushion the
slowdown.
Since household spending is the first victim of the virus outbreak, larger economies will not be
immune to it. But in each case, the specific country impact will depend on the duration and
severity of the virus spread.
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asean.html
2.2 Analysis
Generic structure
1. Main Event/Newsworhty Event (Headline) : People wear masks as a preventive
measure against the coronavirus outbreak, in Bangkok, Thailand, on February 3,
2020.
2. Background Event/ Elaboration
1. Who? : Since mid-2018, ASEAN countries have suffered collateral damage associated
with the United States-Sino trade friction, slowing world trade and eroding global
growth.
2. When? : Wed, February 12, 2020 / 11:33 am
3. Where? : Manila
4. What? Since household spending is the first victim of the virus outbreak, larger
economies will not be immune to it. But in each case, the specific country impact
will depend on the duration and severity of the virus spread.
5. Why? : because in China the food is less sterile
6. How? : In early 2020, downgrades are likely to deepen in Singapore and
Thailand, while positive prospects in Vietnam will not prevail. Growth forecasts
in Taiwan and East Asia — South Korea and Taiwan — will be penalized, due to
anticipated supply chain disruptions, particularly in electronics, machinery and
textiles.
3. Resource of information(Source):
https://www.thejakartapost.com/academia/2020/02/12/virus-outbreak-at-crossroads-
impact-on-asean.html
CHAPTER III
CONCLUSION
3.1 Conclusion
Corona virus occurs because of the lack of awareness of Chinese people about food hygiene.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Copyright:
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